Bargain Bin

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Bargain Bin

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 50 rows · screens, not recommendations prior scanresearch/scans/2026-08-08-bargain-bin.md

2026-08-14 Bargain-Bin Scan — Zero Names Clear The Strict Screen For The First Time As TTD Recovers Off The List, AVGO Crashes -5.94% Into The Closest-Miss Tier, INTU's Broken Thesis Survives A Seventh Bounce

For the first time in this tracked window, the strict bargain-bin filter — RSI below 30 and price below its 20-day average — returns zero names. TTD, last cycle's lone strict hit, recovered its RSI to 34.6 from 28.2 even while remaining -16.3% below its 20-day average — off the strict list without a full reversal. The closest-miss tier widened to eleven names below their 20-day average, the largest cohort tracked here in this window — led by TTD and NKE (RSI 42.6). AVGO crashed -5.94% in a single session, RSI collapsing to 46.5 from 64.6 and its 30-day print flipping negative to -0.33% from +10.1% — this scan has no corpus source identifying the driver this session. INTU's explicit broken-thesis flag survived a seventh straight cycle of price improvement (30D now +23.58%, up from +20.06%) — still a hard avoid regardless of the chart. ORCL's recovery extended into a fifth confirming cycle, 30D climbing further to +13.61% from +5.01%.

Data as-of the 2026-08-14 close. Source: bargain-bin, filtered for RSI < 30 AND vs SMA20 < 0, then widened to the next-closest cluster — ranked by thesis quality × discount depth. Prior scan: 2026-08-08-bargain-bin (2026-08-07 close).


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 The strict screen returns zero names for the first time this window as TTD recovers off the list; AVGO's fresh crash and INTU's persistent broken flag are this cycle's clearest single-name stories
Strict hit None — TTD, last cycle's lone hit, moved off the list (RSI 34.6, was 28.2) while still trading -16.3% below its 20-day average
Closest misses 11 names now sit below their 20-day average — TTD (34.6), NKE (42.6), AVGO (46.5), GOOGL (46.7), HON (46.9), META (47.7), HD (48.2), LULU (48.6), DE (50.3), SPGI (51.1), DPZ (53.5)
Fresh single-day crash AVGO (RSI 46.5, was 64.6) fell -5.94% in a session — 30-day print flipped negative to -0.33% from +10.1%
Broken thesis — avoid regardless of price INTU (RSI 63.4, thesis flag explicitly `broken`, -50.3% from high, 30D +23.58% — a seventh straight cycle of gains)
Broad extension continues ORCL, WDAY, SAP, ADBE, NOW, CRM, BKNG all remain in positive 30-day territory, several cooling modestly from prior overbought extremes
Key insight The strict screen returning zero names for the first time, paired with AVGO's fresh single-day crash, is this cycle's clearest read — the "cheap" bucket is emptying out even as one large-cap name breaks down sharply and unexplained

What's Going On

The strict bargain-bin filter — RSI below 30 and price below its 20-day average — returns zero names this cycle, the first time in this tracked window. TTD ($14.14, RSI 34.6, vs-20-day -16.3%, 1D -2.88%, 7D +2.46%, 30D -27.0%, -74.92% off its 52-week high) recovered off the strict list after last cycle's -21.9% single-day crash to RSI 28.2, but it remains the deepest discount tracked here and stays well below its 20-day average — a partial, not a full, recovery.

AVGO crashed -5.94% in a single session, the sharpest move tracked anywhere in this screen this cycle. ($392.99, RSI 46.5, was 64.6; vs-20-day -1.6%, 30D flipped negative to -0.33% from +10.1%, relative volume 1.64x average) — a genuinely fresh single-name event with no corpus source identified in this session's data for its cause. Structure stays golden-crossed (intact) despite the move.

The closest-miss tier widened to eleven names this cycle, the largest cohort tracked here. Beyond TTD and NKE ($40.73, RSI 42.6, vs-20-day -3.0%, 30D -4.77%, -48.6% off high — the deepest 52-week discount in this tier), the tier now includes AVGO, GOOGL ($345.90, RSI 46.7, vs-20-day -0.1%, 30D -6.75%), HON ($233.96, RSI 46.9, vs-20-day -2.6%, 30D +4.99%), META ($589.85, RSI 47.7, vs-20-day -0.8%, 30D -13.42%), HD ($338.86, RSI 48.2, vs-20-day -0.5%, 30D -0.76%), LULU ($119.55, RSI 48.6, vs-20-day -0.5%, 30D +1.81%), DE ($608.85, RSI 50.3, vs-20-day -0.4%, 30D +3.29%), SPGI ($418.80, RSI 51.1, vs-20-day -0.2%, 30D -5.78%), and DPZ ($346.27, RSI 53.5, vs-20-day -0.3%, 30D +11.39%) — none particularly close to the strict threshold, but all trading modestly below their 20-day averages.

INTU carries the same explicit thesis: broken flag it has held across the last several scans. (RSI 63.4, -50.3% off its 52-week high, vs-20-day +8.8% — well above its 20-day average — after another price gain, 30D now +23.58%, up from +20.06% last cycle.) This is the seventh consecutive cycle of price improvement on a name whose thesis flag has not moved. Per desk doctrine, no bounce clears a broken-thesis flag — this stays an avoid regardless of the chart.

ORCL's recovery extended into a fifth straight confirming cycle. RSI held roughly steady at 56.3 (was 56.5), and 30D climbed further to +13.61% from +5.01% last cycle — the strongest confirmation yet of a durable trend after first flipping positive two cycles back. It remains -54.8% off its 52-week high and death-crossed by the long-run definition, but the multi-cycle momentum trend is now unambiguous.

The broader software/semis complex continued extending, several cooling modestly from prior overbought extremes. WDAY ($198.68, RSI 69.3, was 70.4; 30D +40.09%, was +30.3%) extended its 30-day gain further even as RSI eased slightly. SAP ($207.97, RSI 70.7, was 75.1; 30D +33.39%, was +30.96%) cooled from an extreme overbought read. ADBE ($264.02, RSI 59.3, was 65.9; 30D +17.57%, was +20.04%) and NOW ($124.00, RSI 62.0, was 67.2; 30D +18.4%, was +15.87%) both cooled in RSI while extending their 30-day gains. CRM ($196.21, RSI 60.7, was 62.5; 30D +17.49%, was +15.7%) held roughly steady. BKNG ($212.06, RSI 69.4, was 73.1; 30D +16.01%, was +23.02%) cooled from last cycle's overbought extreme. QCOM ($165.79, RSI 47.4, was 47.6) stayed roughly flat, still trading modestly above its 20-day average.


What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-08-07 → 2026-08-14)

Change Read
The strict screen returns zero names — TTD, last cycle's lone hit, recovered RSI 28.2→34.6 First time in this tracked window with no name clearing the strict RSI<30-and-below-20-day filter
AVGO crashed -5.94% in a single session — RSI collapsed 64.6→46.5, 30D flipped to -0.33% from +10.1% Sharpest move tracked anywhere in this screen this cycle; no cause identified
The closest-miss tier widened to eleven names Largest cohort of below-20-day-average names tracked here this window
INTU's broken-thesis flag persists through a seventh bounce — 30D +20.06%→+23.58% Avoid stands regardless of the improving chart
ORCL's recovery extended into a fifth confirming cycle — 30D +5.01%→+13.61% Strongest confirmation yet of a durable, multi-cycle trend
WDAY's 30-day gain extended further — +30.3%→+40.09% RSI eased slightly even as the underlying trend strengthened
SAP and BKNG both cooled from overbought extremes — RSI 75.1/73.1→70.7/69.4 Pullback in momentum inside still-strongly-positive 30-day trends
NKE's RSI eased — 45.2→42.6 Modestly closer to the strict threshold than last cycle, still well above it

How To Read The Board

This bucket screens for cheap, not for buyable. regime labels (collapse/downtrend/pullback/basing) describe the chart, not a recommendation — the strict screen returning zero names this cycle is a genuine read that the deepest-discount corner of this universe has thinned out, not that every remaining name is expensive. AVGO's fresh single-session crash is worth flagging on its own terms: this scan has no corpus source for what drove the -5.94% move, and a sharp single-day breakdown inside an otherwise intact golden-cross structure is a different situation than a slow deterioration. thesis: broken is a hard override: no price level makes a broken-thesis name attractive, and INTU should be avoided regardless of discount, seven bounces in. This cycle's real lesson is that the "lone strict hit" slot from last cycle emptied out entirely rather than rotating to a new name — read alongside AVGO's isolated breakdown, that is a genuinely mixed signal, not a uniformly bullish or bearish one.


Price Table

Strict Hit — Deep Discount, Below RSI 30 And 20-Day Average

None this cycle. TTD, the closest candidate and last cycle's lone strict hit, recovered to RSI 34.6 (was 28.2) while remaining -16.3% below its 20-day average — off the strict list, not fully reversed.

Closest Misses — Below 20-Day Average

Ticker Price RSI 7D 30D vs 52wk High Regime Thesis Note
TTD $14.14 34.6 +2.5% -27.0% -74.92% collapse unrated Recovered off the strict list; still -16.3% below its 20-day average
NKE $40.73 42.6 -2.3% -4.8% -48.6% downtrend unrated Deepest 52wk discount in this tier
AVGO $392.99 46.5 -8.1% -0.3% -15.6% pullback intact Fresh -5.94% single-day crash; 30D flipped negative
GOOGL $345.90 46.7 -2.4% -6.8% -15.2% pullback intact Modestly below its 20-day average
HON $233.96 46.9 -5.0% +5.0% -10.1% basing unrated Cooled sharply from last cycle's RSI 58.4
META $589.85 47.7 -0.4% -13.4% -25.3% downtrend unrated RSI unchanged, 30-day print deepened
HD $338.86 48.2 -4.7% -0.8% -19.9% downtrend unrated Barely below its 20-day average
LULU $119.55 48.6 -7.0% +1.8% -47.1% downtrend unrated Still deeply discounted from its 52-week high
DE $608.85 50.3 -1.9% +3.3% -9.2% uptrend unrated Cooled from RSI 55.8
SPGI $418.80 51.1 +2.6% -5.8% -22.9% pullback unrated Modestly below its 20-day average
DPZ $346.27 53.5 -1.3% +11.4% -25.2% downtrend unrated Cooled from RSI 58.1

Recovered / Extended (for reference — opposite the bin's usual theme)

Ticker Price RSI 1D 30D vs 52wk High Regime Note
QCOM $165.79 47.4 +0.6% -6.9% -36.6% collapse Roughly flat, still above its 20-day average
ORCL $150.52 56.3 -3.7% +13.6% -54.8% collapse Fifth confirming cycle; 30-day gain extended further
NOW $124.00 62.0 -2.6% +18.4% -34.7% pullback Cooled RSI, 30-day gain extended
CRM $196.21 60.7 -2.6% +17.5% -25.2% downtrend Roughly steady
ADBE $264.02 59.3 -2.4% +17.6% -27.1% downtrend Cooled from RSI 65.9
INTU $345.66 63.4 -3.5% +23.6% -50.3% downtrend broken | Seventh straight bounce; thesis flag unchanged — avoid
WDAY $198.68 69.3 -3.8% +40.1% -17.4% pullback 30-day gain extended sharply further
SAP $207.97 70.7 -0.6% +33.4% -25.6% pullback Cooled from RSI 75.1
BKNG $212.06 69.4 -0.6% +16.0% -8.0% breakout Cooled from last cycle's overbought extreme

(25 remaining tracked names — MSFT, AMZN, NVDA, TSLA, TMO, ISRG, COST, WMT, MCD, AMD, ANET, MRVL, KLAC, LRCX, ASML, NFLX, DIS, ZS, LOW, CEG, PEP, CME, CAT, UBER, PLTR — sit at RSI 42-71, mixed but not oversold; omitted from a bargain-bin screen by design. CAT (RSI 46.5, 30D -6.1%) and MCD (RSI 51.2, 30D +3.0%) both trade modestly above their 20-day averages despite sub-52 RSI readings.)

Tier Analysis

Zero strict hits — the first empty read this windowTTD, last cycle's lone hit, moved off the list without a full reversal.

Fresh single-day crash, no known driverAVGO fell -5.94% in a session, RSI collapsing 18 points into the closest-miss tier.

Broken thesis — hard avoidINTU. The explicit thesis: broken tag has now survived a seventh consecutive scan of price improvement; the bounce does not clear it.

Widest closest-miss cohort tracked here — eleven names now trade below their 20-day average without any acute oversold signal: TTD, NKE, AVGO, GOOGL, HON, META, HD, LULU, DE, SPGI, DPZ.

Broadly extended, several cooling from overbought extremesORCL's recovery deepens into a fifth confirming cycle; WDAY extended sharply further; SAP and BKNG both cooled from prior overbought reads.


Entry Zones

Stock Price Zone RSI vs 52wk High Setup
TTD $14.14 Off the strict list, still -16.3% below its 20-day average 34.6 -74.92% Partial recovery only; not a confirmed base
AVGO $392.99 Verify a base before treating as a discount 46.5 -15.6% Fresh -5.94% single-day crash; no known cause identified this session
NKE $40.73 Watch for stabilization 42.6 -48.6% Deepest 52wk discount in this tier
INTU $345.66 Avoid 63.4 -50.3% Broken-thesis flag overrides any price-based entry logic, seven bounces in

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔍 WATCH (contrarian probe only) TTD, AVGO Deepest discounts this cycle; AVGO's crash has no confirmed base or known cause
🔍 WATCH (discounted, unresolved) NKE, GOOGL, HON, META, HD, LULU, DE, SPGI, DPZ Modest discounts without a confirmed stabilization signal
❌ AVOID — BROKEN THESIS INTU Explicit broken-thesis flag; do not buy the drawdown regardless of price
⚠️ EXTENDED — DON'T CHASE WDAY, SAP, ADBE, NOW, CRM, BKNG, ORCL Positive 30-day territory; several cooling from overbought but still extended
🔍 ROUGHLY FLAT QCOM Off the strict list entirely; steady above its 20-day average

What To Watch Next

Watch Why it matters
Whether AVGO's crash is a one-off or the start of a fresh leg down No cause identified in this session's data; confirm whether a base forms
Whether the strict screen stays empty or a new name emerges First cycle with zero strict hits in this tracked window
TTD's next print Recovered RSI but still well below its 20-day average — confirm whether the recovery completes
ORCL's next print Fifth confirming cycle — watch whether the 30-day trend keeps extending or finally cools
INTU's broken-thesis flag Confirm whether this gets lifted on the next fundamentals refresh, or whether the seven-cycle bounce stays purely technical
Whether SAP/BKNG's cooldown from overbought continues or the extension resumes Both pulled back from extreme RSI readings this cycle

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-08-14 close — bargain-bin.
8 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.