breaking out 1.4% off its 52-week high after a +11.9% week — a +39% three-month run, not a one-week pop
trend-hold
Daily
Market Snapshot
Aug 17 market closeSector RotationRotation underway
Technology has led the market over the past 30 days. Money is rotating into Utilities — +2.5% this week, even after lagging earlier in the month. Basic Materials is cooling off — 0.0% this week after a strong month.
On relative strength, money is rotating out of Basic Materials & Healthcare and into Utilities & Real Estate — a ranking shift, not a measured dollar transfer.
What to watch
If Utilities holds this week's pace, the rotation is real; watch for Basic Materials to keep cooling.
Market Internalsas of 2026-08-17
20D Breadth73%% of names above their 20-day avg
50D Breadth66%% of names above their 50-day avg
200D Trend70%% of names above their 200-day avg
7D Adv / Dec661 / 406participation this week
RSI Pressure61 overbought / 4 oversoldRSI above 70 vs below 30
Today's Board
· desk-read ✓Confirmed-breakout entries for 6–48 month holds. Buy-side rows signal timing, not valuation; sell-side rows flag weakening names.
Buy side · entries
breaking out at a fresh 52-week high after a +11.6% week — a +34% three-month run, not a one-week pop
breaking out 2.4% off its 52-week high after a +5.2% week
coming into play — 20.4% off its 52-week high with the tape turning up (+0.7% this week)
coming into play — 32.3% off its 52-week high with the tape turning up (+2.9% this week)
trend-hold
Sell side · what's weak
breaking down — -7.2% this week, 49.9% off its 52-week high and still falling
breaking down — -8.0% this week, 58.2% off its 52-week high and still falling
breaking down — -8.9% this week, 32.1% off its 52-week high and still falling
Departed: COGT (was a fresh setup, Aug 15 ) · CRS (was a fresh setup, Aug 15 ) · PANW (was breaking out, Aug 15 ) · ZS (was a fresh setup, Aug 15 ) · EWZ (was breaking down, Aug 14 ) · LITE (was in its buy zone, Aug 14 ) · TTD (was breaking down, Aug 14 ) · ANET (was breaking out, Aug 13 )
More entries (31)
coming into play — 16.2% off its 52-week high with the tape turning up (+1.6% this week) · in its $280 buy zone
watch-grade call — 3 of 5 bells lit (research, trigger, tape); trigger at $221.30
trend-hold
watch-grade call — 3 of 5 bells lit (research, trigger, tape); trigger at $177
trend-hold
in its $30.00–34.50 buy zone
in its $260–280 buy zone
in its $42 buy zone
in its $550–580 buy zone
in its $52 buy zone
vwap reclaim — new this week
no setup today — drifting down, -0.8% this week, 11.2% off its 52-week high
no setup today — still in trend, -6.0% this week, 9.0% off its 52-week high
no setup today — still in trend, +14.1% this week, 1.4% off its 52-week high
no setup today — drifting down, +1.4% this week, 40.0% off its 52-week high
trend-hold
ARQQ+8.9% coming into play
no setup today — moving sideways, +8.9% this week, 60.7% off its 52-week high
no setup today — drifting down, -3.8% this week, 15.8% off its 52-week high
no setup today — moving sideways, +32.5% this week, 62.7% off its 52-week high
no setup today — still in trend, +0.7% this week, 6.7% off its 52-week high
INFQ+14.4% retreating
no setup today — drifting up, +14.4% this week, 51.2% off its 52-week high
IONQ+10.2% retreating
no setup today — still in trend, +10.2% this week, 44.7% off its 52-week high
LAES+13.2% retreating
no setup today — drifting up, +13.2% this week, 66.7% off its 52-week high
no setup today — moving sideways, -5.0% this week, 12.7% off its 52-week high
trend-hold
no setup today — still in trend, +17.5% this week, 19.4% off its 52-week high
no setup today — still in trend, -1.1% this week, 7.6% off its 52-week high
no setup today — still in trend, +14.4% this week, 24.6% off its 52-week high
no setup today — under pressure, +5.6% this week, 52.9% off its 52-week high
trend-hold
QBTS+3.4% retreating
no setup today — under pressure, +3.4% this week, 55.4% off its 52-week high
QUBT+1.0% retreating
no setup today — drifting up, +1.0% this week, 65.0% off its 52-week high
RGTI+5.8% retreating
no setup today — drifting up, +5.8% this week, 67.9% off its 52-week high
no setup today — still in trend, +44.3% this week, 24.1% off its 52-week high
no setup today — under pressure, +2.5% this week, 32.0% off its 52-week high
XNDU+6.7% retreating
no setup today — under pressure, +6.7% this week, 73.5% off its 52-week high
Filtered by the desk read (3) — in range, judged not worth your attention
- ABCL Summary confirms RSI 81.4 in a parabolic regime after a +169.23% three-month run, with price already ~33% past the $8.45 trigger — a pump-shaped chase, not a breakout confirmation.
- HIVE Summary confirms the $3.07 level and a +17.24% weekly pop, but the stock is still -60.84% off its 52-week high in a weak-down trend with no flag or breakout — a pump-shaped bounce in a bitcoin miner.
- KEEL Summary confirms the $3.77 level and a +11.21% weekly pop, but it's still -48.85% off its 52-week high in a weak-down trend with no confirmation — the same pump-shaped bottom-pop pattern in a low-priced speculative name.
Feed
Briefs, sources, research, and signals
Memory Gets Paid, Activewear Gets Marked Down
The index went nowhere and everything under it moved — and Monday extended the pattern rather than breaking it. SPY closed Monday at $772.67, down 0.47% on the day and off 0.05% over seven sessions, RSI 61.6, still tagged breakout on the regime feed. Underneath that flat surface, last week produced exactly two moves that came with evidence: energy's sector-wide vault, and memory's synchronized run behind Sandisk's SEC-filed quarter and $14 billion repurchase authorization. Both kept going Monday. The energy fund added another 1.08% to a 69.7 RSI — confirmation stretching toward exhaustion — and memory refused to rest: Sandisk rose another 8.88% to $1,786.85 (a +44.29% seven-session move), Micron closed through the thousand-dollar line at $1,011.75, and the DRAM basket's week reached +21.7%.
- CBRSbeatReported the quarter ending 2026-06-30: revenue $180M, diluted EPS -$2.98, net income -$451M (SEC filing).→
- JDbeatReported EPS $6.29 versus analyst consensus of $5.61 (+12.0%).→
- LUNRmissReported EPS $-0.16 versus analyst consensus of $-0.07 (-129.0%).→
- EATmissReported EPS $3.07 versus analyst consensus of $3.09 (-0.5%).→
Show all 10 write-upsShow fewer prints
- LQDAmissReported EPS $0.74 versus analyst consensus of $0.84 (-11.5%).→
- MSGSbeatReported EPS $1.16 versus analyst consensus of $0.63 (+84.1%).→
- TEinlineReported EPS $-0.10 versus analyst consensus of $-0.10 (+1.4%).→
- MRXbeatReported EPS $1.64 versus analyst consensus of $1.36 (+20.4%).→
- WYFIbeatReported EPS $-0.17 versus analyst consensus of $-0.40 (+56.2%).→
- ALTinlineReported EPS $-0.12 versus analyst consensus of $-0.12 (+4.0%).→
VolatilityVIX15.19CALM1d +6.6%no fire-sale trigger
Rotation35 in/15 outExpandCollapse
Each side counts the desk's tracked theme watchlists (70 ranked) by 30-day median relative strength vs SPY — shown in RS points.
Frozen snapshot · as of 2026-08-17Full strip →
Washout Turn Scan
69 washout turns across 82 watchlists — deep-drawdown names (≥25% off the 52wk high, under 5% vs SMA200) with both trailing windows positive. …
Reading
69 washout turns across 82 watchlists — deep-drawdown names (≥25% off the 52wk high, under 5% vs SMA200) with both…
Over the years, Google has been improving its original 2D Torus Inter-Chip-Interconnect (ICI) network topology introduced with TPUv2, later extended to a 3D Torus starting with TPUv4 and v5p. (8-part thread.)
Same-day technical thread on the TPU interconnect lineage - the physical-layer detail behind the custom-silicon vs GPU debate, and context for the optical/ai-infra lane's read on where scale-up networks go next.
Consolidating some recent bullish points for memory: 1. All 2027 DRAM & HBM capacity at Samsung, SK hynix & Micron sold out; Kioxia can only fill 40-50% of demand per FundaAI, with hyperscalers 'begging' for supply (Digitimes). 2. SNDK investor day NAND commentary. (Thread; 176 likes.)
A tidy consolidation of the memory-supercycle case the week after Sandisk's +35% filed-buyback week: sold-out 2027 capacity claims across all three DRAM makers. Attributed to FundaAI/Digitimes - claims to verify against primary sources, but squarely on the desk's #1 lane.
Demand for Chinese chips is skyrocketing: Chinese integrated circuit industry revenue jumped +22% YoY in 2025, to a record $245 billion. Since 2020, Chinese chip industry sales have nearly doubled. As a result, China now accounts for ~6% of the global semiconductor market.
The cartographer number of the day: domestic Chinese IC revenue nearly doubled since 2020. Context for every export-control debate and for the China-baskets selloff the desk has been tracking without a driver - the domestic substitution engine is not slowing.
APP: talked to a former AppLovin employee over the weekend - notes on how the ad model compares to Meta and Google and where the moat actually sits. (Thread; 680 likes.)
Qualitative channel check on a consider-board name from a followed account: former-employee color on whether AppLovin's targeting edge survives Meta/Google competition. Use the ping, verify the claims - it is one person's view of a former employer.
JUST IN: ANTHROPIC'S REVENUE RUN-RATE HAS PASSED $65 BILLION AHEAD OF ITS IPO. The company hit that figure by the end of July, up more than sevenfold from where it ended last year, and shared it with investors as part of a regular update, per Bloomberg.
The single loudest AI-demand datapoint of the day: a $65B run-rate hit by end of July, shared with investors ahead of the IPO. Direct fuel for the ai-mega-ipo liquidity-regime thesis - the listing everyone is positioning around now has a revenue base to price.
NKE
Thesis: Franchise in decline, not yet a turn: FY26 revenue flat, margins compressed, and the tape at multi-year lows below the $40 volume floor - quarantine until price reclaims the $42.40 POC/50-day cluster on volume. …
builds on finance.yahoo.com
Monster Scan
482 stocks found across 82 watchlists (48 parabolic, 80 monster, 76 strong, 182 secular, 96 climbers)
Reading
482 stocks found across 82 watchlists (48 parabolic, 80 monster, 76 strong, 182 secular, 96 climbers) Parabolic (60%+…
LULU
Thesis: The market is pricing a broken premium-growth model: 9x trailing with guided-flat revenue, Q1 operating margin halved by tariffs and markdowns, and a founder proxy fight — closer to a washout turn than NKE, but confirmation, not cheapness, is the entry. …
builds on newyorkjournalamerican.com
Lazarus Scan
Fallen-quality WATCH list graded 0-5 on the reversal signal. Watch only — entry on confirmation (>=3/5 waking, buy zone = stage-2), never on cheapness.
Reading
Fallen-quality WATCH list graded 0-5 on the reversal signal. Watch only — entry on confirmation (>=3/5 waking, buy zone…
The End of Armor, Again
In April and May, at the Hohenfels training grounds in Germany, a Ukrainian drone regiment repeatedly wiped out an American armored brigade. The Wall Street Journal reported the details on August 12: roughly 3,500 US personnel, built around the 3rd Armored Brigade Combat Team of…
EPD — swing-kid buy
Rationale: 20-day reclaim +2.31% on 1.53x volume, strong-up, golden cross, stacked over 20/50/200, RSI 62.6, 30d +5.22% vs SPY +2.85%; stop 5% under, trail to breakeven at +3% Price: 38.90 Shares: 89.974293 Sources - Tape/price authority:.
RKLB (Refresh)
Thesis: Rocket Lab is still the clearest public #2 to SpaceX — Electron flying, Neutron pre-flight but now landing its first dedicated launch contract, and a Space Systems business that just took on a transformative, unclosed acquisition of Iridium Communications …
RDDT: A Real Catalyst, an Unconfirmed Reclaim
Thesis: Reddit is GAAP-profitable with revenue growth decelerating from the high-60s to the low-60s (YoY, quarterly) but still strong, and Friday's volume-backed pop to the 200-day moving average is tied to a scheduled, mechanical demand event …
VolatilityVIX14.25CALM1d -2.6%no fire-sale trigger
Rotation24 in/23 outExpandCollapse
Each side counts the desk's tracked theme watchlists (70 ranked) by 30-day median relative strength vs SPY — shown in RS points.
Frozen snapshot · as of 2026-08-14Full strip →
Energy's 17-Point Week, and Four Moves Nobody Can Explain
The Read The index went nowhere and everything under it moved. VOO closed Friday at $713.61, RSI 66.0, a second straight week tagged breakout — and up all of +0.41% over the week. …
CME and Silicon Data will list GPU-rental futures on October 5
NYMEX-listed, cash-settled against Silicon Data's H100/B200 hourly rental indexes: one contract per month of rental expense, pending regulatory review. If these get liquidity, AI compute gets a public reference price, and every neocloud contract gets a benchmark to trade against.
VICR - Vicor Corporation Deep Dive
Conviction: Medium (was Speculative; Q1 2026 print upgraded it) Status: Research-watch — not held, not yet sized > 2026-07-31 tape note: VICR $207.37 (+7.94% vs $192.12), RSI 39.4 (warmed from 33). …
Cbrs Four Bell Post Print Convergence — Flow Signal
CBRS now carries four of five desk bells after its Q2 print while the July post-flush confirmation above 221.30 remains cleared. This is a deep-dive refresh trigger, not a fresh entry: the board marks the move as already extended through the trigger.
Unusual Machines' Revenue Is Real Now. Its Profits Are Still Marks.
The Story Right Now Unusual Machines closed Friday at $34.06 after a +25.04% single session — the largest one-day move in the 22-name drone-defense book — on 15,895,000 shares, a relative volume of 4.31x and $541.4M of dollar volume (2026-08-14 close; …
U Deep Dive
Editorial Note: U at $30.89 RSI 63.1 has extended the orderly digestion flagged at June 16 into a fresh leg higher. At 06/16, U was at $28.06 RSI 51.6, hugging SMA20 from just below. …
TEAM Deep Dive
Editorial Note: TEAM at $88.86 RSI 53.9 has stabilized back above SMA20 ($84.18, +5.6%) and roughly flat vs SMA50 ($88.17, +0.8%), a firmer tape than the June 16 refresh's post-bounce digestion (then $87.95, RSI 46.5, -6.7% below SMA20). …
Reddit, Inc. (RDDT)
Editorial Note: RDDT at $175.39, RSI 54.8, +5.5% above SMA20 ($166.19), +10.23% 30D, +21.52% 3M, -38.01% from 52wk high ($282.95). Since the May 29 refresh ($176, RSI 63.3, +11.1% above SMA20), the price is essentially flat (-0.3%) while RSI has cooled from 63.3 to 54.8 …
POWI - Power Integrations Deep Dive
Conviction: Medium Status: Researching > 2026-07-31 tape note: POWI $60.71 (+2.55% vs $59.20), RSI 37.1 (warmed from 32). 7D -4.33% (moderated from -20.42%), 30D -24.37% (moderated from -25.03%), 3M -16.99% (deepened from -14.84%). …
POET Technologies
Real photonics company. Pre-meaningful-revenue. Story-stock valuation. POET has the Optical Interposer™ (silicon photonics platform integrating lasers + photonics + electronics on a single substrate) and won ECOC 2025 "Most Innovative" award. …
Palantir's Q2 Ends the Deceleration Argument — Now the Tape Has to Agree
Conviction: Medium · Status: Research/analysis only — advisory, no trade Editorial frame: the contrarian short case (Michael Burry's publicly disclosed 13F stance) against the AIP growth case — resolved this evening by the Q2 print, in the growth case's favor Basis note. Trend, RSI and moving-average figures are computed on the Monday 2026-08-03 settled close ($125.65). Q2 results printed after that close (5:00 PM ET); reported figures come from the company's press release and are labeled as such. The ~+12% after-hours move is an indication, not a settled price — every confirmation test in this file is written against settled closes.
ORCL Deep Dive
Editorial Note: ORCL at $148.53 RSI 29.8 has experienced a catastrophic week — down -15.35% in 7D and -22.22% in 30D, now -57.04% from the 52wk high. This is not the "most ambiguous of the three funding names" framing from the June 22 read …
Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS)
Conviction: Speculative Status: Researching — not held, watching > 2026-07-31 tape note: NVTS $10.86 (+8.49% vs $10.01), RSI 37.1 (warmed from 31.5). 7D -0.55% (moderated from -21.92%), 30D -34.30% (turned negative from +687.00%), 3M -37.77% (deepened from -35.34%). …
NVDA Deep Dive
Editorial Note: NVDA at $192.53 RSI 37.9 is the cleanest AI-infra entry setup in the cohort this week. The stock has pulled back -7.28% in 7D and -9.33% in 30D, but the golden cross remains firmly intact and the 3M return of +15.07% confirms the Blackwell ramp thesis is still…
NTR Deep Dive
Editorial Note: NTR at $60.98 RSI 28.8 has crossed into oversold territory for the first time in this profile series. The June 16 read was RSI 37.1 (near-oversold); we now have RSI 28.8 — technically oversold by the standard sub-30 threshold. …
MSFT Deep Dive
Editorial Note: MSFT at $372.97 RSI 40.8 is the broken-cohort read — death cross confirmed, regime "downtrend," and the stock has now lost -32.85% from its 52wk high. The June 16 read at $393.83 noted the death cross risk "re-entering the frame" …
MPWR - Monolithic Power Systems Deep Dive
Conviction: Medium Status: Researching (not held) > Prices as of the Friday 2026-07-24 close. Prior note: the 2026-06-22 entry used the 2026-06-18 close (06-19 Juneteenth holiday, 06-22 unpublished). …
MDT Deep Dive
Editorial Note: MDT at $81.32 RSI 57 has staged a notable recovery from the May 29 lows ($73.81, RSI 30.5). RSI moved from near-oversold territory (30.5) to a neutral-to-bullish 57 — a dramatic turnaround. …
VolatilityVIX14.25CALM1d -2.6%no fire-sale trigger
Rotation24 in/23 outExpandCollapse
Each side counts the desk's tracked theme watchlists (70 ranked) by 30-day median relative strength vs SPY — shown in RS points.
Frozen snapshot · as of 2026-08-14Full strip →
LOW Deep Dive
Editorial Note: LOW at $224.02 RSI 56 has staged a meaningful recovery from the May 29 lows. RSI moved from 37.1 to 56 — out of the near-oversold zone and now in neutral-to-bullish territory. Price is +4.2% above SMA20 ($215.04), a reversal from being -3.4% below SMA20 in May. …
LITE - Lumentum Holdings Deep Dive
Conviction: High Status: Researching > 2026-07-31 tape note: LITE $713.94 (+9.51% vs $651.93), RSI 45.4 (warmed from 37.5). 7D -6.43% (moderated from -22.16%), 30D -10.89% (moderated from -23.43%), 3M -24.84% (deepened from -24.05%). …
LASR - nLIGHT Inc. Deep Dive
Conviction: High Status: Holding (claude-momentum, $3K at $69.86) > 2026-07-31 tape note: LASR $68.80 (+8.69% vs $63.30), RSI 51.2 (warmed from 44.2). 7D -1.74% (moderated from -15.86%), 30D +2.75% (turned positive from -2.68%), 3M -3.07% (deepened from -2.57%). …
builds on nlight.net
ISRG Deep Dive
Editorial Note: ISRG at $417.07 RSI 44.1 — marginal improvement from May 29 ($424.64, RSI 40.0) but the overall trend remains negative. -2.93% over 7D and -5.19% over 30D. -13.61% over 3M. Price is -1.3% below SMA20 ($422.48), essentially hugging the moving average from below. …
IQV Deep Dive
Editorial Note: IQV at $179.17 RSI 52 — a modest pullback from May 29 ($182.21, RSI 61.8). -6.15% over 7D but +3.68% over 30D; price is now just +0.6% above SMA20 ($178.18), essentially at the moving average. RSI 52 is neutral …
INTU Deep Dive
Editorial Note: INTU at $280.99 RSI 34.3 — still in strong-down trend and approaching oversold territory. -6.99% over 7D and -30.3% over 30D. -38.63% over 3M. Price is -10.1% below SMA20 ($312.66) and -65.47% from the 52wk high — a catastrophic drawdown from the highs. …
INDA - India ETF Quick Note
Conviction: Low (speculative recovery) Status: Researching > 2026-07-31 tape note: INDA $49.80 (+0.85% vs $49.38), RSI 58.8 (warmed from 55.1). 7D +3.71% (accelerated from +1.23%), 30D +1.20% (accelerated from +0.41%), 3M +1.38% (accelerated from +0.71%). …
IFNNY — Infineon Technologies AG (ADR)
Editorial Note: The Blackwell winner that quietly became the AI power-infrastructure compounder. Infineon took ~60–70% of GB200 PMIC share with Delta Electronics on the Vertical Power Delivery (VPD) architecture, shipped its first 300mm GaN customer samples in Q4 2025, and just…
IBM Deep Dive
Editorial Note: IBM at $270.81 RSI 52.3 — a significant pullback from the May 29 overbought extreme ($297.8, RSI 80.8). -4.59% over 7D and -18.54% from the 52wk high signals the mean-reversion the prior note flagged. …
HUBS Deep Dive
Editorial Note: HUBS at $182.85 RSI 38.8, 🟡 approaching oversold — a significant deterioration from the $220.63 RSI 54.7 read on 2026-05-29. Price is now -11.4% below SMA20 ($206.49), a sharp move deeper into breakdown territory. …
GOOGL Deep Dive
Editorial Note: The June 25 dip has round-tripped back to the entry trigger. GOOGL $357.18, RSI 47.2 — up from $340.85 / RSI 35.3 on 06-25, no longer oversold. Price is now sitting almost exactly on the 20-day ($357.88, −0.2%) …
FUBO Deep Dive
Editorial Note: FuboTV. 🟡 RSI 41.7, strong-down. $9.28, -6.2% below SMA20 ($9.89). +0.41% 7D, -1.07% 30D, -33.9% 3M, -83.62% from 52wk high. Continued structural deterioration — price has declined from $10.09 on 2026-05-29 to $9.28 today. …
DELL Deep Dive
Editorial Note: DELL at $404.08 RSI 65.1, pulling back from the extreme RSI 89.4 read in May. Price is now +11.2% above SMA20 ($363.29) — still elevated but no longer at the +61.9% vs SMA20 extreme seen on 2026-05-29. +4.78% 7D, +69.76% 30D, +164.9% 3M. …
DDOG Deep Dive
Editorial Note: Datadog. RSI 57.7, 🟡 neutral — cooling significantly from the extreme RSI 87.8 overbought read on 2026-05-29. Price $231.11 is -1.1% below SMA20 ($233.77), right in consolidation territory. +0.36% 7D, +10.67% 30D, +79.34% 3M. …
CRM Deep Dive
Editorial Note: Salesforce. RSI 30.5, strong-down, regime "collapse." This week CRM was a primary funding source for the down-stack rotation — the market sold "AI monetized in SaaS" and rotated into silicon/equipment/power. …
CF Industries (CF)
Date: 2026-08-14 | Price: $118.30 | RSI: 49.1 | Market Cap: ~$19.0B (as of 2026-08-14 at $118.30 × ~161M shares per the latest clean filed count)
BYDDY Deep Dive
Editorial Note: BYD. RSI 28.8, weak-down approaching oversold. Price dropped further from $11.58 to $10.62 since May 29 — -8.3% in the interim. -7.1% below SMA20 ($11.43). -37.79% from 52wk high. -19.48% on 3M, -11.13% on 30D. …
BRBR - BellRing Brands Deep Dive
Conviction: Medium Status: Researching > 2026-07-31 tape note: BRBR $12.39 (-9.30% vs $13.66), RSI 48.8 (cooled from 64.1). 7D -4.32% (turned negative from +7.90%), 30D -7.19% (turned negative from +10.34%), 3M -27.97% (deepened from -22.12%). …
builds on bellring.com
BNTX Deep Dive
Editorial Note: BioNTech mRNA. RSI 48.1, up slightly from 45.9 on 06/16. Price ticked up +2.2% to $91.49 (from $89.50), but the trend label has shifted from "weak-down" to "strong-down" with a death cross now flagged (golden cross false) …
BE Deep Dive
Prices at the Friday July 24 close. > Editorial Note: BE printed the move flagged as a risk on June 22: "the late, highest-beta leg of the rotation... BE gives back the most when the bid rotates back to compute." At $244.61, RSI 43, the stock is down -25.6% from the 06/22 read…
AVGO Deep Dive
Editorial Note: AVGO at $399.97 RSI 53.7 has resolved the SMA200 test flagged on 06/26 in the bulls' favor — price held at that test ($360.01 vs $365.02 on 06/26) and has since recovered +9.6% to $399.97, reclaiming SMA20 ($382.58, +4.5%) and pushing well above SMA200…
AeroVironment Doubled Its Revenue and Posted a $265 Million Net Loss in FY2026
Attribution note, upfront: every operating metric in this piece that is not a filed financial statement figure — the $1.84 adjusted quarterly EPS, the 1.4 book-to-bill, the $1.2B funded backlog, the $2.7B bookings, the $286M adjusted EBITDA, the FY2027 guidance range, the…
ARM Deep Dive
Editorial Note: ARM at $323.39 RSI 47.9 has continued grinding lower since the 06/26 read ($334.27, RSI 48.4) — down another -3.3%, with RSI essentially flat at the neutral midpoint. …
AOSL — Alpha & Omega Semiconductor Deep Dive
Conviction: Speculative-to-Low (high-asymmetry, high-volatility) Status: Researching — not held in any account, not currently in any watchlist (coverage gap) > 2026-07-31 tape note: AOSL $31.74 (+10.02% vs $28.85), RSI 43.1 (warmed from 35.5). …
AMZN Deep Dive
Editorial Note: AMZN at $245.34 RSI 51 has resolved the SMA200 test flagged on 06/26 in the bulls' favor — price held at that test ($232.77 vs $232.69 on 06/26) and has since recovered +5.4% to $245.34, reclaiming both SMA20 ($240.19, +2.1%) and pulling further above SMA200…
AAPL Deep Dive
Editorial Note: AAPL at $315.32 RSI 63 has fully reversed the late-June quality-dip flush — up +11.1% since the 06/26 read ($283.78, RSI 41.5) and now only -0.66% from its 52-week high, effectively back at the highs. …
Washout Turn Scan
85 washout turns across 82 watchlists — deep-drawdown names (≥25% off the 52wk high, under 5% vs SMA200) with both trailing windows positive. …
Reading
85 washout turns across 82 watchlists — deep-drawdown names (≥25% off the 52wk high, under 5% vs SMA200) with both…
Viks Newsletter — where copper and optics still contradict each other
A fresh physics-down field read from OCP APAC on where rack connectivity remains copper and where bandwidth, reach, and power force optics. It is useful for testing the optical-supercycle boundary conditions instead of assuming every link converts at once.
$COHR's Q4 FY26 earnings were another strongly positive print. Revenue reached $2.05B, up 13.3% QoQ and 34% YoY, or 42% YoY on a pro forma basis. Non-GAAP gross margin reached 40.2%, while operating margin expanded from 20.3% to 21.8%. Non-GAAP EPS increased 74% YoY to $1.74. The key point is that strong revenue growth continues to translate into meaningful operating leverage. The strength was increasingly concentrated in AI infrastructure. Datacenter & Communications revenue reached $1.615B, up 18.6% QoQ and 59% YoY on a pro forma basis, and now represents 79% of total revenue. This makes Coherent increasingly an AI connectivity company rather than a diversified industrial photonics story. Q1 FY27 guidance remains very strong. Revenue guidance of $2.2B to $2.4B implies roughly another 12% sequential increase at the midpoint, while non-GAAP gross margin is expected at 39.5% to 41.5% and EPS at $1.85 to $2.05. More importantly, Coherent is expanding well beyond traditional pluggable transceivers. Its existing growth engines include 1.6T, 3.2T and 6.4T transceivers, ZR/ZR+ DCI, transport and optical components. New growth platforms include OCS, CPO/NPO, multi-rail optical transport and thermal solutions, which Coherent estimates could add more than $20B of incremental SAM by 2030 on top of its existing $50B+ opportunity. OCS is already beginning to generate revenue, with CPO/NPO expected to follow in H2 2026 and multi-rail in H1 2027. Capacity expansion is equally important. Coherent remains on track to double internal InP output by year-end and more than double it again by 2027. Its 6-inch InP platform is producing EMLs, CW lasers and photodiodes with higher yields than its 3-inch lines. This suggests that Coherent is positioning itself not only for higher transceiver volumes, but for a much broader optical architecture shift spanning lasers, silicon photonics, CPO and next-generation in-rack connectivity.
A useful, explicitly secondary synthesis of Coherent’s quarter: AI infrastructure is becoming the revenue center while internal InP output remains the upstream capacity question. Read it as a map back to the company call, not as primary authority; it directly informs the optical-supercycle constraint watch.
Bloomberg — Chicago joins the data-center moratorium push
Chicago’s mayor is seeking a temporary data-center moratorium and new development rules. This is a second live state/local siting constraint after New York: useful evidence that power and permitting scarcity can raise the value of existing capacity while slowing greenfield delivery.
Nebius Surged 34% as Contract Economics Improved—Now the 5 GW Build Has to Deliver
Thesis: Nebius proved demand and operating leverage, but the Aug. 12 gap priced in execution before the 5 GW build exists; wait for a held retest or base, do not chase the print. Verdict: intact-but-priced; conviction medium. …
Monster Scan
488 stocks found across 82 watchlists (43 parabolic, 78 monster, 74 strong, 190 secular, 103 climbers)
Reading
488 stocks found across 82 watchlists (43 parabolic, 78 monster, 74 strong, 190 secular, 103 climbers) Parabolic (60%+…
Monster Discover
New discoveries: 5 | Already tracked: 86
Reading
New discoveries: 5 | Already tracked: 86 TIER 1 — PARABOLIC (60%+ above SMA200)
VolatilityVIX14.63CALM1d +0.6%no fire-sale trigger
Rotation21 in/24 outExpandCollapse
Each side counts the desk's tracked theme watchlists (70 ranked) by 30-day median relative strength vs SPY — shown in RS points.
Frozen snapshot · as of 2026-08-13Full strip →
Lazarus Scan
Fallen-quality WATCH list graded 0-5 on the reversal signal. Watch only — entry on confirmation (>=3/5 waking, buy zone = stage-2), never on cheapness.
Reading
Fallen-quality WATCH list graded 0-5 on the reversal signal. Watch only — entry on confirmation (>=3/5 waking, buy zone…
- LITEbeatLumentum reported after Tuesday's close (Aug 11): EPS of $3.23 against the $2.97 analyst consensus — an 8.8% beat, per the desk's earnings-consensus tracking.→
- CRWVbeatCoreWeave reported Q2 2026 after Tuesday's close: revenue $2.575B, up 112% year over year; adjusted EBITDA $1.51B, up 101%, for a 59% adjusted EBITDA margin; revenue backlog of $104B; 1.5 GW of active power against 3.7 GW contracted; and more than $25B of new customer commitments added in early Q3 — per the amitisinvesting same-day earnings summary, which fr...→
- SMCIbeatSuper Micro's fiscal Q4/full-year 2026 print is confirmed to have happened — the company's own newsroom carries "Supermicro Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results" in tonight's pull, and same-day market-close coverage treated SMCI as one of the day's earnings stories — but NO per-line actuals (EPS/revenue/guide) landed in tonigh...→
- CRCLCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass did not include it.→
Show all 37 write-upsShow fewer prints
- EATmissReported EPS $3.07 versus analyst consensus of $3.09 (-0.5%).→
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- LQDAmissReported EPS $0.74 versus analyst consensus of $0.84 (-11.5%).→
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- TEinlineReported EPS $-0.10 versus analyst consensus of $-0.10 (+1.4%).→
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- POETCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass did not include it.→
- ATEXbeatCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass did not include it.→
- WYFIbeatReported EPS $-0.17 versus analyst consensus of $-0.40 (+56.2%).→
- LEGNbeatCOVERAGE GAP — Legend Biotech's print date has passed and tonight's targeted pull returned only quote/aggregator pages (no actuals, no reaction pieces).→
- DNNPRINT PENDING ACTUALS — Denison's scheduled print produced no earnings coverage in tonight's pull.→
- ERASmissReported EPS $-0.14 versus analyst consensus of $-0.11 (-25.1%).→
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- MRXbeatReported EPS $1.64 versus analyst consensus of $1.36 (+20.4%).→
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- ATAIbeatReported EPS $-0.09 versus analyst consensus of $-0.11 (+19.4%).→
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- ALTinlineReported EPS $-0.12 versus analyst consensus of $-0.12 (+4.0%).→
- MAZEmissReported EPS $-0.76 versus analyst consensus of $-0.70 (-9.2%).→
- AGROmissCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass did not include it.→
- RRCOVERAGE GAP — tonight's pull for RR (Richtech Robotics) is dominated by an entity collision: the lead item is Rolls-Royce's first-half beat (same "RR" shorthand, different company), and the rest are aggregator pages.→
- IMSRbeatCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass did not include it.→
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The photonics desk's COHR scorecard: $2.05B at the top of guide
Coherent printed Q4 revenue of $2.05B, up 34% year over year and at the very top of its own guide, per @crux_capital_'s same-day read — and the account graded the print against the pre-earnings checklist it published hours before (6-inch InP ramp, gross-margin path toward 42%, the 1.6T transceiver ramp, the $4B+ OCS opportunity). A public scorecard paired with the print makes the optical thesis's next legs named and checkable — and with LITE's OCS update a day earlier, the lane's big earnings are two for two, with CIEN and NOK called out as read-throughs.
The Tape Pays Surprise, Not Results: Nebius +34%, Cerebras −14%, Same Headline
Two AI-compute companies beat expectations on the same day. One closed up 34%; the other lost 14% after hours. The difference wasn't the results — it was what the market had already paid for before the report. …
Monster Scan
479 stocks found across 81 watchlists (43 parabolic, 76 monster, 69 strong, 191 secular, 100 climbers)
Reading
479 stocks found across 81 watchlists (43 parabolic, 76 monster, 69 strong, 191 secular, 100 climbers) Parabolic (60%+…
Monster Discover
New discoveries: 2 | Already tracked: 91
Reading
New discoveries: 2 | Already tracked: 91 TIER 1 — PARABOLIC (60%+ above SMA200)
VolatilityVIX14.55CALM1d -4.8%no fire-sale trigger
Rotation23 in/20 outExpandCollapse
Each side counts the desk's tracked theme watchlists (69 ranked) by 30-day median relative strength vs SPY — shown in RS points.
Frozen snapshot · as of 2026-08-12Full strip →
TQQQ — degen buy
Rationale: QQQ's back to strong-up at RSI 57 above its 20-day and TQQQ itself just ripped +2.11% reclaiming strong-up — the slot that died on a trend flip refills now that the trend flipped back, not before. Price: 74.60 Shares: 268.096515
How Venezuela Lost Citgo: The 18-Year Collection Job
A US court just finished selling Venezuela's crown-jewel American asset out from under it — three refineries moving roughly 800,000 barrels a day — to pay for mines and oil fields the country seized almost two decades ago. The December 2025 sale order is final and unappealable; …
- CRWVCoreWeave reported Q2 2026 after Tuesday's close: revenue $2.575B, up 112% year over year; adjusted EBITDA $1.51B, up 101%, for a 59% adjusted EBITDA margin; revenue backlog of $104B; 1.5 GW of active power against 3.7 GW contracted; and more than $25B of new customer commitments added in early Q3 — per the amitisinvesting same-day earnings summary, which fr...→
- RKLBinlineCOVERAGE GAP — Rocket Lab was scheduled to report after Monday's close; tonight's pulls carry only previews ("What Wall Street Expects Ahead of August 10 Earnings", noting a ~41% rebound off the late-July low into the print) and no post-print actuals.→
- SMCISuper Micro's fiscal Q4/full-year 2026 print is confirmed to have happened — the company's own newsroom carries "Supermicro Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results" in tonight's pull, and same-day market-close coverage treated SMCI as one of the day's earnings stories — but NO per-line actuals (EPS/revenue/guide) landed in tonigh...→
- RIOTmissCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print was scheduled for a date that has now passed.→
Show all 45 write-upsShow fewer prints
- ASTSmissAST SpaceMobile's Q2 fell short of analyst expectations and the stock dropped on the print.→
- HIMSmissHims & Hers reported Q2 after Monday's close (Aug 10): a loss of $0.40 per share — wider than consensus — against revenue up 3.8% year over year, with revenue and guidance described as stronger than expected.→
- ACHRbeatCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass (~25 marquee/tracked symbols) did not include it.→
- VSTmissReported EPS $0.76 versus analyst consensus of $1.63 (-53.4%).→
- OKLOCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print was scheduled for a date that has now passed.→
- PLUGbeatCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print was scheduled for a date that has now passed.→
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- ALMCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass (~25 marquee/tracked symbols) did not include it.→
- LEGNbeatCOVERAGE GAP — Legend Biotech's print date has passed and tonight's targeted pull returned only quote/aggregator pages (no actuals, no reaction pieces).→
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- CAMTbeatCamtek printed a clean quarter: non-GAAP EPS of $0.81 in line with estimates, revenue of $128.1M beating by about $1.0M, and a next-quarter outlook initiated alongside the print.→
- AMBQbeatCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass did not include it.→
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- BKKTmissCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass (~25 marquee/tracked symbols) did not include it.→
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One datapoint that shows how far the memory trade has come: Micron alone now turns over nearly as much notional as Nvidia, and SanDisk out-trades almost everything else on the tape. Crowding is the flip side — the lane's #1 risk has always been that everyone gets in.
ALERT TILERT from @TileRT_AI TO BOOST DECODE INTERACTIVITY BY 1.9X AT THE SAME PER-TOKEN COST ON THE SAME NVIDIA BLACKWELL GPUs. What does this mean for Groq/Cerebras/SambaNova? / This is where TileRT comes in. Instead of continuously launching kernels or replaying a DAG of kernels, TileRT has the GPU continuously execute a persistent pipeline, statically compiling the entire model ahead of time into a persistent Engine Kernel: the host launches once.
Software squeezing 2x more interactive inference out of the same NVIDIA silicon cuts at the core pitch of the dedicated inference-ASIC vendors (Groq, Cerebras, SambaNova) — and raises effective utilization per deployed GPU, which feeds the power-per-rack math the AI-power lane tracks.
Monster Discover
New discoveries: 3 | Already tracked: 91
Reading
New discoveries: 3 | Already tracked: 91 TIER 1 — PARABOLIC (60%+ above SMA200)
VolatilityVIX15.28CALM1d -1.2%no fire-sale trigger
Rotation22 in/24 outExpandCollapse
- Government Compute+28.1No ETF in watchlist
- Copper+16.2
- Alt Managers+14.3Tracked ETFsPSP
- Cloud SAAS+13.0
- Cloud ETFS+12.5
Each side counts the desk's tracked theme watchlists (69 ranked) by 30-day median relative strength vs SPY — shown in RS points.
Frozen snapshot · as of 2026-08-11Full strip →
- RKLBinlineCOVERAGE GAP — Rocket Lab was scheduled to report after Monday's close; tonight's pulls carry only previews ("What Wall Street Expects Ahead of August 10 Earnings", noting a ~41% rebound off the late-July low into the print) and no post-print actuals.→
- ASTSAST SpaceMobile's Q2 fell short of analyst expectations and the stock dropped on the print.→
- ACHRbeatCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass (~25 marquee/tracked symbols) did not include it.→
- VSTmissReported EPS $0.76 versus analyst consensus of $1.63 (-53.4%).→
Show all 26 write-upsShow fewer prints
- HIMSHims & Hers reported Q2 after Monday's close (Aug 10): a loss of $0.40 per share — wider than consensus — against revenue up 3.8% year over year, with revenue and guidance described as stronger than expected.→
- RIOTmissCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print was scheduled for a date that has now passed.→
- USARmissCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass (~25 marquee/tracked symbols) did not include it.→
- NESRbeatCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass (~25 marquee/tracked symbols) did not include it.→
- AXSMmissCOVERAGE GAP — print not explicitly confirmed in tonight's pulls.→
- BTDRmissCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass (~25 marquee/tracked symbols) did not include it.→
- PLUGbeatCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print was scheduled for a date that has now passed.→
- AAONbeatCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass (~25 marquee/tracked symbols) did not include it.→
- CAMTbeatCamtek printed a clean quarter: non-GAAP EPS of $0.81 in line with estimates, revenue of $128.1M beating by about $1.0M, and a next-quarter outlook initiated alongside the print.→
- KEELmissCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass (~25 marquee/tracked symbols) did not include it.→
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- CECObeatCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass (~25 marquee/tracked symbols) did not include it.→
- CRCmissCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass (~25 marquee/tracked symbols) did not include it.→
- ORKAmissCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass (~25 marquee/tracked symbols) did not include it.→
- INSWbeatCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass (~25 marquee/tracked symbols) did not include it.→
- COGTbeatCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass (~25 marquee/tracked symbols) did not include it.→
- HROWmissCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass (~25 marquee/tracked symbols) did not include it.→
- CIBbeatCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass (~25 marquee/tracked symbols) did not include it.→
- QTRXmissCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass (~25 marquee/tracked symbols) did not include it.→
- DPROmissCOVERAGE GAP — this name's print date has passed and tonight's bounded news pass (~25 marquee/tracked symbols) did not include it.→
Monster Discover
New discoveries: 1 | Already tracked: 93
Reading
New discoveries: 1 | Already tracked: 93 TIER 1 — PARABOLIC (60%+ above SMA200)
VolatilityVIX15.46CALM1d +3.8%no fire-sale trigger
Rotation18 in/22 outExpandCollapse
- Government Compute+26.4No ETF in watchlist
- Copper+15.9
- Cloud SAAS+13.0
- Cloud ETFS+12.1
- Web Cloud+12.1Tracked ETFsSKYY
Each side counts the desk's tracked theme watchlists (69 ranked) by 30-day median relative strength vs SPY — shown in RS points.
Frozen snapshot · as of 2026-08-10Full strip →
Oil Snaps Back, and the Bid Moves Into the Wreckage
The Read Last week, settled Last week was the payrolls repricing — July nonfarm payrolls printed −23K against +80K expected, and the market treated a bad jobs number as good news about rates: every broad index finished within about a point of its 52-week high, bonds…