Risk-on market. Entry zones in NET, MSFT. LULU catalyst live. Commodities running.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal |
Reading |
| Overall |
🟢 Risk-on - VIX low, small caps leading, breadth expanding |
| Key insight |
Half the "pullback buys" already ran. Real dips: NET, MSFT, SOFI, SHOP |
Action Matrix
| Action |
Stocks |
Why |
| ✅ STRONG BUY |
NET, MSFT, TAC, AS, CRSP |
Pullback + thesis intact |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE |
AMZN |
DCA into 10yr compounder |
| 🔒 HOLD |
NVDA, GOOGL |
Strong positions, don't sell |
| 🔥 CATALYST |
LULU |
Wilson proxy + Elliott $1B = action |
| 🔍 WATCH |
META, AAPL, TSLA, GBTC, RKLB, SHOP, SOFI, LLY, TMO, VRTX |
Need clarity or more pullback |
| ⚠️ AVOID |
ASML, MU, BE, EOSE, IREN, IBRX, NTLA, MRNA |
Ran 30%+, DON'T CHASE |
| ❌ DON'T BUY |
CRSR, KLAR |
Falling knife, no floor |
Legend
- RSI
↓ = Oversold (<30) - potential buying opportunity
- RSI
↑ = Overbought (>70) - FOMO warning, may pullback
- 52wkHi = % from 52-week high (how far below peak)
Market Pulse
| Indicator |
ETF |
1D |
7D |
30D |
3M |
52wkHi |
RSI |
Status |
Action |
| VIX/Fear |
VIXY |
- |
- |
+4% |
- |
- |
- |
🟢 Calm |
🔍 Watch |
| S&P 500 |
VOO |
- |
- |
+2% |
- |
- |
- |
🟢 Steady |
🔒 Hold |
| Nasdaq-100 |
QQQM |
- |
- |
+1% |
- |
- |
- |
🟢 Steady |
🔒 Hold |
| Gold |
GLD |
- |
- |
+12% |
- |
- |
- |
🔴 Running |
⚠️ Avoid |
| Silver |
SLV |
- |
- |
+17% |
- |
- |
- |
🔴 Running |
⚠️ Avoid |
| Oil |
USO |
- |
- |
+15% |
- |
- |
- |
🔴 Running |
⚠️ Avoid |
| Bonds |
TLT |
- |
- |
flat |
- |
- |
- |
🟡 Sideways |
🔍 Watch |
| US Dollar |
UUP |
- |
- |
-1% |
- |
- |
- |
🟢 Dip |
🔍 Watch |
| Small Caps |
IWM |
- |
- |
+6% |
- |
- |
- |
🔴 Running |
🔍 Watch |
| Semis |
SMH |
- |
- |
+12% |
- |
- |
- |
🔴 Running |
⚠️ Avoid |
Overall: 🟢 RISK-ON - Markets calm, small caps outperforming, commodities hot.
Theme Summaries
AI Infrastructure
| Stock |
Price |
1D |
7D |
30D |
3M |
52wkHi |
RSI |
Status |
Action |
| AMZN |
$242.94 |
+1% |
+0% |
+4% |
-4% |
-6% |
46 |
🟡 Sideways |
📈 Accumulate |
| NVDA |
$185.69 |
-1% |
+2% |
-1% |
-10% |
-13% |
51 |
🟡 Consolidating |
🔒 Hold |
| ASML |
$1,441.40 |
+1% |
+2% |
+17% |
+35% |
-3% |
70↑ |
🔴 Ran |
⚠️ Avoid |
| TAC |
$12.77 |
-0% |
-1% |
-1% |
-28% |
-29% |
57 |
🟢 Pullback |
✅ Strong Buy |
| TSM |
$341.37 |
+3% |
-1% |
+6% |
+12% |
-3% |
56 |
🟡 Steady |
🔍 Watch |
Big Tech (MAG7)
| Stock |
Price |
1D |
7D |
30D |
3M |
52wkHi |
RSI |
Status |
Action |
| AAPL |
$269.96 |
- |
- |
+1% |
- |
- |
- |
🟢 Steady |
🔍 Watch |
| AMZN |
$242.94 |
+1% |
+0% |
+4% |
-4% |
-6% |
46 |
🟡 Sideways |
📈 Accumulate |
| GOOGL |
$343.80 |
+1% |
+2% |
+9% |
+21% |
-0% |
63 |
🟡 Steady |
🔒 Hold |
| META |
$706.42 |
-1% |
+7% |
+7% |
+11% |
-11% |
64 |
🟡 Running |
🔍 Watch |
| MSFT |
$423.31 |
-1% |
-8% |
-10% |
-18% |
-24% |
30 |
🟢 Pullback |
✅ Strong Buy |
| NVDA |
$185.69 |
-1% |
+2% |
-1% |
-10% |
-13% |
51 |
🟡 Consolidating |
🔒 Hold |
| TSLA |
$421.79 |
- |
- |
-7% |
- |
- |
- |
🟡 Dip |
🔍 Watch |
Consumer/Retail
| Stock |
Price |
1D |
7D |
30D |
3M |
52wkHi |
RSI |
Status |
Action |
| AS |
$36.63 |
- |
- |
-2% |
- |
- |
- |
🟢 Pullback |
✅ Strong Buy |
| LULU |
$174.50 |
- |
- |
-17% |
- |
- |
- |
🟢 Pullback |
🔥 Catalyst |
Energy/Data Centers
| Stock |
Price |
1D |
7D |
30D |
3M |
52wkHi |
RSI |
Status |
Action |
| BE |
$156.29 |
+1% |
+3% |
+50% |
+10% |
-7% |
61 |
🔴 Ran |
⚠️ Avoid |
| EOSE |
$14.11 |
-1% |
-9% |
+5% |
-10% |
-29% |
41 |
🟡 Steady |
🔍 Watch |
| TAC |
$12.77 |
-0% |
-1% |
-1% |
-28% |
-29% |
57 |
🟢 Pullback |
✅ Strong Buy |
Web/Cloud
| Stock |
Price |
1D |
7D |
30D |
3M |
52wkHi |
RSI |
Status |
Action |
| NET |
$182.54 |
+3% |
-7% |
-8% |
-26% |
-30% |
48 |
🟢 Pullback |
✅ Strong Buy |
Memory/Semis
| Stock |
Price |
1D |
7D |
30D |
3M |
52wkHi |
RSI |
Status |
Action |
| MU |
$437.82 |
+4% |
+7% |
+40% |
+87% |
-4% |
76↑ |
🔴 Ran |
⚠️ Avoid |
| CRSR |
$5.11 |
- |
- |
-14% |
- |
- |
- |
🔴 Falling |
❌ Don't Buy |
Crypto
| Stock |
Price |
1D |
7D |
30D |
3M |
52wkHi |
RSI |
Status |
Action |
| GBTC |
$60.84 |
- |
- |
-17% |
- |
- |
- |
🟢 Pullback |
🔍 Watch |
Space
| Stock |
Price |
1D |
7D |
30D |
3M |
52wkHi |
RSI |
Status |
Action |
| RKLB |
$74.15 |
- |
- |
-1% |
- |
- |
- |
🟡 Consolidating |
🔍 Watch |
| ARKX |
$31.64 |
- |
- |
+1% |
- |
-2% |
- |
🟡 Flat |
🔍 Watch |
Biotech
| Stock |
Price |
1D |
7D |
30D |
3M |
52wkHi |
RSI |
Status |
Action |
| LLY |
$1,043.58 |
- |
- |
+0% |
- |
- |
- |
🟡 Sideways |
🔍 Watch |
| TMO |
$581.92 |
- |
- |
-5% |
- |
- |
- |
🟢 Pullback |
🔍 Watch |
| IBRX |
$6.14 |
- |
- |
+195% |
- |
- |
- |
🔴 Ran |
⚠️ Avoid |
| MRNA |
$42.54 |
- |
- |
+32% |
- |
- |
- |
🔴 Ran |
⚠️ Avoid |
| CRSP |
$51.32 |
- |
- |
-7% |
- |
- |
- |
🟢 Pullback |
✅ Strong Buy |
| NTLA |
$13.02 |
- |
- |
+39% |
- |
- |
- |
🔴 Ran |
⚠️ Avoid |
| VRTX |
$471.97 |
- |
- |
+5% |
- |
- |
- |
🟡 Steady |
🔍 Watch |
Watching/Learning
| Stock |
Price |
1D |
7D |
30D |
3M |
52wkHi |
RSI |
Status |
Action |
| HOOD |
$99.48 |
- |
- |
-13% |
- |
- |
- |
🟢 Pullback |
🔍 Watch |
| WMT |
$119.14 |
- |
- |
+7% |
- |
- |
- |
🟡 Steady |
🔒 Hold |
| SHOP |
$132.18 |
- |
- |
-20% |
- |
- |
- |
🟢 Pullback |
🔍 Watch |
| KLAR |
$23.07 |
- |
- |
-20% |
- |
- |
- |
🔴 Falling |
❌ Don't Buy |
The Gold
Key Discoveries
| Discovery |
Implication |
| ARKX has NO SpaceX |
Need ARKVX (venture fund) for SpaceX |
| GBTC has 1.5% fees |
IBIT/FBTC are 0.25% - consider switching |
| MSFT -11% was overreaction |
Beat revenue, missed Azure by 0.4% |
| LULU catalyst CONFIRMED |
Wilson proxy + Elliott $1B is real |
| VOO beats SPY on fees |
0.03% vs 0.09% - switch to VOO |
| QQQM beats QQQ on fees |
0.15% vs 0.20% - use QQQM |
| TQQQ = BAD long-term |
Volatility decay, 33% drop = wipeout |
| Twitter "pullbacks" half ran |
Classic timing - verify before acting |
| IBRX +195% in 30D |
Biotech can move FAST - FOMO trap |
| CRSP -7% is only gene editing dip |
Entry exists but narrow window |
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
| Mistake |
Lesson |
| Missed MU (+45%) |
Waited too long to research HBM thesis |
| Missed BE (+400%) |
Thesis was right, timing was wrong |
| Almost bought CRSR |
"Cheap" isn't a thesis - falling knife |
| Bought ARKX for SpaceX |
ARKX has NO SpaceX - need ARKVX |
| GBTC fees |
Paying 1.5% when IBIT is 0.25% |
| Missed IBRX (+195%) |
Biotech thesis research took too long |
| Missed NTLA (+39%) |
Same pattern as BE, EOSE - thesis right, too slow |
Open Questions
- What's Apple doing with AI? (AAPL on hold)
- Is the Saudi BTC thesis real? (GBTC direction)
- When does ASML pull back enough to enter?
- Should I switch GBTC to IBIT?
- Is SHOP's -20% an entry or start of bigger drop?
- Will Wilson's LULU proxy fight change anything?
Emotion Check
Before any trade:
Next Actions
- Research RKLB (Rocket Lab) for space exposure
- Research TEM (Tempus AI) for healthcare AI
- Decide: Switch GBTC → IBIT for fee savings?
- Monitor LULU catalyst - Wilson proxy vote date
- Wait for ASML pullback to $1,200-1,300
Commands
cd stonks
the desk's own tooling
the desk's own tooling
the desk's own tooling
Next portfolio: Create when major move (>5%), weekly review, or catalyst fires.
Theme Deep Dives