MARKET CONTEXT: VOO $623.80 (-2.0% 30D) | QQQM $250.21 (-0.6% 30D) | VIXY $29.53 (stale 03/03, was RSI 65) | GLD $472.53 (+2.2% 30D)
REGIME: SLOW GRIND LOWER, CLOUD BOUNCE. VOO tested $609 intraday on 03/09 before bouncing. QQQ outperforming (-0.6% vs -2.0%). Cloud/SaaS V-shape confirmed. UPDATE 03/10: Bulk data refresh resolved 16 pending actions. Major finding: most "extreme oversold" entries (ISRG, ORCL, CRDO, HUBS, VEEV, NFLX) already recovered — stale data masked the bounces. VIXY RSI 58 still elevated, no all-clear. BTC safe. Best new setups: CLX $110-$118 (RSI 34, defensive quality), TEAM $68-73 retest (RSI 46, deep dive candidate). AS approaching stop — hold, don't add. Zero golden signals persist.
Entry Zones (IN ZONE NOW)
EXTREME OVERSOLD (RSI < 20) - Capitulation Territory
| Stock |
Current |
Zone |
RSI |
30D Chg |
Source |
Action |
Notes |
| LEGN |
$17.20 |
Avoid |
8 |
-27.1% |
biotech-scan |
❌ Don't Buy |
RETURNING (4th week). RSI <10 for 4 consecutive scans. Zero bounce. Competition from J&J. Thesis broken. |
OVERSOLD (RSI 20-30) - Strong Entry Zone
| Stock |
Current |
Zone |
RSI |
30D Chg |
Source |
Action |
Notes |
| SAP |
$196.98 |
<$202 |
40 |
-18.1% |
bargain-bin |
📈 Accumulate |
UPDATED 03/10. RSI recovered to 40, still weak. Global ERP king. Monitor for re-entry if RSI dips below 30 again. |
| UNH |
$293.19 |
<$298 |
29 |
-12.5% |
bargain-bin |
📈 Accumulate |
RETURNING. DATA STALE (02/13). Managed care giant, bounced +6% 7D. Approaching bottom. |
| CLX |
$115.50 |
$110-$118 |
34 |
-6.6% |
defensive-scan |
✅ Strong Buy |
UPDATED 03/10. Tariff/input cost fears sector-wide, not company-specific. Hammer candle suggests selling exhaustion. Entry zone $110-$118. Defensive quality. |
| AS |
$34.83 |
— |
21 |
-15.2% |
holdings |
⚠️ WARNING |
UPDATED 03/10. Weak Q1 guidance, China overhang. Thesis bruised but not broken. Approaching $30.71 stop. Hold with tight leash. DO NOT ADD. |
WATCHING - Recovered, Monitor for Re-entry
| Stock |
Current |
Zone |
RSI |
Source |
Action |
Notes |
| TEAM |
$79.31 |
$68-$73 on retest |
46 |
tech-insider-buys |
🔍 Watch |
UPDATED 03/10. Still down 15%, at SMA pivot. Deep dive candidate. Most interesting of recovered names. |
APPROACHING OVERSOLD (RSI 30-40) - Watch Closely
| Stock |
Current |
Zone |
RSI |
30D Chg |
Source |
Action |
Notes |
| LOW |
$250.22 |
$240-$255 |
~20-28 est |
-12.1% |
retail-scan |
✅ Strong Buy |
RETURNING. Fresh data 03/09. Continued decline from RSI 25 (03/03) — likely deeper oversold now. Home improvement compounder. |
| HD |
$353.56 |
$340-$355 |
~25-30 est |
-9.3% |
retail-scan |
📈 Accumulate |
RETURNING. Fresh data 03/09. 8 of 10 days red. Housing weakness + tariff risk. Pair with LOW. |
| GIS |
$44.85 |
$43-$45 |
30 |
+0.5% |
defensive-scan |
📈 Accumulate |
RETURNING. DATA STALE (02/26). RSI 30, -3.6% below SMA. ~3.5% dividend yield. Income play. |
| TSLA |
$398.68 |
$370-$400 |
37 |
-6.2% |
pullback-buys, insider-scan |
🔍 Watch |
RETURNING. Fresh data 03/09. RSI declining 42→37. Insider buying +$191M (Elon). Wait for RSI < 30. |
| V |
$314.08 |
$305-$315 |
40 |
-4.4% |
bargain-bin |
🔍 Watch |
RETURNING. DATA STALE (02/13). Payments duopoly rarely oversold. -3.8% below SMA. Set alert at $305. |
| ARKK |
$73.77 |
<$75 |
56 |
-8.6% |
etf-universe |
🔍 Watch |
UPDATED 03/10. Recovered from RSI 24 to 56. Stabilized. No longer oversold — remove urgency. |
Price Alerts (Waiting for Entry)
| Stock |
Alert |
Entry Zone |
Source |
Set Date |
Status |
| ARM |
$110-118, RSI < 35 |
-9.2% 7D, approaching oversold |
nvda-ecosystem |
2026-02-16 |
⏳ IN ZONE — $117.63, sharp selloff creating entry |
| NVDA |
$170-178, RSI < 35 |
Range-bound $176-184 |
nvda-ecosystem |
2026-02-22 |
⏳ Approaching — $182.65, watch $175 |
| TSM |
$330-345 |
-3.6% 30D, foundry monopoly |
nvda-ecosystem |
2026-02-16 |
⏳ IN ZONE — $348.70, at top of range |
| ASML |
$1,280-1,350 |
EUV monopoly in selloff |
ai-scan |
2026-03-03 |
⏳ IN ZONE — $1,357.42, just above range |
| MRVL |
$80-88 after pullback |
+19.9% 7D, don't chase |
ai-infra |
2026-03-03 |
⏳ Waiting — $92.65, extended. Wait for pullback. |
| CEG |
$290-305, RSI < 65 |
Nuclear AI power |
energy, ai-infra |
2026-02-26 |
⏳ Waiting — $322.99, still near 52wk high |
| GOOGL |
$295-308 |
Bounced from $303 lows |
mag7, ai-scan |
2026-03-03 |
⏳ IN ZONE — $306.36, double-bottom forming at $300 |
| NKE |
$53-$57 |
-9.7% 30D, turnaround at risk |
consumer-scan |
2026-03-10 |
⏳ NEW — $56.53, 7 straight weeks of selling |
| DDOG pullback |
$115-$120 |
V-shaped recovery +15.7% 7D |
cloud-etfs |
2026-03-10 |
⏳ NEW — $128.56, extended. Wait for consolidation. |
| NET pullback |
$180-$190 |
Breaking $200, extended |
cloud-etfs |
2026-03-10 |
⏳ NEW — $201.48, overbought. Wait for dip. |
| INTU pullback |
$440-$450 |
+13% 7D, overbought |
cloud-etfs |
2026-03-10 |
⏳ NEW — $473.67, do not chase |
Exit Alerts (Holdings)
| Stock |
Alert |
Type |
Entry |
Current |
P&L |
Set Date |
Status |
| NET |
$160 (raised) |
Stop-loss |
$177.38 avg |
$201.48 |
+13.6% |
2026-01-26 |
🟢 Running — 25.9% above stop. Best performer. Consider partial at $230 (+30%). |
| IQV |
$140 |
Stop-loss (-15%) |
$164.63 |
$173.61 |
+5.5% |
— |
🟢 Recovered — RSI 52, no longer emergency oversold. 24% above stop. |
| AS |
$30.71 |
Stop-loss (-15%) |
$36.13 |
$34.83 |
-3.6% |
— |
🟠 WARNING — RSI 21, approaching stop. Thesis bruised (weak Q1, China). Hold, don't add. |
| BTC |
$82,673 |
Stop-loss |
— |
$71,321 |
— |
2026-02-03 |
🟢 SAFE — BTC well below stop (long position, stop below entry). No action needed. |
| PLTR |
$119 |
Stop-loss (-15%) |
$140.04 |
$156.43 |
+11.7% |
— |
🟢 Running — 31.5% above stop. Strong rally. |
| SHOP |
$95 |
Stop-loss (-15%) |
$112.39 |
$133.50 |
+18.8% |
— |
🟢 Running — Approaching +30% target ($146). Watch for partial profit. |
| VOO |
— |
Core position |
$628.94 |
$623.80 |
-0.8% |
— |
🟡 Slight drawdown. DCA only. Watch $609 support. |
| WMT |
$109 |
Stop-loss (-15%) |
$128.07 |
$124.34 |
-2.9% |
2026-02-03 |
🟡 Turned negative. 14.2% above stop. Defensive name weakening. |
| AMZN |
— |
Core hold |
$204.53 |
$213.49 |
+4.4% |
— |
🟢 Above entry. AWS + retail defensive. |
| CRM |
— |
Watch |
$190.96 |
$198.15 [stale 02/26] |
+3.8% |
— |
🟢 Above entry. RSI 57 recovering. |
Sector Rotation Signals
| Signal |
Trigger |
What It Means |
Status |
| Cloud/SaaS V-shape |
DDOG +15.7%, NET +11.3%, INTU +13%, CRWD +12.8% 7D |
Growth rotation back in play. Cloud sector confirmed bottom. Risk-on signal. |
🟢 ACTIVE — Ride, don't chase |
| VOO slow bleed |
$623.80, -2.0% 30D, tested $609 intraday |
Not capitulation but trend is down. $609 = new key support. |
🟡 ACTIVE — Watch $609 |
| Defensives cracking |
CLX -10.6% 7D, PG -4.6%, XLP RSI 80 overbought |
Safe haven trade unwinding. Consumer staples selling off. |
🟡 NEW — Contrarian entries forming |
| Home improvement collapse |
LOW -12.1%, HD -9.3% 30D |
Sector-wide housing weakness. Oversold entries forming. |
🟢 ACTIVE — Entry zone |
| Semi correction |
ARM -9.2% 7D, TSM -3.6%, ASML -4.0% 30D |
Semiconductor supply chain under pressure. NVDA holding better. |
🟡 Forming — ARM best setup |
| QQQ > VOO |
QQQ -0.6% vs VOO -2.0% 30D |
Tech outperforming broad market. Growth > Value rotation. |
🟢 ACTIVE |
| Safe haven persistence |
GLD +2.2% 30D, TLT +3.7% 30D |
Gold and bonds still bid. Flight-to-safety intact. |
🟢 ACTIVE |
| Energy/staples overbought |
XLE RSI 79, XLP RSI 80 |
Most overbought sectors. Mean reversion likely. Don't chase. |
🔴 TRIM — Don't add |
| EM outperformance |
EEM +6% 30D, RSI 69 |
China/EM rally real but getting stretched. Hold, don't chase. |
🟢 Active — Hold |
Insider Activity Summary
| Signal |
Stocks |
Implication |
| 🔴 ZERO GOLDEN SIGNALS |
None (ASAN recovered from RSI 15 to ~50) |
No RSI<30 + insider buying combo. Bearish: no validated bottoms. |
| 🟢 BUYING |
TSLA (+$191M), CRSP (+$27M), ASAN (+$8.3M) |
Only 3 stocks with net buying. TSLA approaching oversold (RSI 37). CRSP bounced +20%. |
| 🔴 SELLING INTO DIP (RSI<30) |
PANW (-$1.8B), SOFI (-$650M), META (-$374M), AFRM (-$327M), TMO (-$310M), U (-$282M), HIMS (-$184M), ZS (-$174M) |
8 stocks with insiders dumping at oversold levels. Do NOT bottom-fish these. |
| 🔴 HEAVY SELLING |
AMZN (-$10.9B), LLY (-$4.8B), PLTR (-$3.7B), NVDA (-$3B), NFLX (-$1.3B), SNOW (-$1.2B), AVGO (-$1.1B) |
Massive distribution. Insiders NOT buying the dip across the board. |
| 🔴 POSTURE |
43 stocks selling, 3 buying |
Broadest bearish insider posture persists. No all-clear. |
Pending Research Actions
| Action |
Source |
Priority |
Status |
| Fetch fresh ISRG, ORCL, SAP, ADBE prices |
bargain-bin |
CRITICAL |
✅ Done — ISRG RSI 42, ORCL RSI 44, SAP RSI 40, ADBE RSI 58. All recovered from extreme oversold. Removed from entry zones. |
| Fetch fresh BTC price |
holdings |
CRITICAL |
✅ Done — BTC at $71,321, well below $82,673 stop. Safe. |
| Fetch fresh IQV price |
holdings |
CRITICAL |
✅ Done — IQV recovered to RSI 52, $173.61. No longer emergency oversold. |
| Research AS -15.2% 30D |
holdings |
HIGH |
✅ Done — AS at $34.83, RSI 21. Thesis bruised (weak Q1, China) but not broken. Hold, respect $30.71 stop. Don't add. |
| Verify NFLX current price |
bargain-bin, insider |
HIGH |
✅ Done — NFLX at $96.93, RSI 81 OVERBOUGHT. +24% bounce played out. Don't chase. Removed from entry zones. |
| Research CLX -10.6% 7D |
defensive-scan |
HIGH |
✅ Done — CLX at $115.50, RSI 34. Tariff/input cost fears sector-wide. Hammer candle = selling exhaustion. Entry zone $110-$118. |
| Research HUBS RSI 16 |
tech-insider-buys |
HIGH |
✅ Done — STALE DATA. HUBS already at $270.63, RSI 57. Opportunity passed. Removed from entry zones. |
| Research CRDO RSI 9 |
tech-insider-buys |
HIGH |
✅ Done — CRDO at $114.55, RSI 41. Bounced 24% off $92.60 low. Capitulation over. Watch $95-105 retest. Removed from entry zones. |
| Research VEEV RSI 22 |
tech-insider-buys |
MEDIUM |
✅ Done — VEEV at $189.48, RSI 59. Recovery complete, above SMA. Window closed. Removed from entry zones. |
| Research TEAM RSI 28 |
tech-insider-buys |
MEDIUM |
✅ Done — TEAM at $79.31, RSI 46. Still down 15%, at SMA pivot. Deep dive candidate. Entry zone $68-73 on retest. Moved to Watching. |
| Monitor NET stop-loss |
holdings |
MEDIUM |
✅ Done — raised to $160 in exit alerts |
| SHOP approaching +30% target ($129.94, 89% to $146 target) |
holdings |
MEDIUM |
⏳ Watching — hold, approaching target |
| Monitor VIXY |
market-pulse |
MEDIUM |
✅ Done — VIXY at $30.26, RSI 58. STILL ELEVATED above 50. No all-clear. |
| Fetch ARKK fresh data |
etf-universe |
MEDIUM |
✅ Done — ARKK at $73.77, RSI 56. Recovered from RSI 24. Stabilized. |
| IDXX RSI 17.6 stale |
ideas/cattle |
LOW |
✅ Done — IDXX at $606.02, RSI 40. Rolling over again, -4.8% 7D. Watch. |
| Fetch missing: SOFI, RKLB, CRDO, HUBS, VEEV, TEAM |
various |
LOW |
✅ Done — All fetched. Data coverage expanded. |
The Gold
Key Discoveries
| Discovery |
Implication |
| ISRG recovered to RSI 42 — generational oversold window closed |
Surgical robotics monopoly bounced. The RSI 9 entry was real but data was stale. Lesson: fetch faster. |
| Cloud/SaaS V-shape confirmed: DDOG +15.7%, NET +11.3%, INTU +13% 7D |
Growth rotation is real and accelerating. Portfolio cloud bets (NET +13.6%, WCLD +6.9%) validated. |
| HUBS, CRDO, VEEV all recovered — stale data masked the bounce |
All three went from extreme/oversold RSIs to 41-57. Opportunities passed. Fresh data is non-negotiable. |
| CLX $115.50, RSI 34 — confirmed entry zone $110-$118 |
Tariff/input cost fears sector-wide, hammer candle = selling exhaustion. Best new defensive entry. |
| TEAM at $79.31, RSI 46 — most interesting recovery setup |
Still down 15%, at SMA pivot. Deep dive candidate. Entry zone $68-73 on retest. |
| Zero golden signals persist |
No high-conviction insider-validated entries. Broad insider pessimism = no floor yet. |
| Portfolio +3.8% ($38.8K) while VOO -0.8% |
Cloud/tech stock-picking alpha vs index. NET +12.7%, SHOP +9.4% weekly driving outperformance. |
| BTC safe at $71,321 — false alarm resolved |
Stop at $82,673 was never at risk (long position, stop below). Data staleness created unnecessary panic. |
| NFLX RSI 81 — OVERBOUGHT after +24% bounce |
Don't chase. The oversold entry is long gone. |
| AS approaching stop at $30.71 — RSI 21, thesis bruised |
Weak Q1 guidance + China overhang. Hold with tight leash, do not add. |
Sources
14 sector scans, 1 holdings file, 11 candidate files, and 3 ideas files, all dated 2026-03-10, plus 19 deep-dive files. OHLC cross-checked against validated daily closes. Previous actions: 2026-03-03-actions.md. Updated with bulk research resolution (16 items resolved).
Price truth: validated daily summaries (summaries).