Calls

Calls

What the desk said would happen. Every open call and price target, each with the condition it's still waiting on and the source row behind it — claims made, not yet graded. What's actually held is on Positions; decisions you log get graded in the Decision Log.

Projection

open calls 80 open targets 47 targets snapshot

Stalking

The desk's unspent conviction: focus-list names backed by a high-priority thesis, with no position in any book — plus names it looked at and passed on. Each entry line is a call or target from the sections below.

Stalking 3
  • MU entry $1,000–$1,025 — a flag back toward the rising SMA20 — ✅ HIT memory-supercycle
  • NTR entry $75-$78 — OPEN - NTR $67.48, RSI 31.5, down trend, -16.4% 30D, 10.0% b... energy-to-humanitarian-transmission
  • SNDK entry A new flag and held base, then a close strictly above $1740.00. Friday’s equal close leaves this... — open watch call · review by 2026-09-30 memory-supercycle
Passed 38
ACN2026-10-01ADBE2026-09-25ARQQ2026-10-09ASTS2026-10-09AXTI2026-07-08CIFR2026-07-08

Alarm board

One bell per independent signal family — research, trigger, tape, advisory, regime. Calls with 3+ bells lit are the loudest convergences on the book; 5 of 5 means every family agrees · as of .

AMAT $507.03 3 of 5 bells coming into play

3 of 5 bells lit — research, tape, regime

watch
ARKX $32.20 3 of 5 bells coming into play

3 of 5 bells lit — research, advisory, regime

watch
BE $280.50 3 of 5 bells coming into play

3 of 5 bells lit — research, tape, regime

watch
CDNS $352.84 3 of 5 bells coming into play

3 of 5 bells lit — research, tape, regime

watch
CRDO $216.55 3 of 5 bells coming into play

3 of 5 bells lit — research, tape, regime

buy
GEV $1004.73 3 of 5 bells coming into play

3 of 5 bells lit — research, tape, regime

watch
GLD $384.58 3 of 5 bells coming into play

3 of 5 bells lit — research, advisory, regime

watch
LITE $1103.36 3 of 5 bells in trend

3 of 5 bells lit — research, tape, regime

watch
NVDA $229.28 3 of 5 bells in trend

3 of 5 bells lit — research, tape, regime

watch
PANW $418.78 3 of 5 bells in trend

3 of 5 bells lit — research, tape, regime

watch
RSP $213.04 3 of 5 bells coming into play

3 of 5 bells lit — research, advisory, regime

watch
SPY $778.57 3 of 5 bells coming into play

3 of 5 bells lit — research, advisory, regime

watch
VST $161.48 3 of 5 bells coming into play

3 of 5 bells lit — research, tape, regime

watch
ZS $233.73 3 of 5 bells coming into play

3 of 5 bells lit — research, tape, regime

watch

Broken & fading

Calls that stopped working — the counterpart to the alarm board above. Red: the invalidation fired (dead until the desk resolves it). Amber: the setup was in its zone and slipped back out without triggering. A dying call loses bells and drops off the alarm board, so this is where it surfaces. Newest first; no time window — a row leaves only when the desk resolves the call.

RKLB invalidation fired retreating

a close below the $68.29 volume shelf; after an entry, a close back under the 200-day

broke Oct 9
WDC invalidation fired coming into play

Settled close below $372.81 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.

broke Oct 8
AVGO left its zone coming into play

Left its entry zone on 2026-10-07 without hitting the invalidation.

faded Oct 7
DRNZ invalidation fired retreating

a close below the $19.29 July 29 low, which breaks the base; after an entry, a close back under the 200-day

broke Oct 7
NVDA left its zone in trend

Left its entry zone on 2026-10-07 without hitting the invalidation.

faded Oct 7
WDAY invalidation fired coming into play

a close below the 50-day (about $180.93 on 2026-09-25)

broke Oct 6
AXON invalidation fired retreating

a close below the 50-day ($525.63)

broke Oct 5
GDX invalidation fired coming into play

a close below its 200-day, which would confirm gold's break

broke Oct 5
GLD invalidation fired coming into play

failure to reclaim $414.79 alongside GDX losing its own 200-day — metal and miners breaking together is the pattern that matters

broke Oct 5
KRE invalidation fired coming into play

a close below the August low (~$75) on the same day HYG loses its 200-day (~$78.35) — then the bond story has become a bank story

broke Oct 5
SIL invalidation fired coming into play

a close below its 200-day

broke Oct 5
AKAM invalidation fired retreating

a close below the $108.28 support shelf

broke Sep 30
VSAT invalidation fired coming into play

a close below the $69.33 support shelf

broke Sep 30
CRWV invalidation fired retreating

a close below the $85.64 support shelf

broke Sep 29
GDX invalidation fired coming into play

a close below the 200-day (~$88) once the blink rally fades

broke Sep 29
SLV invalidation fired retreating

loses the 50-day ($56.64), leaving the week a miner-only move

broke Sep 29
UUP invalidation fired coming into play

a UUP reclaim of its 20-day ($28.34) on rising RSI drains the rates channel this rally runs on

broke Sep 17
CRDO invalidation fired coming into play

a finish under the 200-day (~$160) — until then pullbacks are digestion in an intact uptrend

broke Sep 14
VRT invalidation fired retreating

Settled close below $257.40 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.

broke Sep 10
CEG invalidation fired coming into play

Settled close below $296.36 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately.

broke Sep 9
BNO invalidation fired in trend

a settled close above ~$57 (Brent ~$100)

broke Sep 8
VKTX invalidation fired retreating

a settled close below the $32.63 support shelf before the reclaim breaks this reset

broke Aug 28
HYG invalidation fired retreating

a close below the 200-day (~$78.35): credit stops confirming, and the 2018/2022 playbook (10–22% index drawdown into the yield peak) is live

broke Aug 25
DUK invalidation fired coming into play

loses the 200-day (~$123) — the defensive bid is gone

broke Aug 10
ELAN invalidation fired coming into play

a close below the 50-day (~$23.68) — the near-high structure failed; back to priced

broke Aug 8
WULF invalidation fired retreating

cash burn without contracted revenue landing by the Q3 print, or a breakdown under the $15.67 support shelf

broke Jul 29
KGS invalidation fired coming into play

a finish under $57.50 (top of the prior value area) says the datacenter-power re-rate failed

broke Jul 28
PL invalidation fired retreating

a close below the 30-day low ($21.03) opens the next leg down and resets the whole watch

broke Jul 26
TLN invalidation fired coming into play

a close below $360 turns the pullback into a breakdown

broke Jul 26
IREN invalidation fired retreating

a finish back under ~$35, the level the bounce launched from — that says the bottom failed

broke Jul 16
APLD invalidation fired retreating

gross margin rolls back over the next print, or a break below $28 (the one-year VWAP and support shelf)

broke Jul 15
NTLA invalidation fired retreating

a finish under the ~$14.20 cluster (50-day and the nearest volume support shelf) says the turn failed

broke Jul 13

Desk Calls

A Desk Call is the authored stance from a report. Its plan badge is the shared settled entry state; entry and invalidation retain the authored conditions, and review-by is the analyst's stated horizon — a date, not a deadline.

EntryInvalidationSource
Oct 9 ASTS pass research None; a broken long trend that lost a reported spectrum source. Revisit after a base and a close above the 50-day average ($62.85 at the Oct 9 close) The pass is wrong on a close above the 50-day average that holds through the report the provider dates to Nov 9 pending pending Nov 13 open
Oct 9 CEG watch research A pullback that holds above the 200-day average ($286.14 at the Oct 9 close) while RSI cools below 55, then a settled close above $300.40, the October 6 close on the Google agreement A settled close below the 200-day average ($286.14 at the Oct 9 close), or a third-quarter report (expected around Nov 9, provider date) that does not confirm the Google agreement's terms pending pending Nov 13 open
Oct 2 LITE watch research A flag that holds above the 20-day average ($941.73 at the Oct 2 close) while RSI cools below 60, then a close at a new 52-week high A close below the 50-day ($879.03 at the Oct 2 close), or fiscal Q1 2027 revenue below the $1.225B low end of guidance at the report expected around Nov 5 pending pending Nov 6 open
Sep 30 ARKX watch research after a close back above the 200-day (about $32.41 on 2026-09-29), a close through the $35.85 base pivot a close below the $30.47 value-area low pending pending Dec 15 open
Sep 30 DRNZ watch research a close above both the 200-day (about $24.00 on 2026-09-29) and the $25.32 most-traded price, then a flag that holds above them a close below the $19.29 July 29 low, which breaks the base; after an entry, a close back under the 200-day pending pending Dec 11 broken
Sep 25 ACN watch research after the report scheduled for October 1, a close above $197.63, the top of its seven-week base, which sits on the 200-day (about $197.98) a close below the $172.19 support shelf pending pending Oct 23 in zone
Sep 25 ADBE pass research none; revisit on a base and a close above the 200-day (about $262.68 on 2026-09-25) the pass is wrong on a close above the 200-day (about $262.68) pending pending Dec 18 open
Sep 25 AKAM watch research a flag that holds the $108.28 support shelf, then a close above $126.02 (top of the one-year value area) a close below the $108.28 support shelf pending pending Nov 13 broken
Sep 25 AVGO watch research a close above the 200-day (about $368.35 on 2026-09-25) that holds for a week a close below the $345.49 support shelf pending pending Dec 18 fading
Sep 25 CDNS watch research a pullback that holds the $317.27 support shelf, then a close above $352.55 (top of the one-year value area) a close below the $317.27 support shelf pending pending Nov 6 in zone
Sep 25 CRWV watch research a close above the 200-day (about $92.18 on 2026-09-25) with the $85.64 support shelf intact a close below the $85.64 support shelf pending pending Nov 20 broken
Sep 25 FLY pass research none; down on the year and under the 200-day (about $27.79 on 2026-09-25); revisit after the report calendared for November 11 the pass is wrong on a close above the 200-day (about $27.79) pending pending Nov 27 open
Sep 25 GSAT pass research none; priced off Amazon's pending merger terms, not a trend the pass is wrong only if the Amazon deal breaks or is re-cut pending pending Nov 20 open
Sep 25 HUBS pass research none; revisit on a base and a close above the 200-day (about $250.71 on 2026-09-25) the pass is wrong on a close above the 200-day (about $250.71) pending pending Nov 13 open
Sep 25 INTU pass research none; revisit after weeks of basing above the $262.24 shelf and a close above the 50-day (about $324.65 on 2026-09-25) the pass is wrong on a close above the 50-day (about $324.65) pending pending Nov 27 open
Sep 25 IRDM pass research none; a merger-arbitrage price set by $27 cash plus Rocket Lab stock, not a trend the pass is wrong only if the Rocket Lab deal breaks or is re-cut pending pending Nov 20 open
Sep 25 NOW watch research after the pullback holds the 50-day (about $125.79 on 2026-09-25), a close back above the 20-day (about $138.75) a close below the 50-day (about $125.79 on 2026-09-25) pending pending Nov 6 in zone
Sep 25 ORCL pass research none; revisit on a base that reclaims the 200-day (about $164.54 on 2026-09-25) with free cash flow less negative at the December report the pass is wrong on a close above the 200-day (about $164.54) pending pending Dec 18 open
Sep 25 PL pass research none; revisit on a close above the 50-day (about $20.40 on 2026-09-25) that holds a higher low above the $16.53 shelf the pass is wrong on a close above the 50-day (about $20.40) pending pending Dec 18 open
Sep 25 RKLB watch research a close above both the 200-day (about $81.09 on 2026-09-25) and the anchored VWAP from the low ($82.22), then a flag that holds above them a close below the $68.29 volume shelf; after an entry, a close back under the 200-day pending pending Nov 20 broken
Sep 25 SPCX watch research a confirmed close above the $156.87 range high a close below the $142.58 support shelf pending pending Dec 18 in zone
Sep 25 TTD pass research none; revisit on a close above the 50-day (about $15.11 on 2026-09-25) after the report scheduled for November 5 the pass is wrong on a close above the 50-day (about $15.11) pending pending Nov 13 open
Sep 25 VSAT watch research pullback in an intact trend: a close back above the 50-day (about $75.29 on 2026-09-25) a close below the $69.33 support shelf pending pending Nov 20 broken
Sep 25 WDAY watch research a close back above the 20-day (about $193.30 on 2026-09-25) with the 50-day (about $180.93) intact; a signed take-private agreement ends the trend case a close below the 50-day (about $180.93 on 2026-09-25) pending pending Dec 11 broken
Sep 25 ZS watch research the pullback holds $188 and closes back above $198 (the September breakout zone) on lighter volume than 2026-09-25 a close below $170, the 2026-09-14 breakout-day low pending pending Dec 4 in zone
Sep 23 RSP watch research RSP closes back above its 20-day average ($216.10 on the Sept 23 close) on a session when at least nine of the eleven sector funds close green, with TLT back above its own 20-day ($81.75 on Sept 23) RSP closes below its 200-day average ($205.15 on the Sept 23 close), turning a pullback inside an up year into a broken trend pending pending Oct 23 in zone
Sep 18 DBA watch research DBA back over its 50-day with RSI above 50 (Sept 18 close $28.15, RSI 41.4, 0.3% under the 50-day), confirmed by a positive food-at-home month in the September CPI on Oct 14 DBA loses its 200-day (4.1% below Friday's close) or the Oct 14 print leaves food at home flat-to-negative again pending pending Oct 14 open
Sep 18 MSTR watch research Not this print. Strategy would have to hold $137.04 (its 200-day) and $134.95 (its nearest support shelf) through a giveback, with bitcoin above $79,138.49, and cool from Friday's 66.1 momentum reading and +16.9% stretch over its own 20-day average before a flag exists Strategy closes back under $137.04, or bitcoin loses $79,138.49 — either one makes Friday a one-session spike rather than a reclaim pending pending Oct 2 open
Sep 7 SNDK watch research A new flag and held base, then a close strictly above $1740.00. Friday’s equal close leaves this condition incomplete; require Sandisk-specific NAND pricing and demand support. Failure of the new base, or verified NAND price declines alongside customer inventory accumulation or material order reductions. -4.1% pending Sep 30 open
Sep 6 AMAT watch research counter WAIT: close above $489.46 (20-day average); Reclaim/flag plus current orders, customer spending and export-exposure review; dip volume was not light. Price alone cannot authorize BUY. Settled close below $407.06 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately. +10.4% pending Sep 11 in zone
Sep 6 LRCX watch research counter WAIT: close above $312.76 (20-day average); Reclaim/flag plus current orders, memory spending and capacity evidence. Price alone cannot authorize BUY. Settled close below $260.90 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately. +2.5% pending Sep 11 in zone
Sep 6 NVDA watch research counter WAIT: close above $236.54 (established pivot; preserved predecessor); Settled volume-supported breakout plus fresh supply, margins and customer-demand review. Price alone cannot authorize BUY. Settled close below $210.57 (50-day average; preserved predecessor) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately. +4.3% pending Sep 11 fading
Sep 6 TSM watch research counter WAIT: close above $461.47 (established pivot); Settled volume-supported breakout plus current company capacity, demand and margin review; local flag ceiling was not cleared Friday. Price alone cannot authorize BUY. Settled close below $372.83 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately. +8.2% pending Sep 11 in zone
Sep 6 WDC watch research counter WAIT: close above $468.19 (Sept 4 high; SMA20 already reclaimed); NEW flag plus current allocation, pricing and capacity evidence. Price alone cannot authorize BUY. Settled close below $372.81 (200-day average) invalidates this entry watch; re-review the business separately. -15.6% pending Sep 11 broken
Aug 28 GDX watch research the confirming leg, not the broken one — 11.6% above its 200-day on a +62.48% year; a pullback that holds that average is the entry the structure supports a close below its 200-day, which would confirm gold's break -11.3% pending Sep 25 broken
Aug 28 GLD watch research a close back above the 200-day ($414.79) that holds a full week; below that the break stands and there is no entry failure to reclaim $414.79 alongside GDX losing its own 200-day — metal and miners breaking together is the pattern that matters -7.1% pending Sep 4 broken
Aug 28 SLV pass research n/a — 7.7% below its own 200-day and widening; a reclaim of that average is the first thing that would make it discussable n/a -8.0% pending Sep 25 open
Aug 24 AGIO watch research after the current reset prints a higher low, reclaims the 50-day ($35.56) with RSI above 55 and relative volume at least 1.0x a settled close below the 200-day ($30.93) before the reclaim breaks this reset +4.2% pending Sep 24 open
Aug 24 DHR watch research after a pullback to the $210.39 volume shelf, holds and turns back above it with RSI in the 55-65 reset band and relative volume at least 1.0x a settled close below the 200-day ($202.97) breaks the quality-laggard trend structure +2.4% pending Sep 24 in zone
Aug 19 GDX watch research the policy-blink bid is real but entries are pullbacks, not +8% days — a hold of the 200-day (~$88) and a pullback toward the 20-day (~$82–85) with RSI off 70 a close below the 200-day (~$88) once the blink rally fades -0.9% pending Sep 19 broken
Aug 19 KRE watch research not a trade — the bank-stress tell the bond-fear feed keeps asserting; regionals are 3.4% lower since August 4, not in a rout a close below the August low (~$75) on the same day HYG loses its 200-day (~$78.35) — then the bond story has become a bank story -2.0% pending Sep 19 broken
Aug 18 HYG watch research not a trade — the tell. Credit at -0.31% from its high while the long bond makes 19-year lows in price is the whole reason equities can ignore this a close below the 200-day (~$78.35): credit stops confirming, and the 2018/2022 playbook (10–22% index drawdown into the yield peak) is live -0.4% pending Sep 19 broken
Aug 18 SPY watch research no new entry — the trend is intact 0.86% off its high; hold it while the 200-day (~$703) and the credit tape hold a close below the 200-day (~$703) with HYG breaking its own 200-day — the rate scare has become an equity event 0.0% pending Sep 19 open
Aug 18 TLT watch research the historical equity low arrives AT the yield peak, so the long bond is only worth owning once the peak prints — first sign is TLT reclaiming its 20-day (~$82.60) on a day the news is bad for bonds a new price low after the reclaim; the peak was not in +0.8% pending Sep 19 in zone
Aug 15 ITA pass research no entry 2.69% off a 52-week high with RSI 64.4; the wrapper prices the primes, not the drone chain a pullback into the $239.75-$243.94 moving-average band forces a re-look — as a defense position, not a drone one -12.2% pending Sep 30 open
Aug 15 UMAC watch research a pullback that bases in $21-$24, where the value-area high ($21.09), 50-day ($22.47) and 20-day ($23.21) converge; never the parabola a close below $18.50, or a third straight quarter of widening operating loss on higher revenue -23.3% pending Oct 9 open
Aug 8 SLV watch research the laggard of the complex at 9.8% below its 200-day ($63.76) — a reclaim of that line is what would confirm bullion joining the miners loses the 50-day ($56.64), leaving the week a miner-only move +0.8% pending Sep 11 broken
Jul 31 HAL avoid research not a trend-hold candidate yet — wait for a base and a reclaim of the 50-day (~$36.18) before treating any bounce as more than a dead-cat pop n/a — the condition to flip constructive is the 50-day reclaim above; a fresh 52-week low confirms the derate instead +11.6% pending Sep 11 open
Jul 18 CLMT pass research RSI 83 on 2.7x volume, +165% in a year — parabolic-chaser material, not trend-hold; reopen only on a first pullback that holds $36.99 (20-day) with volume drying up n/a — not owned; wrong if $36.99 holds on the first test and the trend resumes +7.2% pending Sep 4 open
Jul 18 DK pass research reopen if it builds a multi-week base above the 20-day ($52.58) and resumes — a small refiner +53% in 30 days and +20% over its own 20-day is the gap, not the setup n/a — not owned; the pass is wrong (and will be scored wrong) if that base forms and the resumption runs without us -0.1% pending Sep 4 open
Jul 18 MPC watch research the lane's quality large-cap; interest begins on the first pullback that HOLDS the 20-day ($272.00) after the Aug 4 print validates Q2 margins — at +15% above the 20-day, buying today buys the gap a close below the 50-day ($261.52) breaks the momentum regime and the lane read resets +9.5% pending Aug 21 open
Jul 18 PANW watch research the lane's strongest structure (-2.7% from its 52-week high, +83% on the year); first pullback that holds the 20-day ($327.50) after this +10% week a close below the 50-day ($283.88) breaks the momentum regime for the lane's leader +3.6% pending Sep 4 open
Jul 18 S watch research the laggard catching up (+30% in 30 days, still only +9% on the year and -8.6% from its high); after this week's +9.5% the entry is the first pullback that HOLDS the 20-day ($17.39) — chasing 12.5% above it buys the gap a close below the 50-day ($16.85) — the 20 and 50 sit close together here, so a failed hold resolves the read fast +8.0% pending Sep 10 open
Jul 17 CCJ watch research washed out at RSI 30 — wait for the $84 shelf to hold and a first higher low; the 50-day (~$105) reclaim is the confirmation, not the entry the $84 shelf fails — then the fuel-cycle unwind has further to run +11.2% pending Sep 15 open
Jul 17 LEU watch research only after a full-quarter base — the enrichment monopoly story is intact but the stock is in a −68%-from-high collapse; a 50-day (~$177) reclaim after a multi-week base is the earliest signal worth acting on HALEU contract flow stalls, or the base never forms and lower lows continue +14.0% pending Oct 1 in zone
Jul 9 CBRS watch research a close above the post-flush bounce high ($221.30) confirms the higher low and resolves the debut range up — the first clean post-debut base signal, not the open a finish under the flush low ($160.81) — no base; the debut air pocket is still open +13.0% -15.2% Aug 31 in zone
Jul 9 MSFT watch research no turn signature yet — interest begins at the 200-day reclaim (~$442) after a base; until then this is a falling mega-cap, not a setup a finish under the June 25 low ($352.83) opens a fresh leg down and resets the whole watch +28.8% +34.4% Oct 1 in zone
Jul 9 ORCL pass research reopen when the knife stops: the February low ($136) holds on this retest AND a +7% week prints off it — the bottom-pop signature the desk buys, instead of the falling edge it doesn't n/a — not owned; the pass is wrong (and will be scored wrong) if this retest of $136 holds and becomes the durable low +1.9% -3.9% Oct 1 open
Jul 8 AXTI pass research reopen only if it bases above its 200-day (~$42.55) for a full quarter AND revenue inflects — a collapsed 25x parabolic with sub-$100M revenue and operating losses is a lottery aftermath, not a trend n/a — not owned; the pass is wrong if the substrate cycle produces a durable base and profitability +43.6% +35.3% Oct 1 open
Jul 8 CIFR pass research reopen only on revenue inflecting up AND visible de-leveraging of the $4.4B debt stack n/a — not owned; the pass is wrong if hosting revenue ramps against falling leverage -25.1% -33.6% Oct 1 open
Jul 8 CRDO buy research elite fundamentals (33% operating margin on $1.34B FY26 revenue) with the least-damaged tape in the sweep — already flagging under its 20-day; buy the reclaim (~$255.50) a finish under the 200-day (~$160) — until then pullbacks are digestion in an intact uptrend -7.1% -19.2% Sep 15 broken
Jul 8 CRWV pass research reopen only on a financing regime change — interest expense stabilizing while revenue keeps compounding, and a reclaimed $98–100 (the point-of-control / 200-day cluster) n/a — not owned; the pass is wrong if CRWV re-rates through $100 on improving coverage -3.0% -2.6% Oct 1 open
Jul 8 EQT watch research the fundamentals are the best in the sweep (net income nearly quadrupled in two quarters) but the tape trades below its 200-day — watch for the reclaim of the ~$55.60 cluster (50-day, 200-day, one-year VWAP) gas strip rolling over while price stays below the 200-day through the October print -2.7% -2.0% Oct 1 in zone
Jul 8 HUT pass research reopen on a financed capacity deal that closes the gap between $160M of cash and gigawatt-scale ambitions n/a — not owned; the pass is wrong if the power-first strategy lands funding without heavy dilution -20.3% -17.6% Oct 1 open
Jul 8 OKTA pass research the rotation's confirming leader — but RSI 78 and 3% off its high is chasing; reopen on the first orderly pullback that holds the 50-day n/a — not owned; the pass is a timing pass, not a thesis pass -2.7% +44.5% Sep 15 open
Jul 8 WDAY watch research the earnings proof-point of the rotation (beat + raised subscription guide) but still in a downtrend, 43% off its high — watch for a base; this is a lane signal, not yet an entry the bounce fades below the June low with the lane's 7-day breadth rolling back under 50% +26.6% +30.8% Sep 15 open
Jul 6 ZM watch research 2 consecutive quarters of accelerating revenue; base over $92 revenue still flat through the Q3 FY27 print, or a breakdown below the $77.50 March low +16.0% +7.1% Sep 1 in zone
Jul 5 STX buy research own the cleanest un-hyped inflection — Seagate's company-wide GAAP operating margin compounding 23%→32% over four consecutive quarters (fiscal Q4 2025 to Q3 2026) on AI nearline-storage demand; Seagate reports no separate nearline margin Seagate's quarterly GAAP operating margin (operating income ÷ revenue, as filed) fails to rise for two consecutive quarters, or DRAM ASP momentum turns negative (the cycle tell) -5.3% -1.0% Sep 1 open

Call record

Every desk call, oldest first, graded at 30 / 90 / 180 / 365 calendar days from publication. A cell is the excess return versus SPY, signed by stance — positive means the call was right (a buy that beat SPY, an avoid/trim/sell that lagged it). Green right, red wrong, grey pending. Watch and pass calls are logged, not scored: their cells show the raw excess versus SPY, uncoloured. The recommendation view grades every call from publication; the trade view grades only calls that named both an entry trigger and a stop, from the day the entry fired to the stop or the window's end — a dash means the call described no trade. The scoreboard reads each group as right/graded · mean signed excess; n counts every call in the group.

30d90d180d365d
Stance avoid 1 0/1 · -11.6%pendingpendingpending
Stance buy 21 10/21 · -1.3%3/11 · -8.0%pendingpending
Stance pass 29 loggedloggedloggedlogged
Stance sell 0 pendingpendingpendingpending
Stance trim 0 pendingpendingpendingpending
Stance watch 104 loggedloggedloggedlogged
Source type industry-report 11 7/11 · +2.9%pendingpendingpending
Source type weekly 11 3/11 · -6.5%3/11 · -8.0%pendingpending
Lane (none) 10 7/10 · +4.4%pendingpendingpending
Lane ai-capex-digestion 1 1/1 · +7.2%0/1 · -4.2%pendingpending
Lane ai-power-bottleneck 7 2/7 · -7.6%2/7 · -8.7%pendingpending
Lane memory-supercycle 3 0/3 · -8.3%1/3 · -7.6%pendingpending
Lane optical-supercycle 5 2/5 · -5.7%1/5 · -12.6%pendingpending
Lane physical-ai-robotics 5 2/5 · -5.7%1/5 · -12.6%pendingpending
Lane us-energy-dominance 1 0/1 · -11.6%pendingpendingpending
30d90d180d365d
Stance avoid 0 pendingpendingpendingpending
Stance buy 8 1/6 · -11.4%0/3 · -28.9%0/2 · -37.7%0/2 · -37.7%
Stance pass 29 loggedloggedloggedlogged
Stance sell 0 pendingpendingpendingpending
Stance trim 0 pendingpendingpendingpending
Stance watch 104 loggedloggedloggedlogged
Source type industry-report 1 1/1 · +2.5%pendingpendingpending
Source type weekly 7 0/5 · -14.2%0/3 · -28.9%0/2 · -37.7%0/2 · -37.7%
Lane (none) 1 1/1 · +2.5%pendingpendingpending
Lane ai-power-bottleneck 7 0/5 · -14.2%0/3 · -28.9%0/2 · -37.7%0/2 · -37.7%
Lane optical-supercycle 5 0/4 · -16.0%0/3 · -28.9%0/2 · -37.7%0/2 · -37.7%
Lane physical-ai-robotics 5 0/4 · -16.0%0/3 · -28.9%0/2 · -37.7%0/2 · -37.7%

Targets Book

Open target rows come from the calendar targets projection; subtype distinguishes entry zones, stop losses, profit targets, and desk-call tracking rows.

Level / conditionSource
Oct 9 CEG desk-call watch: a pullback that holds above the 200-day average ($286.14 at the Oct 9 close) while RSI cools below 55, then a settled close above $300.40 (the Oct 6 close on the Google agreement); invalidation: a settled close below the 200-day average, or a third-quarter report (expected around Nov 9, provider date) that does not confirm the Google agreement's terms; review by 2026-11-13 WATCH source
Oct 9 GNRC entry-zone $212-$219 on a pullback that holds (stop: settled close below $198; first target ~$296) APPROACHING source
Oct 2 CF stop-loss $104 HOLDING source
Oct 2 LITE desk-call watch: a flag that holds above the 20-day average ($941.73 at the Oct 2 close) while RSI cools below 60, then a close at a new 52-week high; invalidation: a close below the 50-day ($879.03) or fiscal Q1 2027 revenue below the $1.225B guide low end at the report expected around Nov 5; review by 2026-11-06 WATCH source
Sep 29 AMD entry-zone $545-$560 APPROACHING source
Sep 29 LLY entry-zone $1160-$1197 IN ZONE source
Sep 29 PANW entry-zone $362-$378 APPROACHING source
Sep 28 NVDA entry-zone $237-$245 APPROACHING source
Sep 25 AMZN entry-zone $242-$247 APPROACHING source
Sep 25 BE entry-zone $256-$273 APPROACHING source
Sep 25 NET entry-zone $325-$340 APPROACHING source
Sep 25 PLTR entry-zone $194.68-$199 APPROACHING source
Sep 23 NTRA entry-zone $343-$360 APPROACHING source
Sep 23 SDGR entry-zone $23-$26 APPROACHING source
Sep 22 FTNT entry-zone $166-$174 APPROACHING source
Sep 22 META entry-zone $670-$690 APPROACHING source
Sep 22 OKTA entry-zone $176-$184 APPROACHING source
Sep 22 ZS entry-zone $188-$198 APPROACHING source
Sep 18 DBA desk-call watch: DBA back over its 50-day ($28.24) with RSI above 50, confirmed by a positive food-at-home month in the September CPI released 2026-10-14; invalidation: loses the 200-day ($27.04) or a second flat-to-negative food-at-home month; review by 2026-10-14 WATCH source
Sep 18 MSTR desk-call watch: not this print — MSTR holds $137.04 (its 200-day) and $134.95 (the nearest support shelf) through a giveback with bitcoin above $79,138.49; invalidation: MSTR closes back under $137.04 or bitcoin loses $79,138.49; review by 2026-10-02 WATCH source
Sep 17 SPCX desk-call watch a confirmed close above the $156.87 range high (base breakout) vs a close back under the $147.62 volume shelf (setup failed) — levels named by the 2026-09-17 deep dive; the lock-up supply calendar is in the body WATCH source
Sep 11 ORCL desk-call watch the $167.64 200-day reclaim (bullish) vs a $140.68 50-day loss (bearish) — the financing-test levels named by the 09-11 company profile WATCH source
Sep 6 AMAT desk-call WAIT: close above $489.46 (20-day average); Reclaim/flag plus current orders, customer spending and export-exposure review; dip volume was not light. Price alone cannot authorize BUY. WATCH source
Sep 6 COHR desk-call WAIT: close above $299.22 (20-day average); Reclaim/flag plus supplier allocation and margin verification; dip distribution elevated. Price alone cannot authorize BUY. WATCH source
Sep 6 GEV desk-call WAIT: close above $971.98 (20-day average); Reclaim after initial pop and hold a flag; jagged blocks BUY. Price alone cannot authorize BUY. WATCH source
Sep 6 GLW desk-call WAIT: close above $154.59 (Sept 4 high; SMA20 already reclaimed); NEW flag plus issuer demand, capacity and margin evidence. Price alone cannot authorize BUY. WATCH source
Sep 6 IREN desk-call WAIT: close above $45.66 (200-day average); Long-average reclaim and held flag; later delivery/funding remain conditional. Price alone cannot authorize BUY. WATCH source
Sep 6 LRCX desk-call WAIT: close above $312.76 (20-day average); Reclaim/flag plus current orders, memory spending and capacity evidence. Price alone cannot authorize BUY. WATCH source
Sep 6 MRVL desk-call WAIT: close above $224.58 (20-day average); Reclaim/flag plus current design-win conversion, demand and margin verification; dip volume not light. Price alone cannot authorize BUY. WATCH source
Sep 6 MU desk-call BUY while the cleared 989.96 flag ceiling holds; losing it returns the entry to WAIT for a new confirmed reclaim. Historical-pattern admission; strict current-RSI screen remains EXTENDED. WATCH source
Sep 6 NBIS desk-call WAIT: close above $226.58 (Sept 4 high; SMA20 already reclaimed); New post-rebound flag; verify later financing/dilution terms. Price alone cannot authorize BUY. WATCH source
Sep 6 SNDK desk-call WAIT: close above $1740.00 (Sept 4 high; SMA20 already reclaimed); Strict close above reference after a NEW flag; Friday jump alone is not a flag. Price alone cannot authorize BUY. WATCH source
Sep 6 SOXX desk-call WAIT: close above $523.42 (20-day average; first reclaim reference, not575.88 pivot); Reclaim then flag; current fund exposures and constituent thesis admission required; no scheduled accumulation. Price alone cannot authorize BUY. WATCH source
Sep 6 TSM desk-call WAIT: close above $461.47 (established pivot); Settled volume-supported breakout plus current company capacity, demand and margin review; local flag ceiling was not cleared Friday. Price alone cannot authorize BUY. WATCH source
Sep 6 VRT desk-call WAIT: close above $280.99 (Sept 4 high; SMA20 already reclaimed); NEW flag plus current issuer orders, backlog conversion and margin evidence. Price alone cannot authorize BUY. WATCH source
Sep 6 WDC desk-call WAIT: close above $468.19 (Sept 4 high; SMA20 already reclaimed); NEW flag plus current allocation, pricing and capacity evidence. Price alone cannot authorize BUY. WATCH source
Sep 4 GD desk-call watch: holds the 200-day ($354.53) on a closing basis; a confirmed close below invalidates WATCH source
Sep 4 LASR desk-call watch: a base forms and LASR reclaims the deep-dive $58-$65 zone from below on a confirmed higher low; $50 remains the line the deep dive calls thesis-broken WATCH source
Sep 4 PPA desk-call watch: reclaims the 200-day ($170.51) with RSI back above 40 WATCH source
Sep 4 RTX desk-call watch: the 200-day cushion ($193.09, currently +4.0%) — does it hold or does RTX join GD/PPA below the line WATCH source
Aug 28 ARM entry-zone <$166.15 APPROACHING source
Aug 28 AVGO entry-zone <$352.12 APPROACHING source
Aug 28 GDX desk-call watch (trend-hold): the confirming leg — a pullback that holds the 200-day WATCH source
Aug 28 GLD desk-call watch: close back above \$414.79 (the 200-day) holding a full week confirms whipsaw; below that, no entry WATCH source
Aug 28 MKSI desk-call watch: reclaims its 200-day (\$259.70) with RSI back above 45 WATCH source
Aug 28 SIL desk-call watch (trend-hold): same shape as GDX, 11.5% above its 200-day WATCH source