Loop

How is the autopilot doing, what has it done, and what has it learned? The autopilot's report, in that order.

Projection Oct 9, 2026

The autopilot's report. The desk runs its ideas as paper books — no real money trades itself; live execution stays human. Three questions, in order: how is it doing (the trust ladder), what has it done (open calls and their lifecycle), and what has it learned (attribution, you-vs-desk, live experiments). Your own graded decisions live in the Decision Log.

How it's doing · Trust ladder

Books earn trust rungs on completed outcomes — promotion is earned, demotion is automatic. As of the last weekly pass, 2026-10-09.

_autotrade-v2-restricted-1785950079721-64322d45 1 100% +5.0% unmandated

ark-innovation 11 45% -2.5% unmandated

autotrade 10 40% -1.6% unmandated

bench-signals 143 43% -0.6% hold

bench-signals-trail 35 40% -1.4% maturing

buffer-trader 1 0% -0.9% maturing

buffett-13f 6 50% +4.9% unmandated

burry-13f 1 0% -7.6% unmandated

claude-momentum 84 48% -0.4% unmandated

claude-trader 65 48% -0.3% hold

claude-trader-trail 12 42% -6.2% maturing

conviction 28 21% -8.3% unmandated

dca-larry 14 36% 0.0% unmandated

degen 13 54% +0.7% hold

druckenmiller-13f 92 59% +3.6% unmandated

gottheimer-trades 5 60% +16.0% unmandated

mccaul-trades 4 0% -4.5% unmandated

mention-scalper 2 50% 0.0% hold

momentum-trader 3 0% -5.7% maturing

pelosi-trades 24 54% +0.5% unmandated

swing-kid 13 46% -0.1% hold

wasserman-schultz-trades 2 50% +9.0% unmandated

yolo 63 52% +0.5% hold

yolo-insider-probe 3 67% +0.8% hold

jan 1 100% +8.7% unmandated

bench-signals-hold 0 n/a n/a maturing

chaser 0 n/a n/a parked

claude-trader-hold 0 n/a n/a maturing

core70-slice3-ex30-v1 0 n/a n/a maturing

dip-buyer 0 n/a n/a maturing

lag6-cal-v1 0 n/a n/a maturing

short-seller 0 n/a n/a maturing

value-vulture 0 n/a n/a maturing

DIRECTION-SIGNED: negative = bad for the book regardless of side; a sell whose name fell after exit scores positive.

Not yet on the ladder: Robinhood · live — live state on Positions; a book earns a rung after its first weekly pass with scored outcomes.

What it's done · Open calls

Open calls are falsifiable desk stances with setup state, entry and invalidation triggers, a review-by date, and raw return windows.

Entry triggerInvalidation trigger

ASTS pass watching None; a broken long trend that lost a reported spectrum source. Revisit after a base and a close above the 50-day average ($62.85 at the Oct 9 close) The pass is wrong on a close above the 50-day average that holds through the report the provider dates to Nov 9 Nov 13 0.0% to date 0.0% to date

CEG watch watching A pullback that holds above the 200-day average ($286.14 at the Oct 9 close) while RSI cools below 55, then a settled close above $300.40, the October 6 close on the Google agreement A settled close below the 200-day average ($286.14 at the Oct 9 close), or a third-quarter report (expected around Nov 9, provider date) that does not confirm the Google agreement's terms Nov 13 0.0% to date 0.0% to date

LITE watch watching A flag that holds above the 20-day average ($941.73 at the Oct 2 close) while RSI cools below 60, then a close at a new 52-week high A close below the 50-day ($879.03 at the Oct 2 close), or fiscal Q1 2027 revenue below the $1.225B low end of guidance at the report expected around Nov 5 Nov 6 +1.6% to date +1.6% to date

ARKX watch watching after a close back above the 200-day (about $32.41 on 2026-09-29), a close through the $35.85 base pivot; above 35.85 a close below the $30.47 value-area low; below 30.47 Dec 15 +0.9% to date +0.9% to date

DRNZ watch invalidation-flagged a close above both the 200-day (about $24.00 on 2026-09-29) and the $25.32 most-traded price, then a flag that holds above them; above 23.9379 a close below the $19.29 July 29 low, which breaks the base; after an entry, a close back under the 200-day; below 19.29 Dec 11 -8.8% to date -8.8% to date

ACN watch in-zone after the report scheduled for October 1, a close above $197.63, the top of its seven-week base, which sits on the 200-day (about $197.98); above 197.63 a close below the $172.19 support shelf; below 172.19 Oct 23 +18.7% to date +18.7% to date

ADBE pass watching none; revisit on a base and a close above the 200-day (about $262.68 on 2026-09-25) the pass is wrong on a close above the 200-day (about $262.68) Dec 18 +2.9% to date +2.9% to date

AKAM watch invalidation-flagged a flag that holds the $108.28 support shelf, then a close above $126.02 (top of the one-year value area); above 126.02 a close below the $108.28 support shelf; below 108.28 Nov 13 -6.1% to date -6.1% to date

AVGO watch watching a close above the 200-day (about $368.35 on 2026-09-25) that holds for a week; above 368.28470000000016 a close below the $345.49 support shelf; below 345.49 Dec 18 +2.5% to date +2.5% to date

CDNS watch in-zone a pullback that holds the $317.27 support shelf, then a close above $352.55 (top of the one-year value area); above 352.55 a close below the $317.27 support shelf; below 317.27 Nov 6 +8.2% to date +8.2% to date

CRWV watch invalidation-flagged a close above the 200-day (about $92.18 on 2026-09-25) with the $85.64 support shelf intact; above 92.58735 a close below the $85.64 support shelf; below 85.64 Nov 20 -6.3% to date -6.3% to date

FLY pass watching none; down on the year and under the 200-day (about $27.79 on 2026-09-25); revisit after the report calendared for November 11 the pass is wrong on a close above the 200-day (about $27.79) Nov 27 -17.9% to date -17.9% to date

GSAT pass watching none; priced off Amazon's pending merger terms, not a trend the pass is wrong only if the Amazon deal breaks or is re-cut Nov 20 +1.1% to date +1.1% to date

HUBS pass watching none; revisit on a base and a close above the 200-day (about $250.71 on 2026-09-25) the pass is wrong on a close above the 200-day (about $250.71) Nov 13 +6.8% to date +6.8% to date

INTU pass watching none; revisit after weeks of basing above the $262.24 shelf and a close above the 50-day (about $324.65 on 2026-09-25) the pass is wrong on a close above the 50-day (about $324.65) Nov 27 +9.8% to date +9.8% to date

IRDM pass watching none; a merger-arbitrage price set by $27 cash plus Rocket Lab stock, not a trend the pass is wrong only if the Rocket Lab deal breaks or is re-cut Nov 20 -2.6% to date -2.6% to date

NOW watch in-zone after the pullback holds the 50-day (about $125.79 on 2026-09-25), a close back above the 20-day (about $138.75); above 137.34699999999998 a close below the 50-day (about $125.79 on 2026-09-25); below 132.22420000000002 Nov 6 +3.9% to date +3.9% to date

ORCL pass watching none; revisit on a base that reclaims the 200-day (about $164.54 on 2026-09-25) with free cash flow less negative at the December report the pass is wrong on a close above the 200-day (about $164.54) Dec 18 +3.1% to date +3.1% to date

PL pass watching none; revisit on a close above the 50-day (about $20.40 on 2026-09-25) that holds a higher low above the $16.53 shelf the pass is wrong on a close above the 50-day (about $20.40) Dec 18 -1.4% to date -1.4% to date

RKLB watch invalidation-flagged a close above both the 200-day (about $81.09 on 2026-09-25) and the anchored VWAP from the low ($82.22), then a flag that holds above them; above 82.22 a close below the $68.29 volume shelf; after an entry, a close back under the 200-day; below 68.29 Nov 20 -7.8% to date -7.8% to date

SPCX watch in-zone a confirmed close above the $156.87 range high; above 156.87 a close below the $142.58 support shelf; below 142.58 Dec 18 +9.3% to date +9.3% to date

TTD pass watching none; revisit on a close above the 50-day (about $15.11 on 2026-09-25) after the report scheduled for November 5 the pass is wrong on a close above the 50-day (about $15.11) Nov 13 -4.1% to date -4.1% to date

VSAT watch invalidation-flagged pullback in an intact trend: a close back above the 50-day (about $75.29 on 2026-09-25); above 74.8162 a close below the $69.33 support shelf; below 69.33 Nov 20 -1.4% to date -1.4% to date

WDAY watch invalidation-flagged a close back above the 20-day (about $193.30 on 2026-09-25) with the 50-day (about $180.93) intact; a signed take-private agreement ends the trend case; above 189.70250000000004 a close below the 50-day (about $180.93 on 2026-09-25); below 189.19659999999996 Dec 11 -1.5% to date -1.5% to date

ZS watch in-zone the pullback holds $188 and closes back above $198 (the September breakout zone) on lighter volume than 2026-09-25; above 198 a close below $170, the 2026-09-14 breakout-day low; below 170 Dec 4 +21.1% to date +21.1% to date

RSP watch in-zone RSP closes back above its 20-day average ($216.10 on the Sept 23 close) on a session when at least nine of the eleven sector funds close green, with TLT back above its own 20-day ($81.75 on Sept 23); above 211.498 RSP closes below its 200-day average ($205.15 on the Sept 23 close), turning a pullback inside an up year into a broken trend; below 206.22384999999997 Oct 23 +0.8% to date +0.8% to date

DBA watch watching DBA back over its 50-day with RSI above 50 (Sept 18 close $28.15, RSI 41.4, 0.3% under the 50-day), confirmed by a positive food-at-home month in the September CPI on Oct 14 DBA loses its 200-day (4.1% below Friday's close) or the Oct 14 print leaves food at home flat-to-negative again Oct 14 +0.6% to date +0.6% to date

MSTR watch watching Not this print. Strategy would have to hold $137.04 (its 200-day) and $134.95 (its nearest support shelf) through a giveback, with bitcoin above $79,138.49, and cool from Friday's 66.1 momentum reading and +16.9% stretch over its own 20-day average before a flag exists Strategy closes back under $137.04, or bitcoin loses $79,138.49 — either one makes Friday a one-session spike rather than a reclaim Oct 2 +0.3% to date +0.3% to date

SNDK watch watching A new flag and held base, then a close strictly above $1740.00. Friday’s equal close leaves this condition incomplete; require Sandisk-specific NAND pricing and demand support. Failure of the new base, or verified NAND price declines alongside customer inventory accumulation or material order reductions. Sep 30 -4.1% -9.0% to date

AMAT watch in-zone WAIT: close above $489.46 (20-day average); Reclaim/flag plus current orders, customer spending and export-exposure review; dip volume was not light. Price alone cannot authorize BUY.; above 484.1175 Settled close below $407.06 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.; below 434.31890000000004 Sep 11 +10.4% +7.2% to date

LRCX watch in-zone WAIT: close above $312.76 (20-day average); Reclaim/flag plus current orders, memory spending and capacity evidence. Price alone cannot authorize BUY.; above 310.84800000000007 Settled close below $260.90 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.; below 279.1572 Sep 11 +2.5% -0.5% to date

NVDA watch watching WAIT: close above $236.54 (established pivot; preserved predecessor); Settled volume-supported breakout plus fresh supply, margins and customer-demand review. Price alone cannot authorize BUY.; above 236.54 Settled close below $210.57 (50-day average; preserved predecessor) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.; below 222.0773999999999 Sep 11 +4.3% +1.6% to date

TSM watch in-zone WAIT: close above $461.47 (established pivot); Settled volume-supported breakout plus current company capacity, demand and margin review; local flag ceiling was not cleared Friday. Price alone cannot authorize BUY.; above 461.47 Settled close below $372.83 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.; below 391.77045000000015 Sep 11 +8.2% +3.3% to date

WDC watch invalidation-flagged WAIT: close above $468.19 (Sept 4 high; SMA20 already reclaimed); NEW flag plus current allocation, pricing and capacity evidence. Price alone cannot authorize BUY.; above 468.19 Settled close below $372.81 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.; below 405.8988999999999 Sep 11 -15.6% -16.8% to date

BE watch watching holds the 200-day average at $188.51 a weekly close below $188.51 Sep 25 +25.2% +33.1% to date

GDX watch invalidation-flagged the confirming leg, not the broken one — 11.6% above its 200-day on a +62.48% year; a pullback that holds that average is the entry the structure supports a close below its 200-day, which would confirm gold's break Sep 25 -11.3% -10.4% to date

GLD watch invalidation-flagged a close back above the 200-day ($414.79) that holds a full week; below that the break stands and there is no entry failure to reclaim $414.79 alongside GDX losing its own 200-day — metal and miners breaking together is the pattern that matters Sep 4 -7.1% -6.0% to date

MKSI watch in-zone reclaims its 200-day average at $259.70 with RSI back above 45 a weekly close more than 5% below the 200-day Sep 25 +1.5% +3.4% to date

SIL watch invalidation-flagged same shape as GDX — 11.5% above its 200-day on a +75.94% year a close below its 200-day Sep 25 -11.8% -12.4% to date

SLV pass watching n/a — 7.7% below its own 200-day and widening; a reclaim of that average is the first thing that would make it discussable n/a Sep 25 -8.0% -8.7% to date

AGIO watch watching after the current reset prints a higher low, reclaims the 50-day ($35.56) with RSI above 55 and relative volume at least 1.0x; above 33.065599999999996 a settled close below the 200-day ($30.93) before the reclaim breaks this reset; below 31.17680000000001 Sep 24 +4.2% -2.5% to date

DHR watch in-zone after a pullback to the $210.39 volume shelf, holds and turns back above it with RSI in the 55-65 reset band and relative volume at least 1.0x; below 210.39 a settled close below the 200-day ($202.97) breaks the quality-laggard trend structure; below 201.4430499999999 Sep 24 +2.4% +2.2% to date

GDX watch invalidation-flagged the policy-blink bid is real but entries are pullbacks, not +8% days — a hold of the 200-day (~$88) and a pullback toward the 20-day (~$82–85) with RSI off 70 a close below the 200-day (~$88) once the blink rally fades; below 91.1049 Sep 19 -0.9% -8.3% to date

KRE watch invalidation-flagged not a trade — the bank-stress tell the bond-fear feed keeps asserting; regionals are 3.4% lower since August 4, not in a rout a close below the August low (~$75) on the same day HYG loses its 200-day (~$78.35) — then the bond story has become a bank story; below 75 Sep 19 -2.0% -8.0% to date

HYG watch invalidation-flagged not a trade — the tell. Credit at -0.31% from its high while the long bond makes 19-year lows in price is the whole reason equities can ignore this a close below the 200-day (~$78.35): credit stops confirming, and the 2018/2022 playbook (10–22% index drawdown into the yield peak) is live; below 79.8008 Sep 19 -0.4% -2.9% to date

SPY watch watching no new entry — the trend is intact 0.86% off its high; hold it while the 200-day (~$703) and the credit tape hold a close below the 200-day (~$703) with HYG breaking its own 200-day — the rate scare has become an equity event; below 722.9284000000001 Sep 19 0.0% +1.4% to date

TLT watch in-zone the historical equity low arrives AT the yield peak, so the long bond is only worth owning once the peak prints — first sign is TLT reclaiming its 20-day (~$82.60) on a day the news is bad for bonds; above 79.27550000000001 a new price low after the reclaim; the peak was not in Sep 19 +0.8% -4.5% to date

AXON watch invalidation-flagged a pullback that holds the $576.14 shelf or the 20-day ($556.43) a close below the 50-day ($525.63) Sep 30 -17.4% -30.0% to date

ITA pass watching no entry 2.69% off a 52-week high with RSI 64.4; the wrapper prices the primes, not the drone chain a pullback into the $239.75-$243.94 moving-average band forces a re-look — as a defense position, not a drone one Sep 30 -12.2% -17.7% to date

KTOS pass watching no entry while price sits 12.3% below the 200-day ($73.65) with a death cross intact and RSI at 70.9 a base built and held above the 200-day forces a re-look Sep 30 -23.3% -33.1% to date

RCAT pass watching no entry after a +20.85% week that stalled at the anchored VWAP from the low ($12.25) with a death cross intact a base above $12.25 that holds the $10.38 shelf forces a re-look Sep 30 -23.8% -44.7% to date

UMAC watch watching a pullback that bases in $21-$24, where the value-area high ($21.09), 50-day ($22.47) and 20-day ($23.21) converge; never the parabola a close below $18.50, or a third straight quarter of widening operating loss on higher revenue Oct 9 -23.3% -30.9% to date

SLV watch invalidation-flagged the laggard of the complex at 9.8% below its 200-day ($63.76) — a reclaim of that line is what would confirm bullion joining the miners; above 65.77359999999999 loses the 50-day ($56.64), leaving the week a miner-only move; below 57.94339999999998 Sep 11 +0.8% -7.8% to date

CVX watch watching strongest RSI in the upstream cohort (67.2) — hold above the 20-day (~$185.34) to stay constructive loses the 50-day (~$182.75) Sep 11 +2.0% +7.7% to date

HAL avoid watching not a trend-hold candidate yet — wait for a base and a reclaim of the 50-day (~$36.18) before treating any bounce as more than a dead-cat pop n/a — the condition to flip constructive is the 50-day reclaim above; a fresh 52-week low confirms the derate instead Sep 11 +11.6% +0.9% to date

USO watch watching the -5.5% weekly pullback holds above the 20-day (~$121.96) — a normal pullback inside a strong-up trend, not a reversal closes back below the 20-day and takes out the $126.55 support shelf Sep 11 +0.8% +14.7% to date

LEU watch watching first higher low after a clean Jul 29–30 capex read — the −18% month is a beta markdown, and the entry is print-gated, not chart-gated lower lows after capex language holds firm — then the fuel-cycle derate is regime, not beta Aug 8 +8.9% -8.9% to date

CLMT pass watching RSI 83 on 2.7x volume, +165% in a year — parabolic-chaser material, not trend-hold; reopen only on a first pullback that holds $36.99 (20-day) with volume drying up n/a — not owned; wrong if $36.99 holds on the first test and the trend resumes Sep 4 +7.2% +29.9% to date

DK pass watching reopen if it builds a multi-week base above the 20-day ($52.58) and resumes — a small refiner +53% in 30 days and +20% over its own 20-day is the gap, not the setup n/a — not owned; the pass is wrong (and will be scored wrong) if that base forms and the resumption runs without us Sep 4 -0.1% +15.3% to date

MPC watch watching the lane's quality large-cap; interest begins on the first pullback that HOLDS the 20-day ($272.00) after the Aug 4 print validates Q2 margins — at +15% above the 20-day, buying today buys the gap a close below the 50-day ($261.52) breaks the momentum regime and the lane read resets; below 378.9702 Aug 21 +9.5% +44.3% to date

PANW watch watching the lane's strongest structure (-2.7% from its 52-week high, +83% on the year); first pullback that holds the 20-day ($327.50) after this +10% week a close below the 50-day ($283.88) breaks the momentum regime for the lane's leader; below 370.85239999999993 Sep 4 +3.6% +20.1% to date

S watch watching the laggard catching up (+30% in 30 days, still only +9% on the year and -8.6% from its high); after this week's +9.5% the entry is the first pullback that HOLDS the 20-day ($17.39) — chasing 12.5% above it buys the gap a close below the 50-day ($16.85) — the 20 and 50 sit close together here, so a failed hold resolves the read fast; below 22.243599999999997 Sep 10 +8.0% +35.0% to date

SMH watch in-zone the complex switch: first close back above the 50-day ($597.33) after a higher low, confirmed through the 20-day ($610.93); until then every bounce is a bounce inside a downtrend; above 578.2379999999999 a close below Friday's low ($536.81) means the bounce attempt failed and the next leg down is open; below 536.81 Aug 14 +2.2% +8.0% to date

CCJ watch watching washed out at RSI 30 — wait for the $84 shelf to hold and a first higher low; the 50-day (~$105) reclaim is the confirmation, not the entry the $84 shelf fails — then the fuel-cycle unwind has further to run; below 84 Sep 15 +11.2% +2.9% to date

LEU watch in-zone only after a full-quarter base — the enrichment monopoly story is intact but the stock is in a −68%-from-high collapse; a 50-day (~$177) reclaim after a multi-week base is the earliest signal worth acting on; above 166.66260000000003 HALEU contract flow stalls, or the base never forms and lower lows continue Oct 1 +14.0% -8.7% to date

CBRS watch in-zone a close above the post-flush bounce high ($221.30) confirms the higher low and resolves the debut range up — the first clean post-debut base signal, not the open; above 221.3 a finish under the flush low ($160.81) — no base; the debut air pocket is still open; below 160.81 Aug 31 +13.0% -15.2%

MSFT watch in-zone no turn signature yet — interest begins at the 200-day reclaim (~$442) after a base; until then this is a falling mega-cap, not a setup; above 434.0038999999997 a finish under the June 25 low ($352.83) opens a fresh leg down and resets the whole watch; below 352.83 Oct 1 +28.8% +34.4%

ORCL pass watching reopen when the knife stops: the February low ($136) holds on this retest AND a +7% week prints off it — the bottom-pop signature the desk buys, instead of the falling edge it doesn't n/a — not owned; the pass is wrong (and will be scored wrong) if this retest of $136 holds and becomes the durable low Oct 1 +1.9% -3.9%

AXTI pass watching reopen only if it bases above its 200-day (~$42.55) for a full quarter AND revenue inflects — a collapsed 25x parabolic with sub-$100M revenue and operating losses is a lottery aftermath, not a trend n/a — not owned; the pass is wrong if the substrate cycle produces a durable base and profitability Oct 1 +43.6% +35.3%

CIFR pass watching reopen only on revenue inflecting up AND visible de-leveraging of the $4.4B debt stack n/a — not owned; the pass is wrong if hosting revenue ramps against falling leverage Oct 1 -25.1% -33.6%

CORZ pass watching reopen on a recapitalization that restores positive equity with the CoreWeave tenancy intact n/a — not owned Oct 1 -14.3% -33.5%

CRDO buy invalidation-flagged elite fundamentals (33% operating margin on $1.34B FY26 revenue) with the least-damaged tape in the sweep — already flagging under its 20-day; buy the reclaim (~$255.50); above 255.5 a finish under the 200-day (~$160) — until then pullbacks are digestion in an intact uptrend; below 179.2113000000001 Sep 15 -7.1% -19.2%

CRWV pass watching reopen only on a financing regime change — interest expense stabilizing while revenue keeps compounding, and a reclaimed $98–100 (the point-of-control / 200-day cluster) n/a — not owned; the pass is wrong if CRWV re-rates through $100 on improving coverage Oct 1 -3.0% -2.6%

EQT watch in-zone the fundamentals are the best in the sweep (net income nearly quadrupled in two quarters) but the tape trades below its 200-day — watch for the reclaim of the ~$55.60 cluster (50-day, 200-day, one-year VWAP); above 55.6 gas strip rolling over while price stays below the 200-day through the October print Oct 1 -2.7% -2.0%

HUT pass watching reopen on a financed capacity deal that closes the gap between $160M of cash and gigawatt-scale ambitions n/a — not owned; the pass is wrong if the power-first strategy lands funding without heavy dilution Oct 1 -20.3% -17.6%

MXL watch in-zone wire-flagged inflection but already a 4.5x over the year and −16% this week on no news we can find — needs the flag to hold; interest returns above the 20-day (~$91); above 88.875 a finish under the one-year VWAP (~$50.66) unwinds the entire re-rate; below 50.66 Aug 15 -16.6% +22.5%

OKTA pass watching the rotation's confirming leader — but RSI 78 and 3% off its high is chasing; reopen on the first orderly pullback that holds the 50-day n/a — not owned; the pass is a timing pass, not a thesis pass Sep 15 -2.7% +44.5%

WDAY watch watching the earnings proof-point of the rotation (beat + raised subscription guide) but still in a downtrend, 43% off its high — watch for a base; this is a lane signal, not yet an entry the bounce fades below the June low with the lane's 7-day breadth rolling back under 50% Sep 15 +26.6% +30.8%

ZM watch in-zone 2 consecutive quarters of accelerating revenue; base over $92; above 92 revenue still flat through the Q3 FY27 print, or a breakdown below the $77.50 March low; below 77.5 Sep 1 +16.0% +7.1%

STX buy watching own the cleanest un-hyped inflection — Seagate's company-wide GAAP operating margin compounding 23%→32% over four consecutive quarters (fiscal Q4 2025 to Q3 2026) on AI nearline-storage demand; Seagate reports no separate nearline margin Seagate's quarterly GAAP operating margin (operating income ÷ revenue, as filed) fails to rise for two consecutive quarters, or DRAM ASP momentum turns negative (the cycle tell) Sep 1 -5.3% -1.0%

RAW symbol-vs-SPY since the call: for trim/sell calls a negative number means the call worked.

What it's done · Call history

Per-call lifecycle timeline; each chip is date, stance, status, and setup state.

ASTS The Carriers Paid Friday for a Starlink Network Still Years Out

Oct 9 pass open watching

CEG AI Money Bought Running Power Plants and Sold the Build-Out

Oct 9 watch open watching

GEV Micron Is Buyable on a Held Breakout; Most of the Rebound Still Waits

Sep 6 watch open watching Sep 12 watch open review-overdue Sep 14 watch open invalidation-flagged Sep 24 watch open in-zone Oct 9 watch resolved:expired n/a

RKLB Rocket Stocks Bounced Under Their 200-Day Lines; Google's Space TPUs Are a Four-Chip Test

Sep 25 watch open watching Oct 9 watch open invalidation-flagged

VST Power Is Short, the Power Trade Is Down — Both Are Right

Jul 17 watch open watching Jul 23 watch open in-zone Aug 12 watch open invalidation-flagged Oct 6 watch open in-zone Oct 9 watch resolved:hit n/a

RSP The 10-Year Hit 5% and the S&P 500 Barely Noticed Because One Sector Is Holding It Up

Sep 23 watch open watching Oct 6 watch open in-zone Oct 7 watch open watching Oct 8 watch open in-zone

WDC Micron Is Buyable on a Held Breakout; Most of the Rebound Still Waits

Sep 6 watch open watching Sep 8 watch open in-zone Oct 8 watch open invalidation-flagged

AVGO Beaten-Down Software Has Split: ServiceNow, Workday and Zscaler Turned, While Intuit, Adobe and Oracle Keep Falling

Sep 25 watch open watching Oct 1 watch open invalidation-flagged Oct 6 watch open in-zone Oct 7 watch open watching

DRNZ Drone Stocks Fell Through a Summer of Bullish Policy, and No Drone ETF Is Above Its 200-Day Yet

Sep 30 watch open watching Oct 7 watch open invalidation-flagged

NVDA Micron Is Buyable on a Held Breakout; Most of the Rebound Still Waits

Sep 6 watch open watching Sep 12 watch open review-overdue Sep 23 watch open watching Oct 5 watch open in-zone Oct 7 watch open watching

WDAY Beaten-Down Software Has Split: ServiceNow, Workday and Zscaler Turned, While Intuit, Adobe and Oracle Keep Falling

Sep 25 watch open watching Oct 6 watch open invalidation-flagged

AXON The Defense Trade Is at Its Highs. The Drone Trade Is Half Off.

Aug 15 watch open watching Oct 5 watch open invalidation-flagged

CDNS Beaten-Down Software Has Split: ServiceNow, Workday and Zscaler Turned, While Intuit, Adobe and Oracle Keep Falling

Sep 25 watch open watching Oct 5 watch open in-zone

GDX Gold Broke Its Own Breakdown Level. The Miners Didn't Follow.

Aug 28 watch open watching Oct 5 watch open invalidation-flagged

GLD Gold Broke Its Own Breakdown Level. The Miners Didn't Follow.

Aug 28 watch open watching Sep 5 watch open review-overdue Sep 23 watch open watching Oct 5 watch open invalidation-flagged

SIL Gold Broke Its Own Breakdown Level. The Miners Didn't Follow.

Aug 28 watch open watching Oct 5 watch open invalidation-flagged

LITE Optics Is Pricing the Laser Shortage, Not the Module Cycle

Oct 2 watch open watching

MKSI The Layers That Feed AI Compute All Trade Below Their Averages. Compute Doesn't.

Aug 28 watch open watching Oct 2 watch open in-zone

SPCX Rocket Stocks Bounced Under Their 200-Day Lines; Google's Space TPUs Are a Four-Chip Test

Sep 25 watch open watching Oct 2 watch open in-zone

TSM Micron Is Buyable on a Held Breakout; Most of the Rebound Still Waits

Sep 6 watch open watching Sep 12 watch open review-overdue Sep 23 watch open watching Oct 2 watch open in-zone

ACN Beaten-Down Software Has Split: ServiceNow, Workday and Zscaler Turned, While Intuit, Adobe and Oracle Keep Falling

Sep 25 watch open watching Oct 1 watch open in-zone

NOW Beaten-Down Software Has Split: ServiceNow, Workday and Zscaler Turned, While Intuit, Adobe and Oracle Keep Falling

Sep 25 watch open watching Oct 1 watch open in-zone

AKAM Beaten-Down Software Has Split: ServiceNow, Workday and Zscaler Turned, While Intuit, Adobe and Oracle Keep Falling

Sep 25 watch open watching Sep 30 watch open invalidation-flagged

ARKX Rocket Stocks Gave Back Their September Bounce: Still Repairing, Not Taking Off

Sep 30 watch open watching

VSAT Rocket Stocks Bounced Under Their 200-Day Lines; Google's Space TPUs Are a Four-Chip Test

Sep 25 watch open watching Sep 29 watch open invalidation-flagged

CRWV Beaten-Down Software Has Split: ServiceNow, Workday and Zscaler Turned, While Intuit, Adobe and Oracle Keep Falling

Sep 25 watch open watching Sep 28 watch open invalidation-flagged

GDX Treasury Blinked. Brittle Isn't Broken.

Aug 19 watch open watching Sep 21 watch open review-overdue Sep 23 watch open watching Sep 28 watch open invalidation-flagged

SLV The Break Arrives, and It Arrives Overbought

Aug 8 watch open watching Sep 12 watch open review-overdue Sep 23 watch open watching Sep 28 watch open invalidation-flagged

ZS Beaten-Down Software Has Split: ServiceNow, Workday and Zscaler Turned, While Intuit, Adobe and Oracle Keep Falling

Sep 25 watch open watching Sep 28 watch open in-zone

ADBE Beaten-Down Software Has Split: ServiceNow, Workday and Zscaler Turned, While Intuit, Adobe and Oracle Keep Falling

Sep 25 pass open watching

FLY Rocket Stocks Bounced Under Their 200-Day Lines; Google's Space TPUs Are a Four-Chip Test

Sep 25 pass open watching

GSAT Rocket Stocks Bounced Under Their 200-Day Lines; Google's Space TPUs Are a Four-Chip Test

Sep 25 pass open watching

HUBS Beaten-Down Software Has Split: ServiceNow, Workday and Zscaler Turned, While Intuit, Adobe and Oracle Keep Falling

Sep 25 pass open watching

INTU Beaten-Down Software Has Split: ServiceNow, Workday and Zscaler Turned, While Intuit, Adobe and Oracle Keep Falling

Sep 25 pass open watching

IRDM Rocket Stocks Bounced Under Their 200-Day Lines; Google's Space TPUs Are a Four-Chip Test

Sep 25 pass open watching

ORCL Beaten-Down Software Has Split: ServiceNow, Workday and Zscaler Turned, While Intuit, Adobe and Oracle Keep Falling

Sep 25 pass open watching

PL Rocket Stocks Bounced Under Their 200-Day Lines; Google's Space TPUs Are a Four-Chip Test

Sep 25 pass open watching

TTD Beaten-Down Software Has Split: ServiceNow, Workday and Zscaler Turned, While Intuit, Adobe and Oracle Keep Falling

Sep 25 pass open watching

AMAT Micron Is Buyable on a Held Breakout; Most of the Rebound Still Waits

Sep 6 watch open watching Sep 12 watch open review-overdue Sep 23 watch open watching Sep 24 watch open in-zone

CCJ Power Is Short, the Power Trade Is Down — Both Are Right

Jul 17 watch open watching Sep 16 watch open review-overdue Sep 23 watch open watching

CLMT Refining: the coverage miss, read properly — crack-spread lane, trigger-or-pass

Jul 18 pass open watching Sep 5 pass open review-overdue Sep 23 pass open watching

CVX Oil Quietly Reaccelerates While Gold Sits Out the Unwind

Aug 1 watch open watching Sep 12 watch open review-overdue Sep 23 watch open watching

DK Refining: the coverage miss, read properly — crack-spread lane, trigger-or-pass

Jul 18 pass open watching Sep 5 pass open review-overdue Sep 23 pass open watching

HAL Oil Quietly Reaccelerates While Gold Sits Out the Unwind

Aug 1 avoid open watching Sep 12 avoid open review-overdue Sep 23 avoid open watching

LEU What to Own When Intelligence Is Free

Jul 19 watch open watching Aug 10 watch open review-overdue Sep 23 watch open watching

MPC Refining: the coverage miss, read properly — crack-spread lane, trigger-or-pass

Jul 18 watch open watching Aug 22 watch open review-overdue Sep 23 watch open watching

OKTA The Anti-AI Trade Is Turning: Cloud Software Is the Emerging Rotation

Jul 8 pass open watching Sep 16 pass open review-overdue Sep 23 pass open watching

PANW Cybersec entry conditions: the rotation-IN lane gets its written triggers

Jul 18 watch open watching Sep 5 watch open review-overdue Sep 23 watch open watching

S Cybersec entry conditions: the rotation-IN lane gets its written triggers

Jul 18 watch open watching Sep 11 watch open review-overdue Sep 23 watch open watching

SPY The Bond Market Is Screaming. Stocks Aren't Listening — Yet.

Aug 18 watch open watching Sep 21 watch open review-overdue Sep 23 watch open watching

STX The Memory Supercycle Is Broader — and More Dangerous — Than the Narrative Admits

Jul 8 buy open watching Sep 2 buy open review-overdue Sep 23 buy open watching

USO Oil Quietly Reaccelerates While Gold Sits Out the Unwind

Aug 1 watch open watching Sep 12 watch open review-overdue Sep 23 watch open watching

WDAY The Anti-AI Trade Is Turning: Cloud Software Is the Emerging Rotation

Jul 8 watch open watching Sep 16 watch open review-overdue Sep 23 watch open watching

ABCL ABCL — watch above $8.45

Jul 9 watch open watching Jul 26 watch open invalidation-flagged Aug 10 watch open in-zone Sep 22 watch resolved:invalidated n/a

ARM The K3 Scare Is Not the R1 Scare

Jul 17 watch open watching Jul 20 watch open watching Jul 22 watch open in-zone Sep 22 watch resolved:hit n/a

BNO The Bond Market Is Screaming. Stocks Aren't Listening — Yet.

Aug 18 watch open watching Sep 8 watch open invalidation-flagged Sep 22 watch resolved:invalidated n/a

CEG Micron Is Buyable on a Held Breakout; Most of the Rebound Still Waits

Sep 6 watch open watching Sep 9 watch open invalidation-flagged Sep 22 watch resolved:invalidated n/a

COHR Micron Is Buyable on a Held Breakout; Most of the Rebound Still Waits

Sep 6 watch open watching Sep 8 watch open in-zone Sep 14 watch open invalidation-flagged Sep 18 watch open in-zone Sep 22 watch resolved:failed n/a

DUK Power Is Short, the Power Trade Is Down — Both Are Right

Jul 17 watch open watching Aug 10 watch open invalidation-flagged Sep 22 watch resolved:invalidated n/a

DUST The Break Arrives, and It Arrives Overbought

Aug 8 pass open watching Sep 12 pass open review-overdue Sep 22 pass resolved:closed n/a

ELAN Weekly money-loop pass — 2026-07-19

Jul 19 watch open watching Aug 8 watch open invalidation-flagged Sep 22 watch resolved:invalidated n/a

EWY Treasury Blinked. Brittle Isn't Broken.

Aug 19 pass open watching Sep 21 pass open review-overdue Sep 22 pass resolved:expired n/a

GDX The Break Arrives, and It Arrives Overbought

Aug 8 watch open watching Sep 12 watch open review-overdue Sep 22 watch resolved:closed n/a

GLD Oil Quietly Reaccelerates While Gold Sits Out the Unwind

Aug 1 watch open watching Sep 12 watch open review-overdue Sep 22 watch resolved:closed n/a

GLD Gold's Second-Best Day of the Year Is Not a Safe-Haven Story

Aug 6 watch open watching Aug 19 watch open in-zone Sep 22 watch resolved:closed n/a

GLD The Break Arrives, and It Arrives Overbought

Aug 8 watch open watching Aug 19 watch open in-zone Sep 22 watch resolved:closed n/a

GLW Micron Is Buyable on a Held Breakout; Most of the Rebound Still Waits

Sep 6 watch open watching Sep 8 watch open in-zone Sep 14 watch open invalidation-flagged Sep 21 watch open in-zone Sep 22 watch resolved:failed n/a

IREN Micron Is Buyable on a Held Breakout; Most of the Rebound Still Waits

Sep 6 watch open watching Sep 8 watch open in-zone Sep 14 watch open invalidation-flagged Sep 18 watch open in-zone Sep 22 watch resolved:failed n/a

KGS The Unwind Is Washing Out Our Picks-and-Shovels Lanes While Their Fundamentals Inflect Up

Jul 8 buy open watching Jul 28 buy open invalidation-flagged Sep 22 buy resolved:invalidated n/a

META META — watch above $665

Jul 9 watch open watching Jul 12 watch open in-zone Jul 30 watch open invalidation-flagged Sep 14 watch open in-zone Sep 22 watch resolved:failed n/a

MRVL Micron Is Buyable on a Held Breakout; Most of the Rebound Still Waits

Sep 6 watch open watching Sep 8 watch open in-zone Sep 22 watch resolved:hit n/a

MU Micron Is Buyable on a Held Breakout; Most of the Rebound Still Waits

Sep 6 buy open in-zone Sep 22 buy resolved:hit n/a

NBIS Micron Is Buyable on a Held Breakout; Most of the Rebound Still Waits

Sep 6 watch open watching Sep 8 watch open in-zone Sep 22 watch resolved:hit n/a

NTLA NTLA — watch above $18.50

Jul 9 watch open watching Jul 13 watch open invalidation-flagged Sep 22 watch resolved:invalidated n/a

NUGT The Break Arrives, and It Arrives Overbought

Aug 8 pass open watching Sep 12 pass open review-overdue Sep 22 pass resolved:closed n/a

PL PL: the focus name the desk never read — candidate question answered

Jul 18 watch open watching Jul 26 watch open invalidation-flagged Sep 22 watch resolved:invalidated n/a

PSX Refining: the coverage miss, read properly — crack-spread lane, trigger-or-pass

Jul 18 watch open watching Aug 22 watch open review-overdue Sep 22 watch resolved:closed n/a

PSX Oil Quietly Reaccelerates While Gold Sits Out the Unwind

Aug 1 watch open watching Sep 12 watch open review-overdue Sep 22 watch resolved:closed n/a

PSX The Bond Market Is Screaming. Stocks Aren't Listening — Yet.

Aug 18 pass open watching Sep 21 pass open review-overdue Sep 22 pass resolved:expired n/a

SIL The Break Arrives, and It Arrives Overbought

Aug 8 watch open watching Aug 24 watch open in-zone Sep 22 watch resolved:hit n/a

SIMO Memory Splits: the Shortage Story Is Intact, the Single Names Are Not

Aug 8 watch open watching Sep 8 watch open in-zone Sep 22 watch resolved:hit n/a

SKHY SK Hynix Lists on Nasdaq as SKHY: the HBM Monopoly's Record ADR, the Wonky Seoul Tape, and Why It's US-Listing at All

Jul 8 watch open watching Jul 18 watch open review-overdue Jul 29 watch open invalidation-flagged Aug 4 watch open in-zone Sep 22 watch resolved:hit n/a

SMH AI-semi derate: the tape says sector derate not election lull — turn signature armed

Jul 18 watch open watching Jul 28 watch open invalidation-flagged Sep 22 watch open in-zone

SNDK Memory Splits: the Shortage Story Is Intact, the Single Names Are Not

Aug 8 pass open watching Sep 12 pass open review-overdue Sep 22 pass resolved:closed n/a

SNDK Micron Is Buyable on a Held Breakout; Most of the Rebound Still Waits

Sep 6 watch open in-zone Sep 7 watch open watching Sep 9 watch open in-zone Sep 22 watch resolved:hit n/a

SOXX Micron Is Buyable on a Held Breakout; Most of the Rebound Still Waits

Sep 6 watch open watching Sep 8 watch open in-zone Sep 22 watch resolved:hit n/a

STX AI-semi derate: the tape says sector derate not election lull — turn signature armed

Jul 18 watch open watching Jul 22 watch open in-zone Sep 22 watch resolved:closed n/a

STX Memory Splits: the Shortage Story Is Intact, the Single Names Are Not

Aug 8 watch open watching Aug 26 watch open in-zone Sep 22 watch resolved:hit n/a

TER The Unwind Is Washing Out Our Picks-and-Shovels Lanes While Their Fundamentals Inflect Up

Jul 8 buy open watching Aug 4 buy open in-zone Sep 22 buy resolved:hit n/a

UUP The Break Arrives, and It Arrives Overbought

Aug 8 watch open watching Sep 12 watch open review-overdue Sep 17 watch open invalidation-flagged Sep 22 watch resolved:invalidated n/a

VLO Refining: the coverage miss, read properly — crack-spread lane, trigger-or-pass

Jul 18 watch open watching Aug 22 watch open review-overdue Sep 22 watch resolved:closed n/a

VLO Oil Quietly Reaccelerates While Gold Sits Out the Unwind

Aug 1 watch open watching Sep 12 watch open review-overdue Sep 22 watch resolved:closed n/a

VLO The Bond Market Is Screaming. Stocks Aren't Listening — Yet.

Aug 18 pass open watching Sep 21 pass open review-overdue Sep 22 pass resolved:expired n/a

VRT Micron Is Buyable on a Held Breakout; Most of the Rebound Still Waits

Sep 6 watch open watching Sep 8 watch open in-zone Sep 10 watch open invalidation-flagged Sep 22 watch resolved:failed n/a

DBA The War's Energy Shock Has Reached Freight and Rates, Not Food

Sep 18 watch open watching

MSTR Crypto's Whole Week Was Friday, And Credit Never Confirmed It

Sep 18 watch open watching

CRDO The Unwind Is Washing Out Our Picks-and-Shovels Lanes While Their Fundamentals Inflect Up

Jul 8 buy open watching Jul 9 buy open in-zone Sep 14 buy open invalidation-flagged

DHR Biotech capital-cycle expression ladder — 2026-08-24

Aug 24 watch open watching Sep 1 watch open in-zone Sep 10 watch open invalidation-flagged Sep 14 watch open in-zone

LRCX Micron Is Buyable on a Held Breakout; Most of the Rebound Still Waits

Sep 6 watch open watching Sep 8 watch open in-zone

SNDK Memory’s Next Test Is Customer Consumption

Sep 7 watch open watching

AMAT The Names With the Best Structure Have the Worst Entries

Sep 5 buy open watching Sep 6 buy resolved:closed n/a

CEG Power Is Short, the Power Trade Is Down — Both Are Right

Jul 17 watch open watching Jul 22 watch open in-zone Sep 6 watch resolved:closed n/a

CEG What to Own When Intelligence Is Free

Jul 19 watch open watching Aug 10 watch open review-overdue Sep 6 watch resolved:closed n/a

COHR The Names With the Best Structure Have the Worst Entries

Sep 5 buy open watching Sep 6 buy resolved:closed n/a

GEV What to Own When Intelligence Is Free

Jul 19 watch open watching Aug 10 watch open review-overdue Sep 6 watch resolved:closed n/a

GLW The Names With the Best Structure Have the Worst Entries

Sep 5 buy open watching Sep 6 buy resolved:closed n/a

IREN The Names With the Best Structure Have the Worst Entries

Sep 5 watch open watching Sep 6 watch resolved:closed n/a

LRCX The Names With the Best Structure Have the Worst Entries

Sep 5 buy open watching Sep 6 buy resolved:closed n/a

MRVL The Names With the Best Structure Have the Worst Entries

Sep 5 buy open watching Sep 6 buy resolved:closed n/a

MU The Memory Supercycle Is Broader — and More Dangerous — Than the Narrative Admits

Jul 8 buy open watching Sep 2 buy open review-overdue Sep 6 buy resolved:closed n/a

MU The K3 Scare Is Not the R1 Scare

Jul 17 watch open watching Aug 10 watch open review-overdue Sep 6 watch resolved:closed n/a

MU AI-semi derate: the tape says sector derate not election lull — turn signature armed

Jul 18 watch open watching Jul 22 watch open in-zone Jul 29 watch open invalidation-flagged Aug 12 watch open in-zone Sep 6 watch resolved:closed n/a

MU Memory Splits: the Shortage Story Is Intact, the Single Names Are Not

Aug 8 watch open watching Aug 24 watch open in-zone Sep 6 watch resolved:closed n/a

NBIS The AI-Compute Landlords Are All On Sale — Only Two Balance Sheets Deserve the Dip

Jul 8 buy open watching Jul 12 buy open in-zone Aug 13 buy TRIGGER FIRED ON 2026-08-12 CLOSE - NBIS opened above the old ~$217 reclaim at $226.00 and closed $259.20, 16.8% above its $221.83 SMA50, on a +34.14% day. The condition fired, but the gap skipped the intended pullback entry; the 2026-08-13 deep dive supersedes the setup with a $220-235 held-retest/base zone and a $216 setup stop. n/a Aug 15 buy open in-zone Sep 6 buy resolved:closed n/a

NVDA The K3 Scare Is Not the R1 Scare

Jul 17 watch open watching Aug 10 watch open review-overdue Sep 6 watch resolved:closed n/a

NVDA AI-semi derate: the tape says sector derate not election lull — turn signature armed

Jul 18 watch open watching Jul 22 watch open in-zone Sep 6 watch resolved:closed n/a

NVDA The Names With the Best Structure Have the Worst Entries

Sep 5 watch open watching Sep 6 watch resolved:closed n/a

SNDK The Memory Supercycle Is Broader — and More Dangerous — Than the Narrative Admits

Jul 8 watch open watching Sep 2 watch open review-overdue Sep 6 watch resolved:closed n/a

SOXX The Names With the Best Structure Have the Worst Entries

Sep 5 buy open watching Sep 6 buy resolved:closed n/a

TSM The Names With the Best Structure Have the Worst Entries

Sep 5 buy open watching Sep 6 buy resolved:closed n/a

VRT The Names With the Best Structure Have the Worst Entries

Sep 5 buy open watching Sep 6 buy resolved:closed n/a

WDC The Memory Supercycle Is Broader — and More Dangerous — Than the Narrative Admits

Jul 8 buy open watching Sep 2 buy open review-overdue Sep 6 buy resolved:closed n/a

WDC Memory Splits: the Shortage Story Is Intact, the Single Names Are Not

Aug 8 watch open watching Sep 6 watch resolved:closed n/a

WDC The Names With the Best Structure Have the Worst Entries

Sep 5 buy open watching Sep 6 buy resolved:closed n/a

EQT The Unwind Is Washing Out Our Picks-and-Shovels Lanes While Their Fundamentals Inflect Up

Jul 8 watch open watching Sep 2 watch open in-zone

AVAV The Defense Trade Is at Its Highs. The Drone Trade Is Half Off.

Aug 15 watch open watching Aug 28 watch resolved:invalidated n/a

BE The Layers That Feed AI Compute All Trade Below Their Averages. Compute Doesn't.

Aug 28 watch open watching

SLV Gold Broke Its Own Breakdown Level. The Miners Didn't Follow.

Aug 28 pass open watching

TLN Power Is Short, the Power Trade Is Down — Both Are Right

Jul 17 watch open watching Jul 26 watch open invalidation-flagged Jul 31 watch INVALIDATED - TLN $334.10 has broken BELOW both the $360 support and the ~$371 200-day (current SMA200 $366.38), RSI 39.4, down trend, downtrend regime, -7.4% 30D, -25.97% off 52wk high (research/market-engine/data/summaries/ai-power.json, 2026-07-31 close). The hold condition this call was tracking has failed. n/a Aug 15 watch open invalidation-flagged Aug 28 watch resolved:invalidated n/a

VKTX Biotech capital-cycle expression ladder — 2026-08-24

Aug 24 watch open watching Aug 28 watch resolved:invalidated n/a

WULF The AI-Compute Landlords Are All On Sale — Only Two Balance Sheets Deserve the Dip

Jul 8 watch open watching Jul 29 watch open invalidation-flagged Aug 28 watch resolved:invalidated n/a

HYG The Bond Market Is Screaming. Stocks Aren't Listening — Yet.

Aug 18 watch open watching Aug 25 watch open invalidation-flagged

AGIO Biotech capital-cycle expression ladder — 2026-08-24

Aug 24 watch open watching

APLD The AI-Compute Landlords Are All On Sale — Only Two Balance Sheets Deserve the Dip

Jul 8 watch open watching Jul 15 watch open invalidation-flagged Jul 17 watch 🔴 STOPPED/INVALIDATED — APLD $25.79, down, RSI 26.6 (oversold), closed under the $28 invalidation (1-yr VWAP $28.92, -10.8% vs VWAP). Price-based invalidation triggered; entry-interest level ($34.21) never reached. n/a Aug 24 watch resolved:invalidated n/a

CGNX The Unwind Is Washing Out Our Picks-and-Shovels Lanes While Their Fundamentals Inflect Up

Jul 8 buy open watching Jul 12 buy open in-zone Jul 17 buy ✅ HIT (07-11), holding — CGNX $64.07, weak-down, RSI 47.5, -3.3% vs SMA20 ($66.24) — pulled back below the 20-day again but stays +27.9% above the ~$49 200-day invalidation. Thesis intact, just consolidating post-trigger. n/a Aug 24 buy resolved:hit n/a

IREN The AI-Compute Landlords Are All On Sale — Only Two Balance Sheets Deserve the Dip

Jul 8 buy open watching Jul 16 buy open invalidation-flagged Jul 17 buy 🔴 STOPPED/INVALIDATED — IREN $33.62, down, RSI 30.8, regime collapse. Closed under the $35 invalidation level; the 07-07 bounce never became a base and the reclaim of $44.50 was never reached. n/a Aug 24 buy resolved:invalidated n/a

LASR The Unwind Is Washing Out Our Picks-and-Shovels Lanes While Their Fundamentals Inflect Up

Jul 8 buy open watching Jul 9 buy open in-zone Jul 17 buy ✅ HIT (07-11), holding — LASR $69.25, weak-down, RSI 51.7, +4.8% vs SMA20 ($66.08), still above the $65.50 trigger level. Pulled back mildly from the $72.05 07-11 read but well clear of the ~$51 invalidation cluster. n/a Aug 24 buy resolved:hit n/a

MDB The Anti-AI Trade Is Turning: Cloud Software Is the Emerging Rotation

Jul 8 buy open watching Jul 17 buy 🔴 STOPPED/INVALIDATED — MDB $312.33, strong-down, death cross confirmed, now below all three MAs (-6.9%/-6.3%/-6.4% vs SMA20/50/200). The "above all 3 MAs" buy condition broke and the ~$320 50-day invalidation (now $333.4) was breached. n/a Aug 24 buy resolved:invalidated n/a

KRE Treasury Blinked. Brittle Isn't Broken.

Aug 19 watch open watching Aug 20 watch open invalidation-flagged

TLT The Bond Market Is Screaming. Stocks Aren't Listening — Yet.

Aug 18 watch open watching Aug 19 watch open in-zone

GD the end of armor again

Aug 15 pass open watching

ITA The Defense Trade Is at Its Highs. The Drone Trade Is Half Off.

Aug 15 pass open watching

KTOS The Defense Trade Is at Its Highs. The Drone Trade Is Half Off.

Aug 15 pass open watching

RCAT The Defense Trade Is at Its Highs. The Drone Trade Is Half Off.

Aug 15 pass open watching

RTX the end of armor again

Aug 15 pass open watching

UMAC The Defense Trade Is at Its Highs. The Drone Trade Is Half Off.

Aug 15 watch open watching

CBRS CBRS — candidate base, not a base

Jul 9 watch open watching Aug 4 watch open in-zone

LEU Power Is Short, the Power Trade Is Down — Both Are Right

Jul 17 watch open watching Aug 3 watch open in-zone

MSFT MSFT: no signal. ORCL: falling knife.

Jul 9 watch open watching Jul 30 watch open in-zone

ZM Zoom (ZM): The Anthropic-Stake Re-Rating vs a Flat-Revenue Cash Cow

Jul 8 watch open watching Jul 16 watch open in-zone

ABCL the great company shit stock turn abcl and ntla go on the board with triggers

Jul 9 watch open watching

MXL The Unwind Is Washing Out Our Picks-and-Shovels Lanes While Their Fundamentals Inflect Up

Jul 8 watch open watching Jul 9 watch open in-zone

NTLA the great company shit stock turn abcl and ntla go on the board with triggers

Jul 9 watch open watching

ORCL MSFT: no signal. ORCL: falling knife.

Jul 9 pass open watching

AXTI The Unwind Is Washing Out Our Picks-and-Shovels Lanes While Their Fundamentals Inflect Up

Jul 8 pass open watching

CIFR The AI-Compute Landlords Are All On Sale — Only Two Balance Sheets Deserve the Dip

Jul 8 pass open watching

CORZ The AI-Compute Landlords Are All On Sale — Only Two Balance Sheets Deserve the Dip

Jul 8 pass open watching

CRWV The AI-Compute Landlords Are All On Sale — Only Two Balance Sheets Deserve the Dip

Jul 8 pass open watching

HUT The AI-Compute Landlords Are All On Sale — Only Two Balance Sheets Deserve the Dip

Jul 8 pass open watching

What it's learned · Attribution mix

Attributions are human-labeled causes for notable wins or misses; total attributed rows: 198.

within-plan 114

research 60

execution 15

discipline 9

What it's learned · You vs desk

Followed and overrode counts come from the decision ledger; override win rate is the one-month score for decisions taken against advice.

_autotrade-v2-restricted-1785950079721-64322d45 1 followed 0 overrode override n/a

autotrade 3 followed 1 overrode override 100%

bench-signals 41 followed 24 overrode override 53%

bench-signals-trail 8 followed 3 overrode override 100%

buffer-trader 2 followed 0 overrode override n/a

claude-momentum 20 followed 1 overrode override 0%

claude-trader 25 followed 8 overrode override 67%

claude-trader-hold 1 followed 0 overrode override n/a

claude-trader-trail 6 followed 1 overrode override n/a

conviction 34 followed 6 overrode override 0%

core70-slice3-ex30-v1 4 followed 0 overrode override n/a

dca-larry 2 followed 0 overrode override n/a

degen 13 followed 5 overrode override 100%

gottheimer-trades 5 followed 0 overrode override n/a

lag6-cal-v1 0 followed 1 overrode override n/a

mccaul-trades 3 followed 1 overrode override 0%

mention-scalper 1 followed 1 overrode override 100%

momentum-trader 4 followed 2 overrode override n/a

swing-kid 14 followed 3 overrode override 0%

wasserman-schultz-trades 2 followed 0 overrode override n/a

yolo 27 followed 4 overrode override 100%

yolo-insider-probe 2 followed 1 overrode override 100%

jan 1 followed 0 overrode override n/a

What it's learned · Live experiments

Each row is an A/B fork: one variant book versus its parent, with an out-of-sample readout date and a predeclared hypothesis.

Hypothesis

bench-signals-trail bench-signals Jul 8 Oct 8 trailing stop (15% give-back, armed at the old +20% cap) beats the fixed profit cap on the same entries

claude-trader-trail claude-trader Jul 8 Oct 8 trailing stop (15% give-back, armed at the old +30% cap) beats the fixed profit cap on the same entries

bench-signals-hold bench-signals Sep 26 Jan 4 '27 holding every entry (no profit exit, the same -15% stop) beats the +20% profit cap on the same entries

claude-trader-hold claude-trader Sep 26 Jan 4 '27 holding every entry (no profit exit or RSI trim, the same stop family) beats the +30% profit cap on the same entries