AI Scan

Scan

AI Scan

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 79 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-05-01-ai-scanported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-03-12-ai-scan.mdscan slugai-scansource typescan-archive

AI ecosystem is deeply bifurcated: infrastructure plays (MRVL +15.4% 7D, AVGO +4.2% 7D, BE +17.7% 30D) are surging while enterprise SaaS (WDAY -39.4% 3M, NOW -34.2% 3M, ZS -36.5% 3M, AI.com -41.3% 3M) is in a persistent downtrend with death crosses across the board. NVDA is holding but flat. The "AI monetization" trade is broken — only infrastructure and power are working.


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🔴 BIFURCATED — INFRA WINS, SaaS BROKEN — Physical AI infrastructure (networking, power, storage) outperforming. Enterprise software AI names in sustained downtrends with death crosses. NVDA/AMD/MSFT/META in no-man's land.
Leaders MRVL (+15.4% 7D, +13.8% 30D), AVGO (+4.2% 7D, +2.1% 30D), NET (+10.9% 7D, +14.9% 30D), BE (+17.7% 30D), INTC (+4.2% 7D)
Laggards WDAY (-6.6% 7D, -39.4% 3M), ZS (-4.3% 7D, -36.5% 3M), AI (-2.5% 7D, -41.3% 3M), NOW (-34.2% 3M), MDB (-26.5% 30D)

Price Table

Stock Price 7D% 30D% 3M% RSI vs SMA20 Trend Signal
NVDA $184.12 +2.4% -1.5% +5.2% 49.6 -0.7% weak-down 🟡 Range-bound
AMD $198.93 +2.1% -3.4% -5.6% 45.0 -1.5% weak-down 🟡 Holding but soft
AVGO $338.17 +4.2% +2.1% -5.9% 54.0 +2.5% strong-up 🟠 Leading AI chips
MRVL $89.04 +15.4% +13.8% +5.5% 59.9 +8.6% strong-up 🟠 Breakout — momentum
ARM $115.31 -1.2% -5.6% -11.9% 42.3 -6.8% strong-down 🔴 Death cross, broken
SMCI $31.04 -3.6% +2.0% -4.0% 47.4 -1.6% strong-down 🔴 Death cross, -49% from 52wk hi
QCOM $131.50 -3.5% -4.4% -25.8% 31.4 -5.6% strong-down 🟡 Approaching oversold
INTC $45.62 +4.2% -1.9% +20.7% 49.5 +0.2% strong-up 🟠 Surprise leader
TSM $339.35 -0.1% -7.8% +16.2% 42.9 -6.4% weak-down 🟡 Foundry weak near-term
ASML $1,352.42 -0.3% -3.9% +25.3% 45.6 -4.7% weak-down 🟡 Pullback from run
AMZN $210.18 -1.7% +5.3% -7.1% 44.1 +0.6% strong-down 🟡 Cloud resilient
MSFT $405.01 -0.6% +1.0% -15.2% 45.2 +1.1% strong-down 🟡 Death cross — down trend
GOOGL $303.56 +3.0% -1.7% -1.8% 42.4 -0.9% weak-down 🟡 Slightly better
META $639.97 -1.1% -1.5% -0.6% 44.1 -1.4% strong-down 🟡 Death cross, treading water
PLTR $154.74 -1.6% +19.8% -15.7% 57.3 +9.2% weak-up 🟠 Recovering from lows
AI $8.97 -2.5% -13.6% -41.3% 39.2 -6.5% strong-down 🔴 Broken — avoid
SNOW $177.92 +2.8% +2.9% -18.4% 49.2 +2.6% strong-down 🟡 Stabilizing
DDOG $128.79 +3.3% +2.1% -11.8% 57.0 +8.5% weak-up 🟠 Above SMA20, recovering
MDB $262.18 +1.8% -26.5% -37.4% 32.9 -15.1% down 🟡 Oversold after earnings dump
PATH $11.61 +6.9% +3.9% -33.4% 47.1 +4.6% strong-down 🟡 Bouncing but death cross
CRM $199.83 -3.8% +7.8% -23.7% 50.1 +4.1% strong-down 🟡 Death cross
NOW $113.78 -3.7% +10.2% -34.2% 47.8 +3.0% strong-down 🔴 Death cross, -46% from high
ADBE $270.26 -2.7% +3.0% -24.2% 45.7 +1.6% strong-down 🔴 Death cross, broken trend
WDAY $136.05 -6.6% -5.6% -39.4% 36.5 -2.9% strong-down 🔴 Death cross, worst SaaS
ZS $151.38 -4.3% -11.4% -36.5% 39.2 -5.8% strong-down 🔴 Death cross, -55% from high
SOUN $7.56 -5.0% +1.3% -35.1% 37.1 -6.0% strong-down 🔴 Death cross, small-cap wreckage
BBAI $4.09 +5.3% -0.2% -35.9% 44.3 +1.7% strong-down 🔴 Death cross
IONQ $33.80 -3.1% +8.0% -32.9% 41.7 -2.8% strong-down 🔴 Death cross, quantum spec
RGTI $16.31 +5.2% +8.8% -36.9% 41.8 -2.9% strong-down 🔴 Death cross, quantum spec
ISRG $478.70 +0.0% +0.0% -11.7% 37.8 -3.3% down 🟡 Flat but weakening
TEM $49.92 +0.7% -1.7% -29.3% 38.2 -7.1% strong-down 🔴 Death cross
VEEV $187.09 -2.9% +8.8% -16.2% 46.3 +2.4% strong-down 🔴 Death cross, -27% SMA200
NET $212.78 +10.9% +14.9% +5.1% 66.4 +13.6% up 🟠 Breaking out
BE $163.57 -1.9% +17.7% +72.2% 54.5 +4.8% strong-up 🟠 AI power play leading
CEG $308.17 -7.5% +11.8% -12.3% 49.7 -0.6% weak-up 🟡 Nuclear consolidating
VST $161.93 -4.1% -0.7% -4.7% 47.4 -3.5% strong-down 🟡 Death cross
SMR $12.10 +0.8% -13.5% -34.0% 37.4 -7.2% strong-down 🔴 Nuclear spec wrecked
OKLO $60.92 +1.0% -4.7% -30.3% 41.3 -5.1% strong-down 🔴 Death cross
NEE $92.14 +1.1% +0.9% +13.6% 56.3 -0.1% strong-up 🟠 Utility outperformer

Tier Analysis

Oversold (RSI 25-40)

  • MDB (RSI 32.9) — -26.5% in 30 days, earnings dump. Deep value but still a falling knife.
  • QCOM (RSI 31.4) — -25.8% 3M, approaching oversold but death cross
  • WDAY (RSI 36.5) — -39.4% 3M, broken enterprise SaaS thesis
  • ISRG (RSI 37.8) — flat price but weakening trend
  • ZS (RSI 39.2), AI (RSI 39.2) — both in strong downtrends

Neutral (RSI 40-55)

  • NVDA (RSI 49.6) — range-bound, the AI anchor not breaking down
  • AMD (RSI 45.0), MSFT (RSI 45.2), AMZN (RSI 44.1), META (RSI 44.1) — mega-cap AI treading water
  • GOOGL (RSI 42.4), TSM (RSI 42.9) — mid-range, soft

Stronger (RSI 55+)

  • MRVL (RSI 59.9) — breakout, +15.4% in a week
  • NET (RSI 66.4) — breaking out hard, +10.9% 7D
  • AVGO (RSI 54.0) — holding strong-up
  • BE (RSI 54.5) — AI power play, +72.2% 3M

Entry Zones

Stock Entry Zone Thesis
MDB $250-265 RSI 33, -37% 3M. Earnings dump created deep value in a fundamentally strong database company. High risk/reward.
NVDA $175-185 RSI 50, range-bound. Wait for pullback below $180 before adding. AI king is the anchor.
QCOM $125-135 RSI 31, approaching oversold. Mobile AI chip play, -25.8% 3M correction.
TSM $330-345 RSI 43, foundry monopoly pullback from $362 SMA. Long-term AI infrastructure backbone.
ISRG $470-480 RSI 38, flat but weakening. Surgical robotics monopoly. Watch for RSI to drop below 35 for better entry.
AVGO $325-340 RSI 54, strong-up. Custom AI ASIC thesis intact. Any pullback to $325 = accumulate.

Action Matrix

Stock Signal Action Notes
MRVL 🟠 🔒 Hold +15.4% 7D breakout. Strong-up momentum — don't sell the breakout.
NET 🟠 🔒 Hold +10.9% 7D, RSI 66, up trend. Best performing AI SaaS name.
AVGO 🟠 🔒 Hold Strong-up, +2.1% 30D in a sea of red. Custom ASIC demand intact.
BE 🟠 🔒 Hold +72.2% 3M, RSI 55, strong-up. AI power infrastructure thesis playing out.
INTC 🟠 🔍 Watch +20.7% 3M surprise. Turnaround story gaining traction — research before adding.
NVDA 🟡 ⏳ Waiting RSI 50, range-bound. Set alert at $175 for strong entry.
MDB 🟡 📈 Accumulate RSI 33, -26.5% 30D earnings dump. Deep oversold quality — DCA entry.
QCOM 🟡 🔍 Watch RSI 31, -25.8% 3M. Approaching oversold with death cross — wait for stabilization.
AMD 🟡 🔍 Watch RSI 45, weak-down. Wait for conviction bounce or clearer trend.
TSM 🟡 🔍 Watch RSI 43, -7.8% 30D. Foundry monopoly on sale — research entry at $330.
PLTR 🟡 🔍 Watch RSI 57, +19.8% 30D recovery. Death cross but bouncing — watch for SMA200 crossover.
WDAY 🔴 ❌ Don't Buy RSI 36.5, -39.4% 3M, death cross. Enterprise SaaS thesis broken.
ZS 🔴 ❌ Don't Buy RSI 39, -36.5% 3M, death cross, -55% from 52wk high. Broken.
AI 🔴 ❌ Don't Buy RSI 39, -41.3% 3M, death cross. C3.ai has no catalyst.
NOW 🔴 ❌ Don't Buy RSI 48, -34.2% 3M, -46% from 52wk high. Don't catch this knife.
SMCI 🔴 ❌ Don't Buy Death cross, -49% from high, governance risk. Avoid.

What Changed vs 2026-03-10

Metric Mar 10 Mar 12 Change
NVDA $182.65 $184.12 🟢 +$1.47 — steady
AMD $195.03 $198.93 🟢 +$3.90 — recovering
MRVL ~$77 $89.04 🟢 +$12 — big breakout
NET ~$191 $212.78 🟢 +$21 — explosive move
MDB ~$357 $262.18 🔴 Massive earnings dump
WDAY ~$145 $136.05 🔴 Continued slide
MSFT $409.41 $405.01 🟡 Slight decline
AMZN $213.49 $210.18 🟡 Slightly lower
TSM $348.70 $339.35 🔴 Continued breakdown

The major story since last scan: MRVL and NET breaking out while MDB had a catastrophic earnings dump. SaaS names continue deteriorating. The infrastructure vs software divergence is widening.


The Gold

Key Discoveries

Discovery Implication
MRVL +15.4% 7D breakout Custom ASIC and networking infra winning the AI capex cycle
NET +10.9% 7D while ZS/WDAY collapse Not all cloud/security is equal — NET's edge computing moat matters
MDB -26.5% 30D after earnings Even quality names can get crushed; confirms "AI monetization" skepticism
BE +72.2% 3M Power infrastructure for AI data centers is the sleeper thesis playing out

Mistakes (Don't Repeat)

Mistake Lesson
Treating all "AI" names the same Infrastructure (MRVL, AVGO, BE, NET) vs SaaS (WDAY, ZS, NOW) is a night/day difference
Bottom-fishing death cross names WDAY, ZS, NOW, AI — all have death crosses and keep falling

Open Questions

  • Can NVDA break out of the $175-185 range, or is it stuck waiting for next earnings?
  • Is MDB's earnings dump a buying opportunity or a sign of enterprise AI spend hesitation?
  • Why is NET breaking out while all other security/cloud SaaS is collapsing?
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.