Market Status Report

Article

Market Status Report

Regime: 🔴 GROWTH CAPITULATION — TMO RSI 5, ISRG RSI 9, HIMS RSI 10, INTU RSI 11, DPZ RSI 13, AMZN RSI 17. Quality names at historic extremes. VOO below SMA. BE stop triggered.


Market Weather

Indicator Level Signal Note
VOO (S&P 500) $593.67 🔴 Below SMA RSI 40, broke below SMA 20
QQQ (Nasdaq) $526.50 🔴 Below SMA RSI 37, growth rotation out
VIXY (VIX) $29.92 🟡 Rising fear RSI 62, up from 39
GLD (Gold) $469.63 🟢 ATH RSI 64, safe haven demand
TLT (Bonds) $91.83 🟡 Holding RSI 57
EEM (EM) $61.78 🟢 Outperforming RSI 64

One-liner: Growth capitulation deepened. TMO RSI 5 and ISRG RSI 9 are the most extreme oversold quality names in the market. VOO broke below SMA for the first time in this selloff. Maximum oversold opportunity across SaaS, life sciences, and mega-cap tech.


Sector Heat Map

Overbought (Don't Chase)

Sector Leaders RSI Range Signal
Pharma/Defensive JNJ (89), CL (89) 89 🔴 Extremely stretched
Networking CSCO (86) 86 🔴 Extended
Consumer Staples CLX (80), WMT (78), KO (75), PG (75) 75-80 🔴 Crowded
Data Centers EQIX (78), DLR (75) 75-78 ⚠️ Extended
Energy XLE (79) 79 ⚠️ Extended

Oversold (Opportunity Zone)

Sector Leaders RSI Range Signal
Life Sciences TMO (5), ISRG (9) 5-9 🟢 EXTREME CAPITULATION
Consumer Health HIMS (10), DPZ (13) 10-13 🟢 Extreme
Cloud/SaaS INTU (11), CRM (18), WDAY (20), NOW (24) 11-24 🟢 MAXIMUM OVERSOLD
Mega-Cap Tech AMZN (17), GOOGL (23), MSFT (25) 17-25 🟢 Capitulation
Biotech LEGN (8), ALNY (25) 8-25 🟢 Deep value
Streaming NFLX (19) 19 🟢 Extreme
Innovation ARKK (24) 24 🟡 Speculative

Neutral

Sector Status
Semiconductors Mixed — NVDA RSI 55 resilient, AMD RSI 31 lagging
AI Infrastructure CEG RSI 52 (best value), CSCO RSI 86 (overextended)

Top 5 Opportunities

Rank Ticker Price RSI Entry Zone Conviction Why
1 INTU $399 11 $390-405 🟢 Highest Tax monopoly, RSI 11, tax season catalyst. New deep dive.
2 AMZN $199 17 $195-205 🟢 Highest AWS/cloud mega-cap. RSI worsened from 32 to 17. Extreme.
3 TMO $505 5 $490-510 🟢 Highest Most oversold in universe. Life sciences monopoly.
4 CRM $190 18 $185-195 🟢 High SaaS king, RSI still at extreme. New deep dive.
5 GOOGL $306 23 $300-310 🟢 High Mega-cap search/cloud/AI. No fundamental deterioration.

Speculative: ASAN $9.91 (RSI 19) — GOLDEN insider signal +$8.3M buying. LEGN $17.20 (RSI 8) — most oversold biotech.


Top Risks

Stop-Losses

Stock Entry Stop Current Distance Status
BE $164.96 $140.00 $139.74 -0.2% BELOW 🔴 TRIGGERED
TMO (trader) $544.19 $462.56 $504.82 9.1% above 🟡 Watch
AMZN (trader) $210.10 $178.59 $198.79 11.3% above 🟡 Watch

Overbought Positions (Trim Candidates)

Stock RSI Action
JNJ 89 Trim if holding
CL 89 Don't add
CSCO 86 Don't chase
CLX 80 Extended
WMT 78 Hold, don't add

Actions Log

New Entry Zones (vs 02/11)

Ticker RSI Entry Zone New?
INTU 11 $390-405 PROMOTED — now highest conviction (was RSI 28)
TMO 5 $490-510 PROMOTED — RSI dropped from 21 to 5
GOOGL 23 $300-310 NEW — mega-cap now deeply oversold
DPZ 13 $370-380 NEW — consumer capitulation
ASAN 19 $9-10 NEW — golden insider buying signal

Worsened Since 02/11

  • AMZN: RSI 32 → 17 (extreme capitulation)
  • HIMS: RSI 19 → 10 (telehealth collapse)
  • MSFT: RSI 37 → 25 (now deeply oversold)

Trades Executed Today

Strategy Trade Ticker Price Shares Value Rationale
claude-trader BUY INTU $399.40 5 $1,997 RSI 11, tax monopoly extreme
claude-trader BUY GOOGL $305.72 6 $1,834 RSI 23, mega-cap deep oversold
claude-momentum SELL HIMS $16.30 110 $1,793 STOP-LOSS HIT -12.6%
claude-momentum BUY INTU $399.40 5 $1,997 RSI 11 extreme bounce play
claude-momentum BUY AMZN $198.79 10 $1,988 RSI 17 capitulation bounce
yolo BUY HIMS $16.30 200 $3,260 RSI 10 extreme YOLO bounce bet
bench-signals ADD DPZ, GOOGL, ZS, OKTA various $4,000 4 new mechanical signals

Stop-Loss Events

  • claude-momentum: HIMS sold at $16.30 (entry $18.66, -12.6%). 2nd stop hit in 12 days.
  • Real portfolio: BE triggered at $139.74 vs $140 stop. Awaiting user action.

Portfolio Pulse

Leaderboard

Rank Strategy Return Value Cash Positions Trend
1 claude-trader +1.86% $101,856 $72,842 15 📉 Slight dip (was +1.91%)
2 yolo +0.14% $100,145 $81,749 4 📈 Improving (was +0.08%)
3 bench-signals -0.3% ~$36,875 37 signals 📉 Declined (was +0.8%)
4 claude-momentum -0.47% $99,535 $87,290 5 📉 Declined (was -0.28%)

Overall: 2 of 4 positive. Claude-trader still best at +1.86%. Bench-signals turned negative as growth selloff worsened. Momentum hurt by 2nd stop-loss (HIMS).

claude-trader Positions (15) — $101,856 (+1.86%)

Stock Shares Entry Current P&L % Stop
SNOW 12 $170.57 $182.29 +$141 +6.9% $145
CRSP 40 $51.31 $53.07 +$70 +3.4% $44
MSFT 5 $390.00 $401.32 +$57 +2.9% $332
WCLD 70 $27.88 $28.19 +$22 +1.1% $24
INTU 5 $399.40 $399.40 $0 0% $339
NFLX 24 $80.78 $80.78 $0 0% $69
NOW 19 $102.63 $102.63 $0 0% $87
ISRG 4 $476.32 $476.32 $0 0% $405
ADBE 7 $269.39 $269.39 $0 0% $229
GOOGL 6 $305.72 $305.72 $0 0% $260
LULU 11 $177.34 $176.42 -$10 -0.5% $151
CRM 10 $193.75 $189.97 -$38 -2.0% $165
IGV 25 $85.02 $82.77 -$56 -2.6% $72
AMZN 9 $210.10 $198.79 -$102 -5.4% $179
TMO 3 $544.19 $504.82 -$118 -7.2% $463

claude-momentum Positions (5) — $99,535 (-0.47%)

Stock Shares Entry Current P&L % Stop
SNOW 19 $156.71 $182.29 +$486 +16.3% $141
IGV 35 $82.77 $82.77 $0 0% $74
INTU 5 $399.40 $399.40 $0 0% $359
AMZN 10 $198.79 $198.79 $0 0% $179
CRM 10 $189.97 $189.97 $0 0% $171

Closed today: HIMS 110 shares @ $16.30, -$259.60 (-12.6%). Total realized: -$585.40.

yolo Positions (4) — $100,145 (+0.14%)

Stock Shares Entry Current P&L % Stop
CRSP 100 $51.31 $53.07 +$176 +3.4% $41
ARKK 67 $74.36 $74.36 $0 0% $59
TQQQ 100 $48.78 $48.47 -$31 -0.6% $39
HIMS 200 $16.30 $16.30 $0 0% $13

bench-signals Top Movers (of 37 signals)

Top Winners P&L Top Losers P&L
TAC +13.2% WDAY -16.7%
AS +10.6% SHOP -14.6%
MDB +9.6% AMZN -13.6%
SNOW +7.2% HIMS -12.6%
CEG +6.4% INTU (old) -7.6%

Stop-Loss Proximity

  • TMO (claude-trader): 9.1% above $463 stop — closest active watch
  • AMZN (claude-trader): 11.3% above $179 stop — monitoring
  • BE (real holding): TRIGGERED at $139.74 vs $140 stop

Key Numbers

Metric Value Context
Most Oversold TMO RSI 5 Life sciences, most extreme
2nd Most Oversold LEGN RSI 8 Gene therapy
3rd Most Oversold ISRG RSI 9 Surgical robotics
Most Overbought JNJ RSI 89 Defensive rotation extreme
Gold $470 ATH Safe haven bid strong
Entry Zones Active 20 Broadened from 17
Exit Alerts Active 15 Defensives overbought
Deep Dives Current 9 6 refreshed + 3 new (TMO, INTU, CRM)
Ideas Tracked 3 ARK, pullback buys, cattle disease
Paper Signals 37 +4 new today

What Changed (02/16 vs 02/11)

  • Growth capitulation broadened dramatically: AMZN RSI 32→17, GOOGL RSI 53→23, MSFT RSI 37→25, INTU RSI 28→11. Quality mega-caps now at extreme oversold levels not seen since 2022.
  • Life sciences collapsed: TMO RSI 21→5, ISRG held at RSI 9. TMO now most oversold stock in entire universe.
  • VOO broke below SMA for the first time in this selloff (RSI 64→40). QQQ RSI 54→37. Market weakening is no longer just a rotation — it's broadening.
  • VIXY spiked: RSI 39→62. Fear rising as selloff hits mega-caps.
  • BE stop-loss triggered in real portfolio ($139.74 vs $140 stop). First real stop hit.
  • claude-momentum hit 2nd stop: HIMS -12.6%, rotated into INTU + AMZN. Two stops in 12 days.
  • 3 new deep dives created: TMO (RSI 5), INTU (RSI 11), CRM (RSI 18).
  • ASAN golden insider signal: +$8.3M buying at RSI 19. Most bullish insider activity.
  • bench-signals turned negative (-0.3%, was +0.8%). Growth losers overwhelming winners.
  • 20 entry zones active (was 17). Most in scan history. Opportunity is extreme.

Generated after full scan Phase 1-6. See: scans/ for detail, actions/ for trades, deep-dives/ for research.

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/trend figures): desk pre-computed watchlist summaries as of the artifact date — *.
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.