Actions & Alerts Log
Article
Actions & Alerts Log
Central hub for all alerts, entry zones, and trade decisions. Last Updated: 2026-02-05 (prices validated against fresh stonks data)
How to Use This File
Adding a New Alert
When you (or Claude) identify an entry zone or price target:
- Add to Price Alerts table with source doc
- Include the reasoning so we can trace later
When an Alert Triggers
When price hits your alert level:
- Move from Price Alerts → Triggered Alerts (Archive)
- Decide: Buy, Pass, or Adjust
- If buying → Log in
holdings/MOVES.md
Logging a Trade (Buy/Sell)
When you execute a trade:
- Update ACTIONS.md: Add to "Recent Moves" table
- Update holdings/MOVES.md: Full trade details
- Update holdings snapshot: Add to current holdings
Weekly Review
- Ask Claude: "refresh my actions" → aggregates from all scans
- Review triggered alerts
- Add post-mortems for completed trades
- Archive stale alerts
Active Alerts (Check These)
Price Alerts (Waiting for Entry)
| Stock | Alert | Entry Zone | Source | Set Date | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZTS | $115 | Deeper entry if -10% pullback | ideas/macro | 2026-02-03 | ⏳ Waiting |
| MU | $300-350 | Wait for -25% pullback (RSI 72-77 OVERBOUGHT - patience) | nvda-ecosystem | 2026-02-03 | ⏳ Waiting |
| VRT | $110-120 | Wait for -20% pullback | nvda-ecosystem | 2026-02-03 | ⏳ Waiting |
| ASML | $1,200-1,300 | Wait for pullback | nvda-ecosystem | 2026-02-03 | ⏳ Waiting |
| WCLD | $25 | Add more if drops further (currently $26.96) | cloud-etfs | 2026-02-03 | ⏳ Approaching |
| IGV | $75 | Strong buy zone (currently $79.67 - APPROACHING!) | cloud-etfs | 2026-02-03 | ⏳ Approaching |
| FCX | $55-58 | Wait for pullback | ai-infrastructure | 2026-02-03 | ⏳ Waiting |
| GILD | $120 | Wait for pullback | biotech-scan | 2026-02-02 | ⏳ Waiting |
Entry Zones (IN ZONE NOW) - Prices Validated 2026-02-05
MARKET CONTEXT: VOO $623.10 (-2.1% 30D, RSI 37) | QQQM $245.83 (-4.2% 30D, RSI 35) | VIXY $28.42 (+12.5% 30D, RSI 62 fear rising) | GLD $441.88 (+6.9% 30D, RSI 55 safe haven bid)
EXTREME OVERSOLD (RSI < 20) - Capitulation Territory
| Stock | Current | Zone | RSI | 30D Chg | Source | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISRG | $476.32 | <$500 | 8↓ | -15.7% | insider-scan | ✅ Strong Buy | NEW - Surgical robotics monopoly, insiders selling -$313.9M |
| IGV | $79.67 | <$90 | 13↓ | -24.1% | cloud-etfs | ✅ Strong Buy | EXTREME oversold SaaS ETF, approaching $75 |
| CEG | $250.46 | $250-270 | 14↓ | -29.4% | ai-infrastructure | ✅ Strong Buy | Nuclear thesis, insiders selling -$1.2M (small) |
| PANW | $164.63 | <$175 | 16↓ | -9.6% | insider-scan | ✅ Strong Buy | NEW - Cybersecurity leader, insiders selling -$1.8B |
| SNOW | $156.71 | <$180 | 18↓ | -33.2% | web-cloud | ✅ Strong Buy | Data cloud leader, DEEPER crash, insiders selling -$1.2B |
| WCLD | $26.96 | <$30 | 19↓ | -23.1% | cloud-etfs | ✅ Strong Buy | Pure cloud ETF, still oversold |
| CRM | $189.97 | $180-200 | ~19↓ | -25.6% | cloud-etfs | ✅ Strong Buy | Enterprise SaaS leader, insiders selling -$58.9M |
| ASAN | $9.91 | <$12 | 19↓ | -23.1% | insider-scan | 🏆 Golden Signal | NEW - RSI 19 + $8.3M insider BUYING |
| TMO | $542.36 | <$570 | 19↓ | -12.6% | insider-scan | ✅ Strong Buy | NEW - Life science tools, insiders selling -$336.9M |
OVERSOLD (RSI 20-30) - Strong Entry Zone
| Stock | Current | Zone | RSI | 30D Chg | Source | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLTR | $130.01 | <$140 | 20↓ | -27.7% | insider-scan | 🔍 Research | AI/Defense, insiders selling -$4.7B (MASSIVE) |
| ESTC | $57.16 | <$70 | 22↓ | -24.4% | web-cloud | ✅ Strong Buy | Search + observability, insiders selling -$553.2M |
| SKYY | $108.01 | <$120 | 23↓ | -17.2% | cloud-etfs | ✅ Strong Buy | Cloud infrastructure ETF |
| LULU | $170.09 | <$180 | 24↓ | -21.2% | retail | 📈 Accumulate | Athleisure leader, -57% from high |
| NKE | $60.93 | <$65 | 24 | - | retail | 📈 Accumulate | Turnaround bet, oversold |
| WDAY | $158.76 | <$180 | ~25 | -23.8% | cloud-saas | ✅ Strong Buy | Enterprise HR/Finance SaaS |
| ADBE | $269.39 | <$300 | ~25↓ | -18.4% | cloud-saas | 📈 Accumulate | AI Firefly, profitable anchor |
| CLOU | $18.91 | <$22 | 25↓ | -16.8% | cloud-etfs | ✅ Strong Buy | Cloud computing ETF |
| EOSE | $11.28 | <$14 | 27↓ | -20.3% | energy | 🔍 Research | Energy storage, insiders selling -$22.6M |
| NOW | $102.63 | <$120 | 27↓ | -30.4% | cloud-etfs | ✅ Strong Buy | ServiceNow AI agents, insiders selling -$113.9M |
| MSFT | $393.67 | <$400 | 29↓ | -17.7% | mag7 | ✅ Strong Buy | NOW IN ZONE! Was $414 yesterday |
| SHOP | $114.02 | <$140 | ~17 | - | retail | ✅ Strong Buy | E-commerce leader, claude-trader approaching stop $112.35 |
APPROACHING OVERSOLD (RSI 30-40) - Watch Closely
| Stock | Current | Zone | RSI | 30D Chg | Source | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDB | $326.50 | <$350 | 30 | -25.1% | web-cloud | 📈 Accumulate | MongoDB, AI vector search, insiders selling |
| AVGO | $308.05 | <$320 | 31 | -10.3% | nvda-ecosystem | 🔍 Research | Broadcom AI networking, insiders selling -$1.1B |
| NVDA | $171.88 | <$180 | 34 | -8.2% | nvda-ecosystem | 🔍 Watch | GPU king, approaching entry, insiders selling -$3.1B |
| TSLA | $397.21 | <$420 | 34 | -8.3% | mag7 | 🔍 Watch | Insider BUYING +$182M |
| MRVL | $74.21 | $70-80 | 35 | -15.8% | nvda-ecosystem | 🔍 Research | Custom ASICs, IN entry zone |
| CRSP | $45.88 | <$50 | 36 | -21.2% | biotech | 📈 Accumulate | Gene editing leader, insider BUYING +$24.8M |
| AMZN | $222.69 | <$240 | 36 | -7.6% | mag7 | 📈 Accumulate | 10yr compounder, insiders selling -$10.9B |
| FSLY | $7.96 | <$10 | 36 | -21.0% | web-cloud | 🔍 Research | Edge computing, insiders selling |
| DDOG | $106.73 | <$130 | 39 | -22.2% | web-cloud | 🔍 Research | Observability essential, insiders selling -$634.4M |
| NET | $163.05 | <$200 | 40 | -17.7% | web-cloud | ⚠️ Stop Watch | Edge computing, insiders selling -$710.9M |
| ASX | ~$11 | $9-12 | - | - | nvda-ecosystem | ✅ Strong Buy | CoWoS validated |
| AMKR | ~$28 | $24-30 | - | - | nvda-ecosystem | ✅ Strong Buy | CoWoS validated |
| ANET | $138 | $125-140 | - | - | nvda-ecosystem | 🔍 Research | Needs validation (InfiniBand?) |
| VST | $154 | $140-160 | - | - | ai-infrastructure | 🔍 Research | Data center power |
| OKLO | $74 | $60-75 | - | - | ai-infrastructure | ⚠️ Speculative | Pre-revenue, high risk |
| AS | $36 | $30-38 | 41 | - | consumer | 📈 Accumulate | Arc'teryx compounder |
| TAC | ~$12 | <$15 | - | - | energy | 🔍 Research | Alberta catalyst, sleeper |
| SOFI | ~$22 | <$25 | 17↓ | -24.6% | ideas | 🔍 Research | Oversold but insiders selling -$649.2M |
| TEM | ~$45 | <$50 | - | - | ideas | 🔍 Research | Pullback, research needed |
Sector Rotation Alerts
| Signal | Trigger | What It Means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cloud RSI < 30 | All 4 cloud ETFs oversold | Capitulation - contrarian entry | TRIGGERED (IGV 13, WCLD 19, SKYY 23, CLOU 25) |
| SaaS RSI < 20 | CRM, WDAY, NOW extreme oversold | Profitable leaders crushed | TRIGGERED |
| SaaS FULL CAPITULATION | SNOW -33%, NOW -30%, CRM -26%, PLTR -28% 30D | Deepening selloff from yesterday | TRIGGERED - WORSENING |
| Memory OVERBOUGHT | MU, STX, WDC RSI 72-77↑ | Rotation INTO memory, potential top | NEW - Do NOT chase |
| Telecoms OVERBOUGHT | T, VZ, BCE, SKM RSI 75-92↑ | Defensive rotation ongoing | NEW - Late to enter |
| Solar ENPH spike | ENPH +52% 30D, RSI 77↑ | Energy storage rally | NEW - Overbought |
| MSFT broke $400 | MSFT $393.67 (RSI 29) | Big Tech finally in buy zone | NEW - TRIGGERED |
| Fed pivot | Rate cut language | Growth stocks rip | ⏳ Watching |
| 10Y below 4% | Treasury yield drops | Duration assets rally | ⏳ Watching |
Insider Activity Summary (2026-02-05 Scan)
| Signal | Stocks | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| GOLDEN | ASAN (RSI 19 + $8.3M buying) | Best signal - oversold + smart money buying |
| BUYING | TSLA (+$182M), CRSP (+$24.8M), INTC (+$353K) | Insiders accumulating |
| SELLING INTO DIP | PLTR (-$4.7B), SNOW (-$1.2B), PANW (-$1.8B), NOW (-$113.9M), CRM (-$58.9M) | Insiders dumping into weakness - CAUTION |
| HEAVY SELLING | AMZN (-$10.9B), LLY (-$5.1B), NVDA (-$3.1B), AVGO (-$1.1B) | Smart money reducing |
Pending Research Actions
| Action | Source | Priority | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Research ASAN entry (RSI 19, +$8.3M insider buying - GOLDEN) | insider-scan | CRITICAL | Todo |
| Research ISRG - RSI 8 extreme, surgical robotics monopoly | insider-scan | CRITICAL | Todo |
| Research TMO - RSI 19, life science tools | insider-scan | HIGH | Todo |
| Research PANW - RSI 16, cybersecurity leader | insider-scan | HIGH | Todo |
| Deep dive ASX - financials, packaging revenue % | nvda-ecosystem | HIGH | Todo |
| Deep dive AMKR - financials, TSMC relationship | nvda-ecosystem | HIGH | Todo |
| Compare ASX vs AMKR - which is better OSAT? | nvda-ecosystem | HIGH | Todo |
| Decide: IGV vs WCLD vs both | cloud-etfs | HIGH | Todo |
| Enter starter position (50% allocation) | cloud-etfs | HIGH | Todo |
| Deep dive SNOW - data cloud, OpenAI partnership | web-cloud | HIGH | Todo |
| Deep dive CRSP - Casgevy sales, pipeline | biotech | HIGH | Todo |
| Validate ANET vs InfiniBand (your domain knowledge) | nvda-ecosystem | MEDIUM | Todo |
| Research MRVL (custom ASICs + Celestial AI) | nvda-ecosystem | MEDIUM | Todo |
| Watch INTC packaging news | nvda-ecosystem | MEDIUM | Todo |
| Deep dive CEG - nuclear thesis intact? | ai-scan | MEDIUM | Todo |
| Deep dive SHOP - e-commerce thesis, AI merchant tools | retail | MEDIUM | Todo |
| Research LULU - men's expansion, international | retail | MEDIUM | Todo |
| Monitor Texas screwworm traps - weekly USDA updates | ideas/macro | MEDIUM | Todo |
| Review PLTR thesis - $4.7B insider selling concerning? | insider-scan | MEDIUM | Todo |
| Research SOFI - fintech thesis | ideas | MEDIUM | Todo |
| Research TEM - thesis validation | ideas | MEDIUM | Todo |
| Deep dive ALNY - why -15% pullback? | biotech-scan | LOW | Todo |
| Research JEPQ for income allocation | etf-universe | LOW | Todo |
| Research cattle disease thesis - ZTS, TSN | ideas/macro | LOW | Done |
Recent Moves (Decisions Made)
| Date | Stock | Action | Price | Rationale | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03 | BE | BUY 7 | $164.96 | Data center power thesis | STOP-LOSS HIT (see Exit Alerts) |
| 02/03 | WMT | BUY 10 | $128.08 | Consumer strength, AI logistics | ⏳ Tracking |
| 01/26 | NET | BUY 14 | $191.11 | Edge computing thesis, add to core | ⏳ Tracking (-14.7%) |
| 01/09 | BTC | BUY 25 | $40.05 | Sovereign adoption thesis | ⏳ Tracking |
| 01/07 | ARKX | BUY 19 | $32.40 | Space thesis | ⏳ Tracking |
Exit Alerts (For Holdings)
| Stock | Alert | Type | Entry | Current | P&L | Set Date | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BE | $140 | Stop-loss (-15%) | $164.96 | $136.60 | -17.2% | 2026-02-03 | HIT - SELL |
| BE | $215 | Profit target (+30%) | $164.96 | $136.60 | -17.2% | 2026-02-03 | CANCELLED (stop hit) |
| WMT | $109 | Stop-loss (-15%) | $128.08 | - | - | 2026-02-03 | ⏳ Active |
| WMT | $166 | Profit target (+30%) | $128.08 | - | - | 2026-02-03 | ⏳ Active |
| NET | $162 | Stop-loss (-15%) | $191.11 | $163.05 | -14.7% | 2026-01-26 | ⚠️ APPROACHING |
| NET | $248 | Profit target (+30%) | $191.11 | $163.05 | -14.7% | 2026-01-26 | ⏳ Active |
| BTC | $34 | Stop-loss (-15%) | $40.05 | - | - | 2026-01-09 | ⏳ Active |
| BTC | $52 | Profit target (+30%) | $40.05 | - | - | 2026-01-09 | ⏳ Active |
| ARKX | $28 | Stop-loss (-15%) | $32.40 | - | - | 2026-01-07 | ⏳ Active |
| ARKX | $42 | Profit target (+30%) | $32.40 | - | - | 2026-01-07 | ⏳ Active |
Claude-Trader Paper Portfolio Exit Alerts
| Stock | Alert | Type | Entry | Current | P&L | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHOP | $112.35 | Stop-loss (-15%) | $132.18 | $114.02 | -13.7% | ⚠️ APPROACHING STOP |
| CRSP | $43.61 | Stop-loss (-15%) | $51.31 | $45.88 | -10.6% | ⚠️ APPROACHING STOP |
| SNOW | $145.00 | Stop-loss (-15%) | $170.57 | $156.71 | -8.1% | ⚠️ APPROACHING STOP |
| IGV | $72.27 | Stop-loss (-15%) | $85.02 | $79.67 | -6.3% | ⏳ Active |
| WCLD | $23.70 | Stop-loss (-15%) | $27.88 | $26.96 | -3.3% | ⏳ Active |
| CRM | $164.69 | Stop-loss (-15%) | $193.75 | $189.97 | -1.9% | ⏳ Active |
| LULU | $150.74 | Stop-loss (-15%) | $177.34 | $170.09 | -4.1% | ⏳ Active |
| MSFT | $331.50 | Stop-loss (-15%) | $390.00 | $393.67 | +0.9% | ⏳ Active |
Archive (Past Alerts & Lessons)
Triggered Alerts
| Date Set | Date Triggered | Stock | Alert | Entry | Outcome | Lesson |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | 2026-02-01 | MU | $350 | Didn't buy | Bounced to $438 | MISSED - hesitated |
| 2026-02-03 | 2026-02-05 | MSFT | $400 | $393.67 | IN ZONE NOW | Broke below entry zone - decide now |
| 2026-02-03 | 2026-02-05 | BE | $140 stop | $164.96 entry | STOP HIT at $136.60 | -17.2% loss, power thesis failed short-term |
Killed Alerts (No Longer Relevant)
| Date Set | Date Killed | Stock | Alert | Why Killed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | - | VRT | $120 | Thesis caution - liquid cooling still experimental |
Post-Mortems (Simple)
| Date | Decision | What Happened | Right/Wrong | Lesson |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | Waited on MU | Thesis right, timing wrong | Wrong | Set alerts AND follow through |
| 2026-02-03 | AMD "lmao" | ROCm shitshow confirmed | Right | Trust domain knowledge |
| 2026-02-03 | BE buy at $164.96 | Dropped to $136.60, stop hit at $140 | Wrong | -17.2% loss in 2 days, power thesis too early |
Detailed Post-Mortems
2026-01-15: MU Miss
The Setup:
- HBM thesis was correct - memory bottleneck for NVDA
- Set mental alert at $300-350 entry zone
- Price dropped to $320 range
What I Did:
- Hesitated, waited for "better" entry
- Never bought
What Happened:
- MU bounced to $438 (+40%)
- Missed the entire move
Why I Was Wrong:
- Thesis was right, but I didn't follow my own entry zone
- Waiting for perfection when "good enough" was there
Corrective Action:
- When price hits entry zone AND thesis intact → BUY starter position
- Don't wait for perfection
- Set actual alerts, not mental notes
2026-02-05: BE Stop-Loss Hit
The Setup:
- Bought BE at $164.96 on 02/03 (data center power thesis)
- Set stop-loss at $140 (-15%)
What Happened:
- BE dropped to $136.60, breaking through $140 stop
- -17.2% drawdown in just 2 days
Action Required:
- Execute sell if not already done
- Review: was the power thesis wrong, or just bad timing in a broader selloff?
- Note: insider selling -$323.6M at BE per 02/05 scan
Last Aggregated
Date: 2026-02-05 (refreshed with validated close prices)
Key changes from 2026-02-04:
- SaaS/Cloud selloff DEEPENING: SNOW -33%, NOW -30%, CRM -26%, PLTR -28% 30D
- BE STOP-LOSS HIT at $140 (now $136.60, -17.2%)
- MSFT BROKE BELOW $400 - now in entry zone at $393.67 (RSI 29)
- NEW entries: ISRG (RSI 8!), TMO (RSI 19), PANW (RSI 16), ASAN (GOLDEN signal)
- Memory sector OVERBOUGHT (MU, STX, WDC RSI 72-77) - do not chase
- Telecoms OVERBOUGHT (defensive rotation) - late to enter
- NET holding at -14.7%, approaching its $162 stop-loss
Sources
- 2026-02-05-insider-scan
- 2026-02-04-cloud-etfs
- 2026-02-04-market-pulse
- 2026-02-04-ai-scan
- 2026-02-04-biotech-scan
- 2026-02-03-cloud-etfs
- 2026-02-03-nvda-ecosystem
- 2026-02-03-ai-infrastructure
- 2026-02-03-market-pulse
- 2026-02-04-web-cloud
- 2026-02-04-cloud-saas
- 2026-02-04-biotech
- 2026-02-04-consumer
- 2026-02-04-energy
- 2026-02-04-mag7
- 2026-02-04-retail
- 2026-02-04-ai-infra
- 2026-02-05-AMZN
- 2026-02-05-japan-crisis-tech-rotation
- paper/claude-trader/MOVES.md
- 30d (price validation)
- Fear gauge VIXY up +12.5% 30D (RSI 62), gold GLD up +6.9% 30D
Price truth: validated daily summaries (summaries).
Related
10 events DateTypeEvent
Feb 4 ArticleActions & Alerts Log Feb 3 ArticleActions & Alerts Log Feb 2 ScanAI Universe (Expanded) Mar 11 ScanInsider Activity Scan Feb 9 ArticleMarket Status Report Feb 5 ScanInsider Activity Scan Feb 5 ScanAI Scan Feb 11 ArticleMarket Status Report Feb 26 ScanBargain Bin Scan Mar 3 ArticleMarket Status Report No direct external sources are attached to this read.