AI Scan
AI Scan
Massive divergence across the AI stack: MRVL surging +19.0% 7D while EOSE collapses -44.7% 30D and RUN -36.6% 30D. Semis and cloud platforms consolidating near SMA20s, but the periphery is getting destroyed — AI (C3.ai) down -70% from highs, MDB -15% below SMA20, and clean energy names in freefall.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 DIVERGENT — Core AI (NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL, META) treading water near SMA20s with neutral RSIs. MRVL and NET breaking out. But the AI periphery (C3.ai, PATH, SOUN, BBAI) and clean energy are in deep drawdowns. Memory names (MU, STX, WDC) strong on 3M basis but flattening. |
| Leaders | MRVL (+19.0% 7D, RSI 68), NET (+12.1% 7D, RSI 64), CRWD (+13.6% 7D), MU (+56.0% 3M) |
| Laggards | EOSE (-44.7% 30D, RSI 31), RUN (-36.6% 30D, RSI 33), MDB (-25.8% 30D, RSI 35), AI (-17.3% 30D, -70% from high) |
Sector Benchmarks (ETFs)
| ETF | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMH | $397.33 | 48.0 | $405.97 | -2.1% | -0.4% | -4.2% | +7.5% | 🟡 Semis neutral, fading |
| BOTZ | $36.28 | 37.9 | $38.02 | -4.6% | -2.3% | -4.8% | -1.3% | 🟡 Robotics/AI approaching oversold |
| ROBO | $72.54 | 37.9 | $76.45 | -5.1% | -3.5% | -5.0% | +1.3% | 🟡 Automation weakening |
| AIQ | $49.67 | 47.2 | $49.71 | -0.1% | -0.4% | -1.7% | -3.8% | 🟡 Broad AI flat at SMA20 |
Price Table — Semiconductors & Hardware
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | $184.77 | 50.2 | $185.76 | -0.5% | +0.7% | -2.8% | 🟡 Dead neutral at SMA20 |
| AMD | $203.23 | 47.2 | $203.09 | +0.1% | +3.6% | -4.9% | 🟡 Pinned to SMA20 |
| AVGO | $342.58 | 56.1 | $330.17 | +3.8% | +6.4% | -0.1% | 🟢 Above SMA, recovering |
| MRVL | $93.30 | 68.2 | $81.16 | +15.0% | +19.0% | +14.7% | 🟠 Surging — near overbought |
| ARM | $120.55 | 48.5 | $124.45 | -3.1% | -2.3% | -3.8% | 🟡 Weak, below SMA |
| SMCI | $31.79 | 50.2 | $31.67 | +0.4% | +0.3% | -0.8% | 🟡 Range-bound at lows (-49% from high) |
| QCOM | $135.20 | 35.7 | $139.97 | -3.4% | -2.1% | -3.5% | 🟡 Approaching oversold |
| INTC | $46.78 | 52.9 | $45.63 | +2.5% | +5.4% | -3.1% | 🟢 Bounce, above SMA |
| TSM | $347.09 | 45.7 | $364.55 | -4.8% | -3.7% | -7.2% | 🟡 Below SMA, fading |
| ASML | $1,383.40 | 48.8 | $1,424.51 | -2.9% | -0.6% | -3.6% | 🟡 Below SMA, drifting |
| MU | $403.11 | 52.1 | $406.21 | -0.8% | +0.4% | -1.8% | 🟡 Flat after +56% 3M run |
| STX | $384.29 | 49.4 | $397.72 | -3.4% | -0.2% | -5.6% | 🟡 Fading below SMA |
| WDC | $266.22 | 50.9 | $273.46 | -2.6% | -1.5% | -2.7% | 🟡 Drifting after +42% 3M |
Price Table — Cloud & AI Software
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT | $405.76 | 45.6 | $400.92 | +1.2% | +0.1% | +0.6% | 🟡 Flat — grinding at SMA |
| GOOGL | $307.04 | 45.3 | $307.20 | -0.1% | +0.6% | -1.2% | 🟡 Dead flat at SMA |
| META | $654.07 | 49.7 | $651.53 | +0.4% | -2.7% | -2.2% | 🟡 Neutral at SMA |
| AMZN | $214.33 | 48.8 | $208.33 | +2.9% | -1.2% | +5.0% | 🟢 Above SMA, leading cloud |
| PLTR | $151.14 | 53.8 | $140.20 | +7.8% | -2.1% | +11.4% | 🟢 Above SMA, bouncing |
| CRM | $194.91 | 45.2 | $191.25 | +1.9% | -0.1% | +5.4% | 🟡 Recovering above SMA |
| NOW | $116.61 | 51.1 | $109.37 | +6.6% | +2.8% | +15.9% | 🟢 Strong bounce off lows |
| ADBE | $275.13 | 49.8 | $264.94 | +3.8% | +0.8% | +7.0% | 🟢 Recovering above SMA |
| SNOW | $175.32 | 47.4 | $173.57 | +1.0% | +4.4% | -2.0% | 🟡 Stabilizing |
| DDOG | $123.08 | 52.2 | $118.78 | +3.6% | +4.7% | -3.3% | 🟢 Bouncing above SMA |
| MDB | $270.56 | 34.7 | $319.26 | -15.3% | +9.0% | -25.8% | 🔴 Crushed — -15% below SMA |
| PATH | $11.59 | 46.3 | $11.13 | +4.1% | +4.3% | -0.9% | 🟡 Stabilizing at lows (-42% from high) |
| WDAY | $142.49 | 41.2 | $141.24 | +0.9% | -0.2% | -1.4% | 🟡 Neutral at SMA (-48% from high) |
| ZS | $156.61 | 40.7 | $161.74 | -3.2% | +0.3% | -8.4% | 🟡 Below SMA, weak |
| NET | $207.49 | 64.1 | $184.51 | +12.5% | +12.1% | +9.6% | 🟢 Breaking out |
| CRWD | $436.33 | 57.7 | $401.89 | +8.6% | +13.6% | +4.9% | 🟢 Surging |
| PANW | $165.58 | 55.2 | $156.44 | +5.8% | +4.9% | +0.2% | 🟢 Above SMA |
| FTNT | $84.20 | 57.9 | $81.64 | +3.1% | +3.4% | -4.1% | 🟢 Recovering |
| VEEV | $189.69 | 48.7 | $182.65 | +3.9% | +2.2% | +7.2% | 🟢 Above SMA |
Price Table — AI Speculative & Clean Energy
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI | $8.96 | 37.9 | $9.80 | -8.6% | -3.5% | -17.3% | 🔴 Below SMA, approaching oversold |
| SOUN | $7.90 | 40.8 | $8.08 | -2.3% | -8.0% | -0.8% | 🟡 Weak, -64% from high |
| BBAI | $4.07 | 43.5 | $4.06 | +0.3% | +3.3% | -8.1% | 🟡 Flat at SMA, -57% from high |
| IONQ | $35.12 | 44.5 | $34.83 | +0.8% | -6.7% | +4.5% | 🟡 Neutral, -59% from high |
| RGTI | $16.99 | 44.8 | $16.80 | +1.1% | -2.4% | +3.4% | 🟡 Neutral, -71% from high |
| TEM | $50.90 | 38.2 | $54.07 | -5.9% | -2.4% | -5.1% | 🟡 Below SMA, approaching oversold |
| TAC | $12.73 | 44.0 | $13.21 | -3.6% | -6.4% | -5.6% | 🟡 Weak, -29% from high |
| ISRG | $485.85 | 39.6 | $495.86 | -2.0% | -3.2% | -2.1% | 🟡 Below SMA, fading |
| BE | $154.00 | 50.7 | $155.10 | -0.7% | -5.6% | -1.0% | 🟡 Neutral, +41% 3M |
| EOSE | $6.41 | 31.3 | $9.02 | -28.9% | -4.9% | -44.7% | 🔴 Collapse — near oversold |
| FSLR | $197.80 | 37.5 | $215.08 | -8.0% | -2.5% | -13.2% | 🟡 Approaching oversold |
| ENPH | $43.59 | 50.9 | $44.93 | -3.0% | +2.1% | -9.6% | 🟡 Neutral, recovering |
| SEDG | $38.11 | 53.2 | $37.33 | +2.1% | -1.7% | +4.9% | 🟡 Above SMA |
| RUN | $12.15 | 32.9 | $16.65 | -27.0% | -2.2% | -36.6% | 🔴 Collapse — near oversold |
| SMR | $12.03 | 35.6 | $13.44 | -10.5% | -7.7% | -22.7% | 🔴 Nuclear selloff continues |
| OKLO | $61.38 | 40.8 | $64.77 | -5.2% | -5.9% | -7.3% | 🟡 Weak, -68% from high |
Price Table — Data Center & Networking
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EQIX | $956.07 | 63.5 | $939.46 | +1.8% | -0.5% | +10.8% | 🟢 Strong, near 52wk high |
| DLR | $180.86 | 60.7 | $178.01 | +1.6% | +0.1% | +3.6% | 🟢 Steady, near highs |
| ANET | $139.62 | 54.2 | $135.18 | +3.3% | +5.6% | -0.7% | 🟢 Above SMA, recovering |
| CSCO | $77.70 | 46.7 | $79.04 | -1.7% | -2.6% | -9.2% | 🟡 Below SMA, fading |
Price Table — Telecom (Defensive AI Infra)
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VZ | $50.71 | 69.0 | $49.65 | +2.1% | -0.2% | +3.6% | 🟠 Near overbought |
| TMUS | $218.78 | 60.3 | $215.90 | +1.3% | -0.0% | +4.9% | 🟢 Steady above SMA |
| T | $27.71 | 52.1 | $28.23 | -1.8% | -3.0% | -2.7% | 🟡 Neutral |
| BCE | $26.39 | 60.0 | $25.95 | +1.7% | +0.6% | +2.9% | 🟢 Near 52wk high |
| SKM | $29.84 | 52.9 | $30.68 | -2.7% | -1.6% | +0.8% | 🟡 Neutral, +48% 3M |
Price Table — Nuclear/Energy
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CEG | $317.09 | 53.7 | $307.03 | +3.3% | -2.7% | +14.7% | 🟢 Above SMA, strong 30D |
| VST | $164.40 | 49.0 | $167.66 | -1.9% | +0.2% | +2.7% | 🟡 Neutral |
| NEE | $91.54 | 54.1 | $92.12 | -0.6% | -1.6% | +0.9% | 🟡 Flat near highs |
Tier Analysis
Approaching Oversold (RSI 30-40) — Watch for Entry
| Stock | RSI | 30D% | vs SMA | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EOSE | 31.3 | -44.7% | -28.9% | Collapsed, near capitulation |
| RUN | 32.9 | -36.6% | -27.0% | Solar freefall |
| MDB | 34.7 | -25.8% | -15.3% | Crushed below SMA — earnings miss? |
| QCOM | 35.7 | -3.5% | -3.4% | Approaching oversold, mobile AI exposure |
| SMR | 35.6 | -22.7% | -10.5% | Nuclear mini-reactor selloff |
| FSLR | 37.5 | -13.2% | -8.0% | Solar weakness |
| AI | 37.9 | -17.3% | -8.6% | C3.ai struggling, -70% from high |
| BOTZ | 37.9 | -4.8% | -4.6% | Robotics ETF weakening |
| ROBO | 37.9 | -5.0% | -5.1% | Automation ETF weakening |
| TEM | 38.2 | -5.1% | -5.9% | Tempus AI fading |
| ISRG | 39.6 | -2.1% | -2.0% | Surgical robotics, modest pullback |
Neutral (RSI 40-60) — Core AI Stack
Most of the core AI names sit in this band: NVDA (50.2), AMD (47.2), MSFT (45.6), GOOGL (45.3), META (49.7), AMZN (48.8), PLTR (53.8), CRM (45.2), NOW (51.1), ADBE (49.8). These are consolidating after the 3M drawdowns, trading near SMA20s. No urgency to buy or sell.
Strong/Overbought (RSI 60+) — Momentum Names
| Stock | RSI | 7D% | 30D% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRVL | 68.2 | +19.0% | +14.7% | Surging — custom ASIC momentum |
| VZ | 69.0 | -0.2% | +3.6% | Defensive telecom near overbought |
| NET | 64.1 | +12.1% | +9.6% | Breaking out — edge computing |
| EQIX | 63.5 | -0.5% | +10.8% | Data center REIT near highs |
| DLR | 60.7 | +0.1% | +3.6% | Data center steady |
| TMUS | 60.3 | -0.0% | +4.9% | Telecom strength |
| BCE | 60.0 | +0.6% | +2.9% | Canadian telecom near high |
Entry Zones
| Stock | Entry Zone | Thesis |
|---|---|---|
| NVDA | $175-183 | AI king dead neutral at SMA. Next catalyst (earnings/GTC) determines direction. Buy below $175. |
| AMD | $190-200 | Pinned to SMA20 at $203. Below $195 = strong DCA. MI300 ramp is the thesis. |
| TSM | $330-345 | Foundry monopoly -7.2% 30D, below SMA. $330 support from Jan. Patient entry. |
| ASML | $1,300-1,380 | Equipment monopoly below SMA at $1,424. Cyclical weakness, not structural. |
| QCOM | $125-133 | RSI 35.7, approaching oversold. Mobile AI + auto moats. Below $130 = strong entry. |
| MDB | $250-270 | RSI 34.7, -25.8% 30D collapse. If earnings/thesis intact, this is a deep value entry. Verify first. |
| MSFT | $390-405 | Resilient at SMA. Any dip to $390 = buy. Cloud + AI infra leader. |
| ISRG | $470-485 | RSI 39.6, modest pullback. Surgical robotics monopoly. Below $475 = strong long-term entry. |
| EOSE | Research first | -44.7% 30D collapse needs thesis validation before any entry. Falling knife. |
| RUN | Research first | -36.6% 30D — residential solar in freefall. Wait for stabilization signal. |
Action Matrix
| Stock | Signal | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRVL | 🟠 | ⚠️ Caution | +19.0% 7D surge, RSI 68 — don't chase. Wait for pullback to $80-85. |
| NET | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | +12.1% 7D breakout, RSI 64. Above SMA by 12.5%. Momentum trade working. |
| CRWD | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | +13.6% 7D, RSI 58. Cybersecurity leader bouncing hard. |
| EQIX | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | RSI 64, near 52wk high. Data center demand = AI infrastructure backbone. |
| DLR | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | RSI 61, near highs. Data center REIT benefiting from AI buildout. |
| AMZN | 🟢 | 📈 Accumulate | +5.0% 30D, above SMA. AWS + retail = defensive AI play. |
| NOW | 🟢 | 🔍 Watch | +15.9% 30D bounce but still -45% from high. Verify recovery sustainability. |
| PLTR | 🟢 | 🔍 Watch | +11.4% 30D, above SMA. But -27% from high — recovery or dead cat bounce? |
| CEG | 🟢 | 📈 Accumulate | +14.7% 30D, above SMA. Nuclear/AI power thesis intact. |
| NVDA | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Dead neutral — RSI 50, at SMA. Wait for directional break. |
| AMD | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Pinned to SMA at $203. Needs catalyst to break higher. |
| MSFT | 🟡 | 📈 Accumulate | Flat but resilient. DCA on any dip to $390. |
| GOOGL | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Dead flat at SMA. No momentum. |
| META | 🟡 | 🔒 Hold | Neutral at SMA. AI capex story intact long-term. |
| TSM | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | -7.2% 30D, below SMA. Foundry monopoly but near-term momentum weak. |
| ASML | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Below SMA. Equipment monopoly — cyclical weakness, not broken. |
| QCOM | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | RSI 35.7, approaching oversold. Mobile AI/auto thesis needs patience. |
| ISRG | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | RSI 39.6, modest pullback. Watch for sub-$475 entry. |
| MDB | 🔴 | 🔍 Research | RSI 34.7, -25.8% 30D. Needs thesis validation — is this earnings-driven or structural? |
| AI | 🔴 | ❌ Don't Buy | -70% from high, RSI 38. No thesis for recovery. Avoid. |
| EOSE | 🔴 | ❌ Don't Buy | -44.7% 30D, RSI 31. Falling knife — energy storage thesis broken? |
| RUN | 🔴 | ❌ Don't Buy | -36.6% 30D, RSI 33. Residential solar in freefall. |
| SMR | 🔴 | ❌ Don't Buy | -22.7% 30D, -79% from high. Nuclear hype completely unwound. |
What Changed vs Previous Scan
| Metric | Previous | Now | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | $182.65 | $184.77 | 🟢 +$2.12 — slight recovery |
| AMD | $202.68 | $203.23 | 🟡 +$0.55 — flat |
| MSFT | $409.41 | $405.76 | 🟡 -$3.65 — slight fade |
| AMZN | $213.49 | $214.33 | 🟢 +$0.84 — still leading |
| TSM | $348.70 | $347.09 | 🟡 -$1.61 — still weak |
| ASML | $1,357.42 | $1,383.40 | 🟢 +$25.98 — recovery attempt |
| MRVL | N/A | $93.30 | NEW — surging +19% 7D |
| NET | N/A | $207.49 | NEW — breaking out +12% 7D |
| CRWD | N/A | $436.33 | NEW — +13.6% 7D momentum |
| EOSE | N/A | $6.41 | NEW — collapsing -44.7% 30D |
| RUN | N/A | $12.15 | NEW — collapsing -36.6% 30D |
| MDB | N/A | $270.56 | NEW — crushed -25.8% 30D |
Bottom line: The core AI stack (NVDA, AMD, MSFT, GOOGL, META) is in a holding pattern — neutral RSIs, trading at or near SMA20s, waiting for the next catalyst. The real action is at the edges: MRVL is surging on custom ASIC demand, NET and CRWD are breaking out in cybersecurity/edge, and data center REITs (EQIX, DLR) are near 52-week highs. Meanwhile, the AI periphery is getting destroyed — EOSE (-44.7%), RUN (-36.6%), MDB (-25.8%), and SMR (-22.7%) are in freefall. The market is ruthlessly sorting AI winners from losers.
The Gold
Key Discoveries:
- MRVL +19.0% in one week — custom ASIC momentum is the hottest trade in semis right now, decoupling from SMH weakness
- Data center REITs (EQIX near highs, DLR RSI 61) are quietly the best-performing AI infrastructure plays — physical infrastructure > chip hype
- MDB -25.8% 30D, 15% below SMA — if this is overreaction, it could be the best value entry in the scan. Needs earnings verification.
- Clean energy names (EOSE, RUN, SMR) decoupling from AI theme entirely — these are sector-specific selloffs, not AI-related
Mistakes to Avoid:
Open Questions:
Related
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