NVDA Ecosystem

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NVDA Ecosystem

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AMDAMKRARMASMLAVGOCEGENPHEOSEFSLRGEVINTCMRVLNEENVDAONTSMVRTVST
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@nvda-ecosystem
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 31 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-05-01-nvda-ecosystemported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-03-13-nvda-ecosystem.mdscan slugnvda-ecosystemsource typescan-archive

NVDA supply chain consolidating: NVDA RSI 45.5, AMD 42.0, TSM 42.9 — all neutral below SMAs. MRVL the standout (+11.2% 30D, RSI 57.8, strong-up). Power infrastructure diverging — VRT surging (+67% 3M) while nuclear plays (CEG, VST) have death crosses. AMKR and ON getting crushed (-13.1% and -17.9% 30D). INTC quietly +20.7% 3M.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 NEUTRAL TO WEAK — Core semis (NVDA, AMD, AVGO, TSM) drifting below SMAs with no catalyst. MRVL the only above-SMA name. Power infra split between winners (VRT, GEV, NEE) and losers (CEG, VST death crosses). Packaging/ON weak.
Leaders VRT (+67.0% 3M), GEV (+24.5% 3M), MRVL (+11.2% 30D), INTC (+20.7% 3M)
Laggards ON (-17.9% 30D, RSI 35.6), AMKR (-13.1% 30D, RSI 37.8), SMR (-34.0% 3M), OKLO (-30.3% 3M)

Price Table — Core Semis

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% Signal
NVDA $180.25 45.5 $184.95 -2.5% +0.7% -2.6% 🟡 Below SMA, waiting
AMD $193.39 42.0 $201.23 -3.9% -0.2% -4.8% 🟡 Below SMA, fading
AVGO $322.16 44.6 $329.44 -2.2% -0.3% -3.1% 🟡 Neutral, -22% from high
TSM $339.35 42.9 $362.44 -6.4% -0.1% -7.8% 🟡 Below SMA, weak
MRVL $87.86 57.8 $82.38 +6.7% -2.1% +11.2% 🟢 Only above-SMA name
INTC $45.62 49.5 $45.54 +0.2% +4.2% -1.9% 🟢 +37.5% vs SMA200
ARM $115.31 42.3 $123.66 -6.8% -1.2% -5.6% 🟡 Death cross, -34% from high
ASML $1,345.69 44.9 $1,415.90 -5.0% +1.6% -5.2% 🟡 Below SMA
AMKR $41.27 37.8 $46.43 -11.1% -2.7% -13.1% 🟡 Packaging selloff
ON $57.99 35.6 $65.63 -11.6% -4.3% -17.9% 🔴 Power semis weak

Price Table — Power/Energy Infrastructure

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% Signal
VRT $269.25 67.7 $251.82 +6.9% +5.4% +13.8% 🟠 Near overbought
GEV $835.75 55.4 $838.96 -0.4% +2.0% +2.4% 🟢 At SMA, +33% vs SMA200
CEG $301.77 46.3 $311.08 -3.0% -8.7% -0.3% 🟡 Death cross
VST $158.93 44.5 $167.40 -5.1% -4.0% -8.5% 🟡 Death cross
NEE $92.14 56.3 $92.26 -0.1% +1.0% +0.9% 🟢 Utility leader
FSLR $197.68 38.4 $212.27 -6.9% +2.3% -10.3% 🟡 Solar weak
ENPH $42.33 48.2 $44.29 -4.4% +3.6% -4.1% 🟡 Solar recovering
EOSE $5.71 29.2 $8.21 -30.4% -7.0% -50.1% 🔴 Collapsed

Entry Zones

Stock Entry Zone Thesis
NVDA $170-178 RSI 45.5, neutral below SMA. Wait for catalyst or RSI < 35.
TSM $320-340 RSI 42.9, foundry monopoly -6.4% vs SMA. Patient entry.
ASML $1,300-1,345 RSI 44.9, equipment monopoly below SMA.
MRVL $80-85 Wait for pullback. RSI 57.8, above SMA — don't chase.
ON $55-58 RSI 35.6, -17.9% 30D. Power semis oversold.

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔒 HOLD VRT, GEV, NEE Power infra in strong-up trends.
🔍 WATCH NVDA, AMD, AVGO, TSM Below SMAs, neutral. Wait for catalyst.
🔍 WATCH ON, AMKR Approaching oversold, could be entry soon.
⚠️ AVOID EOSE -50% 30D, RSI 29. Falling knife.
⚠️ AVOID VRT at current levels RSI 67.7, don't chase.

What Changed

Bottom line: The NVDA ecosystem is in a holding pattern. Core semis neutral below SMAs, MRVL the lone outperformer. The real story is the power infrastructure split — VRT/GEV winning while CEG/VST have death crosses. ON Semiconductor's -17.9% 30D is a new concern for the auto/power semi thesis.

The Gold

Key Discoveries:

  • MRVL is the only core semi above SMA20 — custom ASIC thesis holding while general-purpose semis drift
  • ON -17.9% 30D — power semiconductor weakness could signal auto/industrial slowdown
  • EOSE -50.1% 30D — energy storage thesis appears broken
  • INTC quietly +20.7% 3M — turnaround narrative gaining traction

Mistakes to Avoid:

  • Don't chase VRT at RSI 67.7 after +67% 3M
  • Don't bottom-fish EOSE at RSI 29 without thesis validation

Open Questions:

  • Is ON's selloff a broad auto cycle issue or company-specific?
  • Will NVDA break out of the neutral range or drift lower?
10 events
DateTypeEvent
Mar 11 ScanAI Scan Mar 10 ScanAI Scan Mar 20 ScanAI Scan Mar 12 ScanAI Scan Feb 2 ScanAI Universe (Expanded) May 1 ScanNVDA Ecosystem Scan Mar 26 ScanAI Sector Scan Mar 31 ScanAI Scan Mar 13 ScanAI Scan Mar 12 ScanNVDA Ecosystem Scan

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