Bargain Bin Scan

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Bargain Bin Scan

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AAPLABBVABNBADBEAMDAMZNANETASMLAVGOBKNGBRK-BCATCEGCMECOSTCRMCRWDDDOGDEEDISDPZGEGOOGLGSHDEHONINTUISRGJNJJPMKLACKOLLYLOWELRCXLULUMAMCDMETAMRVLMSFTNETNFLXNKENOWNVDAOKTAORCLPANWPEPPLTRPYPLQCOMRTXSAPSBUXSNOWSPGITMOTSLATTDUBERUNHUPSVWDAYWMTEXYZZS
Watchlists 1
@bargain-bin
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 35 rows · screens, not recommendations ported fromresearch/classic/scans/2026-05-29-bargain-bin.md

Strict filter (RSI<30 AND vsSMA20<0) yields only WMT — the broad market melt-up has cleared most deep discounts. Near-threshold watch list (RSI 30-40 AND vsSMA20<0 or RSI<30) surfaces CME, SBUX, UBER, NFLX, PEP, LOW, COST as the secondary tier. INTU is the deepest fundamental wreck (-59.3% from high, strong-down). Most names have bounced; bargains are thin.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 Near-Empty Bin — market rally cleared most discounts; WMT the lone true RSI<30 + negative SMA20 entry
Key insight With QQQ RSI 77, bargain opportunities are scarce; only broken-thesis stocks remain cheap, and most for good reason

Primary Filter Results (RSI < 30 AND vs SMA20 < 0)

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% 52wkHi% Trend Signal
WMT $115.75 28.7 ↓ -9.1% -0.5% -12.1% -8.6% -14.4% weak-down ✅ Strong Buy

Extended Watch (RSI 30-40 AND vsSMA20 < 0, or RSI<37 any)

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% 52wkHi% Trend Signal
CME $273.54 33.5 ↓ -5.3% -4.6% -5.0% -14.2% -16.9% down 🔍 Research
PEP $144.19 34.6 ↓ -4.3% -1.9% -9.0% -13.0% -15.9% down 🔍 Research
COST $956.32 34.1 ↓ -6.6% -3.0% -5.6% -4.5% -12.8% weak-down 🔍 Watch
NFLX $86.02 36.4 ↓ -2.4% -2.7% -8.1% -11.4% -35.9% strong-down 🔍 Research
LOW $214.36 37.1 ↓ -3.4% +1.2% -10.2% -16.3% -26.9% strong-down 🔍 Research
UBER $70.40 37.7 ↓ -5.0% -3.7% -5.6% -7.3% -31.0% strong-down 🔍 Research
SBUX $99.16 39.1 ↓ -5.0% -2.2% -5.3% +3.1% -8.9% strong-up 🔍 Watch
DE $542.18 40.0 ↓ -3.7% +3.2% -8.1% -13.8% -19.6% weak-down 🔍 Research
ISRG $424.64 40.0 ↓ -3.1% -3.6% -7.2% -14.4% -29.7% strong-down 🔍 Research
INTU $331.53 40.3 ↓ -10.3% +1.0% -14.7% -20.6% -59.3% strong-down ❌ Don't Buy

Tier Analysis

Tier 1: True Bargain (RSI < 30 + negative SMA20 = primary filter)

WMT — $115.75 | RSI 28.7 | vsSMA20 -9.1% | -12.1% 30D | -14.4% from 52wkHi

  • Walmart is the singular true bargain in the scan. Consumer staples defensive in weak-down trend but brand moat is among the strongest in the world.
  • RSI 28.7 approaching capitulation — historically a buy for quality defensives
  • The -12.1% 30D decline likely reflects consumer spending anxiety + tariff pass-through fears
  • Quality: best-in-class retail execution, grocery market-share gains, global supply chain advantages
  • Discount: -14.4% from high, -9.1% below SMA20
  • Signal: ✅ Strong Buy for patient holders — position sizing matters at current volatility

Tier 2: Near-Threshold Quality (RSI 30-40, negative SMA20 — assess thesis)

CME Group — $273.54 | RSI 33.5 | vsSMA20 -5.3% | -5.0% 30D | -16.9% from high

  • Exchange monopoly with structural competitive moats; rate volatility drives volume
  • RSI 33.5 in a down-trending tape; -14.2% 3M decline
  • Quality: AAA business model, counter-cyclical in volatility — rates/derivatives benefit from uncertainty
  • Entry zone: $260-$275 for patient accumulation

PepsiCo — $144.19 | RSI 34.6 | vsSMA20 -4.3% | -9.0% 30D | -15.9% from high

  • Consumer defensive + snacks secular growth; Frito-Lay is the gem
  • -13% 3M decline; near oversold; brand portfolio pricing power intact
  • Entry zone: $140-$145

Costco — $956.32 | RSI 34.1 | vsSMA20 -6.6% | -5.6% 30D | -12.8% from high

  • Membership-model retail, recession-resilient; comps consistently positive
  • RSI 34 approaching oversold at premium valuation; not a screaming cheap stock, but a quality pullback
  • Entry zone: $920-$960

LOW (Lowe's) — $214.36 | RSI 37.1 | vsSMA20 -3.4% | -10.2% 30D | -26.9% from high

  • Home improvement exposure; housing market weakness hurting near-term
  • -16.3% 3M; housing activity weak but thesis is secular (aging homes + deferred maintenance)
  • Quality at discount; entry zone $200-$215

DE (Deere) — $542.18 | RSI 40.0 | vsSMA20 -3.7% | -8.1% 30D | -19.6% from high

  • Agricultural/construction equipment; precision farming secular thesis intact
  • -13.8% 3M; ag equipment cycle softening but export/food-security reboot could be catalyst
  • Entry zone: $520-$545

Tier 3: Deeper Discounts — Thesis Risk (RSI 35-48, broken trends)

Stock Price RSI 30D% From High Thesis Risk Signal
NFLX $86.02 36.4 -8.1% -35.9% Streaming competition + price sensitivity 🔍 Research
UBER $70.40 37.7 -5.6% -31.0% Regulatory + profitability path uncertainty 🔍 Research
ISRG $424.64 40.0 -7.2% -29.7% Surgical robotics monopoly intact; -14.4% 3M 🔍 Research
INTU $331.53 40.3 -14.7% -59.3% AI disruption to tax/accounting software — thesis at risk ❌ Don't Buy

Entry Zones

TIER 1 — PRIMARY ENTRY

Stock Current Zone RSI 30D% Action Notes
WMT $115.75 <$118 28.7 ↓ -12.1% ✅ Strong Buy Defensive moat, oversold — best risk/reward in scan

TIER 2 — QUALITY AT DISCOUNT

Stock Current Zone RSI 30D% Action Notes
CME $273.54 $260-275 33.5 -5.0% 📈 Accumulate Exchange monopoly at near-oversold; rate volatility tailwind
PEP $144.19 $140-145 34.6 -9.0% 📈 Accumulate Brand/snack pricing power at reasonable discount
COST $956.32 $920-960 34.1 -5.6% 📈 Accumulate Membership retail quality pullback
LOW $214.36 $200-215 37.1 -10.2% 🔍 Research Housing softness near-term; secular home improvement intact
DE $542.18 $520-545 40.0 -8.1% 🔍 Research Ag cycle softening; wait for confirmation

TIER 3 — BROKEN / AVOID

Stock Current RSI 30D% From High Action
INTU $331.53 40.3 -14.7% -59.3% ❌ Don't Buy
UBER $70.40 37.7 -5.6% -31.0% 🔍 Research
NFLX $86.02 36.4 -8.1% -35.9% 🔍 Research

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
✅ STRONG BUY WMT RSI 28.7, -9.1% below SMA20, -12.1% 30D — quality defensive oversold
📈 ACCUMULATE CME, PEP, COST Quality franchises in RSI 33-35 zone — DCA entry
🔍 RESEARCH LOW, DE Cyclical quality at discount; need housing/ag cycle read
🔍 RESEARCH ISRG Surgical robotics monopoly pullback — check if thesis intact
🔍 RESEARCH NFLX, UBER Deep discounts but thesis questions remain
❌ DON'T BUY INTU -59.3% from high in strong-down trend — AI disruption to moat

What Changed

  • Bargain bin is nearly empty — QQQ RSI 77 melt-up cleared most discounts; this bin is thin
  • WMT the last quality defensive oversold — joins broader consumer-defensive softening (COST, PEP, CME)
  • INTU keeps deteriorating — now -59.3% from high; what was a pullback is looking like a structural break
  • SBUX bounced above threshold — RSI 39 is close but trend is surprising strong-up (3M +3.1%), suggesting a base
  • ISRG RSI 40 — pullback from $600+ highs; if thesis intact this is interesting at $424

The Gold

Key Discoveries

Discovery Implication
Only 1 stock passes strict filter (WMT) Market rally has cleared bargains — either take WMT or wait for a broad correction
CME/PEP/COST cluster at RSI 33-35 Consumer defensive/financial infrastructure group pulling back in sync — sector concern or entry?
INTU -59.3% from high, RSI 40, strong-down Prolonged destruction; AI is repricing the tax/accounting software moat in real-time

Open Questions

  • WMT at RSI 29: is this a consumer cycle soft patch or something more structural?
  • INTU: at what price does the AI disruption risk become priced in?
  • ISRG -29.7% from high: is the surgical robotics monopoly premium collapsing or is this buyable?
9 events
DateTypeEvent
Jul 7 ScanBargain Bin Jul 11 ScanBargain Bin Jul 17 ScanBargain Bin May 29 ScanInsider Scan Feb 22 ScanBargain Bin Scan May 29 ScanTech Insider Buys Scan Mar 11 ScanInsider Activity Scan Jul 25 ScanBargain Bin Jul 28 ScanBargain Bin

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