AI Scan
Scan
AI Scan
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 79 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-05-01-ai-scanported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-03-12-ai-scan.mdscan slugai-scansource typescan-archive
AI ecosystem is deeply bifurcated: infrastructure plays (MRVL +15.4% 7D, AVGO +4.2% 7D, BE +17.7% 30D) are surging while enterprise SaaS (WDAY -39.4% 3M, NOW -34.2% 3M, ZS -36.5% 3M, AI.com -41.3% 3M) is in a persistent downtrend with death crosses across the board. NVDA is holding but flat. The "AI monetization" trade is broken — only infrastructure and power are working.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🔴 BIFURCATED — INFRA WINS, SaaS BROKEN — Physical AI infrastructure (networking, power, storage) outperforming. Enterprise software AI names in sustained downtrends with death crosses. NVDA/AMD/MSFT/META in no-man's land. |
| Leaders | MRVL (+15.4% 7D, +13.8% 30D), AVGO (+4.2% 7D, +2.1% 30D), NET (+10.9% 7D, +14.9% 30D), BE (+17.7% 30D), INTC (+4.2% 7D) |
| Laggards | WDAY (-6.6% 7D, -39.4% 3M), ZS (-4.3% 7D, -36.5% 3M), AI (-2.5% 7D, -41.3% 3M), NOW (-34.2% 3M), MDB (-26.5% 30D) |
Price Table
| Stock | Price | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | RSI | vs SMA20 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | $184.12 | +2.4% | -1.5% | +5.2% | 49.6 | -0.7% | weak-down | 🟡 Range-bound |
| AMD | $198.93 | +2.1% | -3.4% | -5.6% | 45.0 | -1.5% | weak-down | 🟡 Holding but soft |
| AVGO | $338.17 | +4.2% | +2.1% | -5.9% | 54.0 | +2.5% | strong-up | 🟠 Leading AI chips |
| MRVL | $89.04 | +15.4% | +13.8% | +5.5% | 59.9 | +8.6% | strong-up | 🟠 Breakout — momentum |
| ARM | $115.31 | -1.2% | -5.6% | -11.9% | 42.3 | -6.8% | strong-down | 🔴 Death cross, broken |
| SMCI | $31.04 | -3.6% | +2.0% | -4.0% | 47.4 | -1.6% | strong-down | 🔴 Death cross, -49% from 52wk hi |
| QCOM | $131.50 | -3.5% | -4.4% | -25.8% | 31.4 | -5.6% | strong-down | 🟡 Approaching oversold |
| INTC | $45.62 | +4.2% | -1.9% | +20.7% | 49.5 | +0.2% | strong-up | 🟠 Surprise leader |
| TSM | $339.35 | -0.1% | -7.8% | +16.2% | 42.9 | -6.4% | weak-down | 🟡 Foundry weak near-term |
| ASML | $1,352.42 | -0.3% | -3.9% | +25.3% | 45.6 | -4.7% | weak-down | 🟡 Pullback from run |
| AMZN | $210.18 | -1.7% | +5.3% | -7.1% | 44.1 | +0.6% | strong-down | 🟡 Cloud resilient |
| MSFT | $405.01 | -0.6% | +1.0% | -15.2% | 45.2 | +1.1% | strong-down | 🟡 Death cross — down trend |
| GOOGL | $303.56 | +3.0% | -1.7% | -1.8% | 42.4 | -0.9% | weak-down | 🟡 Slightly better |
| META | $639.97 | -1.1% | -1.5% | -0.6% | 44.1 | -1.4% | strong-down | 🟡 Death cross, treading water |
| PLTR | $154.74 | -1.6% | +19.8% | -15.7% | 57.3 | +9.2% | weak-up | 🟠 Recovering from lows |
| AI | $8.97 | -2.5% | -13.6% | -41.3% | 39.2 | -6.5% | strong-down | 🔴 Broken — avoid |
| SNOW | $177.92 | +2.8% | +2.9% | -18.4% | 49.2 | +2.6% | strong-down | 🟡 Stabilizing |
| DDOG | $128.79 | +3.3% | +2.1% | -11.8% | 57.0 | +8.5% | weak-up | 🟠 Above SMA20, recovering |
| MDB | $262.18 | +1.8% | -26.5% | -37.4% | 32.9 | -15.1% | down | 🟡 Oversold after earnings dump |
| PATH | $11.61 | +6.9% | +3.9% | -33.4% | 47.1 | +4.6% | strong-down | 🟡 Bouncing but death cross |
| CRM | $199.83 | -3.8% | +7.8% | -23.7% | 50.1 | +4.1% | strong-down | 🟡 Death cross |
| NOW | $113.78 | -3.7% | +10.2% | -34.2% | 47.8 | +3.0% | strong-down | 🔴 Death cross, -46% from high |
| ADBE | $270.26 | -2.7% | +3.0% | -24.2% | 45.7 | +1.6% | strong-down | 🔴 Death cross, broken trend |
| WDAY | $136.05 | -6.6% | -5.6% | -39.4% | 36.5 | -2.9% | strong-down | 🔴 Death cross, worst SaaS |
| ZS | $151.38 | -4.3% | -11.4% | -36.5% | 39.2 | -5.8% | strong-down | 🔴 Death cross, -55% from high |
| SOUN | $7.56 | -5.0% | +1.3% | -35.1% | 37.1 | -6.0% | strong-down | 🔴 Death cross, small-cap wreckage |
| BBAI | $4.09 | +5.3% | -0.2% | -35.9% | 44.3 | +1.7% | strong-down | 🔴 Death cross |
| IONQ | $33.80 | -3.1% | +8.0% | -32.9% | 41.7 | -2.8% | strong-down | 🔴 Death cross, quantum spec |
| RGTI | $16.31 | +5.2% | +8.8% | -36.9% | 41.8 | -2.9% | strong-down | 🔴 Death cross, quantum spec |
| ISRG | $478.70 | +0.0% | +0.0% | -11.7% | 37.8 | -3.3% | down | 🟡 Flat but weakening |
| TEM | $49.92 | +0.7% | -1.7% | -29.3% | 38.2 | -7.1% | strong-down | 🔴 Death cross |
| VEEV | $187.09 | -2.9% | +8.8% | -16.2% | 46.3 | +2.4% | strong-down | 🔴 Death cross, -27% SMA200 |
| NET | $212.78 | +10.9% | +14.9% | +5.1% | 66.4 | +13.6% | up | 🟠 Breaking out |
| BE | $163.57 | -1.9% | +17.7% | +72.2% | 54.5 | +4.8% | strong-up | 🟠 AI power play leading |
| CEG | $308.17 | -7.5% | +11.8% | -12.3% | 49.7 | -0.6% | weak-up | 🟡 Nuclear consolidating |
| VST | $161.93 | -4.1% | -0.7% | -4.7% | 47.4 | -3.5% | strong-down | 🟡 Death cross |
| SMR | $12.10 | +0.8% | -13.5% | -34.0% | 37.4 | -7.2% | strong-down | 🔴 Nuclear spec wrecked |
| OKLO | $60.92 | +1.0% | -4.7% | -30.3% | 41.3 | -5.1% | strong-down | 🔴 Death cross |
| NEE | $92.14 | +1.1% | +0.9% | +13.6% | 56.3 | -0.1% | strong-up | 🟠 Utility outperformer |
Tier Analysis
Oversold (RSI 25-40)
- MDB (RSI 32.9) — -26.5% in 30 days, earnings dump. Deep value but still a falling knife.
- QCOM (RSI 31.4) — -25.8% 3M, approaching oversold but death cross
- WDAY (RSI 36.5) — -39.4% 3M, broken enterprise SaaS thesis
- ISRG (RSI 37.8) — flat price but weakening trend
- ZS (RSI 39.2), AI (RSI 39.2) — both in strong downtrends
Neutral (RSI 40-55)
Stronger (RSI 55+)
Entry Zones
| Stock | Entry Zone | Thesis |
|---|---|---|
| MDB | $250-265 | RSI 33, -37% 3M. Earnings dump created deep value in a fundamentally strong database company. High risk/reward. |
| NVDA | $175-185 | RSI 50, range-bound. Wait for pullback below $180 before adding. AI king is the anchor. |
| QCOM | $125-135 | RSI 31, approaching oversold. Mobile AI chip play, -25.8% 3M correction. |
| TSM | $330-345 | RSI 43, foundry monopoly pullback from $362 SMA. Long-term AI infrastructure backbone. |
| ISRG | $470-480 | RSI 38, flat but weakening. Surgical robotics monopoly. Watch for RSI to drop below 35 for better entry. |
| AVGO | $325-340 | RSI 54, strong-up. Custom AI ASIC thesis intact. Any pullback to $325 = accumulate. |
Action Matrix
| Stock | Signal | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRVL | 🟠 | 🔒 Hold | +15.4% 7D breakout. Strong-up momentum — don't sell the breakout. |
| NET | 🟠 | 🔒 Hold | +10.9% 7D, RSI 66, up trend. Best performing AI SaaS name. |
| AVGO | 🟠 | 🔒 Hold | Strong-up, +2.1% 30D in a sea of red. Custom ASIC demand intact. |
| BE | 🟠 | 🔒 Hold | +72.2% 3M, RSI 55, strong-up. AI power infrastructure thesis playing out. |
| INTC | 🟠 | 🔍 Watch | +20.7% 3M surprise. Turnaround story gaining traction — research before adding. |
| NVDA | 🟡 | ⏳ Waiting | RSI 50, range-bound. Set alert at $175 for strong entry. |
| MDB | 🟡 | 📈 Accumulate | RSI 33, -26.5% 30D earnings dump. Deep oversold quality — DCA entry. |
| QCOM | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | RSI 31, -25.8% 3M. Approaching oversold with death cross — wait for stabilization. |
| AMD | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | RSI 45, weak-down. Wait for conviction bounce or clearer trend. |
| TSM | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | RSI 43, -7.8% 30D. Foundry monopoly on sale — research entry at $330. |
| PLTR | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | RSI 57, +19.8% 30D recovery. Death cross but bouncing — watch for SMA200 crossover. |
| WDAY | 🔴 | ❌ Don't Buy | RSI 36.5, -39.4% 3M, death cross. Enterprise SaaS thesis broken. |
| ZS | 🔴 | ❌ Don't Buy | RSI 39, -36.5% 3M, death cross, -55% from 52wk high. Broken. |
| AI | 🔴 | ❌ Don't Buy | RSI 39, -41.3% 3M, death cross. C3.ai has no catalyst. |
| NOW | 🔴 | ❌ Don't Buy | RSI 48, -34.2% 3M, -46% from 52wk high. Don't catch this knife. |
| SMCI | 🔴 | ❌ Don't Buy | Death cross, -49% from high, governance risk. Avoid. |
What Changed vs 2026-03-10
| Metric | Mar 10 | Mar 12 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | $182.65 | $184.12 | 🟢 +$1.47 — steady |
| AMD | $195.03 | $198.93 | 🟢 +$3.90 — recovering |
| MRVL | ~$77 | $89.04 | 🟢 +$12 — big breakout |
| NET | ~$191 | $212.78 | 🟢 +$21 — explosive move |
| MDB | ~$357 | $262.18 | 🔴 Massive earnings dump |
| WDAY | ~$145 | $136.05 | 🔴 Continued slide |
| MSFT | $409.41 | $405.01 | 🟡 Slight decline |
| AMZN | $213.49 | $210.18 | 🟡 Slightly lower |
| TSM | $348.70 | $339.35 | 🔴 Continued breakdown |
The major story since last scan: MRVL and NET breaking out while MDB had a catastrophic earnings dump. SaaS names continue deteriorating. The infrastructure vs software divergence is widening.
The Gold
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| MRVL +15.4% 7D breakout | Custom ASIC and networking infra winning the AI capex cycle |
| NET +10.9% 7D while ZS/WDAY collapse | Not all cloud/security is equal — NET's edge computing moat matters |
| MDB -26.5% 30D after earnings | Even quality names can get crushed; confirms "AI monetization" skepticism |
| BE +72.2% 3M | Power infrastructure for AI data centers is the sleeper thesis playing out |
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
| Mistake | Lesson |
|---|---|
| Treating all "AI" names the same | Infrastructure (MRVL, AVGO, BE, NET) vs SaaS (WDAY, ZS, NOW) is a night/day difference |
| Bottom-fishing death cross names | WDAY, ZS, NOW, AI — all have death crosses and keep falling |
Open Questions
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.