Regime: ENERGY SHOCK / DEMAND DESTRUCTION INFLECTION. SPY $648.60 (RSI 29.6, -5.9% 30D) — broadest oversold reading since 2022. USO +51.6% 30D (RSI 75.2) still parabolic. Gold CRASHED as safe haven — GLD $417.36 (-10.9% 30D, RSI 30.8). Dollar (UUP RSI 59.6) is the ONLY working safe haven. Seven of 11 sectors below RSI 33. DIA RSI 25.1 — Dow at near-capitulation. Monster scan rebounded to 43 names (from 67 last scan — energy explosion: 13 energy names). VIXY $34.44, RSI 60.9 — regime flip signal flashing (below $40 for 5+ days). Quality dividend sweep the session's dominant trade theme.

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1. Market Weather

One-liner: The energy shock that started as inflation risk has morphed into demand destruction panic. Gold failed — unprecedented breakdown of the gold-as-crisis-hedge thesis. Dollar is the only refuge. Seven of 11 sectors below RSI 33 marks the broadest oversold reading since early 2022. The quality dividend sweep (ABBV RSI 27.6, LLY RSI 30, VYM/JEPI/PEP/XLP all RSI 26-30) is the highest-conviction signal cluster in the scan — five dividend-quality names simultaneously at historic oversold levels.

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2. Sector Heat Map

Overbought (Don't Chase)

Capitulation / Extreme Oversold (Opportunity — with caution)

Recovering / Neutral

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3. Top 5 Opportunities

Theme: quality at rare oversold is the dominant play. The quality dividend sweep is the best entry cluster since 2022. Energy peak is the macro inflection to watch — when USO RSI drops below 60, GDX/ITB/INDA/COPX all rip hard.

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4. Top Risks

Stop-Loss Proximity (Paper Portfolios)

bench-signals Danger Zone

Real Portfolio Alerts

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5. Actions Log

Trades Executed 03/20

New Entry Zones Added 03/20 (vs 03/13)

Profit Target / Stop Events 03/20

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6. Portfolio Pulse

Leaderboard

Overall narrative: All four strategies declined as the broadest oversold reading since 2022 arrived. Claude-trader fell from +1.58% to +0.71% — still the only profitable strategy, only barely. The GLD sale at stop proximity was disciplined capital preservation. ABBV + LLY replace the gold thesis with quality pharma. YOLO took the biggest hit: GDX stop-loss -20.5% (-$1,226) crystallized the gold thesis failure. The strategy is now -6.38% — deep enough to feel. The positive: AMKR's +60.5% close is bench-signals' biggest win ever, and the VIXY regime flip (SOXS exit) shows proper playbook execution. YOLO + bench-signals deployed heavily into the quality dividend sweep per the "VIXY < 40 = quality oversold" rule.

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claude-trader Positions (23) — $100,707 (+0.71%)

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claude-momentum Positions (12) — $98,840 (-1.16%)

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yolo Positions (9) — $93,617 (-6.38%)

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bench-signals Top Movers (59 open signals, 9 closed)

New signals today: 11 (ABBV, LLY, DIA, GDX, XLV, VYM, GE, JEPI, XLP, PEP, GILD — quality dividend sweep) Closed today: AMKR WIN +60.5% (+$603 realized); GIS STOP -16.9% (-$169 realized) Running record: 2W / 7L. Net realized: ~-$836 (losses -$1,342, wins +$202 NFLX + $603 AMKR = $805) Danger zone: NKE -13.9% (1.3% from stop), AS -13.9% (1.3% from stop — SELL REQUIRED), TMO -12.8% (2.6% from stop), LOW -12.7% (2.7% from stop), HD -12.5% (2.9% from stop) — 9 signals within 5% of -15% stop.

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7. Key Numbers

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8. What Changed (03/20 vs 03/13)

• Gold failed as a safe haven — unprecedented shift in regime narrative. GLD crashed from $461 to $417 (-9.5% since 03/13). Gold was the market's stagflation-hedge thesis as of 03/12. Seven days later it's down -10.9% 30D — an energy shock, not a financial crisis, means the dollar hedges the correct risk. The entire crisis-hedge playbook rewrote itself in one week.

• YOLO suffered its worst session to date (-6.38%, was -2.41%). GDX stop-loss -20.5% crystallized the gold miners thesis failure (-$1,226 realized). The gold+miners double-trade (GLD + GDX = $14K invested) was the single worst strategy call. But SOXS was exited cleanly +1.6% on the VIXY regime flip — perfect playbook execution partially offsetting the thesis failure.

• ABBV RSI 27.6 is the first true golden signal in weeks — ending a run of four consecutive zero-golden-signal scans. Five quality dividend names simultaneously at historic oversold (ABBV, LLY, VYM, JEPI, PEP) — the widest quality oversold sweep since 2022. All four strategies bought ABBV. Three of four bought LLY.

• bench-signals recorded its biggest ever WIN — AMKR +60.5%. Amkor Technology held 45 days from Feb 3 entry. Closed at $44.93 vs $28.00 entry. The system's best trade proves the NVDA ecosystem thesis: Amkor is a key packaging partner for semiconductor secular bulls. Win rate improved to 2W/7L (22.2%), and net realized improved from ~-$971 to ~-$836.

• VIXY regime flip is the most important macro signal. VIXY at $34.44, below $40 for 5+ consecutive days triggers the YOLO playbook "full degen mode / quality oversold is the play" rule. SOXS (inverse semis) was exited per protocol. The VIXY signal is inconsistent with continued pure risk-off positioning — suggests mean reversion setup building.

• Monster scan rebounded to 43 names (from 67, from a peak of 153). Energy is the dominant theme — 13 of 43 names are oil/energy/chemicals. Memory and AI infrastructure remain bedrock. The character of the scan shifted sharply: oil services (LBRT +85%), chemicals (LYB +45%), and photonics (AAOI +144%) joined what was an AI-dominated scan. The market is not broken — it's rotating to energy/commodity infrastructure.

• Broad market RSI at 2022 lows — SPY 29.6, DIA 25.1, RSP 29.4. Seven of 11 sectors below RSI 33. Historically this level precedes sharp mean reversion. But no catalyst is present yet — oil peak confirmation (USO RSI drops below 60) would be the trigger. Until then, accumulate slowly in quality oversold names.

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Sources

Generated 2026-03-20 from validated daily summaries, portfolio files, actions file, and scan data. Previous status: the March 13 daily status. Scan sources: 21 sector scans dated 03/20, the day's actions log, all four paper portfolio files.

Price truth: validated daily summaries (summaries).