NVDA NVIDIA Corporation

NVDA NVIDIA Corporation

Technology · Semiconductors

Desk view

Watchingmedium conviction · entry WAIT: close above $236.54 (established pivot; preserved predecessor); Settled volume-supported breakout plus fresh supply, margins and customer-demand review. Price alone cannot authorize BUY. — not entered
Basis Open desk call ·Logged decision ·Entry target
Updated

Market read

Scan convergence 6 scans as of 2026-10-16 6 neutral converging

POC $185.69 · VWAP $197.30 · +8.5% vs 12m avg buyer

uptrend vol: compressedchurn: quiet as of

Insiders selling 0 buy / 3 sell · Form 4, 90d $946.6M sold last open-market sell STEVENS MARK A

Cluster CFO, EVP + 1 other sold $314.6M, Sep 18–23

Coverage

NVDA Price Structure

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Peers

Every watchlist NVDA belongs to, members best 30-day change first — NVDA highlighted in place. Each pill: 30d change, 1d/7d, and a close spark over the last 30 calendar days (~21 sessions); hover for price, RSI, and the full chart.

@thebuildout-space-data-centers-orbital-compute
@thebuildout-industrial-robotics-automation
@ai-infra
@thebuildout-humanoid-robots-embodied-ai
@thebuildout-ai-sensors-perception-hardware
@thebuildout-data-center-switch-nic-vendors
@thebuildout-china-ai-semiconductor-stack
@thebuildout-data-center-fiber-high-speed-cabling
@thebuildout-data-center-networking-silicon
@thebuildout-racks-chassis-mechanical-infrastructure
@thebuildout-ai-storage-data-pipeline
@semis
@thebuildout-autonomous-vehicles-self-driving
@thebuildout-optical-transceivers-modules
@thebuildout-advanced-packaging-2d3d-leaders
@thebuildout-co-packaged-optics-cpo
@spacex-s1-supply-chain
@nvidia-open-agent-ecosystem
@robotics
@ai-bottlenecks
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@mag7
@focus
@tech-insider-buys
@bargain-bin
@insider-universe
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@ai-scan
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VEEV+17.2% -0.8%1d +4.8%7d ISRGE+11.6% -0.3%1d +0.7%7d VST+8.3% -1.4%1d -5.9%7d ZS+8.3% -5.9%1d -11.3%7d MSFT+7.9% -1.9%1d -1.1%7d TAC+7.5% +1.5%1d -2.1%7d AI+7.2% -6.9%1d -1.8%7d DDOG+7.1% -7.2%1d -15.7%7d PLTR+6.7% -7.2%1d -11.0%7d META+5.3% -3.7%1d -1.3%7d CEG+4.6% -1.3%1d -9.0%7d AMD+3.2% -6.0%1d -13.1%7d ASML+2.5% -1.0%1d -7.8%7d AMZN+1.6% -1.9%1d -4.7%7d WDAY+1.6% -3.0%1d +2.3%7d NOW+1.5% -4.4%1d +0.8%7d NVDA+0.1% -1.4%1d -6.6%7d CSCO-0.3% -2.2%1d -9.3%7d GOOGL-0.7% -2.5%1d -3.1%7d NEE-0.7% +1.1%1d +3.1%7d MRVL-0.8% -5.6%1d -17.2%7d TSLA-0.9% -2.1%1d -7.3%7d SMH-1.1% -3.4%1d -10.5%7d TSM-1.2% -2.3%1d -9.0%7d FTNT-1.5% -7.0%1d -13.2%7d AIQ-1.6% -3.2%1d -6.9%7d ADBE-2.1% -2.6%1d +1.2%7d DLR-2.8% +0.9%1d -1.6%7d ROBO-2.9% -2.6%1d -7.3%7d EQIX-3.0% -1.0%1d -3.9%7d AVGO-3.2% -4.5%1d -9.1%7d CRM-3.9% -2.5%1d +5.0%7d BOTZ-4.9% -2.1%1d -6.9%7d MU-5.2% -5.6%1d -14.6%7d PATH-5.7% -6.3%1d -4.7%7d CRWD-5.8% -7.0%1d -17.3%7d ARM-6.6% -6.9%1d -14.4%7d QCOM-6.9% -3.5%1d -1.9%7d SNOW-7.3% -8.4%1d -16.8%7d TEM-7.5% -9.0%1d -8.8%7d NET-8.7% -6.3%1d -17.9%7d PANW-9.0% -7.6%1d -18.3%7d T-9.4% -0.3%1d +5.7%7d SEDG-9.6% -0.2%1d -2.6%7d SKM-9.6% -2.6%1d -6.7%7d BCE-9.6% +0.7%1d +8.3%7d FSLR-9.7% -3.5%1d -2.9%7d TMUS-9.7% +1.3%1d +7.1%7d VZ-10.0% +0.9%1d +7.5%7d MDB-10.3% -7.9%1d -12.5%7d LITE-10.4% -5.2%1d -25.3%7d ANET-10.4% -4.6%1d -18.3%7d INTC-11.1% -5.8%1d -14.2%7d RUN-11.7% -4.5%1d -4.5%7d ENPH-13.9% -0.7%1d -6.7%7d SMCI-14.2% -9.9%1d -24.4%7d IONQ-15.1% -8.9%1d -21.6%7d BE-18.0% -6.3%1d -21.1%7d STX-18.4% -7.5%1d -18.4%7d COHR-19.7% -7.1%1d -25.5%7d RGTI-20.2% -6.6%1d -15.9%7d WDC-20.4% -6.9%1d -16.4%7d SOUN-20.4% -3.5%1d -12.4%7d BBAI-20.9% -7.3%1d -9.6%7d NBIS-21.0% -12.2%1d -25.1%7d OKLO-21.5% -6.8%1d -19.4%7d SKHY-21.9% -6.6%1d -19.3%7d QBTS-27.6% -8.1%1d -19.1%7d SMR-29.8% -5.2%1d -19.0%7d EOSE-53.8% -15.7%1d -27.8%7d

Exit advisories

4 advisories · as of

NVDA perspective-fading +1.4%

All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold. (Original P&L verdict: No exit rules triggered. P&L: +1.4%, RSI 37.5, weak-down.) · current $214.13 · entry $211.14 · RSI 37.5 · 139d held · bench-signals

TRIM

NVDA perspective-fading +1.4%

All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold. (Original P&L verdict: No exit rules triggered. P&L: +1.4%, RSI 37.5, weak-down.) · current $214.13 · entry $211.14 · RSI 37.5 · 139d held · yolo

TRIM

NVDA perspective-fading +2.3%

All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold. (Original P&L verdict: No exit rules triggered. P&L: +2.3%, RSI 37.5, weak-down.) · current $214.13 · entry $209.26 · RSI 37.5 · 139d held · claude-trader

TRIM

NVDA perspective-fading +2.7%

All originating theses fading — Risk-On Tech Rotation — Concentrated Mega-Cap + AI Supercycle (closed); SpaceX IPO Liquidity Event — $40-80B Drained from Markets, June 12 2026 (closed); Physical AI / Robotics — Arms-Dealers Over Moonshots (the Embodied-AI Rotation) (closed); AI Mega-IPO Liquidity Regime — Index Plumbing, Lockups, and the Issuance Bell (closed). Review whether to hold. (Original P&L verdict: No exit rules triggered. P&L: +2.7%, RSI 37.5, weak-down.) · current $214.13 · entry $208.42 · RSI 37.5 · 85d held · conviction

TRIM

Desk commentary

Authored analysis and challenge notes tied to NVDA.

3

Next earnings NVDA reports in 31 days Nov 17

Last report Aug 26

NVIDIA reported the second quarter of fiscal 2027 after the close on August 26, 2026, filing a Form 10-Q and a Form 8-K the same day.

full note →

Against street estimates

How NVDA's reported EPS compared with analyst consensus. Street estimates are single-source vendor consensus (yfinance). Actuals are vendor consensus-basis EPS (often non-GAAP); edgarEps is GAAP diluted from filings — disputed flags large disagreement only. EPS only.

8 most recent of 11 quarters · newest report Aug 26 · projection Oct 16

Result
Aug 26 2.092.22+6.2%Beat
May 20 1.771.87+5.5%Beat
Feb 25 1.541.62+5.3%Beat
Nov 19 '25 1.261.30+3.5%Beat
Aug 27 '25 1.011.05+4.1%Beat
May 28 '25 0.750.81+8.0%Beat
Feb 26 '25 0.850.89+5.3%Beat
Nov 20 '24 0.750.81+8.5%Beat

Against its own guidance

How NVDA printed versus the numbers it guided to — company guidance vs reported actuals (8-K parsed); NOT analyst consensus. So "beat" here means beat its OWN guidance, not the street's. Streak counts revenue quarters only.

4 graded revenue quarters · 8 guidance lines below · 4 straight revenue quarters above its own guidance · newest filing Jul 26

Guided rangePrintedvs guidedResult
May 20 for Jul 26 Revenue$89.2B – $92.8B$96.2B+5.7%Above
May 20 for Jul 26 Gross margin73.9% – 75.9%75.0%+0.1 ptsIn range
Feb 25 for Apr 26 Revenue$76.4B – $79.6B$81.6B+4.6%Above
Feb 25 for Apr 26 Gross margin73.9% – 75.9%74.9%+0.0 ptsIn range
Nov 19 '25 for Jan 25 Revenue$63.7B – $66.3B$68.1B+4.8%Above
Nov 19 '25 for Jan 25 Gross margin73.8% – 75.8%75.0%+0.2 ptsIn range
Aug 27 '25 for Oct 26 '25 Revenue$52.9B – $55.1B$57.0B+5.6%Above
Aug 27 '25 for Oct 26 '25 Gross margin72.3% – 74.3%73.4%+0.1 ptsIn range

Recent news

Headlines about NVDA from the desk's news pull — links go to the publisher. Not a desk read: the market read above is the desk's own.

pulled 1 day ago · Oct 16

Types
Sep 10 Catalyst NVDA dividend
Aug 27 The Prints The Prints
Aug 26 Catalyst NVDA Q2 FY2027 earnings
Jun 16 Desk Move NVDA — claude-trader buy
Jun 16 Article Status Report
Jun 4 Catalyst NVDA dividend
May 29 Scan AI Scan
May 20 Catalyst NVDA earnings
Apr 10 Deep Dive NVDA Deep Dive
Apr 3 Deep Dive NVDA Deep Dive
Mar 31 Deep Dive NVDA Deep Dive
Mar 31 Article Daily Actions
Mar 24 Deep Dive NVDA Deep Dive
Mar 13 Deep Dive NVDA (Nvidia Corp)
Mar 11 Catalyst NVDA dividend
Mar 10 Article Daily Actions
Dec 4 '25 Catalyst NVDA dividend
Sep 11 '25 Catalyst NVDA dividend
Jun 11 '25 Catalyst NVDA dividend
Mar 12 '25 Catalyst NVDA dividend
Dec 5 '24 Catalyst NVDA dividend
Sep 12 '24 Catalyst NVDA dividend
Jun 11 '24 Catalyst NVDA dividend
Mar 5 '24 Catalyst NVDA dividend
Dec 5 '23 Catalyst NVDA dividend