Actions & Alerts Log

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Actions & Alerts Log

10 tickers referenced · published Feb 4, 2026

Article published Feb 4, 2026. Prices below use latest available snapshots.

ADBE $254.04 +7.1% 30d AMKR $61.30 -2.6% 30d AMZN $261.31 +5.7% 30d ANET $201.80 +19.7% 30d ARKX $34.70 +14.5% 30d AS $32.57 -10.6% 30d ASML $1,883.12 +7.9% 30d BE $232.16 +8.0% 30d BTC $28.43 +0.2% 30d CEG $278.20 +10.2% 30d

Central hub for all alerts, entry zones, and trade decisions. Last Updated: 2026-02-04 (prices validated against stonks data)

How to Use This File

Adding a New Alert

When you (or Claude) identify an entry zone or price target:

  1. Add to Price Alerts table with source doc
  2. Include the reasoning so we can trace later

When an Alert Triggers

When price hits your alert level:

  1. Move from Price Alerts → Triggered Alerts (Archive)
  2. Decide: Buy, Pass, or Adjust
  3. If buying → Log in holdings/MOVES.md

Logging a Trade (Buy/Sell)

When you execute a trade:

  1. Update ACTIONS.md: Add to "Recent Moves" table
  2. Update holdings/MOVES.md: Full trade details
  3. Update holdings snapshot: Add to current holdings

Weekly Review

  1. Ask Claude: "refresh my actions" → aggregates from all scans
  2. Review triggered alerts
  3. Add post-mortems for completed trades
  4. Archive stale alerts

Active Alerts (Check These)

Price Alerts (Waiting for Entry)

Stock Alert Entry Zone Source Set Date Status
ZTS $115 Deeper entry if -10% pullback ideas/macro 2026-02-03 ⏳ Waiting
MU $300-350 Wait for -25% pullback nvda-ecosystem 2026-02-03 ⏳ Waiting
VRT $110-120 Wait for -20% pullback nvda-ecosystem 2026-02-03 ⏳ Waiting
ASML $1,200-1,300 Wait for pullback nvda-ecosystem 2026-02-03 ⏳ Waiting
WCLD $25 Add more if drops cloud-etfs 2026-02-03 ⏳ Waiting
IGV $75 Strong buy zone cloud-etfs 2026-02-03 ⏳ Waiting
FCX $55-58 Wait for pullback ai-infrastructure 2026-02-03 ⏳ Waiting
GILD $120 Wait for pullback biotech-scan 2026-02-02 ⏳ Waiting

Entry Zones (IN ZONE NOW) - Prices Validated 2026-02-04

Stock Current Zone RSI Source Action
WCLD $28.15 <$30 18 cloud-etfs ✅ Oversold - strong buy
IGV $83.84 <$90 14 cloud-etfs ✅ EXTREME oversold
CRM $193.81 $180-200 14 cloud-etfs ✅ Enterprise SaaS leader
INTU $432.20 <$450 16 cloud-etfs ✅ Profitable, AI features
WDAY $173.38 <$180 18 cloud-etfs ✅ Enterprise HR/Finance
NOW $109.02 <$120 23 cloud-etfs ✅ ServiceNow AI agents
ASX ~$11 $9-12 - nvda-ecosystem ✅ CoWoS validated
AMKR ~$28 $24-30 - nvda-ecosystem ✅ CoWoS validated
MRVL $79 $70-80 - nvda-ecosystem 🔍 Research - custom ASICs
ANET $138 $125-140 - nvda-ecosystem 🔍 Needs validation (InfiniBand?)
CEG $268 $250-270 - ai-infrastructure 🔍 Nuclear thesis
VST $154 $140-160 - ai-infrastructure 🔍 Data center power
OKLO $74 $60-75 - ai-infrastructure ⚠️ Speculative
SHOP $132.20 <$140 17 retail ✅ E-commerce leader, extreme oversold
LULU $177.34 <$180 24 retail ✅ Athleisure leader, -57% from high
NKE $60.93 <$65 24 retail 📈 Turnaround bet, oversold
ZTS $122.41 <$125 45 ideas/macro ✅ ONLY screwworm treatment, catalyst: US detection
SNOW $170.53 <$180 22 web-cloud ✅ Data cloud leader, -39% from high
ESTC $59.03 <$70 21 web-cloud ✅ Search + observability, -50% from high
MDB $336.45 <$350 29 web-cloud ✅ MongoDB, AI vector search
MSFT $414.19 <$400 - ai-scan, mag7 ⚠️ ABOVE zone (was $390 on 02/03, +6.2%)
CRSP $50.17 <$50 - biotech ⚠️ ABOVE zone (was $51.31 entry on 02/03)
AS $36 $30-38 41 consumer ✅ Arc'teryx compounder
TAC ~$12 <$15 - energy ✅ Alberta catalyst, sleeper
AMZN $232.99 <$240 - mag7 📈 DCA opportunity, 10yr compounder
DDOG $118.10 <$130 44 web-cloud 📈 Observability essential, -41% from high
ADBE $272.32 <$300 25 cloud-saas 📈 AI Firefly, profitable anchor
SOFI ~$8 <$10 - ideas 🔍 Pullback, research needed
TEM ~$45 <$50 - ideas 🔍 Pullback, research needed

Sector Rotation Alerts

Signal Trigger What It Means Status
Cloud RSI < 30 All 4 cloud ETFs oversold Capitulation - contrarian entry 🟢 TRIGGERED
SaaS RSI < 20 CRM, INTU, WDAY extreme oversold Profitable leaders crushed 🟢 TRIGGERED
Fed pivot Rate cut language Growth stocks rip ⏳ Watching
10Y below 4% Treasury yield drops Duration assets rally ⏳ Watching

Pending Research Actions

Action Source Priority Status
Deep dive ASX - financials, packaging revenue % nvda-ecosystem HIGH 🔍 Todo
Deep dive AMKR - financials, TSMC relationship nvda-ecosystem HIGH 🔍 Todo
Compare ASX vs AMKR - which is better OSAT? nvda-ecosystem HIGH 🔍 Todo
Decide: IGV vs WCLD vs both cloud-etfs HIGH 🔍 Todo
Enter starter position (50% allocation) cloud-etfs HIGH 🔍 Todo
Validate ANET vs InfiniBand (your domain knowledge) nvda-ecosystem MEDIUM 🔍 Todo
Research MRVL (custom ASICs + Celestial AI) nvda-ecosystem MEDIUM 🔍 Todo
Watch INTC packaging news nvda-ecosystem MEDIUM 🔍 Todo
Deep dive CEG - nuclear thesis intact? ai-scan MEDIUM 🔍 Todo
Deep dive ALNY - why -15% pullback? biotech-scan LOW 🔍 Todo
Research JEPQ for income allocation etf-universe LOW 🔍 Todo
Deep dive SHOP - e-commerce thesis, AI merchant tools retail MEDIUM 🔍 Todo
Research LULU - men's expansion, international retail MEDIUM 🔍 Todo
Research cattle disease thesis - ZTS, TSN ideas/macro LOW ✅ Done
Monitor Texas screwworm traps - weekly USDA updates ideas/macro MEDIUM 🔍 Todo
Deep dive SNOW - data cloud, OpenAI partnership web-cloud HIGH 🔍 Todo
Deep dive CRSP - Casgevy sales, pipeline biotech HIGH 🔍 Todo
Research SOFI - fintech thesis ideas MEDIUM 🔍 Todo
Research TEM - thesis validation ideas MEDIUM 🔍 Todo

Recent Moves (Decisions Made)

Date Stock Action Price Rationale Outcome
02/03 BE BUY 7 $164.96 Data center power thesis ⏳ Tracking
02/03 WMT BUY 10 $128.08 Consumer strength, AI logistics ⏳ Tracking
01/26 NET BUY 14 $191.11 Edge computing thesis, add to core ⏳ Tracking
01/09 BTC BUY 25 $40.05 Sovereign adoption thesis ⏳ Tracking
01/07 ARKX BUY 19 $32.40 Space thesis ⏳ Tracking

Exit Alerts (For Holdings)

Stock Alert Type Entry Set Date Status
BE $140 Stop-loss (-15%) $164.96 2026-02-03 ⏳ Active
BE $215 Profit target (+30%) $164.96 2026-02-03 ⏳ Active
WMT $109 Stop-loss (-15%) $128.08 2026-02-03 ⏳ Active
WMT $166 Profit target (+30%) $128.08 2026-02-03 ⏳ Active
NET $162 Stop-loss (-15%) $191.11 2026-01-26 ⏳ Active
NET $248 Profit target (+30%) $191.11 2026-01-26 ⏳ Active
BTC $34 Stop-loss (-15%) $40.05 2026-01-09 ⏳ Active
BTC $52 Profit target (+30%) $40.05 2026-01-09 ⏳ Active
ARKX $28 Stop-loss (-15%) $32.40 2026-01-07 ⏳ Active
ARKX $42 Profit target (+30%) $32.40 2026-01-07 ⏳ Active

Archive (Past Alerts & Lessons)

Triggered Alerts

Date Set Date Triggered Stock Alert Entry Outcome Lesson
2026-01-15 2026-02-01 MU $350 Didn't buy Bounced to $438 ❌ MISSED - hesitated

Killed Alerts (No Longer Relevant)

Date Set Date Killed Stock Alert Why Killed
2026-02-03 - VRT $120 ⚠️ Thesis caution - liquid cooling still experimental

Post-Mortems (Simple)

Date Decision What Happened Right/Wrong Lesson
2026-01-15 Waited on MU Thesis right, timing wrong ❌ Wrong Set alerts AND follow through
2026-02-03 AMD "lmao" ROCm shitshow confirmed ✅ Right Trust domain knowledge

Detailed Post-Mortems

2026-01-15: MU Miss

The Setup:

  • HBM thesis was correct - memory bottleneck for NVDA
  • Set mental alert at $300-350 entry zone
  • Price dropped to $320 range

What I Did:

  • Hesitated, waited for "better" entry
  • Never bought

What Happened:

  • MU bounced to $438 (+40%)
  • Missed the entire move

Why I Was Wrong:

  • Thesis was right, but I didn't follow my own entry zone
  • Waiting for perfection when "good enough" was there

Corrective Action:

  • When price hits entry zone AND thesis intact → BUY starter position
  • Don't wait for perfection
  • Set actual alerts, not mental notes

Last Aggregated

Date: 2026-02-04 (refreshed with validated close prices)

Sources

  • 2026-02-03-cloud-etfs
  • 2026-02-03-nvda-ecosystem
  • 2026-02-03-ai-infrastructure
  • 2026-02-02-biotech-scan
  • 2026-02-02-etf-universe
  • 2026-02-02-ai-scan
  • 2026-02-03-web-cloud
  • 2026-02-03-cloud-saas
  • 2026-02-01-biotech
  • 2026-02-01-consumer
  • 2026-02-01-energy
  • 2026-02-01-mag7
  • 2026-02-01-pullback-buys
  • 30d (price validation)

Price truth: validated daily summaries (summaries).