NVDA perspective-fading +1.4%
All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold. (Original P&L verdict: No exit rules triggered. P&L: +1.4%, RSI 37.5, weak-down.) · current $214.13 · entry $211.14 · RSI 37.5 · 139d held · bench-signals
Desk commentary
Authored analysis and challenge notes tied to NVDA.
AI-semi derate: the tape says sector derate not election lull — turn signature armed
mega-cap weekly dispersion by climate era — fixed-percent thresholds dilute
overnight vs intraday return anomaly across our watchlists