Watchlist / optical-supply-chain
Watchlist / optical-supply-chain
current roster plus event stream
Optical/photonics supply chain — AI optical supercycle plays. Laser sources (LITE, COHR), optical networking (CIEN), silicon photonics (ALAB, SMTC), foundry (TSEM), next-gen modulators (LWLG, SIVEF/Sivers Semiconductors OTC, NGKIF/5333.T TFLN substrates), RF/optical components (MTSI MACOM Technology Solutions — corrected from MACOM ticker 2026-05-04, VIAV), fiber/connectors (GLW, FN, CLS), assembly (JBL — Intel SiPh IP, potential Innolight analog), photomasks (PLAB), process control (ONTO), wafer test probes (FORM FormFactor — surfaced via @aleabitoreddit photonics scorecard), compound semi (AXTI, IQEPF/IQE plc OTC), engineered germanium alternatives (LPTH — China export-control hedge), optical transceivers for hyperscalers (AAOI Applied Optoelectronics — surfaced 2026-05-05 via @RealJGBanks photonics-rotation tweet; one of few legit photonics names from that basket-list source), SOI wafers (SOI.PA/Soitec), memory/NAND (SNDK/SanDisk), MBE epitaxy equipment for QD lasers + quantum (ALRIB.PA/Riber — surfaced via @aleabitoreddit, Microsoft Quantum catalyst), photonic ICs (POET Technologies — surfaced 2026-04-28 via Reddit intake, Optical Interposer platform for AI/datacomm), QD laser…
Showing 120 of 355 events.
| 1D | 7D | 30D | 3M | 1Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cohort | +2.8% | +13.5% | +25.7% | +3.3% | +484.4% |
| SPY | -0.5% | -0.1% | +4.0% | +4.9% | +21.4% |
| Δ | +3.3% | +13.6% | +21.8% | -1.5% | +462.9% |
equal-weight · buy-and-hold from window start, no rebalancing · 3M+ windows are a current-roster backcast.
trend: 24 up · 2 flat · 11 down · avg RSI 57 · 94% above SMA200 · covered 37/37
Holdings
Memory bull consolidation: 2027 DRAM and HBM capacity reportedly sold out
Memory bull consolidation: 2027 DRAM and HBM capacity reportedly sold out
Photon Capital — COHR’s AI mix and InP capacity ramp
Photon Capital — COHR’s AI mix and InP capacity ramp
The Kobeissi Letter — memory is now the tape: NVDA, MU and SNDK are three of the four most-traded US stocks
Gaetano (crux_capital_) — the market sold off the wrong optical name: his bull case for why AXTI's China selloff is negotiating leverage, not a real ban
Gaetano (crux_capital_) — the market sold off the wrong optical name: his bull case for why AXTI's China selloff is negotiating leverage, not a real ban
Serenity (aleabitoreddit) — AAOI's earnings call says China is years behind on CPO lasers, and AAOI itself is capacity-out of first-gen CPO
Gavin Baker on Invest Like the Best — no slowdown on the ground: old GPUs repricing up, the memory war, and who funds the buildout
Gavin Baker on Invest Like the Best — no slowdown on the ground: old GPUs repricing up, the memory war, and who funds the buildout
ChurchillWw — ZEISS is expanding all three of its main German optics plants at once
ChurchillWw — ZEISS is expanding all three of its main German optics plants at once
crux_capital_ — the photonics buildout isn't over, even at the height of fear
crux_capital_ — the photonics buildout isn't over, even at the height of fear
AXT — Tongmei withdraws Shanghai STAR IPO bid, pivots to Hong Kong listing for InP business
AXT — Tongmei withdraws Shanghai STAR IPO bid, pivots to Hong Kong listing for InP business
Feed generated 2026-08-18.