WMT is the lone name clearing the strict bargain-bin filter this cycle — RSI below 30 and price below its 20-day average — a fresh deterioration from a name that wasn't on this screen's radar at all last cycle: RSI 29.6, 30-day print -5.15%, and -12.5% below its 200-day. WMT's one-year return is a thin +5.86% with alpha1y at -15.96% — a name where the long-horizon trend is genuinely under test, not a case for either "broken" or "intact." The fifteen-name closest-miss tier splits cleanly into two camps this cycle: names on a genuine deep pullback inside an intact long trend, and names that are structurally broken. KLAC (RSI 39.8, one-year +110.9%, +9.2% above its 200-day), CAT (RSI 42.8, one-year +98.11%, +8.8% above its 200-day), AVGO (RSI 38.7, one-year +28.16%, essentially at its 200-day), GOOGL (RSI 47.2, one-year +72.63%, +3.5% above its 200-day), and AMZN (RSI 49.7, one-year +16.53%, +8.5% above its 200-day) are all cooling hard on the short window while remaining above their 200-days with strongly positive one-year returns — deep pullbacks, not breakdowns. TTD (RSI 31.5, one-year -74.8%, -50.3% below its 200-day), META (RSI 38.7, one-year -25.42%, -11.9% below its 200-day), NKE (RSI 46.0, one-year -46.5%, -22.5% below its 200-day), and LULU (RSI 51.9, one-year -38.91%, -22.0% below its 200-day) are the opposite case — genuinely broken trends, not cheap entries. INTU's explicit broken-thesis flag survived an eighth straight cycle of price improvement (30D now +29.01%, up from +23.58%) — still a hard avoid regardless of the chart. ORCL's recovery extended into a sixth confirming cycle, 30D climbing further to +16.39% from +13.61%.

Data as-of the 2026-08-21 close. Source: bargain-bin, filtered for RSI < 30 AND vs-SMA20 < 0, then widened to the next-closest cluster — ranked by long-horizon quality (change1y, vs-SMA200, thesisState) crossed with discount depth (RSI, vs-SMA20). Prior scan: 2026-08-14-bargain-bin (2026-08-14 close).

WMT is the lone name clearing the strict bargain-bin filter this cycle, a fresh deterioration rather than a continuation of a prior story. WMT ($103.70, RSI 29.6, vs-SMA20 -7.6%, 1D -0.13%, 7D -10.03%, 30D -5.15%, -23.28% off its 52-week high) wasn't flagged in either the strict or closest-miss tables last cycle. Its longer-horizon read is genuinely mixed: one-year return of +5.86% is thin and positive, but alpha1y is -15.96% (badly lagging the market over that window) and it sits -12.5% below its 200-day with a death cross on the books. Per the desk's long-horizon discipline, this is a trend genuinely under test — not the "deep pullback in an intact trend" read that would justify chasing the discount, and not a fully broken structural story either. The 200-day level is the thing to watch here.

The closest-miss tier — fifteen names below their 20-day average without clearing the strict RSI<30 line — splits cleanly into two long-horizon camps this cycle. On the quality-dip side: KLAC ($183.99, RSI 39.8, vs-SMA20 -4.7%, one-year +110.9%, alpha1y +89.09%, +9.2% above its 200-day), CAT ($827.90, RSI 42.8, vs-SMA20 -1.6%, one-year +98.11%, alpha1y +76.3%, +8.8% above its 200-day), AVGO ($368.45, RSI 38.7, vs-SMA20 -7.0%, one-year +28.16%, alpha1y +6.35%, essentially flat at its 200-day at -0.2%), GOOGL ($344.82, RSI 47.2, vs-SMA20 -1.0%, one-year +72.63%, alpha1y +50.81%, +3.5% above its 200-day, thesis: intact), and AMZN ($258.63, RSI 49.7, vs-SMA20 -1.1%, one-year +16.53%, +8.5% above its 200-day, thesis: intact) — all cooling hard on RSI/7D/30D while their one-year and 200-day fields confirm the underlying trend hasn't broken. On the genuinely-broken side: TTD ($13.18, RSI 31.5, vs-SMA20 -16.7%, one-year -74.8%, alpha1y -96.61%, -50.3% below its 200-day, collapse regime, -76.63% off its 52-week high), META ($549.90, RSI 38.7, vs-SMA20 -4.6%, one-year -25.42%, alpha1y -47.24%, -11.9% below its 200-day), NKE ($40.76, RSI 46.0, vs-SMA20 -1.8%, one-year -46.5%, alpha1y -68.31%, -22.5% below its 200-day, -49.16% off its 52-week high), and LULU ($121.07, RSI 51.9, vs-SMA20 -0.1%, one-year -38.91%, alpha1y -60.72%, -22.0% below its 200-day) — none of these are cheap in any sense that matters; they are underperforming the market on every long-horizon field. In between: HON ($215.90, RSI 33.3, vs-SMA20 -8.9%, one-year +5.39% but alpha1y -16.42%, -2.2% below its 200-day) and COST ($947.74, RSI 49.0, vs-SMA20 -0.6%, one-year -2.26%, -1.2% below its 200-day) sit near-flat on the 200-day with weak-to-negative alpha — marginal, not a clean read either way. HD ($335.61, RSI 46.0, one-year -15.61%, -3.0% below its 200-day) and DPZ ($341.85, RSI 51.3, one-year -23.5%, -7.0% below its 200-day) lean toward the broken camp on alpha (-37.43%/-45.32%) despite modest 200-day gaps. AMD ($473.25, RSI 45.8, vs-SMA20 -1.6%, one-year +189.08%, +43.5% above its 200-day) is the most extreme quality-dip case in this tier — a barely-below-20-day name still carrying an enormous one-year cushion.

LOW carries an intact thesis flag while its chart shows a broken structure. ($216.09, RSI 50.0, one-year -15.47%, alpha1y -37.29%, -9.0% below its 200-day, downtrend regime) — the data's own thesisState field reads intact, but every price-structure field disagrees. Flagged here as a divergence worth checking on the next fundamentals refresh, not resolved either way by this scan.

INTU carries the same explicit thesis: broken flag it has held across the last several scans, now through an eighth straight bounce. ($367.00, RSI 68.1, -47.95% off its 52-week high, vs-SMA20 +9.8% — well above its 20-day average — 30D now +29.01%, up from +23.58%.) Per desk doctrine, no bounce clears a broken-thesis flag — this stays an avoid regardless of the chart.

ORCL's recovery extended into a sixth straight confirming cycle. ($146.47, RSI 52.7, was 56.3) and 30D climbed further to +16.39% from +13.61% — still -57.63% off its 52-week high and carrying a thesis: intact flag despite sitting -15.4% below its 200-day, but the multi-cycle momentum trend keeps extending.

DE and SPGI both recovered off the closest-miss list this cycle, moving back above their 20-day averages (DE vs-SMA20 +5.8%, SPGI +3.3%) — DE now shows a +33.02% one-year return and sits +15.8% above its 200-day, a name that has cleared the tier entirely rather than merely improving within it.

This bucket screens for cheap, not for buyable. regime labels (collapse/downtrend/pullback/basing) describe the chart, not a recommendation — and this cycle is the clearest demonstration in this tracked window of why RSI and vs-SMA20 alone can't answer whether a discount is real. Two names can carry the same RSI in the high-30s to low-40s and mean completely different things: KLAC and CAT are cooling off one-year returns north of 90%, still above their 200-days; TTD and META are cooling off one-year returns deeply negative, well below their 200-days. Per desk doctrine, the first group is a deep pullback inside an intact trend — the second is a name whose trend is genuinely broken, and no RSI reading makes it a value name. thesis: broken is a hard override: no price level makes INTU attractive, eight bounces in. LOW's intact flag sitting against a broken chart is flagged, not resolved — that discrepancy is a fundamentals-side question this scan can't answer with price data alone. WMT's arrival as the lone strict hit, out of nowhere, is this cycle's genuinely fresh development — its own long-horizon numbers are mixed enough that it doesn't cleanly fall into either the "chase the dip" or "avoid the trap" camp.

(Remaining tracked names — MSFT, NVDA, TSLA, TMO, ISRG, MCD, ANET, MRVL, LRCX, ASML, NFLX, DIS, ZS, CEG, PEP, CME, UBER — sit at RSI 42-75, mixed but not oversold; omitted from a bargain-bin screen by design.)

One fresh strict hit, mixed quality — WMT arrived from outside either table last cycle; its thin one-year gain against negative alpha and a below-200-day chart makes this a trend under test, not a clean value call.

Quality dips — deep pullback, trend intact — AVGO, KLAC, CAT, AMD, GOOGL, AMZN are all cooling hard on the short window while remaining above their 200-days with strongly positive one-year returns.

Genuinely broken — not a discount — TTD, META, NKE, LULU, HD, DPZ sit below their 200-days with negative alpha1y; no RSI reading here should be read as cheap.

Broken thesis — hard avoid — INTU. The explicit thesis: broken tag has now survived eight consecutive scans of price improvement; the bounce does not clear it.

Flag/chart divergence — LOW carries an intact thesis flag against a broken chart; worth a fundamentals-side check, not resolved by this scan.

Broadly extended, several cooling from overbought extremes — ORCL's recovery deepens into a sixth confirming cycle; SAP and WDAY both extended sharply further; DE and SPGI recovered off the closest-miss list entirely.

• Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns/change1y/alpha1y/vsSma200): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-08-21 close — bargain-bin.