Daily Actions
Article
Daily Actions
MARKET CONTEXT: SPY $648.60 (-5.9% 30D, RSI 29.6) | QQQM $239.61 (-4.4% 30D, RSI 34) | VIXY $34.44 (+25.7% 30D, RSI 60.9) | GLD $417.36 (-10.9% 30D, RSI 30.8)
REGIME: ENERGY SHOCK / DEMAND DESTRUCTION INFLECTION. Oil still parabolic (USO RSI 75.2, +51.6% 30D) but gold has CRASHED (-10.9% 30D, RSI 30.8) — zero safe havens working except the dollar (UUP RSI 59.6). Market now pricing the consequence of the oil spike: SPY RSI 29.6, DIA RSI 25.1, XLB RSI 24.4, XLV RSI 26.7. Seven out of 11 sectors below RSI 33. Three portfolio positions in extreme oversold crisis (AS below stop, MDT RSI 25, TAC RSI 13). Five NEW high-conviction oversold entries: ABBV RSI 27.6 (dividend aristocrat), LLY RSI 30 (GLP-1 leader), LOW RSI 22.4 (home improvement capitulation), GE RSI 29 (aerospace compounder), GDX RSI 25.5 (miners at 1Y trough). Monster scan rebounded to 43 names — energy dominates (13 names). Memory (MU/WDC/STX) the most durable theme. ARM +15.2% week is the standout mover.
Entry Zones (IN ZONE NOW)
EXTREME OVERSOLD (RSI < 20) — Capitulation Territory
| Stock | Current | Zone | RSI | 30D Chg | Source | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDA | $46.60 | Watch only | 19.4 | -12.8% | macro-commodities, geopolitical | 🔍 Watch | NEW. India oil importer + EM capital flight. Death cross. RSI 19.4 is extreme but falling knife — wait for cross reversal before entry. Could bounce 20-30% when oil peaks. |
| ITB | $87.87 | Watch only | 20.7 | -20.6% | market-pulse, macro-commodities, geopolitical | 🔍 Watch | Housing capitulation deepening (was RSI 22). Two weeks at capitulation. RSI historically marks tradeable bottoms but requires energy peak catalyst first. Do NOT enter without macro turn. |
OVERSOLD (RSI 20-30) — Strong Entry Zone
| Stock | Current | Zone | RSI | 30D Chg | Source | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDT | $86.32 | $83-$90 | 25 | -10.9% | healthcare, holdings, deep-dive | ✅ Accumulate | HELD POSITION (-11.5%). RSI 25, stop $83. Only 3.9% above stop. Deep dive $79 hard floor. RSI has dropped from 22→11 on raw OHLC — deepening extreme. Hold but DO NOT ADD below stop. |
| XHB | $95.83 | $90-$98 | 22.5 | -19.4% | market-pulse, macro-commodities | 🔍 Watch | Homebuilder ETF extended capitulation. RSI 22.5, -10.4% below SMA20. Watch only — needs oil reversal catalyst. |
| LOW | $224.93 | $218-$228 | 22.4 | -19.8% | retail, bargain-bin | ✅ Strong Buy | NEW. Home improvement capitulation — deepened from RSI 25 on 03/13 to 22.4 now. Quality compounder with buybacks and dividend growth. Stop below $215. Tiny position only. |
| DIA | $455.30 | $440-$460 | 25.1 | -8.2% | market-pulse | ✅ Accumulate | NEW. Dow Jones deep oversold RSI 25.1 — mean reversion setup. Below SMA20. Broad market entry alongside SPY. |
| GDX | $79.20 | $76-$82 | 25.5 | -25.5% | macro-commodities, bargain-bin, geopolitical | ✅ Accumulate | NEW. Gold miners at RSI 25.5, -22% below SMA20 after gold crashed. If oil peaks, GDX rips 30-50% from current levels. Requires energy peak conviction. Best asymmetric setup in scan. |
| XLV | $145.06 | $140-$148 | 26.7 | -7.5% | market-pulse | ✅ Accumulate | NEW. Healthcare sector ETF at deep oversold RSI 26.7. -5.5% below SMA20. Defensive sector at discount. |
| NKE | $52.52 | $50-$54 | 26.7 | -19.2% | consumer, retail, bargain-bin | 🔍 Watch | Persistent capitulation — RSI 25→26.7. Structural death cross, -34.5% from 52wk high. Turnaround jeopardized but RSI at historic lows. Tiny starter only, stop $49. |
| VYM | $145.30 | $143-$148 | 26.1 | -6.6% | bargain-bin | ✅ Accumulate | NEW. Vanguard dividend yield ETF at RSI 26.1. Quality dividend exposure at rare oversold. Add in tranches. |
| ABBV | $204.75 | $198-$210 | 27.6 | -8.9% | bargain-bin, insider-scan | ✅ Strong Buy | NEW GOLDEN SIGNAL. AbbVie dividend aristocrat, Skyrizi/Rinvoq replacing Humira — RSI 27.6 is a historically rare extreme for this quality. 5%+ yield. Add in tranches. Key support at $200. |
| XLB | $46.94 | $44-$48 | 24.4 | -11.4% | market-pulse | 🔍 Watch | Materials capitulation RSI 24.4, -7.4% below SMA20. Infrastructure catalyst would trigger bounce. Watch only. |
| VGK | $79.06 | $76-$82 | 25.7 | -12.2% | macro-commodities | 🔍 Watch | NEW. Developed Europe approaching capitulation RSI 25.7. Energy price shock direct hit. Watch for floor signal. |
| XLP | $81.49 | $78-$83 | 29.7 | -7.3% | market-pulse | ✅ Accumulate | NEW. Consumer staples near oversold RSI 29.7. Recession hedge + dividend yield. High quality sector. |
| GE | $284.40 | $278-$290 | 29 | -17.0% | bargain-bin, monster-scan | ✅ Accumulate | NEW. GE Aerospace post-spin compounder — +300% 3Y run giving back -17% 30D. RSI 29 at deepest pullback since spinoff. Jet engine duopoly thesis intact. Secular monster (RSI 29 in Monster scan). |
| JEPI | $56.07 | $55-$57 | 29 | -5.2% | bargain-bin | ✅ Accumulate | NEW. JPMorgan covered-call income ETF near oversold RSI 29. Low-beta defensive income. Best defensive yield ETF in scan. |
| SYK | $335.30 | $328-$338 | 32 | -11.8% | healthcare | 🔍 Watch | Med-tech quality compounder at oversold. Death cross confirmed. RSI 32, -17.2% from 52wk high. Interesting below $330. Quality franchise — patience play. |
| BA | $193.91 | DO NOT BUY | 27.9 | -16.4% | defense-contractors | ❌ Avoid | RSI 27.9 with structural decline. -11.5% below SMA200. Not a defense play — turnaround story. Avoid. |
| EWG | $38.17 | Watch | 24.6 | -13.9% | macro-commodities | 🔍 Watch | Germany RSI 24.6 — energy import shock direct hit. Near capitulation. Watch for floor. |
APPROACHING OVERSOLD (RSI 30-40) — Watch Closely
| Stock | Current | Zone | RSI | 30D Chg | Source | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LLY | $903.48 | $890-$920 | 30 | -10.5% | bargain-bin, biotech, healthcare, insider-scan, monster-scan | ✅ Strong Buy | NEW. First real oversold signal for GLP-1 leader in 3+ years. RSI 30, -16% 3M. Secular winner at rare discount. Secular monster (RSI 30 in Monster scan). +423% 5Y. DCA opportunity. |
| MSFT | $381.95 | $375-$390 | 32.1 | -3.9% | ai-scan, bargain-bin, mag7 | 🔍 Research | Death cross + strong-down trend. RSI 32.1. Azure AI thesis intact but structurally weak chart. Needs trend repair before conviction. |
| TSLA | $368.57 | $355-$375 | 31.4 | -10.5% | pullback-buys, consumer | 🔍 Watch | SMA200 break confirmed (-6.5% below). RSI 31.4. Brand/macro headwinds real. Watch for RSI < 28 before tradeable bounce thesis. |
| META | $592.22 | $580-$600 | 32.2 | -9.6% | ai-scan, bargain-bin, mag7 | 🔍 Research | Strong-down death cross. RSI 32.2. AI capex + ad market thesis intact. Approaching entry zone but trend repair needed. |
| XLY | $107.71 | $104-$110 | 27.8 | -8.3% | consumer | 🔍 Watch | Consumer sector ETF at near-capitulation RSI 27.8. Confirms broad consumer weakness — individual stock calls require independent thesis. |
| XLF | $49.00 | $47-$50 | 33.3 | -6.7% | market-pulse | 🔍 Watch | Financials death cross confirmed, RSI 33.3. Cyclical recovery play if rates stabilize. Watch for systemic risk signal. |
| TMO | $472.83 | $460-$480 | 33.7 | -7.4% | biotech, healthcare, bargain-bin | 🔍 Research | Life sciences tools continuation. RSI 33.7, slight bounce from 24 on 03/13 but no conviction. -17.8% 3M. Quality franchise at deep discount if structural thesis holds. |
| IQV | $165.02 | $155-$175 | 38 | -0.4% | holdings | 🔍 Watch | HELD POSITION (+0.24%). RSI 38, -0.4% 30D, flat drift. 17.9% above $140 stop. |
| ISRG | $475.47 | $460-$478 | 38.8 | -5.7% | biotech, healthcare, bargain-bin | 🔍 Watch | Surgical robotics monopoly. RSI 38.8, -18% 3M, death cross. Approaching entry zone below $475. Wait for RSI < 35. |
| AAPL | $247.92 | $240-$252 | 34.7 | -6.3% | mag7 | 🔍 Watch | RSI 34.7, weak-down, golden cross intact. Approaching entry zone. Consumer tech bellwether at discount. |
| SPY | $648.60 | $630-$652 | 29.6 | -5.9% | market-pulse, bargain-bin | ✅ Accumulate | Broad market approaching capitulation RSI 29.6, -4% below SMA20. VOO preferred vehicle. Core market entry zone. |
| GILD | $137.72 | $132-$140 | 37 | -8.5% | healthcare | ✅ Accumulate | NEW. HIV/oncology compounder with golden cross intact. RSI 37, -8.5% 30D. Quality pharma at discount. |
| AMGN | $346.43 | $335-$355 | 35 | -7.6% | healthcare | 🔍 Watch | NEW. Large-cap biotech RSI 35, -7.6% 30D. Approaching oversold. Solid free cash flow franchise. |
| NVDA | $173.85 | $165-$178 | 38.8 | -8.4% | ai-scan, insider-scan, memory | 🔍 Watch | RSI 38.8 down trend. Golden cross at risk. Secular monster (+1294% 5Y) in pullback. Wait for RSI < 35. |
| COPX | $69.14 | $65-$72 | 30.1 | -22.4% | macro-commodities | 🔍 Watch | Copper miners RSI 30.1. Industrial recession signal, -17.6% below SMA20. Buy if RSI < 28 with golden cross intact. |
| PEP | $150.83 | $147-$155 | 31.8 | -7.7% | bargain-bin | ✅ Accumulate | NEW. PepsiCo consumer staples compounder, 3%+ dividend yield. RSI 31.8, -6.3% below SMA20. Rare oversold reading for this quality. |
| GLD | $417.36 | $410-$425 | 30.8 | -10.9% | market-pulse, macro-commodities | 🔍 Watch | Gold crashed from safe-haven to selloff. RSI 30.8, golden cross STILL INTACT. Long-term bull thesis intact (+53.1% 1Y). Approaching entry zone but watch for further breakdown. |
| URA | $45.90 | $43-$47 | 35.9 | -15.6% | macro-commodities | 🔍 Watch | Uranium mid-cycle correction. RSI 35.9, golden cross intact, +202% 5Y. Building entry zone near SMA200 ($44.74). |
| CEG | $287.49 | Watch | 39.7 | -2.4% | ai-scan, energy | ❌ Avoid | Strong-down death cross. Nuclear thesis clearly breaking. -30.4% from 52wk high. Thesis review required before touching. |
Price Alerts (Waiting for Entry)
| Stock | Alert | Entry Zone | Source | Set Date | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARM | RSI < 40 | Custom silicon / AI chip design | nvda-ecosystem, ai-infra | 2026-02-16 | ⏳ Watch OFF — $132.82 RSI 63.7, +15.2% 7D breakout. Do NOT chase. Prior price alert removed. |
| NVDA | $165-175, RSI < 35 | Core AI GPU, golden cross | nvda-ecosystem, ai-scan | 2026-02-22 | ⏳ IN ZONE — $173.85, RSI 38.8. Approaching entry bottom. Wait for RSI < 35 confirmation. |
| TSM | $315-330 | Foundry monopoly, secular bull | nvda-ecosystem, memory | 2026-02-16 | ⏳ IN ZONE — $327.69, RSI 39.1. Near bottom of range. |
| ASML | $1,280-1,320 | EUV monopoly below SMA20 | ai-scan, memory | 2026-03-03 | ⏳ IN ZONE — $1,299.20, RSI 40.7. -11.6% 30D. Approaching oversold. |
| MRVL | Hold/accumulate current | Strong-up golden cross, custom ASICs | ai-infra | 2026-03-03 | ⏳ ACTIVE — $87.54, RSI 54, strong-up. Best AI infra thesis in scan. Accumulate. |
| GOOGL | $293-306 | Secular monster, weak-down | monster-scan | 2026-03-03 | ⏳ IN ZONE — $299.27, RSI 40.1. Golden cross intact. |
| DDOG pullback | $118-$126 | Strong SaaS name, above SMA20 | cloud-etfs | 2026-03-10 | ⏳ IN ZONE — $125.77, RSI 52.2. Above SMA20. |
| NET partial at $231 | +30% target | Position +22.2%, near target | holdings | 2026-03-10 | ⏳ APPROACHING — $216.74, RSI 62.4. $14 from +30% target ($231). Raise stop to $190. |
| ISRG | <$475, RSI < 35 | Surgical robotics monopoly | healthcare, biotech | 2026-03-11 | ⏳ IN ZONE — $475.47, RSI 38.8. Near threshold, approaching entry. |
| RKLB | <$68, RSI < 45 | Golden cross, secular monster +460% 5Y | monster-scan, space | 2026-03-11 | ⏳ IN ZONE — $67.04, RSI 44.4. Held $65 support. Golden cross intact. |
| CRSP | $44-$50 | Gene editing thesis | insider-scan, biotech | 2026-03-11 | ⏳ ACTIVE — $46.40, RSI 36.8. Strong-down death cross — caution. Insider buy signal was only conviction. |
| BTC | $60K-$65K, RSI < 35 | Structural re-entry | crypto-scan | 2026-03-13 | ⏳ Watch — $69,540, RSI 47.4. Above entry zone. Death cross. -25.2% below SMA200. No capitulation signal yet. |
| GDX | $76-$82 | Miners capitulation, gold bull | macro-commodities | 2026-03-20 | ⏳ NEW IN ZONE — $79.20, RSI 25.5. Highest-conviction contrarian setup if oil peaks. |
| ABBV | $198-$210 | Dividend aristocrat oversold | bargain-bin | 2026-03-20 | ✅ NEW IN ZONE — $204.75, RSI 27.6. Strong Buy — add in tranches. |
| LLY | $890-$920 | GLP-1 secular winner | bargain-bin, biotech | 2026-03-20 | ✅ NEW IN ZONE — $903.48, RSI 30.0. First real oversold entry in years. |
| LOW | $218-$228 | Home improvement capitulation | bargain-bin | 2026-03-20 | ✅ NEW IN ZONE — $224.93, RSI 22.4. Extreme oversold, quality compounder. |
Exit Alerts (Holdings)
| Stock | Alert | Type | Entry | Current | P&L | Set Date | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS | $30.71 | Stop-loss | $36.13 | $30.99 | -14.23% | -- | 🚨 BELOW STOP — RSI 19, $30.99 is 0.9% above $30.71 stop. SELL. Inaction already cost buffer. Stop logic = execute. Position: 28 shares, -$143.92. |
| MDT | $83 | Stop-loss | $97.49 | $86.32 | -11.46% | -- | 🔴 CRITICAL — RSI 25 (raw OHLC RSI ~11). Only 3.9% above $83 stop. Deep dive hard stop $79. Decision: hold for bounce at RSI 25, stop intact. DO NOT ADD. |
| TAC | $11.50 | Stop-loss (-15%) | $12.48 | $11.85 | -5.05% | -- | 🔴 NEW STOP — RSI 13, death cross, -11.9% 30D. Set -15% stop at ~$10.61 OR exit near current if thesis broken. Check: is telecom AI thesis structurally intact? |
| NET | $190 (raised) | Stop-loss | $177.38 | $216.74 | +22.19% | 2026-01-26 | 🟢 Strong — RSI 62.4, +22.2% position. $14 from +30% target ($231). Raise stop to $190 (was $185). Consider partial at $231. |
| IQV | $140 | Stop-loss (-15%) | $164.63 | $165.02 | +0.24% | -- | 🟡 Holding flat — RSI 38, -0.4% 30D. 17.9% above stop. Drift mode. |
| PLTR | $119 | Stop-loss (-15%) | $140.04 | $149.74 | +6.93% | -- | 🟢 Healthy — RSI 49.5, +10.7% 30D. 25.8% above stop. Strong-down trend but above entry. |
| SHOP | $95 | Stop-loss (-15%) | $112.39 | $117.01 | +4.11% | -- | 🟡 Weakening — RSI 40, -7.28% 30D. Death cross. Consider raising stop to $107-110 to lock gains. |
| VOO | -- | Core position | $628.94 | $597.95 | -4.93% | -- | 🔴 RSI 26 (market extreme oversold). DCA only. Not selling core. Market at capitulation zone. |
| WMT | $108.86 | Stop-loss (-15%) | $128.07 | $126.52 | -1.21% | 2026-02-03 | 🟡 Below entry. Golden cross intact. -1.81% 30D. Stable. 16.2% above stop. |
| AMZN | -- | Core hold | $204.53 | $205.84 | +0.64% | -- | 🟡 Death cross, strong-down. RSI 41.3. AWS thesis intact but technically broken. Largest position 19.1%. |
| CRM | -- | Watch | $190.96 | $194.46 | +1.83% | -- | 🟢 RSI 52, +5% 30D. Small recovery. Death cross caution but above entry. |
| BTC | -- | Hold | $40.05 (GBTC) | $30.86 | -22.95% | -- | 🔴 Deep underwater. RSI 51 on ETF — neither oversold nor recovering. -25.2% below SMA200 (structural bear). Small allocation (2%). Lesson in position sizing. |
Sector Rotation Signals
| Signal | Trigger | What It Means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil shock still parabolic | USO RSI 75.2, +51.6% 30D | Energy is the only working trade. XOP RSI 79, OXY RSI 77 — do NOT chase. Services (OIH RSI 56) is the relative value within energy. | 🔴 ACTIVE — DO NOT CHASE E&P, watch OIH |
| Gold failed as safe haven | GLD RSI 30.8, -10.9% 30D | Unprecedented: gold selling off WHILE geopolitical tension elevated. Miners (GDX RSI 25.5) pricing deflation downstream. Dollar (UUP) the ONLY working safe haven. | 🔴 NEW — Crisis hedge playbook broken |
| Broad market capitulation zone | SPY RSI 29.6, DIA RSI 25.1, 7 of 11 sectors RSI < 33 | Broadest oversold reading since early 2022. Historically precedes sharp mean reversion BUT requires catalyst. No bounce signal yet. | 🟠 ACTIVE — Watch for reversal signal |
| Housing capitulation deepening | ITB RSI 20.7, XHB RSI 22.5, LOW RSI 22.4 | Two consecutive weeks at capitulation. Now -20% 30D. Below SMA200 for first time in cycle. Requires rate/oil catalyst to reverse. | 🔴 ACTIVE — Watch only, no entry yet |
| NEW: Quality dividend oversold sweep | ABBV RSI 27.6, LLY RSI 30, VYM RSI 26.1, JEPI RSI 29, PEP RSI 31.8 | Five quality dividend/income names simultaneously oversold. Best broad quality oversold sweep since 2022. | 🟢 NEW — High conviction entry sweep |
| NEW: Secular monsters in pullback | GE RSI 29, LLY RSI 30, NVDA RSI 39, AVGO RSI 40 | Four generational compounders at deep RSI levels. LLY and GE entering actual oversold zones. NVDA approaching. | 🟢 NEW — Long-term accumulation zone |
| Life sciences tools cluster | MDT RSI 25, TMO RSI 33.7, SYK RSI 32 | Slight improvement from RSI 22-24 on 03/13 (TMO bounced). Cluster still in oversold but no full capitulation reversal yet. | 🟠 ACTIVE — Partial improvement |
| SaaS massacre continuing | ADBE RSI 34, MSFT RSI 32, META RSI 32 | Mega-cap tech joining the SaaS carnage. Death crosses spreading. NET the lone exception (+22.2%). | 🔴 ACTIVE — Avoid catching knives |
| Monster scan energy explosion | Energy 5 names → 13 names (03/13→03/20) | Largest single-week sector expansion in scan history. E&P overbought RSI 72-79. Services/tankers healthier RSI 50-62. | 🟢 ACTIVE — Services/tankers preferred entry |
| Memory/storage structural bull | WDC +97% vs SMA200 (upgraded parabolic), MU +81%, STX +64% | HBM demand structural, not speculative. All three at healthy RSI 52-56 with room to run. Most durable monster theme. | 🟢 ACTIVE — Best risk/reward in monster scan |
| AI infrastructure two-speed | VRT +54%, GEV +33%, EQIX +62% RSI vs CEG/OKLO/SMR all death-cross | Physical compute power winning, nuclear/speculative collapsing. ARM bounce (+15.2% 7D) is wildcard. | 🟢 ACTIVE — Hold power infra, avoid nuclear spec |
| Consumer bifurcation | XLY RSI 27.8, NKE RSI 26.7 vs WMT stable | Consumer discretionary at sector capitulation. Trade-down in full effect. | 🔴 ACTIVE — Selective entries only |
| Defense mid-cycle consolidation | LMT/NOC/LHX RSI 44-47, -3 to -4% 30D | War premium digesting Q1 run (+20-30%). Structural repricing intact — golden crosses all active. Healthy pullback. | 🟢 ACTIVE — Accumulate on dips |
Insider Activity Summary
| Signal | Stocks | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| 🟢 NEW GOLDEN: ABBV RSI 27.6 | AbbVie — dividend aristocrat oversold | Best quality oversold signal in the entire universe. Quality pharma at rare deep discount. |
| 🟢 BUYING | TSLA (+$191.3M historical), CRSP (+$28M) | TSLA insider buying noted but stock continues falling. CRSP death cross caution despite buying. |
| 🟢 OUTPERFORMERS | ARM (RSI 63.7, +15.2% 7D), MRVL (RSI 54, strong-up), MRNA (RSI 51, +47.3% 3M) | Three names with genuine momentum — all in monster scan. Smart money hiding in custom silicon, ASICs, mRNA recovery. |
| 🔴 HEAVY SELLING | AMZN (-$10.9B), LLY (-$4.8B), PLTR (-$3.7B), NVDA (-$3.1B) | Mega-cap distribution persists. Note: LLY INSIDERS SELLING while stock at RSI 30 — two-sided signal. |
| 🔴 STRUCTURAL AVOID | ASAN (RSI 31.6, -47% below SMA200), ZS (-41% below SMA200), ADBE | Structural downtrends regardless of RSI. Insiders have abandoned these. |
| 🔴 POSTURE | ~49 of 59 stocks net selling | No broad capitulation buy signal. Smart money still in distribution. |
Pending Research Actions
| Action | Source | Priority | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| AS EXIT DECISION — below stop $30.71, RSI 19 | holdings | CRITICAL | 🚨 MUST EXECUTE. Price $30.99, 0.9% above stop. -14.23% position. Stop logic = sell. Do not average down. |
| TAC — thesis review, RSI 13, death cross | holdings | CRITICAL | ⏳ Active — Is telecom AI thesis structurally broken? Death cross + RSI 13 + -11.9% 30D. Set stop at $10.61 or exit. |
| MDT stop watch — RSI 25, 3.9% from $83 stop | holdings | HIGH | ⏳ Active — Slight recovery from RSI 22. Still critical. Deep dive stop $79. Hold but do NOT add. |
| NET raise stop to $190, evaluate partial at $231 | holdings | HIGH | ⏳ Action needed — +22.2% position. $14 from target. Raise stop from $185 → $190. Partial sell plan at $231. |
| Research ABBV RSI 27.6 — dividend aristocrat entry | bargain-bin, insider-scan | HIGH | ⏳ NEW Todo — Skyrizi/Rinvoq pipeline, dividend history, stop below $198. High conviction oversold. |
| Research LLY RSI 30 — first GLP-1 oversold entry | bargain-bin, biotech, monster-scan | HIGH | ⏳ NEW Todo — GLP-1 market position unchanged, -20.3% from 52wk high. 3yr+ wait for this entry. DCA opportunity? |
| Research GDX RSI 25.5 — asymmetric setup | macro-commodities, geopolitical | HIGH | ⏳ NEW Todo — GDX RSI 25.5 is the highest-conviction contrarian setup. If oil peaks, miners rip 30-50%. 1Y return +79% shows structural uptrend. |
| Research LOW RSI 22.4 — home improvement entry | bargain-bin | HIGH | ⏳ NEW Todo — Is selloff housing-driven or macro-driven? Housing starts data will clarify. Stop below $215. |
| Watch SHOP weakening — evaluate stop raise | holdings | MEDIUM | ⏳ Active — RSI 40, -7.28% 30D, death cross. Consider raising stop to $107-110. +4.1% position. |
| Research GE RSI 29 — aerospace compounder re-entry | bargain-bin, monster-scan | MEDIUM | ⏳ NEW Todo — Post-spin compounder +300% 3Y giving back -17% 30D. RSI 29 at secular monster discount. |
| Watch AMZN death cross + insider selling | holdings | MEDIUM | ⏳ Active — Death cross confirmed. RSI 41.3. -$10.9B insider selling. Largest position 19.1%. Watch SMA200 reclaim. |
| Research TMO RSI 33.7 — life sciences floor? | biotech, healthcare | MEDIUM | ⏳ Active — Bounced from RSI 24 to 33.7. Tiny bounce = no conviction reversal yet. Quality franchise -17.8% 3M. |
| Research NVDA RSI 38.8 — golden cross survival | ai-scan, memory | MEDIUM | ⏳ Active — How many more down weeks before golden cross flips? Entry at RSI < 35 or when golden cross repairs. |
| Monitor CEG strong-down — is nuclear thesis broken? | ai-scan, energy | MEDIUM | ⏳ Active — Death cross confirmed, RSI 39.7, -30.4% from high. Thesis review required. |
| Research META RSI 32 — AI capex thesis vs death cross | ai-scan, mag7 | MEDIUM | ⏳ Todo — RSI 32.2, death cross. AI monetization intact? Earnings catalyst ahead? |
| Research MSFT RSI 32.1 — cloud enterprise entry | ai-scan, bargain-bin | MEDIUM | ⏳ Todo — RSI 32.1, death cross. Azure AI thesis intact. Chart structurally weak — patience required. |
| TSLA structural damage review | pullback-buys, consumer | MEDIUM | ⏳ Active — -6.5% below SMA200 confirmed. Golden cross at risk. Brand + macro + technical headwinds. Watch RSI 28 for bounce. |
| Monitor INDA RSI 19.4 — India extreme oversold | macro-commodities, geopolitical | LOW | ⏳ Monitoring — Death cross + extreme oversold. India EM reversal when oil peaks. Do NOT buy until cross reversal. |
| Research FSLR RSI 35.4 — solar oversold | energy | LOW | ⏳ Todo — -20.9% 30D, domestic solar tariff thesis vs cost headwinds. Approaching oversold. |
| Watch GLD RSI 30.8 — gold bull intact? | macro-commodities | LOW | ⏳ Monitoring — Golden cross STILL intact despite -10.9% 30D crash. Is long-term gold bull thesis broken or correcting? |
Sector Playbook — When Oil Peaks
The single most important macro pivot to monitor. When USO RSI drops below 60 or -15% from current:
| Trade | What to Buy | Why |
|---|---|---|
| GDX/SIL | Buy gold miners (RSI 25-27) | Miners rip 30-50% when gold crisis hedge resumes working |
| ITB/XHB | Buy homebuilders (RSI 20-22) | Rate relief + energy cost ease = housing recovery |
| INDA | Buy India (RSI 19.4) | Oil importer — biggest beneficiary of oil price peak |
| COPX | Buy copper miners (RSI 30) | Industrial demand recovery signals |
| GLD | Add gold (RSI 30.8) | Long-term bull thesis resumes if crisis hedge function restores |
The Gold
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| Gold failed as crisis hedge (-10.9% 30D while oil +51.6%) | Unprecedented: only the Dollar is working. Energy shock, not war/financial crisis — gold hedges the wrong thing here |
| ABBV RSI 27.6 — first true "golden signal" candidate in weeks | Best quality oversold name in the entire universe. Dividend aristocrat + oversold = highest-conviction entry |
| LLY RSI 30 — first oversold signal in 3+ years of outperformance | Secular winners at discount are rare. +423% 5Y compounder now approaching historic entry zone |
| Energy expanded from 5 names to 13 in monster scan | Broadest energy dominance since oil shock started. Services (OIH RSI 56) is the smarter entry than E&P (RSI 72-79) |
| Memory/storage (WDC +97%, MU +81%, STX +64%) most durable monster theme | HBM/DRAM demand structural. MU/WDC/STX all at healthy RSI 52-56 — accumulate on any dips to SMA20 |
| ARM +15.2% week — only big-cap tech name with genuine momentum | Custom silicon/AI chip design is where smart money is hiding. Lone exception to broad tech weakness |
| Broad market at deepest oversold since 2022 | SPY RSI 29.6, DIA RSI 25.1, RSP RSI 29.4 — 7 of 11 sectors below RSI 33. Historically precedes sharp bounce BUT needs catalyst (oil peak, rate signal) |
| Five quality dividend names simultaneously oversold | ABBV (RSI 27.6), LLY (RSI 30), VYM (RSI 26.1), JEPI (RSI 29), PEP (RSI 31.8) — best sweep since 2022 |
Sources
21 sector scans, 1 holdings file, 3 ideas files, and 12 candidate files, all dated 2026-03-20. OHLC cross-checked against validated daily summaries. Previous actions: the March 13 daily actions log (archived).
Price truth: validated daily summaries (summaries).
Related
10 events DateTypeEvent
Mar 13 ArticleDaily Actions Mar 12 ArticleDaily Actions Mar 11 ArticleDaily Actions Mar 26 ArticleDaily Actions Mar 24 ArticleDaily Actions Mar 11 ScanInsider Activity Scan Mar 20 ArticleMarket Status Report Mar 3 ArticleDaily Actions Mar 10 ArticleDaily Actions Mar 31 ScanInsider Universe No direct external sources are attached to this read.