Daily Actions

Article

Daily Actions

MARKET CONTEXT: VOO $625.50 (-0.3% 30D, RSI ~39 — below SMA, breaking down) | QQQM $247.71 (RSI 43, -2.4% 30D, below SMA) | VIXY $29.53 (RSI 65, +7.1% 7D — FEAR RISING) | GLD $468.04 (RSI 52, +21% 30D — safe haven dominant)

REGIME: RISK-OFF ACCELERATING. VOO RSI collapsed 58→39 in 5 days. VIXY spiked from RSI 45 to 65 since 2/26. GLD +21% 30D. TLT bid. Triple safety signal (VIXY + GLD + TLT all rising simultaneously) = institutional de-risking. 23 entry zones active (6 extreme, 9 oversold, 8 approaching). ASAN remains the lone GOLDEN signal. Insider posture broadly bearish (41 stocks selling, only 3 buying). Do NOT add risk aggressively until VIXY drops below RSI 50.


Entry Zones (IN ZONE NOW)

EXTREME OVERSOLD (RSI < 20) - Capitulation Territory

Stock Current Zone RSI 30D Chg Source Action Notes
ASAN $7.26 <$8 15 -32.0% insider-scan 🏆 Golden Signal RETURNING (4th scan). Work management SaaS, insiders buying +$8.3M at multi-year lows. Only golden signal in universe. Small position appropriate.
ISRG $476.32* <$480 9 -19.7% bargain-bin, insider-scan ⚠️ Caution RETURNING. DATA STALE (02/05). Surgical robotics monopoly, RSI 9 historic extreme. BUT insiders selling -$241M. Fetch fresh data before acting. Do NOT buy on stale reading alone.
ORCL $152.95* <$158 15 -20.4% bargain-bin, ai-scan ✅ Strong Buy RETURNING. DATA STALE (02/03). Oracle Cloud hyper-scaling, database monopoly, -16% vs SMA. No insider red flags. Best A+ bargain-bin score. Fetch fresh data — verify still at extreme.
NFLX $80.78* <$84 19 -11.7% bargain-bin, insider-scan ⚠️ Caution RETURNING. DATA STALE (02/03). 300M+ subs, ad tier growing. BUT insiders selling -$1.3B at RSI 19. Low conviction.
LEGN $17.20* Avoid 7.5 -27.1% biotech-scan ❌ Don't Buy RETURNING (3rd week). RSI <10 for 3 consecutive scans. No bounce. Broken thesis — competition from J&J carvykti. Do not bottom-fish.
HIMS $15.63* Avoid 4 -45.9% insider-scan ❌ Don't Buy RETURNING. Extreme RSI 4 but insiders selling -$184.3M. FDA risk unresolved. Broken thesis. Note: consumer-scan showing $15.82 RSI 40 — may have partially recovered from extreme low.

OVERSOLD (RSI 20-30) - Strong Entry Zone

Stock Current Zone RSI 30D Chg Source Action Notes
SAP $196.98* <$202 24.5 -18.1% bargain-bin 📈 Accumulate RETURNING. DATA STALE (02/03). Global ERP king, 400K customers. Cloud migration narrative. No insider red flags. High conviction bargain.
LOW $257.77 <$262 25 -6.2% retail-scan, bargain-bin ✅ Strong Buy NEW (entered since 2/26). Home improvement leader, fresh data 03/03. RSI 25, -6.4% vs SMA. Housing weakness short-term; renovation cycle intact long-term.
AVGO $313.78 <$320 29 -17.5% ai-infra, nvda-ecosystem, bargain-bin ✅ Strong Buy NEW (entered since 2/26). Fresh data 03/03. Custom AI ASIC leader (Google TPU, Meta MTIA). VMware synergies. Rare oversold signal for $1.3T company. Best entry in AI infra right now.
UNH $293.19* <$298 28.7 -12.5% bargain-bin 🔍 Watch RETURNING. DATA STALE (02/13). Largest US health insurer. Policy/regulatory risk elevated. Watch for stabilization before adding.
ADBE $269.39* <$272 30.0↓ -19.8% bargain-bin ✅ Strong Buy RETURNING. DATA STALE (02/05). RSI stuck at 30 for 2+ weeks. Creative cloud monopoly at -20% 30D. Firefly AI underappreciated. No insider red flags. A-grade bargain.
AMZN $208.73 $205-212 ~31↓ -10.4% ai-scan, pullback-buys, holdings 🔍 Watch RETURNING. Fresh data 03/03 but no RSI indicator. RSI ~30.8 (computed from pullback-buys). Approaching oversold re-entry. CAVEAT: Bezos -$10.9B selling. Core hold + watch for re-entry.
PANW $148.70 <$155 26↓ -18.1% cybersec, insider-scan ⚠️ Caution RETURNING. Cybersec selloff + insiders selling -$1.8B. Avoid adding. Platformization thesis intact but risk elevated.
META $655.66 <$660 26↓ +7.0% ai-scan, insider-scan ⚠️ Caution RSI 26 but Zuckerberg selling -$346.8M. Positive 30D despite RSI anomaly — may reflect timing of sell vs buyback cycle. Caution.
SOFI $19.02* Avoid 27↓ -25.8% insider-scan, pullback-buys ❌ Don't Buy RETURNING. DATA STALE (02/02). Insiders exiting -$650M. Value trap risk. Data stale — actual price likely lower.

APPROACHING OVERSOLD (RSI 30-40) - Watch Closely

Stock Current Zone RSI 30D Chg Source Action Notes
HD $366.57 <$372 31↓ -3.8% retail-scan, bargain-bin 📈 Accumulate NEW. Fresh data 03/03. Home Depot at RSI 31, -4% below SMA. PRO contractor business resilient. Pair with LOW for home improvement sector play.
TMO $507.81* <$515 31.2↓ -19.7% bargain-bin, insider-scan ⚠️ Caution RETURNING. DATA STALE (02/05 — insider RSI). DOWNGRADED. Was strong buy — insider selling -$308.9M reduces conviction. Life sciences monopoly, but wait for insider signal to clear.
AMD $191.02 <$195 33↓ -21.1% ai-scan, nvda-ecosystem, bargain-bin 📈 Accumulate RETURNING. Fresh data 03/03. EPYC server + MI300 AI GPU. -7.3% below SMA. CAUTION: Insiders selling -$295M. DCA small; full position only on RSI < 28.
GIS $44.85 $43-46 30↓ +0.5% defensive-scan 📈 Accumulate RETURNING. Fresh data 03/03. General Mills at RSI 30, -3.6% below SMA. Flat 30D = technical pressure without fundamental issue. Quality defensive with dividend.
WDAY $143.61 $138-144 40↓ -15.6% cloud-etfs 📈 Accumulate RETURNING (moved from oversold to approaching). +10.3% 7D bounce but RSI still 40. HR cloud leader. At SMA resistance — last SaaS with meaningful 30D damage.
DDOG $111.77 $108-115 31↓ -3.4% cloud-etfs ✅ Strong Buy NEW. RSI 31 despite +7% 7D bounce = was deeply washed. Observability + AI monitoring platform. Thesis intact. No insider red flags.
OKTA $72.52 $68-73 28↓ -13.1% cybersec ✅ Strong Buy NEW. Fresh data 03/03. Identity security leader, -9.3% below SMA, RSI 28. Zero-trust is non-negotiable spend. Strong entry. Watch: MSFT Entra competition risk.
GOOGL $303.53 $295-308 ~36↓ -4.4% ai-scan 📈 Accumulate RETURNING. Fresh data 03/03 (no RSI file). RSI ~36 per ai-scan. Alphabet AI/search moat. Insider selling -$294M = moderate caution. Still a quality re-entry zone.

Price Alerts (Waiting for Entry)

Stock Alert Entry Zone Source Set Date Status
TSLA RSI < 35, ~$370-395 Insider buying +$189.9M, RSI declining 42.2 insider-scan, pullback-buys 2026-02-22 ⏳ Watching — RSI 42.2, approaching zone
ARM $110-120, RSI < 43 RSI dropped 71→43 since 2/26, -13.4% 30D nvda-ecosystem 2026-02-16 ⏳ In zone now — borderline entry
TSM $340-355, RSI < 48 -8.4% 7D, RSI 45 and dropping nvda-ecosystem 2026-02-16 ⏳ Approaching — RSI 45, set alert at $340
NVDA $170-183, RSI < 42 RSI dropped 63→41 in 5 days (-6.6% 7D) nvda-ecosystem 2026-02-22 ⏳ In zone now — RSI 41, borderline
ASML $1,320-1,380, RSI < 45 -9.1% 7D, RSI 43, EUV monopoly ai-infra 2026-03-03 ⏳ NEW — In zone now, set alert
CEG $290-305, RSI < 65 Nuclear AI power thesis; RSI 79 = wait energy, ai-infra 2026-02-26 ⏳ Waiting — RSI 79, not yet
GEV $750-800, RSI < 60 Grid infrastructure; RSI 63, pulling back energy, ai-infra 2026-02-26 ⏳ Approaching — RSI 63, cooling
CSCO $72-76, RSI < 45 Datacenter networking, AI catalyst ai-infra 2026-02-26 ⏳ Watching — RSI 50, not yet
V $308-318, RSI < 38 90%+ gross margin, payment rail duopoly bargain-bin 2026-03-03 ⏳ NEW — RSI 39.7, approaching zone
MRVL $74-78, RSI < 38 Custom ASIC for hyperscalers, -21% 30D ai-infra, nvda-ecosystem 2026-03-03 ⏳ NEW — RSI 38-43, at zone
ARKK RSI < 20, ~$72-74 ETF capitulation zone; RSI 23.6 (stale 02/02) etf-universe, ark-portfolio 2026-03-03 ⏳ NEW — Stale data; likely deeper oversold now
AMZN RSI < 30, ~$205 RSI 30.8 approaching re-entry pullback-buys, ai-scan 2026-03-03 ⏳ NEW — RSI 30.8, nearly triggered

Exit Alerts (Holdings)

Stock Alert Type Entry Current P&L Set Date Status
NET $151 Stop-loss (-15%) $177.38 avg $178.83 +0.8% 2026-01-26 🟢 Above entry — 18.4% above stop. Cloud bounce helped. Adjust stop-loss to $160 given recovery?
IQV $140 Stop-loss (-15%) $164.63 $162.31 [stale 02/23] -1.4% 🟡 Monitor — DATA STALE. Was 15.9% above stop. Fetch fresh price urgently — RSI 17.3, may have worsened.
AS $30.71 Stop-loss (-15%) $36.13 $36.92 +2.2% 🟡 Watch — -12% 7D this week. Still 20.2% above stop but watch for trend break.
PLTR $119 Stop-loss (-15%) $140.04 $147.22 +5.1% 🟢 Running — 23.7% above stop. RSI 59, +14% 7D. Do not chase add — not in zone.
VOO Core position $628.94 $625.50 -0.5% 🟡 Slight drawdown. RSI ~39, below SMA. DCA only, not lump sum.
AMZN Core hold $204.53 $208.73 +2.1% 🟢 Above entry. -10.4% 30D cloud/macro pressure. AWS flywheel intact.
BTC $34 Stop-loss (-15%) $40.05 $34.49 [stale 02/02] -13.9% 2026-02-03 🚨 APPROACHING STOP — Data very stale (02/02). At -13.9%, only ~$0.49 above stop at $34. Fetch fresh data immediately.
SHOP $95 Soft alert (-15%) $112.39 $122.00 +8.6% 🟢 Well above entry. -3.3% 7D pullback — minor, thesis intact.
WMT $109 Stop-loss (-15%) $128.07 $127.91 -0.1% 2026-02-03 🟢 Above entry, well above stop. Grocery/essentials fortress holding.
CRM Watch $190.96 $198.15 [stale 02/26] +3.8% 🟢 Above entry. RSI 57 recovering. Hold.

Sector Rotation Signals

Signal Trigger What It Means Status
Triple Safety Surge VIXY RSI 65, GLD +21% 30D, TLT RSI 61 All three safe havens rising simultaneously = institutional risk-off. Not just rotation — macro fear. 🔴 ACTIVE — do not add risk
VOO breakdown RSI 58→39 in 5 days, below SMA Broad market cracking. VOO $610-620 = key support watch. If breaks, deeper correction. 🔴 ACTIVE — Watch $610-620
AI/Semi correction NVDA RSI 63→41, ARM -28 RSI pts, TSM -8.4% 7D Semiconductor rotation unwinding. Semis oversold entry zones forming (AVGO, AMD). 🟡 Forming — Entry zones active
Cybersec recovery CRWD +11.9% 7D, PANW +10.2% 7D Individual pure-plays recovering 2-3x faster than ETFs. OKTA outlier weak = opportunity. 🟡 Uneven recovery — stock-pick, not ETF
Cloud ETF floor confirmed WCLD/IGV/CLOU all above SMA (RSI 45-48) Sector-level bottom forming. Not confirmed — need SMA hold for 2+ weeks. 🟡 Recovering — Watch SMA hold
EM divergence EEM RSI 68.7, +6% 30D vs VOO -0.3% Unusual EM leadership. China stimulus / USD softening. EM outperforming US equities. 🟢 Active — Hold EEM
Home improvement entry HD RSI 31, LOW RSI 25 — both oversold simultaneously Sector-wide signal, not stock-specific. Housing weakness = cyclical buying opp. 🟢 Entry zone active
Energy overbought XLE RSI 78.7, +9.1% 30D Energy surging on tariff/geopolitical bid. Don't chase — trim at RSI > 80. 🔴 Overbought — Do not add
Data center power (overbought) CEG RSI 79, EQIX RSI 87, DLR RSI 83 Nuclear/power theme still extended. Wait for RSI reset to 65-70. 🔴 Wait — Not yet
ARKK capitulation RSI 23.6 (stale 02/02) — likely deeper Growth ETF proxy at extreme. Historical mean-reversion signal. Small speculative entry zone. 🟡 Watch — Stale data, risk-off context
INTU earnings recovery RSI 54, +20.8% 7D Post-earnings gap = do not chase. Wait for RSI consolidation < 48. Wait — Extended
SaaS bounce recovery (WDAY last) WDAY still RSI 40 despite +10.3% 7D Most SaaS recovered. WDAY = last meaningful 30D damage opportunity. 🟡 Window closing

Insider Activity Summary

Signal Stocks Implication
🏆 GOLDEN ASAN (RSI 15 + $8.3M buying) 4th consecutive scan golden signal. Floor forming. Only stock with insider conviction at extreme low.
🟢 BUYING TSLA (+$189.9M), CRSP (+$26.6M) Consistent buying continues. TSLA watch at RSI < 35. CRSP at RSI 58 — not in entry zone.
🔴 SELLING INTO DIP (RSI<30) AMZN (-$10.9B), PANW (-$1.8B), SOFI (-$650M), META (-$346.8M), AFRM (-$327M), TMO (-$308.9M), U (-$282M), HIMS (-$184.3M), ZS (-$174.3M), CRM (-$58.9M) Insiders dumping into weakness — 10 stocks. Most alarming signal in scan. Smart money NOT stepping in despite widespread oversold.
⚠️ DOWNGRADED ISRG (-$241M, RSI 9), NFLX (-$1.3B, RSI 19) RSI extreme but insiders selling. Reduces conviction for otherwise compelling entries.
🔴 HEAVY SELLING LLY (-$4.8B), PLTR (-$3.4B), NVDA (-$3B), SNOW (-$1.2B), AVGO (-$1.1B) Elevated selling at neutral/recovering RSI levels — distribution pressure.
🔴 POSTURE 41 stocks selling, 3 buying Broadest bearish insider posture in months. Insiders NOT buying the dip = macro caution warranted.

Pending Research Actions

Action Source Priority Status
Fetch fresh ISRG, ORCL, NFLX, SAP, ADBE, HIMS prices (all stale 02/03-02/05) bargain-bin, insider CRITICAL 🔍 Todo — cannot act confidently without fresh data
Fetch fresh BTC price (stale 02/02 — approaching stop-loss at $34) holdings CRITICAL 🔍 Todo — stop-loss check required
Fetch fresh IQV price (stale 02/23 — RSI 17, may have worsened) holdings CRITICAL 🔍 Todo — active position, need fresh check
Execute ASAN position (RSI 15, $8.3M insider buying, 4th scan golden signal) insider-scan HIGH 🔍 Todo — window may be closing
Execute AVGO entry (RSI 29, fresh 03/03, AI ASIC monopoly, no insider sell flag) ai-infra, bargain-bin HIGH 🔍 Todo — new entry since 2/26, actionable now
Execute LOW entry (RSI 25, fresh 03/03, home improvement leader) retail-scan HIGH 🔍 Todo — new entry since 2/26, actionable now
Execute OKTA entry (RSI 28, fresh 03/03, identity security leader) cybersec HIGH 🔍 Todo — new entry, strong setup
Execute DDOG entry (RSI 31, fresh 03/03, observability platform) cloud-etfs HIGH 🔍 Todo — new entry, thesis intact
Research AS -12% 7D drop (active holding — is this trend break or one-day event?) holdings HIGH 🔍 Todo — active position concern
Research IQV thesis (RSI 17, -32.2% 30D — pharma R&D cyclical vs structural cut?) holdings, biotech HIGH 🔍 Todo — carry forward from 2/26
Decide U position (RSI 26, -56.5% 30D, insiders selling -$282M — cut or hold?) holdings [stale] HIGH 🔍 Todo — carry forward
AMD DCA decision (RSI 33, fresh 03/03, insiders selling -$295M — caution flag) ai-scan, bargain-bin MEDIUM 🔍 Todo
Research ORCL fresh price (RSI 15, -20.4% 30D, A+ bargain score — data stale 02/03) bargain-bin MEDIUM 🔍 Todo
Monitor NET stop-loss ($151 stop, $178.83 current — consider raising to $160) holdings MEDIUM ⏳ Watching
Monitor VIXY (RSI 65, spiking — all-clear when drops below RSI 50) market-pulse MEDIUM ⏳ Watching — RISK-OFF active
Research VOO support (RSI 39, watch $610-620 — losing that level = deeper correction) market-pulse MEDIUM ⏳ Watching
GOOGL DCA decision (RSI 36, -$294M insider selling — add or wait?) ai-scan MEDIUM 🔍 Todo
WDAY final entry (RSI 40, +10.3% 7D bounce, last SaaS laggard — now or miss?) cloud-etfs MEDIUM 🔍 Todo
Fetch missing data: SOFI, RKLB, ARKK, IDXX, ISRG, ORCL, NFLX various MEDIUM 🔍 Todo
Research GIS entry (RSI 30, only defensive approaching oversold, -3.6% vs SMA) defensive-scan LOW 🔍 Todo
Research IDXX (RSI 17.6 stale 02/03 — cattle disease thesis, stale data) ideas/cattle LOW 🔍 Todo — stale, fetch first
MDB post-mortem (RSI ~17, -25.2% collapse on guidance cut — was it avoidable?) cloud-etfs LOW 🔍 Todo

The Gold

Key Discoveries

Discovery Implication
ASAN golden signal for 4th consecutive scan (RSI 15 + $8.3M buying) Persistent insider buying at capitulation = floor likely forming. Highest conviction speculative entry in universe. Window may be closing — act or miss.
VIXY 45→65 RSI in 5 days — the 2/26 "recovery" was a head fake The Feb 26 VIXY RSI 45 was NOT an all-clear. The macro risk-off thesis is accelerating. Caution over aggression.
Insiders selling in 41 stocks, buying in only 3 Broadest bearish insider posture this scan cycle. Unprecedented: stocks at RSI 4-30 and insiders still selling (HIMS, ISRG, NFLX, AMZN, PANW).
AVGO at RSI 29 — rare oversold signal for a $1.3T company Custom AI ASIC monopoly (Google TPU, Meta MTIA) at RSI levels not seen since broad market selloffs. High-quality entry with no insider red flags vs peers.
GLD +21% 30D with RSI only 52 — the gold run has structural legs Not just fear-trade: RSI only 52 after +21% 30D = real institutional accumulation, not speculation. Gold is the trade of this regime.
Home improvement (HD RSI 31 + LOW RSI 25) simultaneously oversold Sector-wide signal. Both names fresh data 03/03. Housing cyclical play + quality moats = compelling entry pair.
PLTR defied AI selloff entirely (+14.3% 7D, RSI 59) Defense/gov AI narrative traded separately from consumer AI. NVDA lost 22 RSI pts while PLTR surged — major divergence. Don't chase PLTR.
ORCL RSI 15 with data stale since 02/03 (4 weeks!) Best A+ bargain-bin pick has STALE data. Cannot act confidently. Fetching fresh data is the #1 priority for this name.
MDB -25.2% on guidance cut while NOW recovered from same RSI 24 Guidance cuts are violent. MDB confirms: never hold SaaS through earnings without protection.
ARKK RSI 23.6 stale (02/02) — likely deeper in current selloff Growth-proxy ETF in prolonged extreme oversold. Historically marks medium-term entry. But stale data in risk-off = dangerous.

Mistakes (Don't Repeat)

Mistake Lesson
Treating VIXY RSI 45 (2/26) as all-clear It was a head fake. VIXY 65 today confirms. Don't call all-clear until RSI < 40 holds for 2+ days.
No fresh data fetches for ISRG, ORCL, NFLX since 02/03-02/05 4-week stale data on top signals = cannot act confidently on extreme RSI readings. Data fetches are not optional.
BTC approaching stop without fresh data check Active stop-loss alert with stale data is an unmonitored risk. Fetch BTC immediately.
Missing DDOG, OKTA as new oversold entries Both are fresh 03/03 data, strong setups, no insider red flags. Should have been monitoring earlier.

Open Questions

  • ASAN 4th golden scan: when does this convert to a position? What specific catalyst triggers execution?
  • VOO RSI 39: will it find support at $610-620, or continue to full correction (-10% from highs)?
  • Is the VIXY RSI 65 driven by tariff fears, Fed concerns, or AI bubble fears? Matters for recovery timeline.
  • AVGO RSI 29 vs AMZN -$10.9B insider sell: does the macro fear create more downside for AVGO or is the floor here?
  • ARM, TSM, ASML all approaching oversold: coordinated semi correction = systemic or country-specific (TSMC tariff fear)?
  • IQV: is the pharma R&D spending cut cyclical (buy the dip) or structural (AI disrupts CROs permanently)?
  • GLD RSI 52 after +21% 30D: can it maintain gains as VIXY fear subsides, or does it reverse?
  • WDAY RSI 40 after +10.3% 7D bounce: is this the last chance entry or does it continue recovering without a pullback?

Sources

13 sector scans, 1 holdings file, 11 candidate files, and 3 ideas files, all dated 2026-03-03, plus 17 deep-dive files. OHLC cross-checked against validated daily closes. Previous actions: 2026-02-26-actions.md.

Price truth: validated daily summaries (summaries).

9 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.