Bargain Bin Scan
Bargain Bin Scan
McDonald's fell into this scan's first sub-25 capitulation-tier reading against a dated, bearish earnings-call summary newly on file, while Intuit crossed below RSI 30 for the first time in this tracked window and PepsiCo slid back into the bin one edition after graduating out. Booking Holdings, last edition's worst reading at RSI 21.4, recovered to 33.7 and is out of the strict filter entirely. Google resolved last week's cliffhanger — sitting exactly on its 200-day average — by moving back above it.
Data as of the settled 2026-09-25 close. The strict filter is momentum below 30 combined with a price below the 20-day average, applied to all 45 names.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🔴 Three strict hits, one of them this scan's first true capitulation-tier reading |
| Strict hits | MCD (RSI 24.7, first sub-25 reading this scan has recorded), INTU (RSI 29.6, newly crossed below 30), PEP (RSI 28.9, re-entered one edition after graduating out) |
| Graduated out | BKNG — momentum 21.4 → 33.7, out of the strict filter and into the closest-miss tier |
| Best quality on the board | LRCX (1Y +146.01%, up sharply from +132.9%), AMD (+291.02%), MRVL (+212.54%), KLAC (+77.43%), CAT (+72.31%) |
| Worst on the board | TTD (1Y -73.05%, still no receipt covering the ongoing decline), INTU (-60.19%, thesis flagged broken), NKE (-48.37%), LULU (-41.11%) |
| Caveat | McDonald's freshest news pull (2026-09-24) surfaces a Yahoo Finance summary of the earnings call — flagging execution issues and a lowered growth target — but the underlying call itself dates to earlier this year and only appeared in this desk's pull now; it is cited as available context, not a confirmed same-week catalyst |
| Key insight | The bin's composition turned over again — one graduation (BKNG), one re-entrant (PEP), one first-time crossing (INTU) — while its worst member (MCD) got meaningfully worse |
What's Going On
McDonald's is now the most oversold name this scan has recorded, and the corpus holds a dated item worth citing carefully. It closed $236.50, momentum 24.7 — below 25 for the first time in this tracked window — down 4.73% on the week and 11.40% on the month, one-year return -21.77%, 18.5% below its 200-day, both moving averages inverted. latest was refreshed 2026-09-24 and contains a Yahoo Finance summary of McDonald's earnings call noting the CEO "highlighted execution issues over strategy," a lowered FX tailwind guide, and a delayed 50,000-restaurant target pushed to 2028 — sentiment tagged bearish. That call itself is Q2 2026 material dated earlier this year and only surfaced in this desk's pull now, so it is reported as available context on file rather than a confirmed driver of this specific week's move.
Intuit crossed below RSI 30 for the first time in this tracked window, even as a more recent, genuinely fresh item on file describes reaffirmed guidance. It closed $275.79, momentum 29.6 (from 32.8), 13.7% under its 20-day, down 9.04% on the week and 20.26% on the month, one-year return -60.19% (from -59.08%), 31.6% below its 200-day. latest was refreshed 2026-09-25 and holds items dated September 17 and 21 describing an Investor Day at which management reaffirmed fiscal-2027 revenue guidance of 9%–10% growth — real, dated, and recent, yet the stock kept falling through and past that event. The broken-thesis flag on this name has stood for seven straight weeks now and nothing in the corpus has cleared it.
PepsiCo slid back into the strict filter one edition after graduating out on a momentum tick. It closed $128.63, momentum 28.9 (from 30.3), down 0.86% on the week and 9.54% on the month, one-year return -8.07% — the least negative of this week's three strict hits — 13.0% below its 200-day. Its news pull on file (2026-09-19) predates this week's move and holds nothing new; the event record holds nothing for PepsiCo this week either.
Booking Holdings, last edition's worst reading, recovered meaningfully. It closed $163.95, momentum 33.7 (up from 21.4), out of the strict filter and into the closest-miss tier, though its one-year return actually deepened slightly to -26.49% from -29.25%. Its freshest news item (2026-09-24) is an investor-relations recap of Q2 results and AI travel features that predates this week's move and does not explain the recovery; it is cited as context on file, not a confirmed cause.
The quality cohort kept extending, and Lam Research posted the sharpest single-week improvement on this board. LRCX's one-year return jumped to +146.01% from +132.9% and its 200-day cushion widened to +16.3% from +14.0%. AMD continued to extend, one-year return now +291.02% from +282.0%, cushion +72.9% from +70.4%. KLA held its recent repair (+77.43% from +75.4%, cushion +6.8% from +7.2%, essentially flat). Caterpillar's cushion widened slightly to +4.1% from +3.1%.
Google resolved last week's cliffhanger by moving back above its 200-day. It closed $343.92, momentum 49.7 (from 45.1), now +1.7% above its 200-day after sitting exactly on the line last edition. One-year return remains solidly positive at +39.92%, so this stays a deep-pullback read rather than a broken trend.
The Trade Desk deepened further with still no receipt on file. $12.60, one-year return -73.05% (from -72.94%), 45.8% below its 200-day, still the most broken name in this universe on every long-horizon measure. Its news pull dates to August 15 and predates the move; the event record holds nothing for September. This continues without an explanation.
Oracle weakened on both price and momentum this week even as its one-year deficit narrowed slightly. $137.10, RSI 40.6 (from 46.7), down 7.12% on the month, one-year return -52.94% (from -53.94%, a marginal improvement), but its 200-day gap widened to -16.7% from -12.6% — the structural position got worse even as the year-over-year comparison ticked slightly better.
What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-09-23 → 2026-09-25)
| Change | Read |
|---|---|
| Strict hits changed composition, 2 → 3 — BKNG out, PEP re-entered, INTU newly crossed below 30 | The bin grew by one and its worst member got worse |
| MCD hit this scan's first sub-25 capitulation-tier reading — RSI 25.9 → 24.7 | A Yahoo Finance earnings-call summary (dated to the call itself, surfaced in this desk's pull 2026-09-24) flags execution issues and a lowered growth target |
| INTU crossed below RSI 30 for the first time — 32.8 → 29.6, 1Y -59.08% → -60.19% | The seven-week broken-thesis flag continues to be confirmed by the price action despite a real, recent Investor Day reaffirming guidance |
| BKNG recovered out of the strict filter — RSI 21.4 → 33.7 | Last edition's worst reading is no longer this scan's worst; one-year return still deepened slightly to -26.49% |
| LRCX posted the sharpest quality-cohort improvement — 1Y +132.9% → +146.01%, cushion +14.0% → +16.3% | The cleanest discount-with-trend name on this board got cleaner |
| GOOGL moved back above its 200-day — 0.0% → +1.7% | Resolves last edition's "sitting exactly on the line" question to the upside |
| ORCL's structural gap widened despite a flat-to-improving year — 200-day gap -12.6% → -16.7%, 1Y -53.94% → -52.94% | Price and momentum both weakened this week |
| COST continued clear of the closest-miss tier — RSI 41.9 → 52.3 | Now well outside the bin |
How To Read The Board
This screen finds cheap, and cheap is not the same as buyable. The strict filter is mechanical — momentum below 30 and a price under the 20-day average — and it says only that a name has fallen hard and recently. What decides whether that is a discount or damage is the pair of long-horizon columns: a name above its 200-day with a positive one-year return is in a deep pullback inside an intact trend, and a name below its 200-day with a negative year has a trend genuinely under test. All three of this week's strict hits fall in the second group. Where a thesis flag reads broken (Intuit), that is a standing override no price level has cleared across seven weeks. Where this desk's news pull surfaces older material dated to an earlier event — as with McDonald's and Booking Holdings' earnings-call and investor-relations items this week — that distinction is stated explicitly: a stale event newly crawled is not the same as a fresh catalyst, and this scan does not conflate the two.
Price Table
Strict Hits — Momentum Below 30 And Price Under The 20-Day
Ranked by quality times discount: how much long trend survives, against how far the name has fallen.
| Rank | Ticker | Price | RSI | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y | vs SMA200 | 52wk Hi | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MCD | $236.50 | 24.7 | -6.3% | -4.73% | -11.40% | -21.77% | -19.0% | -30.80% | 🔴 First sub-25 reading this scan has recorded; bearish earnings-call summary on file |
| 2 | INTU | $275.79 | 29.6 | -13.7% | -9.04% | -20.26% | -60.19% | -31.6% | -60.82% | 🔴 Broken thesis; crossed below 30 for the first time |
| 3 | PEP | $128.63 | 28.9 | -4.9% | -0.86% | -9.54% | -8.07% | -13.0% | -24.99% | 🔴 Re-entered one edition after graduating out |
Closest Misses (momentum 30-40, price under the 20-day)
| Ticker | Price | RSI | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y | vs SMA200 | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKNG | $163.95 | 33.7 | -7.8% | -2.35% | -21.51% | -26.49% | -10.8% | 🟡 Recovered out of the strict filter this week |
| TTD | $12.60 | 33.2 | -9.7% | -9.48% | -3.30% | -73.05% | -45.8% | 🔴 Most broken name here; no cause on file |
| LOW | $189.28 | 33.5 | -4.0% | -1.67% | -10.02% | -25.93% | -18.8% | 🔴 Moving as one with HD |
| ADBE | $235.47 | 36.6 | -9.3% | -5.40% | -13.90% | -33.51% | -10.4% | 🔴 Under test |
| NKE | $35.75 | 35.0 | -3.6% | +0.68% | -7.36% | -48.37% | -27.8% | 🔴 Deeply broken |
| NFLXE | $71.15 | 37.1 | -7.3% | -0.89% | -12.66% | -41.11% | -16.0% | 🔴 Deeply broken |
| UBER | $69.62 | 38.3 | -4.1% | -1.25% | -11.30% | -28.67% | -7.4% | 🔴 Under test |
| HD | $293.20 | 31.1 | -5.1% | -2.26% | -12.44% | -28.04% | -14.0% | 🔴 Still deeply oversold, unchanged tier |
| DPZ | $292.14 | 31.8 | -8.1% | -0.70% | -15.21% | -30.90% | -18.2% | 🔴 Weak, deepening |
| SPGI | $403.30 | 39.9 | -3.8% | -0.50% | -7.60% | -16.84% | -9.0% | 🔴 Under test |
Quality Dips — Deep Pullbacks Inside Intact Trends
Positive one-year return and above the 200-day. These are the names a discount would actually be worth taking, and none of them is discounted.
| Ticker | Price | RSI | vs SMA20 | 30D% | 1Y | vs SMA200 | 52wk Hi | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD | $630.59 | 73.0 | +19.4% | +31.12% | +291.02% | +72.9% | -1.32% | 🟢 Improving on every window; no discount |
| MRVL | $261.94 | 63.1 | +12.5% | +6.87% | +212.54% | +61.2% | -20.60% | 🟢 Intact |
| LRCX | $315.21 | 56.2 | +6.3% | +0.74% | +146.01% | +16.3% | -28.12% | 🟢 Sharpest quality improvement this week |
| ASML | $1,743.94 | 54.6 | +3.4% | -0.10% | +83.66% | +14.4% | -12.80% | 🟢 Intact, cushion widening |
| KLAC | $187.92 | 54.1 | +5.3% | +2.22% | +77.43% | +6.8% | -38.86% | 🟢 Holding its recent repair |
| CAT | $821.58 | 52.2 | +2.3% | -0.04% | +77.17% | +4.1% | -23.46% | 🟢 Intact, cushion thin |
| DE | $690.46 | 58.5 | +1.2% | +8.81% | +47.95% | +18.5% | -4.26% | 🟢 Strong month, no discount |
| GOOGL | $343.92 | 49.7 | +0.5% | +0.56% | +39.92% | +1.7% | -15.83% | 🟢 Moved back above its 200-day |
| ANET | $206.55 | 60.2 | +5.1% | +2.13% | +44.38% | +31.5% | -3.88% | 🟢 Intact |
| TMO | $675.00 | 72.5 | +6.7% | +6.52% | +46.99% | +24.9% | -1.17% | 🟠 Near its high, no discount |
| NVDA | $225.07 | 55.2 | +1.5% | +7.35% | +26.66% | +12.8% | -4.85% | 🟢 Intact |
Broken Thesis Override
| Ticker | Price | RSI | 1Y | vs SMA200 | 52wk Hi | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INTU | $275.79 | 29.6 | -60.19% | -31.6% | -60.82% | 🔴 Flagged broken; seventh straight week deteriorating, now a strict hit |
The Rest
| Ticker | Price | RSI | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y | vs SMA200 | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| META | $751.66 | 71.3 | +13.7% | +12.90% | +30.46% | +0.37% | +20.0% | 🟠 Overbought, flat year |
| ZS | $193.05 | 53.6 | +3.3% | -2.16% | +13.35% | -32.66% | +15.3% | 🟡 Cooled off from overbought |
| PLTR | $189.67 | 63.7 | +6.3% | +6.77% | +6.86% | +5.89% | +24.8% | 🟢 Flat year, cushion intact |
| ISRGE | $405.18 | 65.4 | +6.9% | +3.01% | +9.38% | -7.52% | -10.1% | 🟡 Good week, long trend still under test |
| CME | $264.48 | 40.9 | -4.2% | -4.18% | -5.87% | -1.58% | -5.1% | 🟡 Weak week |
| TSLA | $372.11 | 55.3 | +1.8% | +2.15% | +7.60% | -12.11% | -5.9% | 🟡 Under test |
| MSFT | $516.17 | 63.2 | +3.2% | +4.53% | +3.99% | +1.80% | +19.5% | 🟡 Flat year, wide cushion |
| CRM | $234.02 | 50.1 | -5.7% | -1.64% | +13.81% | -2.88% | +16.3% | 🟡 Flat year, strong month |
| NOW | $135.62 | 51.6 | -2.3% | +0.11% | +7.81% | -26.18% | +16.3% | 🟡 Negative year over a positive cushion |
| SAP | $210.68 | 52.1 | -0.9% | +0.59% | -0.47% | -19.74% | +8.4% | 🟡 Negative year over a positive cushion |
| ORCL | $137.10 | 40.6 | -7.8% | -7.12% | -7.91% | -52.94% | -16.7% | 🔴 Structural gap widened this week |
| WDAY | $189.45 | 50.2 | -2.0% | -2.28% | -0.68% | -21.96% | +19.8% | 🟡 Negative year, wide cushion |
| AMZN | $249.67 | 44.5 | -1.8% | -1.59% | -4.08% | +14.45% | +3.7% | 🟢 Mild pullback, intact |
| QCOM | $201.97 | 67.6 | +11.5% | +13.65% | +23.36% | +19.03% | +19.4% | 🟢 Continuing to extend |
| AVGO | $352.81 | 43.7 | -1.5% | -1.34% | -0.78% | +4.97% | -4.2% | 🟡 Still stuck at its 200-day test line |
| WMT | $107.98 | 49.3 | +0.8% | +1.17% | +3.49% | +4.78% | -8.9% | 🟡 Flat year, below its 200-day |
| DIS | $106.15 | 52.8 | +0.3% | +3.39% | -3.17% | -6.05% | +2.1% | 🟡 Recovered above its 200-day |
| COST | $922.77 | 52.3 | +1.2% | +3.07% | -3.49% | -2.18% | -3.9% | 🟡 Clear of the closest-miss tier |
| LULU | $101.30 | 41.9 | -3.6% | +3.30% | -12.94% | -41.11% | -31.3% | 🔴 Still deeply broken |
| HON | $212.55 | 49.4 | +2.1% | +2.95% | -3.68% | +8.62% | -4.6% | 🟡 Flat |
| CEG | $263.27 | 43.8 | -4.0% | +3.36% | -5.81% | -19.32% | -9.3% | 🟡 Roughly steady from last edition |
| SPGI | $403.30 | 39.9 | -3.8% | -0.50% | -7.60% | -16.84% | -9.0% | 🔴 Under test |
Tier Analysis
Capitulation (RSI below 25): MCD (24.7). The first reading below 25 in this tracked window.
Oversold (RSI 25-40): INTU (29.6), PEP (28.9), HD (31.1), DPZ (31.8), BKNG (33.7), LOW (33.5), TTD (33.2), NKE (35.0), ADBE (36.6), NFLX (37.1), UBER (38.3), SPGI (39.9). Twelve names. Not one member of this tier is above its 200-day average, and every one carries a negative one-year return — this tier remains structural damage, not discount, unchanged from prior weeks.
Neutral / Strong (RSI 40+): The remaining 32 names, topped by META (71.3, overbought), TMO (72.5), AMD (73.0) and DE (58.5).
Entry Zones
Conditions, not advice. Each row says what would have to be true.
| Stock | Entry Zone | Thesis |
|---|---|---|
| LRCX | Current $315.21; 200-day $270.93, support shelf $301.35 | +146.0% year with a 16.3% cushion — the cleanest combination of discount and intact trend on the board, improved sharply this week |
| KLAC | Current $187.92; 200-day $175.94, support shelf $180.94 | Holding its recent repair; still 38.9% off its high |
| ASML, CAT | ASML $1,743.94 (200-day $1,524.93, shelf $1,445.51); CAT $821.58 (200-day $789.56, shelf $804.89) | Both intact with moderate cushions |
| AVGO | Current $352.81; 200-day $368.35, support shelf $345.49 | Still stuck right at its 200-day with a barely positive year; a reclaim of $368.35 is the condition |
| GOOGL | Current $343.92; 200-day $338.21, support shelf $340.22 | Moved back above its 200-day this week after sitting exactly on the line last edition; year still positive at +39.92% |
| BKNG | Current $163.95; 200-day $183.90 | Recovered out of the strict filter this week; still 10.8% below its 200-day and a -26.5% year |
| MCD, PEP, INTU, HD, LOW, DPZ, NKE, LULU, ORCL, TTD | Not zones — damage | Negative years below their 200-day averages. Cheap momentum on a broken long trend |
Action Matrix
| Stock | Signal | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| LRCX, KLAC | 🟢 | 📈 Accumulate | Intact trends with real discounts; LRCX improved sharply this week |
| AMD, MRVL, DE, ANET, GOOGL, NVDA | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | Strong intact trends; no discount available |
| ASML, CAT | 🟢 | 📈 Accumulate | Pullbacks inside strong years |
| AVGO | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Still the most undecided trend here |
| MCD | 🔴 | 🚨 Alert | First sub-25 reading this scan has recorded; a dated but not-yet-confirmed-as-current earnings-call summary flags execution issues |
| INTU | 🔴 | ❌ Don't buy | Thesis flagged broken; seventh straight week of deterioration, now a strict hit |
| PEP | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Re-entered the bin one edition after graduating out |
| BKNG | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Recovered out of the strict filter; year still deepened slightly |
| TTD | 🔴 | ❌ Don't buy | -73.1% on the year and deepening; no explanation on record |
| NKE, LULU, DPZ, ORCL, NFLX, ADBE, HD, LOW | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Deeply negative years below their 200-days |
| CEG | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Roughly steady from last edition |
| COST | 🟢 | 🔍 Watch | Clear of the closest-miss tier |
| TMO, META | 🟠 | ⚠️ Avoid | Overbought — the opposite of this screen's purpose |
What To Watch Next
- Does McDonald's find a floor below RSI 25, or does the golden/death-cross structure break further? The earnings-call material on file (execution issues, delayed unit target) is dated to the call itself, not confirmed to this week's specific drop.
- Does Intuit's broken-thesis flag ever clear? Seven straight weeks of confirmation, including a genuinely fresh Investor Day this month that reaffirmed guidance without moving the stock.
- Whether PepsiCo's re-entry into the bin is a second dip or a floor. No news receipt on file covers this week's move either way.
- Booking Holdings' recovery from RSI 21.4 to 33.7. Whether it continues clearing the bin or slides back in is a cleaner read than the count alone.
- Google's move back above its 200-day. Last week's exact-line sit resolved upward; the next session tests whether it holds.
Sources: bargain-bin (all 45 rows, latest bar 2026-09-25 — every price, momentum, moving-average and return figure above; strict filter applied programmatically to that file); 2026-09-23-bargain-bin (prior-edition comparison values); news receipts checked — latest (pulled 2026-09-24, earnings-call summary dated to the call itself), .../INTU/news/latest.json (pulled 2026-09-25, Investor Day items dated September 17 and 21), .../BKNG/news/latest.json (pulled 2026-09-24, investor-relations recap predating this week's recovery), .../PEP/news/latest.json (2026-09-19), .../GOOGL/news/latest.json (2026-09-25), .../TTD/news/latest.json (2026-08-15); research/stock-events/ checked for 2026-09-23 through 2026-09-25 and holds no entries for MCD, INTU, PEP, BKNG, GOOGL, TTD or CEG.
Related
9 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.