Market Status Report

Article

Market Status Report

Regime: STABILIZING — VOO RSI 58 (at SMA), QQQ RSI 57 (near SMA). VIXY RSI 45 (cooling from 62, approaching all-clear <40). 18 entry zones active (5 extreme, 8 oversold, 5 approaching). ASAN sole GOLDEN signal (3rd scan). WDAY RSI 29 last SaaS laggard. SaaS bounce closed most Feb-22 entries. Gold breakout continues.


Market Weather

Indicator Level RSI vs SMA Signal Note
VOO (S&P 500) $632.48 58 At SMA ($632.73) Neutral-bullish Recovered from RSI 40 low. Stable at SMA.
QQQ (Nasdaq) $607.63 57 -0.4% below SMA ($610.04) Neutral Improved from RSI 42. Nearly reclaimed SMA.
VIXY (VIX) $27.25 45 +0.7% above SMA ($27.05) Fear cooling Down from RSI 62 on 02/22. Approaching all-clear (<40).
GLD (Gold) $476.01 64 +3.2% above SMA ($461.23) Breakout Safe-haven bid extending. +$7.39 from 02/22 ($468.62).
TLT (Bonds) $90.14 78 +1.8% above SMA ($88.51) Overbought Bond rally overbought — defensive positioning crowded.
EEM (EM) $60.55 69 +2.7% above SMA ($58.96) Outperforming EM still leading. Data stale (02/09).

One-liner: Market stabilizing — VOO at SMA (RSI 58), VIXY cooling to RSI 45 (down from 62). Fear subsiding but not yet all-clear (<40). Gold breakout extending (+3.2% above SMA). TLT overbought at RSI 78 = defensive crowding. Closer to risk-on than any point since Feb selloff began.


Sector Heat Map

Overbought (Don't Chase)

Sector Leaders RSI Range Signal
Dividend ETFs SCHD (90), VYM (87) 87-90 EXTREME — institutions hiding in safety
Data Center Power CEG (82), EQIX (87), GEV (77) 77-87 Nuclear/power priced in, pullback risk
Pharma/Defensive JNJ (89), CL (89) 89 Still extremely stretched
Consumer Staples CLX (80), WMT (78), KO (75), PG (75) 75-80 Crowded defensive rotation
Bonds TLT (78) 78 Overbought, defensive bid crowded
Biotech (select) MRNA (87), PHGE (77), NTLA (73) 73-87 Sell/trim into strength

Oversold (Opportunity Zone)

Sector Leaders RSI Range Signal
Consumer Health HIMS (9), LEGN (8) 8-9 EXTREME CAPITULATION — insider selling, avoid
Cloud/SaaS Laggard WDAY (29) 29 Last SaaS name still oversold. CRM/NOW bounced to 57.
Enterprise Software ORCL (15), ASAN (19) 15-19 Golden signal (ASAN) + Oracle Cloud extreme
Life Sciences ISRG (9), IQV (17) 9-17 Deep value but insider selling on ISRG
Fintech SOFI (17), AFRM (24) 17-24 Oversold but insider selling flags
Mega-Cap Tech AMZN (34), INTU (35), GOOGL (29) 29-35 Improving from extreme lows

Neutral / Recovering

Sector Status
Cloud ETFs WCLD RSI 53, IGV RSI 54 (bounced from 32-33). Relief rally, not confirmed.
SaaS Recovery CRM RSI 57, NOW RSI 57 (bounced from 27, 24). Window closed for new entries.
Semiconductors NVDA RSI 63, AMD RSI 57 — recovered to neutral
Big Tech MSFT RSI 50, VOO at SMA — stabilized

Top 5 Opportunities

Rank Ticker Price RSI Entry Zone Conviction Why
1 ASAN $9.91 19 $9-$10 GOLDEN Sole golden signal 3rd consecutive scan: RSI 19 + $8.3M insider BUYING at capitulation. Highest conviction.
2 WDAY $138.57 29 $134-$142 Strong Buy Last SaaS laggard still oversold. CRM bounced 27->57, NOW 24->57 in 4 days. Enterprise HR moat. -27% 30D.
3 ORCL $152.95 15 $148-$158 Strong Buy Oracle Cloud hyper-scaling. -20% 30D. Data stale 02/03 — verify before acting.
4 IQV $162.31 17 $155-$165 Research NEW. CRO/analytics leader. -32% 30D. Need thesis check on pharma R&D spending cuts.
5 ADBE $269.39 30 $263-$272 Accumulate Creative cloud monopoly. Firefly AI. Right at RSI 30 threshold. -20% 30D.

Speculative: HIMS $15.23 (RSI 9, -50% 30D) -- extreme but insiders selling -$186.5M, do NOT buy. ISRG $476.32 (RSI 9) -- surgical robotics monopoly but insiders selling -$282M at extreme low.


Top Risks

Stop-Loss Proximity

Stock Strategy Entry Stop Current Distance Status
IGV claude-momentum $82.77 $74.49 (-10%) $81.83 9.9% above MONITOR -- closest to trigger
HIMS yolo $16.30 $13.04 (-20%) $15.23 16.8% above WATCH -- -6.6% and deteriorating
TMO claude-trader $544.19 $462.56 (-15%) $515.03 11.3% above Watch
IGV claude-trader $85.02 $72.27 (-15%) $81.83 13.2% above Watch

Overbought Trim Candidates

Stock RSI Action
MRNA 87 Trim -- extreme overbought on swan watch position
PHGE 77 Sell -- +176% 30D parabolic, sell into strength
NTLA 73 Watch for fade -- surging without clear catalyst
SCHD/VYM 87-90 Do NOT chase -- extreme overbought dividend ETFs
CEG 82 Don't add -- nuclear thesis priced in, wait for pullback

Real Portfolio Alerts

Stock Alert Status
BE $140 stop (-15%) $163.68 -- recovered from scare, above stop
WMT $109 stop (-15%) $124.73 -- -2.6% from entry, above stop
NET $151 stop (-15%) $173.33 -- -2.8% from entry, -10% 7D pullback. MONITOR
DOCN Sudden crash $53.82 -- -21% 7D crash. Check earnings/catalyst. NEW
MRNA RSI 87 Trim into strength. Swan watch position.
PHGE RSI 77 Sell into strength. +176% 30D parabolic.

Actions Log

New Entry Zones (vs 02/22)

Ticker RSI Entry Zone Change
IQV 17 $155-$165 NEW -- CRO/analytics leader, -32% 30D
AFRM 24 $58-$64 NEW -- BNPL leader, -23% 30D
UNH 29 <$298 NEW -- Largest health insurer, -12.5% 30D
GIS 30 $43-$46 NEW -- Only staple NOT overbought, contrarian
FSLR 35 $190-$208 NEW -- Domestic solar, IRA/tariff protected
LOW 41 $258-$268 NEW -- Home improvement, RSI 66->41 collapse

Improved Since 02/22

  • VOO: RSI 48 to 58 (reclaimed SMA)
  • QQQ: RSI 42 to 57 (nearly at SMA)
  • VIXY: RSI 62 to 45 (fear cooling significantly)
  • CRM: RSI 27 to 57, signal flipped from -4.4% to +2.3% (SaaS bounce validated)
  • NOW: RSI 24 to 57 (SaaS bounce)
  • INTU: RSI 18 to 35, signal improved from -12.0% to -9.9%
  • AMZN: RSI 25 to 34 (partial recovery)
  • TMO: RSI 19 to 32 (continuing recovery from RSI 5 extreme)

Worsened Since 02/22

  • HIMS: RSI 4 to 9 (technically higher RSI but price -$0.40, now -6.6% in yolo)
  • AMZN: signal deepened -8.6% to -10.1% (bench-signals)
  • Momentum portfolio: +1.25% to -0.60% (SNOW/AMZN pullback offset CRM recovery)

Trades Executed Today (02/26)

Strategy Trade Ticker Price Shares Value Rationale
claude-trader BUY WDAY $138.57 21 $2,910 Last SaaS laggard, RSI 29, -27% 30D
claude-momentum BUY WDAY $138.57 36 $4,989 RSI 29, enterprise HR moat, CRM bounced 27->57
yolo BUY ASAN $9.91 1009 $9,999 Golden signal, RSI 19, highest conviction YOLO
yolo BUY WDAY $138.57 72 $9,977 Last SaaS bargain, RSI 29, -27% 30D
bench-signals ADD IQV, AFRM, UNH, WDAY various -- $4,000 4 new signals (1 closed: WDAY #5 -20.1% stop)

Portfolio Pulse

Leaderboard

Rank Strategy Return Value Cash Positions Trend
1 claude-trader +2.27% $102,266 $64,059 18 Up (was +1.77%)
2 yolo +0.69% $100,692 $54,125 7 Up (was +0.21%)
3 bench-signals -0.1% ~$44,956 -- 45 signals Improved (was -0.5%)
4 claude-momentum -0.60% $99,400 $73,372 8 Down (was +1.25%)

Overall: 2 of 4 positive (was 3 of 4). Claude-trader extended lead to +2.27% (best ever). Momentum dipped from +1.25% to -0.60% on SNOW/AMZN pullback. YOLO improved to +0.69% on CRSP surge (+16.2%). Bench-signals approaching breakeven (-0.1%). All strategies added WDAY today.

claude-trader Positions (18) -- $102,266 (+2.27%)

Stock Shares Entry Current P&L % Status
CRSP 40 $51.31 $59.60 +$332 +16.2% Leader
NOW 19 $102.63 $107.57 +$94 +4.8%
LULU 11 $177.34 $185.43 +$89 +4.6%
MSFT 5 $390.00 $401.58 +$58 +3.0%
CRM 10 $193.75 $198.15 +$44 +2.3% SaaS bounce
GOOGL 6 $305.72 $306.33 +$4 +0.2%
SNOW 12 $170.57 $169.70 -$10 -0.5%
INTU 10 $389.98 $389.33 -$7 -0.2%
NFLX 24 $80.78 $80.78 $0 0.0% Stale
ISRG 4 $476.32 $476.32 $0 0.0% Stale
ADBE 7 $269.39 $269.39 $0 0.0% Stale
ASAN 200 $9.91 $9.91 $0 0.0% Stale
ORCL 13 $152.95 $152.95 $0 0.0% Stale
WDAY 21 $138.57 $138.57 $0 0.0% NEW
WCLD 70 $27.88 $27.45 -$30 -1.5%
AMZN 9 $210.10 $206.73 -$30 -1.6%
IGV 25 $85.02 $81.83 -$80 -3.8% Watch
TMO 3 $544.19 $515.03 -$87 -5.4% Watch

claude-momentum Positions (8) -- $99,400 (-0.60%)

Stock Shares Entry Current P&L % Status
SNOW 19 $156.71 $169.70 +$247 +8.3% Leader
CRM 10 $189.97 $198.15 +$82 +4.3% SaaS bounce
AMZN 10 $198.79 $206.73 +$79 +4.0%
ASAN 400 $9.91 $9.91 $0 0.0% Stale
ORCL 25 $152.95 $152.95 $0 0.0% Stale
WDAY 36 $138.57 $138.57 $0 0.0% NEW
INTU 8 $392.33 $389.33 -$24 -0.8%
IGV 35 $82.77 $81.83 -$33 -1.1% MONITOR (9.9% to stop)

yolo Positions (7) -- $100,692 (+0.69%)

Stock Shares Entry Current P&L % Status
CRSP 100 $51.31 $59.60 +$829 +16.2% Approaching +20% target
TQQQ 100 $48.78 $49.55 +$77 +1.6%
ARKK 67 $74.36 $74.36 $0 0.0% Stale
ORCL 50 $152.95 $152.95 $0 0.0% Stale
ASAN 1009 $9.91 $9.91 $0 0.0% NEW -- golden signal
WDAY 72 $138.57 $138.57 $0 0.0% NEW
HIMS 200 $16.30 $15.23 -$214 -6.6% WATCH -- deteriorating

bench-signals Top Movers (of 45 signals, 1 closed)

Top Winners P&L Top Losers P&L
CEG +17.9% HIMS -18.4%
CRSP +16.2% AMZN -10.1%
PYPL +11.0% INTU -9.9%
AS +7.3% SHOP -5.9%
TAC +6.0% AMD -5.9%

Closed: WDAY #5 -20.1% (stopped out, re-entered as #46 at 20% lower price)


Key Numbers

Metric Value Context
Most Oversold LEGN RSI 8 Biotech, thesis broken, avoid
2nd Most Oversold ISRG RSI 9 Surgical robotics, insider selling -$282M
3rd Most Oversold HIMS RSI 9 Consumer health, insider selling -$186.5M
Golden Signal ASAN RSI 19 3rd consecutive scan, $8.3M insider buying
Most Overbought SCHD RSI 90 Dividend ETF, institutions hiding
Gold $476.01 (+$7 vs 02/22) Breakout extending, +3.2% above SMA
VIXY RSI 45 (was 62) Fear cooling significantly
Entry Zones Active 18 Up from 14 (6 new, some bounced out)
Exit Alerts Active 9 Real portfolio alerts
Paper Signals 46 total (45 open, 1 closed) +4 new, first closure (WDAY -20.1%)
Strategies Positive 2 of 4 Momentum dipped negative, was 3 of 4
Best Strategy claude-trader +2.27% New high water mark
CRSP (best open position) +16.2% across all strategies Gene editing momentum, RSI 81
WDAY (most deployed today) $17,876 across 3 strategies Last SaaS laggard bet

What Changed (02/26 vs 02/22)

  • VIXY cooled significantly: RSI 62 to 45. Fear subsiding from February highs. Approaching all-clear threshold (<40). Market regime upgrading from "tentative recovery" to "stabilizing." VOO reclaimed SMA (RSI 48 to 58).
  • SaaS bounce validated and mostly closed. CRM went 27 to 57 (+$12.99), NOW 24 to 57 in 4 days. Most Feb-22 SaaS entry windows have shut. WDAY (RSI 29) is the sole remaining laggard -- deployed across all 3 active strategies ($17.9K total).
  • CRSP surged to +16.2% (RSI 81, overbought). Now best open position across all strategies, approaching YOLO's +20% profit target at $61.57. Gene editing thesis fully validated.
  • First bench-signals closure: WDAY #5 stopped out at -20.1%. Re-entered immediately as signal #46 at $138.57 (20% lower entry). Portfolio survived a -20% loss while staying near breakeven at -0.1% across 46 signals.
  • Momentum strategy reversed from +1.25% to -0.60%. SNOW pulled back $2.80, AMZN $3.38. CRM bounce (+$12.99) only partially offset. Still holds 73% cash.
  • 6 new entry zones identified: IQV (RSI 17, CRO leader), AFRM (RSI 24, BNPL), UNH (RSI 29, health insurer), GIS (RSI 30, contrarian staple), FSLR (RSI 35, solar), LOW (RSI 41, home improvement collapse).
  • New real portfolio alerts: DOCN crashed -21% 7D (was a compounder). MRNA RSI 87 = trim. NET -10% 7D pullback approaching stop monitoring zone.

Generated 2026-02-26. See: scans/ for detail, actions/ for trades, deep-dives/ for research. Previous status archived to _archive/2026-02-22-status.md.

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/trend figures): desk pre-computed watchlist summaries as of the artifact date — *.
9 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.