Bargain Bin
Bargain Bin
2026-08-14 Bargain-Bin Scan — Zero Names Clear The Strict Screen For The First Time As TTD Recovers Off The List, AVGO Crashes -5.94% Into The Closest-Miss Tier, INTU's Broken Thesis Survives A Seventh Bounce
For the first time in this tracked window, the strict bargain-bin filter — RSI below 30 and price below its 20-day average — returns zero names. TTD, last cycle's lone strict hit, recovered its RSI to 34.6 from 28.2 even while remaining -16.3% below its 20-day average — off the strict list without a full reversal. The closest-miss tier widened to eleven names below their 20-day average, the largest cohort tracked here in this window — led by TTD and NKE (RSI 42.6). AVGO crashed -5.94% in a single session, RSI collapsing to 46.5 from 64.6 and its 30-day print flipping negative to -0.33% from +10.1% — this scan has no corpus source identifying the driver this session. INTU's explicit broken-thesis flag survived a seventh straight cycle of price improvement (30D now +23.58%, up from +20.06%) — still a hard avoid regardless of the chart. ORCL's recovery extended into a fifth confirming cycle, 30D climbing further to +13.61% from +5.01%.
Data as-of the 2026-08-14 close. Source: bargain-bin, filtered for RSI < 30 AND vs SMA20 < 0, then widened to the next-closest cluster — ranked by thesis quality × discount depth. Prior scan: 2026-08-08-bargain-bin (2026-08-07 close).
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 The strict screen returns zero names for the first time this window as TTD recovers off the list; AVGO's fresh crash and INTU's persistent broken flag are this cycle's clearest single-name stories |
| Strict hit | None — TTD, last cycle's lone hit, moved off the list (RSI 34.6, was 28.2) while still trading -16.3% below its 20-day average |
| Closest misses | 11 names now sit below their 20-day average — TTD (34.6), NKE (42.6), AVGO (46.5), GOOGL (46.7), HON (46.9), META (47.7), HD (48.2), LULU (48.6), DE (50.3), SPGI (51.1), DPZ (53.5) |
| Fresh single-day crash | AVGO (RSI 46.5, was 64.6) fell -5.94% in a session — 30-day print flipped negative to -0.33% from +10.1% |
| Broken thesis — avoid regardless of price | INTU (RSI 63.4, thesis flag explicitly `broken`, -50.3% from high, 30D +23.58% — a seventh straight cycle of gains) |
| Broad extension continues | ORCL, WDAY, SAP, ADBE, NOW, CRM, BKNG all remain in positive 30-day territory, several cooling modestly from prior overbought extremes |
| Key insight | The strict screen returning zero names for the first time, paired with AVGO's fresh single-day crash, is this cycle's clearest read — the "cheap" bucket is emptying out even as one large-cap name breaks down sharply and unexplained |
What's Going On
The strict bargain-bin filter — RSI below 30 and price below its 20-day average — returns zero names this cycle, the first time in this tracked window. TTD ($14.14, RSI 34.6, vs-20-day -16.3%, 1D -2.88%, 7D +2.46%, 30D -27.0%, -74.92% off its 52-week high) recovered off the strict list after last cycle's -21.9% single-day crash to RSI 28.2, but it remains the deepest discount tracked here and stays well below its 20-day average — a partial, not a full, recovery.
AVGO crashed -5.94% in a single session, the sharpest move tracked anywhere in this screen this cycle. ($392.99, RSI 46.5, was 64.6; vs-20-day -1.6%, 30D flipped negative to -0.33% from +10.1%, relative volume 1.64x average) — a genuinely fresh single-name event with no corpus source identified in this session's data for its cause. Structure stays golden-crossed (intact) despite the move.
The closest-miss tier widened to eleven names this cycle, the largest cohort tracked here. Beyond TTD and NKE ($40.73, RSI 42.6, vs-20-day -3.0%, 30D -4.77%, -48.6% off high — the deepest 52-week discount in this tier), the tier now includes AVGO, GOOGL ($345.90, RSI 46.7, vs-20-day -0.1%, 30D -6.75%), HON ($233.96, RSI 46.9, vs-20-day -2.6%, 30D +4.99%), META ($589.85, RSI 47.7, vs-20-day -0.8%, 30D -13.42%), HD ($338.86, RSI 48.2, vs-20-day -0.5%, 30D -0.76%), LULU ($119.55, RSI 48.6, vs-20-day -0.5%, 30D +1.81%), DE ($608.85, RSI 50.3, vs-20-day -0.4%, 30D +3.29%), SPGI ($418.80, RSI 51.1, vs-20-day -0.2%, 30D -5.78%), and DPZ ($346.27, RSI 53.5, vs-20-day -0.3%, 30D +11.39%) — none particularly close to the strict threshold, but all trading modestly below their 20-day averages.
INTU carries the same explicit thesis: broken flag it has held across the last several scans. (RSI 63.4, -50.3% off its 52-week high, vs-20-day +8.8% — well above its 20-day average — after another price gain, 30D now +23.58%, up from +20.06% last cycle.) This is the seventh consecutive cycle of price improvement on a name whose thesis flag has not moved. Per desk doctrine, no bounce clears a broken-thesis flag — this stays an avoid regardless of the chart.
ORCL's recovery extended into a fifth straight confirming cycle. RSI held roughly steady at 56.3 (was 56.5), and 30D climbed further to +13.61% from +5.01% last cycle — the strongest confirmation yet of a durable trend after first flipping positive two cycles back. It remains -54.8% off its 52-week high and death-crossed by the long-run definition, but the multi-cycle momentum trend is now unambiguous.
The broader software/semis complex continued extending, several cooling modestly from prior overbought extremes. WDAY ($198.68, RSI 69.3, was 70.4; 30D +40.09%, was +30.3%) extended its 30-day gain further even as RSI eased slightly. SAP ($207.97, RSI 70.7, was 75.1; 30D +33.39%, was +30.96%) cooled from an extreme overbought read. ADBE ($264.02, RSI 59.3, was 65.9; 30D +17.57%, was +20.04%) and NOW ($124.00, RSI 62.0, was 67.2; 30D +18.4%, was +15.87%) both cooled in RSI while extending their 30-day gains. CRM ($196.21, RSI 60.7, was 62.5; 30D +17.49%, was +15.7%) held roughly steady. BKNG ($212.06, RSI 69.4, was 73.1; 30D +16.01%, was +23.02%) cooled from last cycle's overbought extreme. QCOM ($165.79, RSI 47.4, was 47.6) stayed roughly flat, still trading modestly above its 20-day average.
What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-08-07 → 2026-08-14)
| Change | Read |
|---|---|
| The strict screen returns zero names — TTD, last cycle's lone hit, recovered RSI 28.2→34.6 | First time in this tracked window with no name clearing the strict RSI<30-and-below-20-day filter |
| AVGO crashed -5.94% in a single session — RSI collapsed 64.6→46.5, 30D flipped to -0.33% from +10.1% | Sharpest move tracked anywhere in this screen this cycle; no cause identified |
| The closest-miss tier widened to eleven names | Largest cohort of below-20-day-average names tracked here this window |
| INTU's broken-thesis flag persists through a seventh bounce — 30D +20.06%→+23.58% | Avoid stands regardless of the improving chart |
| ORCL's recovery extended into a fifth confirming cycle — 30D +5.01%→+13.61% | Strongest confirmation yet of a durable, multi-cycle trend |
| WDAY's 30-day gain extended further — +30.3%→+40.09% | RSI eased slightly even as the underlying trend strengthened |
| SAP and BKNG both cooled from overbought extremes — RSI 75.1/73.1→70.7/69.4 | Pullback in momentum inside still-strongly-positive 30-day trends |
| NKE's RSI eased — 45.2→42.6 | Modestly closer to the strict threshold than last cycle, still well above it |
How To Read The Board
This bucket screens for cheap, not for buyable. regime labels (collapse/downtrend/pullback/basing) describe the chart, not a recommendation — the strict screen returning zero names this cycle is a genuine read that the deepest-discount corner of this universe has thinned out, not that every remaining name is expensive. AVGO's fresh single-session crash is worth flagging on its own terms: this scan has no corpus source for what drove the -5.94% move, and a sharp single-day breakdown inside an otherwise intact golden-cross structure is a different situation than a slow deterioration. thesis: broken is a hard override: no price level makes a broken-thesis name attractive, and INTU should be avoided regardless of discount, seven bounces in. This cycle's real lesson is that the "lone strict hit" slot from last cycle emptied out entirely rather than rotating to a new name — read alongside AVGO's isolated breakdown, that is a genuinely mixed signal, not a uniformly bullish or bearish one.
Price Table
Strict Hit — Deep Discount, Below RSI 30 And 20-Day Average
None this cycle. TTD, the closest candidate and last cycle's lone strict hit, recovered to RSI 34.6 (was 28.2) while remaining -16.3% below its 20-day average — off the strict list, not fully reversed.
Closest Misses — Below 20-Day Average
| Ticker | Price | RSI | 7D | 30D | vs 52wk High | Regime | Thesis | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTD | $14.14 | 34.6 | +2.5% | -27.0% | -74.92% | collapse | unrated | Recovered off the strict list; still -16.3% below its 20-day average |
| NKE | $40.73 | 42.6 | -2.3% | -4.8% | -48.6% | downtrend | unrated | Deepest 52wk discount in this tier |
| AVGO | $392.99 | 46.5 | -8.1% | -0.3% | -15.6% | pullback | intact | Fresh -5.94% single-day crash; 30D flipped negative |
| GOOGL | $345.90 | 46.7 | -2.4% | -6.8% | -15.2% | pullback | intact | Modestly below its 20-day average |
| HON | $233.96 | 46.9 | -5.0% | +5.0% | -10.1% | basing | unrated | Cooled sharply from last cycle's RSI 58.4 |
| META | $589.85 | 47.7 | -0.4% | -13.4% | -25.3% | downtrend | unrated | RSI unchanged, 30-day print deepened |
| HD | $338.86 | 48.2 | -4.7% | -0.8% | -19.9% | downtrend | unrated | Barely below its 20-day average |
| LULU | $119.55 | 48.6 | -7.0% | +1.8% | -47.1% | downtrend | unrated | Still deeply discounted from its 52-week high |
| DE | $608.85 | 50.3 | -1.9% | +3.3% | -9.2% | uptrend | unrated | Cooled from RSI 55.8 |
| SPGI | $418.80 | 51.1 | +2.6% | -5.8% | -22.9% | pullback | unrated | Modestly below its 20-day average |
| DPZ | $346.27 | 53.5 | -1.3% | +11.4% | -25.2% | downtrend | unrated | Cooled from RSI 58.1 |
Recovered / Extended (for reference — opposite the bin's usual theme)
| Ticker | Price | RSI | 1D | 30D | vs 52wk High | Regime | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QCOM | $165.79 | 47.4 | +0.6% | -6.9% | -36.6% | collapse | Roughly flat, still above its 20-day average |
| ORCL | $150.52 | 56.3 | -3.7% | +13.6% | -54.8% | collapse | Fifth confirming cycle; 30-day gain extended further |
| NOW | $124.00 | 62.0 | -2.6% | +18.4% | -34.7% | pullback | Cooled RSI, 30-day gain extended |
| CRM | $196.21 | 60.7 | -2.6% | +17.5% | -25.2% | downtrend | Roughly steady |
| ADBE | $264.02 | 59.3 | -2.4% | +17.6% | -27.1% | downtrend | Cooled from RSI 65.9 |
| INTU | $345.66 | 63.4 | -3.5% | +23.6% | -50.3% | downtrend | broken | Seventh straight bounce; thesis flag unchanged — avoid |
| WDAY | $198.68 | 69.3 | -3.8% | +40.1% | -17.4% | pullback | 30-day gain extended sharply further |
| SAP | $207.97 | 70.7 | -0.6% | +33.4% | -25.6% | pullback | Cooled from RSI 75.1 |
| BKNG | $212.06 | 69.4 | -0.6% | +16.0% | -8.0% | breakout | Cooled from last cycle's overbought extreme |
(25 remaining tracked names — MSFT, AMZN, NVDA, TSLA, TMO, ISRG, COST, WMT, MCD, AMD, ANET, MRVL, KLAC, LRCX, ASML, NFLX, DIS, ZS, LOW, CEG, PEP, CME, CAT, UBER, PLTR — sit at RSI 42-71, mixed but not oversold; omitted from a bargain-bin screen by design. CAT (RSI 46.5, 30D -6.1%) and MCD (RSI 51.2, 30D +3.0%) both trade modestly above their 20-day averages despite sub-52 RSI readings.)
Tier Analysis
Zero strict hits — the first empty read this window — TTD, last cycle's lone hit, moved off the list without a full reversal.
Fresh single-day crash, no known driver — AVGO fell -5.94% in a session, RSI collapsing 18 points into the closest-miss tier.
Broken thesis — hard avoid — INTU. The explicit thesis: broken tag has now survived a seventh consecutive scan of price improvement; the bounce does not clear it.
Widest closest-miss cohort tracked here — eleven names now trade below their 20-day average without any acute oversold signal: TTD, NKE, AVGO, GOOGL, HON, META, HD, LULU, DE, SPGI, DPZ.
Broadly extended, several cooling from overbought extremes — ORCL's recovery deepens into a fifth confirming cycle; WDAY extended sharply further; SAP and BKNG both cooled from prior overbought reads.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | Zone | RSI | vs 52wk High | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTD | $14.14 | Off the strict list, still -16.3% below its 20-day average | 34.6 | -74.92% | Partial recovery only; not a confirmed base |
| AVGO | $392.99 | Verify a base before treating as a discount | 46.5 | -15.6% | Fresh -5.94% single-day crash; no known cause identified this session |
| NKE | $40.73 | Watch for stabilization | 42.6 | -48.6% | Deepest 52wk discount in this tier |
| INTU | $345.66 | Avoid | 63.4 | -50.3% | Broken-thesis flag overrides any price-based entry logic, seven bounces in |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔍 WATCH (contrarian probe only) | TTD, AVGO | Deepest discounts this cycle; AVGO's crash has no confirmed base or known cause |
| 🔍 WATCH (discounted, unresolved) | NKE, GOOGL, HON, META, HD, LULU, DE, SPGI, DPZ | Modest discounts without a confirmed stabilization signal |
| ❌ AVOID — BROKEN THESIS | INTU | Explicit broken-thesis flag; do not buy the drawdown regardless of price |
| ⚠️ EXTENDED — DON'T CHASE | WDAY, SAP, ADBE, NOW, CRM, BKNG, ORCL | Positive 30-day territory; several cooling from overbought but still extended |
| 🔍 ROUGHLY FLAT | QCOM | Off the strict list entirely; steady above its 20-day average |
What To Watch Next
| Watch | Why it matters |
|---|---|
| Whether AVGO's crash is a one-off or the start of a fresh leg down | No cause identified in this session's data; confirm whether a base forms |
| Whether the strict screen stays empty or a new name emerges | First cycle with zero strict hits in this tracked window |
| TTD's next print | Recovered RSI but still well below its 20-day average — confirm whether the recovery completes |
| ORCL's next print | Fifth confirming cycle — watch whether the 30-day trend keeps extending or finally cools |
| INTU's broken-thesis flag | Confirm whether this gets lifted on the next fundamentals refresh, or whether the seven-cycle bounce stays purely technical |
| Whether SAP/BKNG's cooldown from overbought continues or the extension resumes | Both pulled back from extreme RSI readings this cycle |
Sources
- Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-08-14 close — bargain-bin.
Related
8 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.