Bargain Bin
Bargain Bin
2026-08-08 Bargain-Bin Scan — TTD Craters -21.9% In A Single Session To Become The Lone Strict Hit As QCOM Fully Recovers Off The List, ORCL's 30-Day Print Flips Positive, INTU Bounces A Sixth Straight Cycle
TTD crashed -21.9% in a single session — RSI falling to 28.2 with the stock now -80.6% off its 52-week high — becoming the only name on the strict screen this cycle, a name that sat entirely outside this scan's narrative last cycle. QCOM, last cycle's lone strict hit, fully recovered off the list — RSI climbed to 47.6 from 29.3 and its price moved back above its 20-day average, a complete reversal after deepening for two straight cycles. ORCL's 30-day print flipped positive for the first time in this tracked window (+5.01%, was -8.55%), extending its recovery into a fourth confirming cycle. INTU's broken-thesis flag survived a sixth consecutive cycle of price improvement (30D now +20.06%, up from +18.87%) — still a hard avoid regardless of the chart. The broader software/semis complex extended higher across the board this cycle, consistent with the broad risk-on move showing up across the desk's other screens.
Data as-of the 2026-08-07 close. Source: bargain-bin, filtered for RSI < 30 AND vs SMA20 < 0, then widened to the next-closest cluster — ranked by thesis quality × discount depth. Prior scan: 2026-07-31-bargain-bin (2026-07-31 close).
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 TTD crashed into the lone strict-hit slot as QCOM fully recovered off the list; the broader software/semis complex extended higher |
| Strict hit | TTD (RSI 28.2, `collapse`, -80.6% from 52wk high, unrated) — the only name below RSI 30 this cycle, and a fresh single-day crash |
| Fully recovered off the list | QCOM (RSI 47.6, was 29.3) — price moved back above its 20-day average, a complete reversal after two cycles of deepening |
| Closest misses | TSLA (41.5), CAT (42.7), SPGI (43.5) — all below their 20-day average, none near the strict threshold |
| Broken thesis — avoid regardless of price | INTU (RSI 61.1, thesis flag explicitly `broken`, -58.3% from high, 30D +20.06% — a sixth straight cycle of gains) |
| Broad extension | ORCL, WDAY, SAP, ADBE, NOW, CRM, DE, HON, DPZ, BKNG all pushed further into positive 30-day territory this cycle |
| Key insight | TTD's single-day crash replacing QCOM as the lone strict hit is this cycle's clearest story — a fresh, isolated breakdown inside an otherwise broadly recovering software/semis complex, not a continuation of the same name's deterioration |
What's Going On
The strict bargain-bin filter — RSI below 30 and price below its 20-day average — returns only one name this cycle, and it is a fresh entrant. TTD ($13.80, RSI 28.2, vs-20-day -24.3%, 1D -21.9%, 7D -23.5%, 30D -27.6%, -80.6% off its 52-week high) crashed in a single session, with relative volume 7.1x average — the steepest single-day breakdown tracked anywhere in this screen. This is not a continuation of a prior story: TTD sat in the "remaining tracked names" bucket last cycle at RSI in the 40-70 range with no oversold flag; this cycle's move is a genuinely fresh single-name event with no corpus source identified in this session's data for its cause.
QCOM, last cycle's lone strict hit, fully recovered off the list. ($167.86, RSI 47.6, was 29.3; vs-20-day now +0.9%, was -14.8%; 30D -10.0%, was -18.9%, a fresh +4.66% single-day move) — a complete reversal after two straight cycles of deepening. This closes out the single-name-deterioration story flagged over the last two cycles: QCOM is no longer below its 20-day average at all.
The closest-miss tier holds three names this cycle, none particularly close to the strict threshold. TSLA ($328.58, RSI 41.5, vs-20-day -4.3%, 30D -16.6%) continues clearing away from oversold after crossing above the strict line two cycles ago. CAT ($842.19, RSI 42.7, vs-20-day -2.9%, 30D -11.0%) and SPGI ($408.19, RSI 43.5, vs-20-day -4.5%, 30D -5.3%) round out the group — both quality names trading modestly below their 20-day averages without any acute oversold signal.
INTU carries the same explicit thesis: broken flag from the last five scans (RSI 61.1, -58.3% off its 52-week high, vs-20-day +6.9% — well above its 20-day average) after another price gain (30D now +20.06%, up from +18.87% last cycle). This is the sixth consecutive cycle of price improvement on a name whose thesis flag has not moved. Per desk doctrine, no bounce clears a broken-thesis flag — this stays an avoid regardless of the chart.
ORCL's recovery extended into a fourth straight confirming cycle, and its 30-day print flipped positive for the first time in this tracked window. RSI improved further to 56.5 (was 44.1 last cycle, 33.2 two cycles back), and 30D moved to +5.01% from -8.55% — the first positive 30-day print for this name in this desk's tracked history of it, price up to $147.02 (was $129.87). It remains -58.2% off its 52-week high and in collapse regime by the long-run definition, but the multi-cycle trend is now unambiguous.
The broader software/semis complex extended higher across the board this cycle, consistent with the risk-on move flagged across the desk's other screens this session. WDAY ($179.64, RSI 70.4, 30D +30.3%), SAP ($206.16, RSI 75.1, 30D +31.0%), ADBE ($265.21, RSI 65.9, 30D +20.0%), NOW ($124.88, RSI 67.2, 30D +15.9%), and CRM ($192.74, RSI 62.5, 30D +15.7%) all pushed further into positive territory — several of these names (SAP, WDAY) are now firmly extended into overbought RSI territory. On the industrial/strength side, DE ($620.83, RSI 55.8, 30D +4.0%), HON ($246.21, RSI 58.4, 30D +11.7%), and DPZ ($350.95, RSI 58.1, 30D +16.1%) all extended as well, and BKNG ($214.42, RSI 73.1, 30D +23.0%) — previously untracked in this scan's narrative — surfaced as a newly extended name.
What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-07-31 → 2026-08-07)
| Change | Read |
|---|---|
| TTD crashed -21.9% in a single session — RSI collapsed to 28.2, vs-20-day to -24.3% | Becomes the new lone strict hit, a fresh single-name breakdown not previously flagged in this screen |
| QCOM fully recovered off the strict list — RSI 29.3→47.6, vs-20-day -14.8%→+0.9% | Complete reversal after two straight cycles of deepening |
| TSLA continued clearing away from oversold — RSI 31.9→41.5, 30D -26.8%→-16.6% | Extends the improvement flagged two cycles ago |
| INTU's broken-thesis flag persists through a sixth bounce — 30D +18.87%→+20.06% | Avoid stands regardless of the improving chart |
| ORCL's 30-day print flipped positive for the first time — RSI 44.1→56.5, 30D -8.55%→+5.01% | Fourth straight confirming cycle; the strongest evidence yet this is a durable recovery |
| MRVL, LRCX, AMD, ASML all continued recovering from the earlier semis-complex selloff | Consistent with the broad risk-on move across the desk's other screens this cycle |
| The software rally extended further — WDAY, SAP, ADBE, NOW, CRM all pushed higher | No longer just cooling from prior highs; several are now newly overbought |
| BKNG surfaced as a newly extended name — RSI 73.1, 30D +23.0% | Previously untracked in this scan's narrative, now firmly in overbought territory |
How To Read The Board
This bucket screens for cheap, not for buyable. regime labels (collapse/downtrend/pullback/basing) describe the chart, not a recommendation — TTD's fresh entry into the strict list this cycle is a single-session breakdown worth flagging, not automatically a discount worth buying, and this scan has no corpus source for what drove the -21.9% single-day move. thesis: broken is a hard override: no price level makes a broken-thesis name attractive, and INTU should be avoided regardless of discount, six bounces in. This cycle's real lesson is that QCOM's full recovery off the strict list, paired with TTD's arrival, means the "lone strict hit" slot rotated to an entirely new, previously untracked name rather than the same deterioration continuing.
Price Table
Strict Hit — Deep Discount, Fresh Single-Day Crash
| Ticker | Price | RSI | 1D | 7D | 30D | vs 52wk High | Regime | Thesis | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTD | $13.80 | 28.2 | -21.9% | -23.5% | -27.6% | -80.6% | collapse | unrated | Fresh single-day crash, relative volume 7.1x average; the only strict hit this cycle |
Closest Misses — Below 20-Day Average, RSI 40-45
| Ticker | Price | RSI | 7D | 30D | vs 52wk High | Regime | Thesis | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSLA | $328.58 | 41.5 | +5.6% | -16.6% | -35.5% | collapse | intact | Continues clearing away from oversold |
| CAT | $842.19 | 42.7 | +3.4% | -11.0% | -18.9% | pullback | unrated | Quality industrial name, real discount |
| SPGI | $408.19 | 43.5 | -0.9% | -5.3% | -25.2% | pullback | unrated | Modestly below its 20-day average |
Approaching Oversold — Ranked By Quality × Discount
| Ticker | Price | RSI | 7D | 30D | vs 52wk High | Regime | Thesis | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NKE | $41.70 | 45.2 | -0.02% | -2.8% | -47.1% | downtrend | unrated | Deepest 52wk discount in this tier |
| KLAC | $198.11 | 46.0 | +8.4% | -10.4% | -37.3% | pullback | unrated | Still below its 20-day average |
| WMT | $111.85 | 46.6 | +0.6% | -1.1% | -16.9% | pullback | unrated | Barely below its 20-day average |
| AMD | $483.36 | 46.8 | +1.5% | -6.6% | -17.6% | pullback | unrated | Improved from -12.0% two cycles ago |
| META | $592.10 | 47.7 | +6.4% | -1.8% | -26.1% | downtrend | unrated | Mega-cap name at a modest discount |
Recovered / Extended (for reference — opposite the bin's usual theme)
| Ticker | Price | RSI | 1D | 30D | vs 52wk High | Regime | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QCOM | $167.86 | 47.6 | +4.7% | -10.0% | -39.4% | pullback | Fully recovered off the strict list this cycle |
| ORCL | $147.02 | 56.5 | +2.5% | +5.01% | -58.2% | collapse | 30-day print flipped positive for the first time; fourth confirming cycle |
| WDAY | $160.34→$179.64 | 70.4 | +5.5% | +30.29% | -31.7% | pullback | Extended further, RSI approaching overbought |
| SAP | $206.16 | 75.1 | +3.4% | +30.96% | -34.7% | pullback | Now firmly overbought |
| ADBE | $265.21 | 65.9 | +1.9% | +20.04% | -30.1% | downtrend | Extended further |
| NOW | $124.88 | 67.2 | +6.4% | +15.87% | -39.8% | pullback | Tripled its 30D gain from last cycle |
| CRM | $192.74 | 62.5 | +3.2% | +15.7% | -28.3% | downtrend | Extended |
| INTU | $325.25 | 61.1 | +1.0% | +20.06% | -58.3% | downtrend | broken | Sixth straight bounce; thesis flag unchanged — avoid |
| DE | $620.83 | 55.8 | +1.0% | +4.04% | -9.2% | uptrend | Bounced back after cooling last cycle |
| HON | $246.21 | 58.4 | +2.3% | +11.73% | -4.7% | basing | Extended further |
| DPZ | $350.95 | 58.1 | -2.1% | +16.07% | -21.8% | downtrend | Extended further |
| BKNG | $214.42 | 73.1 | +3.4% | +23.02% | -10.7% | breakout | Newly surfaced as an extended name |
(20 remaining tracked names — MSFT, NVDA, GOOGL, AMZN, TMO, COST, LULU, MCD, AVGO, ANET, MRVL, LRCX, ASML, NFLX, DIS, ZS, HD, LOW, CEG, PEP, CME, UBER, ISRG, PLTR — sit at RSI 42-70, mixed but not oversold; omitted from a bargain-bin screen by design. MRVL (RSI 52.3, 30D -5.6%), LRCX (RSI 48.6, 30D -6.5%), and ASML (RSI 51.9, 30D -1.4%) all continued recovering from the earlier semis-complex selloff.)
Tier Analysis
Strict hit, fresh single-day crash — TTD is the only name clearing the strict screen this cycle, and it arrived via a -21.9% single-session move rather than a continuing deterioration. collapse regime, unrated, no confirmed base.
Fully recovered, off the list — QCOM closed out two cycles of deepening with a complete reversal, price now back above its 20-day average.
Broken thesis — hard avoid — INTU. The explicit thesis: broken tag has now survived a sixth consecutive scan of price improvement; the bounce does not clear it.
Modest discounts, no acute signal — TSLA, CAT, SPGI in the closest-miss tier; NKE, KLAC, WMT, AMD, META in the approaching-oversold tier — all trading below their 20-day averages without any oversold extreme.
Broadly extended, several newly overbought — ORCL (30D flipped positive for the first time), WDAY, SAP, ADBE, NOW, CRM, DE, HON, DPZ, BKNG all pushed further into positive territory this cycle, consistent with the broad risk-on move flagged across the desk's other screens.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | Zone | RSI | vs 52wk High | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTD | $13.80 | Verify a base before treating as a discount | 28.2 | -80.6% | Fresh single-day crash; no confirmed floor, no known cause identified this session |
| TSLA | $328.58 | Watch for stabilization | 41.5 | -35.5% | Continues clearing away from oversold |
| CAT | $842.19 | Watch for stabilization | 42.7 | -18.9% | Quality industrial name at a modest discount |
| INTU | $325.25 | Avoid | 61.1 | -58.3% | Broken-thesis flag overrides any price-based entry logic, six bounces in |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔍 WATCH (contrarian probe only) | TTD | Only strict hit, fresh -21.9% single-day crash, no confirmed base |
| 🔍 WATCH (discounted, unresolved) | TSLA, CAT, SPGI, NKE, KLAC, WMT, AMD, META | Modest discounts without a confirmed stabilization signal |
| ❌ AVOID — BROKEN THESIS | INTU | Explicit broken-thesis flag; do not buy the drawdown regardless of price |
| ⚠️ EXTENDED — DON'T CHASE | WDAY, SAP, ADBE, NOW, CRM, DE, HON, DPZ, BKNG, ORCL | Pushed further into positive territory; several newly overbought |
| 🔍 FULLY RECOVERED | QCOM | Off the strict list entirely; no longer below its 20-day average |
What To Watch Next
| Watch | Why it matters |
|---|---|
| Whether TTD's crash is a one-off or the start of a fresh leg down | No cause identified in this session's data; confirm whether a base forms |
| Whether QCOM's recovery holds a second confirming cycle | Fully reversed this cycle after two cycles of deepening |
| ORCL's next print | 30-day flipped positive for the first time — confirm whether this durable trend continues |
| INTU's broken-thesis flag | Confirm whether this gets lifted on the next fundamentals refresh, or whether the six-cycle bounce stays purely technical |
| Whether the broader software/semis extension continues or cools | Nearly every recovered name pushed further this cycle; watch for a cooldown next |
| BKNG's newly extended print | Surfaced this cycle at RSI 73.1 with no prior baseline in this scan's narrative |
Sources
- Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-08-07 close — bargain-bin.
Related
8 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.