AI Scan
AI Scan
Core AI stack (NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL, META) treading water with neutral RSIs near SMA20s while the periphery bleeds out — EOSE -44.5% 30D, RUN -36.6% 30D, MDB -25.8% 30D, SMR -22.7% 30D. MRVL still leading at RSI 62 after +19.0% 7D surge. Death crosses dominating: MSFT, META, AMZN, PLTR, CRM, NOW, ADBE, WDAY, ZS all below SMA200. The AI trade is bifurcating into infrastructure winners and software losers.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 BIFURCATING — Semis and data center infra holding up, but cloud/SaaS names with death crosses are in structural downtrends. Core Mag7 neutral at SMA20s. Clean energy names in freefall. Memory stocks (MU +62% 3M, WDC +42% 3M) are the standout AI beneficiaries. |
| Leaders | MRVL (+19.0% 7D, RSI 62), NET (+12.1% 7D, RSI 66), CRWD (+13.6% 7D, RSI 59), MU (+62.0% 3M), BE (+45.7% 3M), EQIX (+10.8% 30D) |
| Laggards | EOSE (-44.5% 30D, RSI 31), RUN (-36.6% 30D, RSI 33), MDB (-25.8% 30D, RSI 35), SMR (-22.7% 30D, RSI 36), AI (-17.3% 30D, -70% from high) |
Sector Benchmarks (ETFs)
| ETF | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMH | $397.33 | 48.0 | $405.97 | -2.1% | -0.4% | -4.2% | +7.5% | 🟡 Semis neutral, fading from highs |
| BOTZ | $36.28 | 37.9 | $38.02 | -4.6% | -2.3% | -4.8% | -1.3% | 🟡 Robotics/AI approaching oversold |
| ROBO | $72.54 | 37.9 | $76.45 | -5.1% | -3.5% | -5.0% | +1.3% | 🟡 Automation weakening |
| AIQ | $49.67 | 47.2 | $49.71 | -0.1% | -0.4% | -1.7% | -3.8% | 🟡 Broad AI flat at SMA20 |
Price Table — Semiconductors & Hardware
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | SMA50 | SMA200 | vs SMA20 | Trend | 7D% | 30D% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | $185.93 | 51.4 | $185.63 | $185.71 | $176.90 | +0.2% | strong-up | +0.7% | -2.2% | 🟡 Dead neutral, pinned to SMA20/50 |
| AMD | $204.91 | 48.3 | $202.65 | $216.92 | $189.99 | +1.1% | weak-down | +3.6% | -4.1% | 🟡 Below SMA50, above SMA200 |
| AVGO | $341.50 | 55.4 | $330.22 | $333.88 | $321.69 | +3.4% | strong-up | +6.4% | -0.4% | 🟢 Above all SMAs, recovering |
| MRVL | $90.33 | 62.1 | $81.57 | $81.93 | $79.31 | +10.7% | strong-up | +19.0% | +11.1% | 🟠 Surging — 10%+ above SMA20 |
| ARM | $120.04 | 47.9 | $124.16 | $116.74 | $138.35 | -3.3% | weak-up | -2.3% | -4.2% | 🟡 Below SMA200, death cross |
| SMCI | $31.79 | 50.2 | $31.67 | $31.12 | $41.25 | +0.4% | weak-up | +0.3% | -0.8% | 🟡 Range-bound, -49% from high |
| QCOM | $135.20 | 35.7 | $139.97 | $152.05 | $158.32 | -3.4% | strong-down | -2.1% | -3.5% | 🟡 Approaching oversold, death cross |
| INTC | $46.78 | 52.9 | $45.63 | $45.43 | $33.17 | +2.5% | strong-up | +5.4% | -3.1% | 🟢 Above all SMAs, +41% above SMA200 |
| TSM | $353.75 | 49.5 | $364.14 | $343.80 | $278.89 | -2.9% | strong-up | -3.7% | -5.4% | 🟡 Below SMA20, fading |
| ASML | $1,387.50 | 49.2 | $1,423.19 | $1,357.59 | $1,002.62 | -2.5% | strong-up | -0.6% | -3.4% | 🟡 Below SMA20, +38.4% above SMA200 |
| MU | $418.62 | 55.9 | $408.48 | $382.98 | $219.68 | +2.5% | strong-up | +0.4% | +2.0% | 🟢 Memory king, +90.6% above SMA200 |
| STX | $384.29 | 49.4 | $397.72 | $368.53 | $240.08 | -3.4% | strong-up | -0.2% | -5.6% | 🟡 Fading below SMA20, +60% above SMA200 |
| WDC | $266.22 | 50.9 | $273.46 | $246.96 | $140.09 | -2.6% | strong-up | -1.5% | -2.7% | 🟡 Drifting, +90% above SMA200 |
Price Table — Cloud & AI Software
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | SMA50 | SMA200 | vs SMA20 | Trend | 7D% | 30D% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT | $404.75 | 44.9 | $400.54 | $432.19 | $481.96 | +1.0% | strong-down | +0.1% | +0.3% | 🟡 Flat but -16% below SMA200, death cross |
| GOOGL | $308.85 | 47.4 | $306.72 | $319.18 | $254.80 | +0.7% | weak-down | +0.6% | -0.6% | 🟡 Neutral at SMA20 |
| META | $654.99 | 50.1 | $650.75 | $655.72 | $691.09 | +0.7% | strong-down | -2.7% | -2.1% | 🟡 At SMA20/50, death cross |
| AMZN | $212.65 | 46.8 | $208.62 | $224.25 | $224.64 | +1.9% | strong-down | -1.2% | +4.2% | 🟡 Above SMA20, below SMA50/200, death cross |
| PLTR | $151.61 | 54.3 | $140.81 | $155.06 | $162.52 | +7.7% | strong-down | -2.1% | +11.7% | 🟡 Bouncing but death cross, -27% from high |
| CRM | $193.96 | 44.4 | $191.28 | $215.36 | $243.01 | +1.4% | strong-down | -0.1% | +4.8% | 🟡 Above SMA20 but -20% below SMA200 |
| NOW | $115.61 | 50.0 | $109.83 | $122.23 | $168.12 | +5.3% | strong-down | +2.8% | +14.9% | 🟢 Bouncing hard, but -31% below SMA200 |
| ADBE | $273.75 | 48.7 | $265.39 | $290.08 | $340.98 | +3.1% | strong-down | +0.8% | +6.5% | 🟡 Recovering, death cross, -20% below SMA200 |
| SNOW | $179.11 | 50.0 | $173.39 | $192.33 | $218.01 | +3.3% | strong-down | +4.4% | +0.2% | 🟡 Stabilizing, death cross, -18% below SMA200 |
| DDOG | $127.43 | 55.8 | $118.67 | $124.27 | $138.92 | +7.4% | weak-up | +4.7% | +0.1% | 🟢 Bouncing above SMA20/50, death cross |
| MDB | $270.46 | 34.7 | $313.92 | $361.55 | $308.22 | -13.8% | down | +9.0% | -25.8% | 🔴 Crushed — 14% below SMA20 |
| PATH | $11.59 | 46.3 | $11.13 | $13.40 | $13.43 | +4.1% | strong-down | +4.3% | -0.9% | 🟡 Stabilizing at lows, -42% from high |
| WDAY | $142.49 | 41.2 | $141.24 | $171.48 | $217.06 | +0.9% | strong-down | -0.2% | -1.4% | 🟡 Flat, death cross, -34% below SMA200 |
| ZS | $153.73 | 39.2 | $160.71 | $190.29 | $262.72 | -4.3% | strong-down | +0.3% | -10.1% | 🔴 Below SMA20, -42% below SMA200 |
| NET | $212.44 | 66.3 | $186.14 | $185.16 | $198.44 | +14.1% | up | +12.1% | +12.2% | 🟢 Breaking out, 14% above SMA20 |
| CRWD | $441.93 | 59.3 | $403.32 | $430.76 | $468.95 | +9.6% | weak-up | +13.6% | +6.3% | 🟢 Surging, cybersec leader |
| PANW | $164.85 | 54.2 | $156.41 | $170.79 | $190.32 | +5.4% | strong-down | +4.9% | -0.3% | 🟡 Above SMA20, death cross |
| FTNT | $83.45 | 55.5 | $81.54 | $80.46 | $86.85 | +2.3% | weak-up | +3.4% | -5.0% | 🟡 Above SMA20/50, death cross |
| VEEV | $189.69 | 48.7 | $182.65 | $203.31 | $257.14 | +3.9% | strong-down | +2.2% | +7.2% | 🟡 Above SMA20, -26% below SMA200 |
Price Table — AI Speculative & Clean Energy
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | SMA50 | SMA200 | vs SMA20 | Trend | 7D% | 30D% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI | $8.96 | 37.9 | $9.80 | $11.63 | $17.62 | -8.6% | strong-down | -3.5% | -17.3% | 🔴 -49% below SMA200, approaching oversold |
| SOUN | $7.90 | 40.8 | $8.08 | $9.28 | $12.25 | -2.3% | strong-down | -8.0% | -0.8% | 🟡 Weak, -64% from high |
| BBAI | $4.07 | 43.5 | $4.06 | $5.01 | $5.84 | +0.3% | strong-down | +3.3% | -8.1% | 🟡 Flat at SMA20, -57% from high |
| IONQ | $35.12 | 44.5 | $34.83 | $41.00 | $47.64 | +0.8% | strong-down | -6.7% | +4.5% | 🟡 Neutral, -59% from high |
| RGTI | $16.99 | 44.8 | $16.80 | $20.10 | $22.18 | +1.1% | strong-down | -2.4% | +3.4% | 🟡 Neutral, -71% from high |
| TEM | $50.90 | 38.2 | $54.07 | $59.83 | $69.62 | -5.9% | strong-down | -2.4% | -5.1% | 🟡 Below SMA, approaching oversold |
| TAC | $12.85 | 45.9 | $13.19 | $12.91 | $13.01 | -2.6% | strong-down | -6.4% | -4.7% | 🟡 Weak, -28% from high |
| ISRG | $485.85 | 39.6 | $495.86 | $521.04 | $512.20 | -2.0% | down | -3.2% | -2.1% | 🟡 Below SMA, fading |
| BE | $158.72 | 52.5 | $155.60 | $143.14 | $85.60 | +2.0% | strong-up | -5.6% | +2.0% | 🟢 Above all SMAs, +85% above SMA200 |
| EOSE | $6.43 | 31.4 | $8.73 | $12.32 | $10.26 | -26.4% | down | -4.9% | -44.5% | 🔴 Collapse — near oversold |
| FSLR | $197.80 | 37.5 | $215.08 | $232.73 | $215.52 | -8.0% | down | -2.5% | -13.2% | 🟡 Approaching oversold |
| ENPH | $43.59 | 50.9 | $44.93 | $40.69 | $37.07 | -3.0% | strong-up | +2.1% | -9.6% | 🟡 Neutral, above SMA200 |
| SEDG | $38.11 | 53.2 | $37.33 | $34.62 | $31.19 | +2.1% | strong-up | -1.7% | +4.9% | 🟢 Above all SMAs |
| RUN | $12.15 | 32.9 | $16.65 | $18.07 | $15.54 | -27.0% | down | -2.2% | -36.6% | 🔴 Solar freefall |
| SMR | $12.03 | 35.6 | $13.44 | $16.26 | $30.35 | -10.5% | strong-down | -7.7% | -22.7% | 🔴 Nuclear unwinding, -79% from high |
| OKLO | $61.38 | 40.8 | $64.77 | $77.00 | $85.73 | -5.2% | strong-down | -5.9% | -7.3% | 🟡 Weak, -68% from high |
| NEE | $91.63 | 54.4 | $92.19 | $86.90 | $78.31 | -0.6% | strong-up | -1.6% | +1.0% | 🟢 Utility, above all SMAs |
| CEG | $300.27 | 45.2 | $308.50 | $307.85 | $328.81 | -2.7% | strong-down | -2.7% | +8.6% | 🟡 Below SMAs, death cross |
| VST | $158.88 | 44.2 | $167.62 | $163.38 | $181.68 | -5.2% | strong-down | +0.2% | -0.8% | 🟡 Below all SMAs, death cross |
Price Table — Data Center & Networking
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | SMA50 | SMA200 | vs SMA20 | Trend | 7D% | 30D% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EQIX | $956.07 | 63.5 | $939.46 | $851.30 | $804.51 | +1.8% | strong-up | -0.5% | +10.8% | 🟢 Strong, near 52wk high |
| DLR | $180.86 | 60.7 | $178.01 | $167.61 | $167.16 | +1.6% | strong-up | +0.1% | +3.6% | 🟢 Steady, near highs |
| ANET | $139.62 | 54.2 | $135.18 | $134.56 | $128.42 | +3.3% | strong-up | +5.6% | -0.7% | 🟢 Above all SMAs |
| CSCO | $77.70 | 46.7 | $79.04 | $77.99 | $71.49 | -1.7% | weak-down | -2.6% | -9.2% | 🟡 Below SMA20, fading |
Price Table — Telecom (Defensive AI Infra)
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | SMA50 | SMA200 | vs SMA20 | Trend | 7D% | 30D% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VZ | $50.62 | 68.1 | $49.81 | $44.74 | $41.80 | +1.6% | strong-up | -0.2% | +3.4% | 🟠 Near overbought, +21% above SMA200 |
| TMUS | $218.78 | 60.3 | $215.90 | $202.55 | $220.61 | +1.3% | weak-up | -0.0% | +4.9% | 🟢 Steady above SMA20 |
| T | $27.11 | 46.3 | $28.21 | $26.10 | $26.41 | -3.9% | up | -3.0% | -4.8% | 🟡 Below SMA20, dipping |
| BCE | $26.39 | 60.0 | $25.95 | $25.10 | $23.70 | +1.7% | strong-up | +0.6% | +2.9% | 🟢 Near 52wk high |
| SKM | $29.84 | 52.9 | $30.68 | $26.51 | $22.69 | -2.7% | strong-up | -1.6% | +0.8% | 🟡 Neutral, +48% 3M |
Tier Analysis
Approaching Oversold (RSI 30-40) — Watch for Entry
| Stock | RSI | 30D% | vs SMA20 | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EOSE | 31.4 | -44.5% | -26.4% | Energy storage collapse |
| RUN | 32.9 | -36.6% | -27.0% | Solar freefall |
| MDB | 34.7 | -25.8% | -13.8% | Crushed 14% below SMA20 |
| QCOM | 35.7 | -3.5% | -3.4% | Approaching oversold, mobile AI |
| SMR | 35.6 | -22.7% | -10.5% | Nuclear mini-reactor unwinding |
| FSLR | 37.5 | -13.2% | -8.0% | Solar weakness |
| BOTZ | 37.9 | -4.8% | -4.6% | Robotics ETF weakening |
| ROBO | 37.9 | -5.0% | -5.1% | Automation ETF weakening |
| AI | 37.9 | -17.3% | -8.6% | C3.ai -70% from high |
| TEM | 38.2 | -5.1% | -5.9% | Tempus AI fading |
| ZS | 39.2 | -10.1% | -4.3% | Cybersec laggard, -54% from high |
| ISRG | 39.6 | -2.1% | -2.0% | Surgical robotics, modest pullback |
Neutral (RSI 40-60) — Core AI Stack
Most core AI names sit in this band: NVDA (51.4), AMD (48.3), MSFT (44.9), GOOGL (47.4), META (50.1), AMZN (46.8), PLTR (54.3), CRM (44.4), NOW (50.0), ADBE (48.7), AVGO (55.4), INTC (52.9), TSM (49.5), ASML (49.2). Consolidating near SMA20s. No urgency to buy or sell — waiting for catalysts.
Strong/Overbought (RSI 60+) — Momentum Names
| Stock | RSI | 7D% | 30D% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VZ | 68.1 | -0.2% | +3.4% | Defensive telecom near overbought |
| NET | 66.3 | +12.1% | +12.2% | Edge computing breakout |
| EQIX | 63.5 | -0.5% | +10.8% | Data center REIT near highs |
| MRVL | 62.1 | +19.0% | +11.1% | Custom ASIC momentum |
| DLR | 60.7 | +0.1% | +3.6% | Data center steady |
| TMUS | 60.3 | -0.0% | +4.9% | Telecom strength |
| BCE | 60.0 | +0.6% | +2.9% | Canadian telecom near high |
| CRWD | 59.3 | +13.6% | +6.3% | Cybersecurity surging |
Entry Zones
| Stock | Entry Zone | Thesis |
|---|---|---|
| NVDA | $175-183 | Dead neutral at SMA20/50. AI king waiting for catalyst. Buy below $175. |
| AMD | $190-200 | Below SMA50 at $217, above SMA200 at $190. MI300 ramp thesis. Sub-$195 = strong DCA. |
| TSM | $330-350 | Foundry monopoly -5.4% 30D, below SMA20. +26.8% above SMA200 = strong long-term trend. |
| ASML | $1,300-1,380 | Equipment monopoly below SMA20. +38.4% above SMA200 = secular uptrend intact. |
| QCOM | $125-133 | RSI 35.7, death cross, strong-down. Mobile AI/auto moats. Only for patient holders. |
| MDB | $250-270 | RSI 34.7, -25.8% 30D. Deep value IF thesis intact. Verify earnings/fundamentals first. |
| MSFT | $390-405 | Flat at SMA20. Death cross warning (-16% below SMA200). Still DCA-worthy as cloud leader. |
| ISRG | $470-485 | RSI 39.6, below all SMAs. Surgical robotics monopoly. Sub-$475 = strong long-term entry. |
| EOSE | Research first | -44.5% 30D collapse. Falling knife — validate thesis before any entry. |
| RUN | Research first | -36.6% 30D. Solar freefall. Wait for stabilization. |
Action Matrix
| Stock | Signal | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRVL | 🟠 | ⚠️ Caution | +19.0% 7D, RSI 62. Custom ASIC momentum — don't chase, wait for $80-85 pullback. |
| NET | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | +12.1% 7D, RSI 66. Edge computing breakout, 14% above SMA20. |
| CRWD | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | +13.6% 7D, RSI 59. Cybersec leader surging. |
| EQIX | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | RSI 64, +10.8% 30D. Data center REIT near highs. |
| DLR | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | RSI 61, near highs. Data center demand intact. |
| MU | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | RSI 56, +62.0% 3M, +90.6% above SMA200. Memory supercycle. |
| BE | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | RSI 53, +45.7% 3M. Fuel cell momentum. |
| AMZN | 🟡 | 📈 Accumulate | Above SMA20, +4.2% 30D. AWS + retail = defensive AI play. Death cross is a concern. |
| NOW | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | +14.9% 30D bounce but -31% below SMA200. Verify recovery sustainability. |
| PLTR | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | +11.7% 30D, above SMA20. But death cross and -27% from high. |
| CEG | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | +8.6% 30D but death cross. Nuclear/AI power thesis under pressure. |
| NVDA | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Dead neutral — RSI 51, at SMA. Wait for directional break. |
| AMD | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | RSI 48, below SMA50. Needs catalyst. |
| MSFT | 🟡 | 📈 Accumulate | Flat but death cross warning. DCA on dips to $390. |
| GOOGL | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | RSI 47, at SMA20. No momentum signal. |
| META | 🟡 | 🔒 Hold | RSI 50, at SMA20/50. Death cross but AI capex story intact. |
| TSM | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | RSI 50, -5.4% 30D. Strong-up trend but near-term weakness. |
| ASML | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | RSI 49, below SMA20. Equipment monopoly — cyclical not structural. |
| QCOM | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | RSI 36, strong-down with death cross. Only for deep value conviction. |
| ISRG | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | RSI 40, below all SMAs. Watch for sub-$475 entry. |
| MDB | 🔴 | 🔍 Research | RSI 35, -25.8% 30D, -13.8% below SMA20. Verify if earnings-driven or structural. |
| ZS | 🔴 | ❌ Don't Buy | RSI 39, -42% below SMA200. Structural downtrend. |
| AI | 🔴 | ❌ Don't Buy | -70% from high, strong-down. No moat, no thesis. |
| EOSE | 🔴 | ❌ Don't Buy | -44.5% 30D, RSI 31. Falling knife. |
| RUN | 🔴 | ❌ Don't Buy | -36.6% 30D, RSI 33. Solar freefall. |
| SMR | 🔴 | ❌ Don't Buy | -22.7% 30D, -79% from high. Nuclear hype unwound. |
What Changed vs 03/10 Scan
| Metric | 03/10 | 03/11 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | $184.77 | $185.93 | 🟢 +$1.16 — slight uptick |
| AMD | $203.23 | $204.91 | 🟢 +$1.68 — slight recovery |
| MSFT | $405.76 | $404.75 | 🟡 -$1.01 — flat |
| AMZN | $214.33 | $212.65 | 🟡 -$1.68 — slight fade |
| TSM | $347.09 | $353.75 | 🟢 +$6.66 — bouncing |
| ASML | $1,383.40 | $1,387.50 | 🟡 +$4.10 — flat |
| MRVL | $93.30 | $90.33 | 🟡 -$2.97 — pulling back after surge |
| NET | $207.49 | $212.44 | 🟢 +$4.95 — breakout continues |
| CRWD | $436.33 | $441.93 | 🟢 +$5.60 — momentum continues |
| MDB | $270.56 | $270.46 | 🟡 -$0.10 — flat after crash |
| EOSE | $6.41 | $6.43 | 🟡 +$0.02 — stabilizing? |
| RUN | $12.15 | $12.15 | 🟡 No change — still in freefall |
Bottom line: Day-over-day changes are minimal — the big story is unchanged. Core AI stack remains in a holding pattern with neutral RSIs. The bifurcation between infrastructure winners (MRVL, NET, CRWD, EQIX, MU) and software losers (WDAY -48%, ZS -54%, NOW -45% from highs) is the defining theme. Death crosses now dominate the SaaS space — 14 stocks in this scan have death crosses. The market is pricing in a fundamental reset for cloud/SaaS multiples while physical AI infrastructure (data centers, memory, networking) continues to attract capital.
The Gold
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| 14 stocks with death crosses in this scan | SaaS/cloud repricing is structural, not a dip to buy |
| MRVL +19% 7D, MU +62% 3M, WDC +42% 3M | Memory and custom silicon are the AI hardware winners |
| EQIX +10.8% 30D, DLR +3.6% 30D near highs | Physical data center infrastructure > chip hype |
| MSFT -16% below SMA200, WDAY -34%, ZS -42% | Enterprise SaaS death crosses are deepening — this is not a rotation, it's a repricing |
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
| Mistake | Lesson |
|---|---|
| Chasing MRVL at RSI 62 after +19% week | Wait for pullback to $80-85, don't buy extended names |
| Bottom-fishing EOSE/RUN without thesis validation | Falling knives need fundamentals, not just RSI levels |
| Treating death crosses as buying opportunities | MSFT, META, AMZN death crosses could persist — respect the trend |
Open Questions
- Is MDB's -25.8% crash an earnings miss or broader cloud spending pullback? Critical to distinguish.
- Will MRVL's custom ASIC momentum sustain through Q2, or is this a one-week squeeze?
- Are BOTZ and ROBO (both RSI 38) signaling broader robotics/automation weakness, or entry opportunities?
- How long can MU sustain +90% above SMA200? Memory cycles are notoriously mean-reverting.
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.