CPO supercycle thesis — Sivers / Shunsin / MSSCorps / TSEM
CPO supercycle thesis — Sivers / Shunsin / MSSCorps / TSEM
· @aleabitoreddit
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@aleabitoreddit lays out the CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) supply chain as the next architecture inflection in optical networking, distinct from prior 800g pluggable optics. Quoted growth: 142% CAGR 2026-2030 (excl. ELS), with scale-up CPO surpassing scale-out before 2030.
Supply chain map:
- Lasers — $SIVE (Sivers)
- Packaging — Shunsin (Taiwan, no US ticker)
- Yields — MSSCorps (Taiwan, no US ticker)
- Foundry — Win Semi / $TSEM (Tower)
Demand-side anchors: $NVDA + $AVGO drive the architecture (CPO co-packages optics with the GPU/switch ASIC at substrate level; eliminates pluggable optics modules).
The Sivers angle: no material exposure to legacy 800g pluggable optics — framed as a feature, not a bug. Bleeding-edge laser supplier for CPO architecture means setup-now / realize-later, with revenue contribution tracking NVDA/AVGO architecture rollout cadence.
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