Market Status Report

Article

Market Status Report

Regime: 🟡 LATE-CYCLE ROTATION DEEPENING — SaaS massacre (CRM RSI 18, NOW RSI 24, NFLX RSI 19). Defensives still parabolic (GILD RSI 90, JNJ RSI 87). VOO flat masks extreme divergence.


Market Weather

Indicator Level Signal Note
VOO (S&P 500) $639.19 🟡 Flat RSI 64, holding above SMA
QQQ (Nasdaq) $615.26 🟡 Below SMA RSI 54, lagging
VIXY (VIX) $25.78 🟢 Low fear RSI 39
GLD (Gold) $464.41 🟢 ATH RSI 57, safe haven holding
TLT (Bonds) $87.44 🟡 Flat RSI 62, at SMA
EEM (EM) $60.55 🟢 Strong RSI 69, +2.7% above SMA

One-liner: SaaS/growth massacre deepening under a flat S&P surface. CRM RSI 18, NOW RSI 24, NFLX RSI 19 = maximum oversold quality names. Best buying opportunity in growth since 2022.


Sector Heat Map

Overbought (Don't Chase)

Sector Leaders RSI Range Signal
Pharma/Defensive GILD (90), JNJ (87), MCD (86) 86-90 🔴 Extremely stretched
Consumer Staples KO (80), CL (79), CLX (79) 79-80 🔴 Crowded trade
Networking CSCO (86) 86 🔴 Post-earnings extreme
Energy XLE (79) 79 🔴 Extended

Oversold (Opportunity Zone)

Sector Leaders RSI Range Signal
Cloud/SaaS CRM (18), NOW (24), INTU (28) 18-32 🟢 MAXIMUM OVERSOLD
Streaming NFLX (19) 19 🟢 Extreme
Life Sciences TMO (21), IDXX (18) 18-21 🟢 Deep value
Biotech/Gene LEGN (8), ISRG (9) 8-9 🟢 Capitulation
E-Commerce SHOP (28), AMZN (32) 28-32 🟢 Quality names
Mega-Cap Tech MSFT (37) 37 🟢 Below SMA
Innovation ARKK (24), IBIT (29) 24-29 🟡 Speculative

Neutral

Sector Status
Semiconductors Mixed (NVDA RSI 62, AMD RSI 44)
AI Infrastructure CEG RSI 35 (entry), EQIX RSI 78 (extended)
Real Estate VNQ RSI 59, stable

Top 5 Opportunities

Rank Ticker Price RSI Entry Zone Conviction Why
1 CRM $190 18 $185-195 🟢 Highest SaaS king at extreme. 16% below SMA.
2 NOW $103 24 $98-105 🟢 High IT workflow monopoly. 19% below SMA.
3 TMO $544 21 $530-545 🟢 High Life sciences giant. Extreme RSI.
4 AMZN $210 32 $205-215 🟢 High AWS/cloud, in entry zone.
5 INTU $438 28 $430-445 🟢 High Tax season catalyst approaching.

Speculative: ISRG $476 (RSI 9) — surgical robotics monopoly at historic extreme. LEGN $17 (RSI 8) — most oversold in universe.


Top Risks

Approaching Stop-Losses

Stock Entry Stop Current Distance Status
NET $191 $162 $173 6.9% above 🟡 Closest to stop
BE $165 $140 $153 9.4% above 🟡 Watch

Overbought Positions (Trim Candidates)

Stock RSI Action
GILD 90 Trim if holding
JNJ 87 Don't add
MCD 86 Don't chase
CSCO 86 Don't chase
AAPL 80 Hold, don't add

Actions Log

New Entry Zones (vs 02/09)

Ticker RSI Entry Zone New?
CRM 18 $185-195 PROMOTED — now highest conviction
NOW 24 $98-105 PROMOTED — to high conviction
NFLX 19 $78-82 NEW — streaming leader crashed
ADBE 30 $260-272 NEW — creative cloud hit oversold
ISRG 9 $460-480 NEW — promoted from deep dive

Removed/Changed Entry Zones

  • CRWD: RSI improved to 39, moved out of priority
  • LULU: RSI 39, below conviction threshold

Trades Executed Today

Strategy Trade Ticker Price Shares Value Rationale
claude-trader BUY TMO $544.19 3 $1,633 RSI 21, life sciences extreme
claude-trader BUY NFLX $80.78 24 $1,939 RSI 19, streaming leader
claude-momentum BUY CRM $189.97 10 $1,900 RSI 18, SaaS king bounce play
yolo BUY ARKK $74.36 67 $4,982 RSI 24, innovation basket YOLO
bench-signals ADD NFLX, ARKK various $2,000 2 new mechanical signals

Stop-Loss Events

  • No stops triggered across any strategy.

Portfolio Pulse

Leaderboard

Rank Strategy Return Value Cash Positions Trend
1 claude-trader +1.91% $101,906 $76,673 13 📈 Improving
2 bench-signals +0.8% ~$33,250 33 signals 📈 Steady
3 yolo +0.08% $100,078 $85,009 3 ➡️ Flat
4 claude-momentum -0.28% $99,719 $89,482 4 📈 Improving

Overall: 3 of 4 positive or near flat. Best: claude-trader +1.91%. Worst: claude-momentum -0.28% (CRSP stop loss drag).

claude-trader Positions (13) — $101,906 (+1.91%)

Stock Shares Entry Current P&L % Stop
MSFT 5 $390.00 $412.95 +$115 +5.9% $332
SNOW 12 $170.57 $173.87 +$40 +1.9% $145
WCLD 70 $27.88 $28.19 +$22 +1.1% $24
IGV 25 $85.02 $85.19 +$4 +0.2% $72
TMO 3 $544.19 $544.19 $0 0% $463
NFLX 24 $80.78 $80.78 $0 0% $69
ISRG 4 $476.32 $476.32 $0 0% $405
ADBE 7 $269.39 $269.39 $0 0% $229
AMZN 9 $210.10 $210.10 $0 0% $179
NOW 19 $102.63 $102.63 $0 0% $87
LULU 11 $177.34 $174.57 -$30 -1.6% $151
CRM 10 $193.75 $189.97 -$38 -2.0% $165
CRSP 40 $51.31 $48.88 -$97 -4.7% $44

claude-momentum Positions (4) — $99,719 (-0.28%)

Stock Shares Entry Current P&L % Stop
SNOW 19 $156.71 $173.87 +$326 +10.9% $141
IGV 35 $82.77 $85.19 +$85 +2.9% $74
CRM 10 $189.97 $189.97 $0 0% $171
HIMS 110 $18.66 $18.66 $0 0% $17

yolo Positions (3) — $100,078 (+0.08%)

Stock Shares Entry Current P&L % Stop
TQQQ 100 $48.78 $51.99 +$321 +6.6% $39
ARKK 67 $74.36 $74.36 $0 0% $59
CRSP 100 $51.31 $48.88 -$243 -4.7% $41

bench-signals Top Movers (of 33 signals)

Top Winners P&L Top Losers P&L
AVGO +13.0% WDAY -12.2%
TAC +12.1% SHOP -9.9%
AS +9.3% AMZN -8.7%
MDB +6.8% NOW -5.9%
MSFT +5.9% CRSP -4.7%

Stop-Loss Proximity

  • No positions within 5% of stop across any strategy.
  • NET (real holding): 6.9% above $162 stop — closest watch.

Key Numbers

Metric Value Context
Most Oversold LEGN RSI 8 Gene therapy, extreme
2nd Most Oversold ISRG RSI 9 Surgical robotics monopoly
Most Overbought GILD RSI 90 Defensive rotation extreme
Gold $464 ATH Safe haven bid holding
Entry Zones Active 17 Quality names dominate
Exit Alerts Active 17 Defensives overbought
Deep Dives Current 4 AMZN, ISRG, NET, PLTR
Ideas Tracked 3 ARK, pullback buys, cattle disease
Paper Signals 33 +2 new today

What Changed (02/11 vs 02/09)

  • SaaS massacre deepened: CRM RSI 18 (was oversold), NOW RSI 24, NFLX RSI 19 (new extreme). Cloud sector is the most oversold in the market.
  • Defensives still parabolic: JNJ RSI 87, GILD RSI 90, MCD RSI 86 — no reversal yet.
  • New paper trades: claude-trader bought TMO + NFLX. Momentum bought CRM. YOLO bought ARKK.
  • 5 new entry zones promoted or added: CRM, NOW, NFLX, ADBE, ISRG.
  • No stop-losses triggered across any strategy or real holdings.
  • claude-trader improved from +0.89% to +1.91% — MSFT +5.9% leading.
  • 33 bench-signals now tracked, overall +0.8%. AVGO +13% best performer.

Generated after full scan Phase 1-6. See: scans/ for detail, actions/ for trades, deep-dives/ for research.

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/trend figures): desk pre-computed watchlist summaries as of the artifact date — *.
9 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.