Regime: TENTATIVE RECOVERY — VOO RSI 48 (reclaimed SMA area), QQQ RSI 42 (below SMA). VIXY RSI 62 unchanged (fear persistent). 14 entry zones active. ASAN sole GOLDEN signal. ORCL RSI 15 freshest extreme. Gold breaking out.
Market Weather
| Indicator |
Level |
RSI |
Signal |
Note |
| VOO (S&P 500) |
$634.02 |
48 |
Neutral |
Recovered from RSI 40, near SMA |
| QQQ (Nasdaq) |
$608.81 |
42 |
Below SMA |
Lagging S&P, growth still weak |
| VIXY (VIX) |
$28.31 |
62 |
Elevated fear |
Unchanged from 02/16 — no all-clear |
| GLD (Gold) |
$468.62 |
58 |
Breaking out |
Safe-haven demand strong, +5.6% 30D |
| TLT (Bonds) |
$89.72 |
64 |
Risk-off bid |
Bonds still attracting flows |
| EEM (EM) |
$60.55 |
69 |
Outperforming |
+5.9% 30D, rotation away from US tech |
One-liner: Market attempting recovery (VOO RSI 40 to 48) but VIXY stuck at RSI 62 says fear hasn't resolved. Gold breaking out + bonds bid = risk appetite fragile. Tentative, not confirmed. No all-clear until VIXY < RSI 50.
Sector Heat Map
Overbought (Don't Chase)
| Sector |
Leaders |
RSI Range |
Signal |
| Pharma/Defensive |
JNJ (89), CL (89) |
89 |
Extremely stretched |
| Networking |
CSCO (86) |
86 |
Extended |
| Consumer Staples |
CLX (80), WMT (78), KO (75), PG (75) |
75-80 |
Crowded |
| Biotech (select) |
PHGE (77), TWST (75) |
75-77 |
Sell into strength |
| Energy |
XLE (79) |
79 |
Extended |
Oversold (Opportunity Zone)
| Sector |
Leaders |
RSI Range |
Signal |
| Consumer Health |
HIMS (4), PYPL (13) |
4-13 |
EXTREME CAPITULATION |
| Cloud/SaaS |
ORCL (15), INTU (18), ASAN (19), WDAY (21), NOW (24) |
15-24 |
MAXIMUM OVERSOLD |
| Life Sciences |
ISRG (9), TMO (19) |
9-19 |
Deep value (TMO bounced from RSI 5) |
| Mega-Cap Tech |
AMZN (25), META (26), MSFT (31), GOOGL (32) |
25-32 |
Recovery attempt |
| Cloud ETFs |
IGV (32), WCLD (33), CLOU (33) |
32-33 |
Capitulation washout |
| Cybersecurity |
ZS (23), OKTA (28) |
23-28 |
Oversold |
Neutral
| Sector |
Status |
| Semiconductors |
Mixed — NVDA RSI 49, AMD RSI 34 lagging |
| AI Infrastructure |
CEG RSI 52 recovering, CSCO RSI 86 overextended |
Top 5 Opportunities
| Rank |
Ticker |
Price |
RSI |
Entry Zone |
Conviction |
Why |
| 1 |
ASAN |
$9.91 |
19 |
$9-$10 |
GOLDEN |
Sole golden signal: RSI 19 + $8.3M insider BUYING. Best risk/reward in universe. |
| 2 |
ORCL |
$152.95 |
15 |
<$158 |
Highest |
NEW extreme. Oracle Cloud hyper-scaling. -20% 30D earnings shock discount. Freshest extreme entry. |
| 3 |
INTU |
$380.55 |
18 |
<$390 |
Highest |
Tax season tailwind imminent. TurboTax monopoly. Deepened from $399 to $381. |
| 4 |
NOW |
$102.63 |
24 |
<$108 |
High |
99% renewal rate. -31% 30D unchanged. IT workflow monopoly at extreme discount. |
| 5 |
AMZN |
$210.11 |
25 |
$205-$215 |
High |
AWS AI capex beneficiary. Bouncing off RSI 17 lows. |
Speculative: PYPL $40.29 (RSI 13, -30% 30D). HIMS $15.63 (RSI 4, most extreme but -$186.5M insider selling = avoid adding).
Top Risks
Stop-Loss Proximity
| Stock |
Strategy |
Entry |
Stop |
Current |
Distance |
Status |
| HIMS |
yolo |
$16.30 |
$13.04 (-20%) |
$15.63 |
19.9% above |
WATCH — closest to stop |
| TMO |
claude-trader |
$544.19 |
$462.56 (-15%) |
$510.93 |
10.4% above |
Watch |
| IGV |
claude-trader |
$85.02 |
$72.27 (-15%) |
$80.78 |
11.8% above |
Watch |
| INTU |
claude-momentum |
$392.33 |
$353.10 (-10%) |
$380.55 |
7.8% above |
MONITOR |
| CRM |
claude-momentum |
$189.97 |
$170.97 (-10%) |
$185.16 |
8.3% above |
Watch |
| IGV |
claude-momentum |
$82.77 |
$74.49 (-10%) |
$80.78 |
8.5% above |
Watch |
Overbought Trim Candidates
| Stock |
RSI |
Action |
| PHGE |
77 |
Sell into strength — +176% parabolic |
| TWST |
75 |
Hold but don't add |
| JNJ |
89 |
Trim if holding |
| CL |
89 |
Don't add |
| CSCO |
86 |
Don't chase |
Real Portfolio Alerts
| Stock |
Alert |
Status |
| BE |
$140 stop (-15%) |
$147.55, -10.6% from entry. Above stop — monitor |
| WMT |
$109 stop (-15%) |
$122.99, -4.0%. Above stop |
| PHGE |
RSI 77 parabolic |
Sell into strength |
Actions Log
New Entry Zones (vs 02/16)
| Ticker |
RSI |
Entry Zone |
Change |
| ORCL |
15 |
<$158 |
NEW — freshest extreme entry this cycle |
| PYPL |
13 |
<$42 |
NEW — Venmo/Braintree turnaround |
| SAP |
24 |
<$202 |
NEW — global ERP leader -18% 30D |
| META |
26 |
$640-$660 |
NEW — Llama AI optionality, only +7% 30D name |
| PINS |
21 |
$20-$23 |
NEW — social platform, insider selling concern |
Improved Since 02/16
- VOO: RSI 40 to 48 (recovered near SMA)
- QQQ: RSI 37 to 42 (partial recovery)
- AMZN: RSI 17 to 25 (bouncing, -8.6% to -8.6% signal)
- TMO: RSI 5 to 19 (bounced from extreme)
- SHOP: RSI 35 to 46 (bounced from -14.6% to -4.4% signal)
Worsened Since 02/16
- HIMS: RSI 10 to 4 (deepened, insiders fleeing)
- WDAY: -16.7% to -20.5% (worst signal, deepening)
- INTU: -7.6% to -12.0% (signal worsened)
Trades Executed Today
| Strategy |
Trade |
Ticker |
Price |
Shares |
Value |
Rationale |
| claude-trader |
BUY |
ASAN |
$9.91 |
200 |
$1,982 |
Golden signal: RSI 19 + insider buying |
| claude-trader |
BUY |
ORCL |
$152.95 |
13 |
$1,988 |
NEW RSI 15 extreme, Oracle Cloud |
| claude-trader |
ADD |
INTU |
$380.55 |
5 |
$1,903 |
DCA from $399 to $381, RSI 18 |
| claude-momentum |
BUY |
ASAN |
$9.91 |
400 |
$3,964 |
Golden signal, largest momentum bet |
| claude-momentum |
BUY |
ORCL |
$152.95 |
25 |
$3,824 |
RSI 15 extreme, freshest entry |
| claude-momentum |
ADD |
INTU |
$380.55 |
3 |
$1,142 |
DCA, RSI 18, tax catalyst |
| yolo |
BUY |
ORCL |
$152.95 |
50 |
$7,648 |
RSI 15 YOLO oversold, biggest bet |
| bench-signals |
ADD |
PYPL, ORCL, SAP, PINS, META |
various |
-- |
$5,000 |
5 new mechanical signals |
Portfolio Pulse
Leaderboard
| Rank |
Strategy |
Return |
Value |
Cash |
Positions |
Trend |
| 1 |
claude-trader |
+1.77% |
$101,773 |
$66,969 |
17 |
Slight dip (was +1.86%) |
| 2 |
claude-momentum |
+1.25% |
$101,250 |
$78,360 |
7 |
Turned positive (was -0.47%) |
| 3 |
yolo |
+0.21% |
$100,209 |
$74,101 |
5 |
Improving (was +0.14%) |
| 4 |
bench-signals |
-0.5% |
~$41,789 |
-- |
42 signals |
Declined (was -0.3%) |
Overall: 3 of 4 positive (momentum flipped positive for first time). Claude-trader still leads at +1.77%. Bench-signals drifted further negative as WDAY/HIMS drag. All strategies deployed ASAN/ORCL today.
claude-trader Positions (17) -- $101,773 (+1.77%)
| Stock |
Shares |
Entry |
Current |
P&L |
% |
Status |
| LULU |
11 |
$177.34 |
$187.30 |
+$110 |
+5.6% |
Leader |
| CRSP |
40 |
$51.31 |
$53.46 |
+$86 |
+4.2% |
|
| GOOGL |
6 |
$305.72 |
$314.98 |
+$56 |
+3.0% |
|
| MSFT |
5 |
$390.00 |
$397.23 |
+$36 |
+1.9% |
|
| SNOW |
12 |
$170.57 |
$172.50 |
+$23 |
+1.1% |
|
| AMZN |
9 |
$210.10 |
$210.11 |
+$0 |
0.0% |
|
| NFLX |
24 |
$80.78 |
$80.78 |
$0 |
0.0% |
|
| NOW |
19 |
$102.63 |
$102.63 |
$0 |
0.0% |
|
| ISRG |
4 |
$476.32 |
$476.32 |
$0 |
0.0% |
|
| ADBE |
7 |
$269.39 |
$269.39 |
$0 |
0.0% |
|
| ASAN |
200 |
$9.91 |
$9.91 |
$0 |
0.0% |
NEW |
| ORCL |
13 |
$152.95 |
$152.95 |
$0 |
0.0% |
NEW |
| WCLD |
70 |
$27.88 |
$27.28 |
-$42 |
-2.2% |
|
| INTU |
10 |
$389.98 |
$380.55 |
-$94 |
-2.4% |
|
| CRM |
10 |
$193.75 |
$185.16 |
-$86 |
-4.4% |
|
| IGV |
25 |
$85.02 |
$80.78 |
-$106 |
-5.0% |
Watch |
| TMO |
3 |
$544.19 |
$510.93 |
-$100 |
-6.1% |
Watch |
claude-momentum Positions (7) -- $101,250 (+1.25%)
| Stock |
Shares |
Entry |
Current |
P&L |
% |
Status |
| SNOW |
19 |
$156.71 |
$172.50 |
+$299 |
+10.1% |
Leader |
| AMZN |
10 |
$198.79 |
$210.11 |
+$113 |
+5.7% |
|
| ASAN |
400 |
$9.91 |
$9.91 |
$0 |
0.0% |
NEW |
| ORCL |
25 |
$152.95 |
$152.95 |
$0 |
0.0% |
NEW |
| IGV |
35 |
$82.77 |
$80.78 |
-$70 |
-2.4% |
|
| CRM |
10 |
$189.97 |
$185.16 |
-$48 |
-2.5% |
|
| INTU |
8 |
$392.33 |
$380.55 |
-$94 |
-3.0% |
MONITOR |
yolo Positions (5) -- $100,209 (+0.21%)
| Stock |
Shares |
Entry |
Current |
P&L |
% |
Status |
| CRSP |
100 |
$51.31 |
$53.46 |
+$215 |
+4.2% |
Leader |
| TQQQ |
100 |
$48.78 |
$50.06 |
+$128 |
+2.6% |
|
| ARKK |
67 |
$74.36 |
$74.36 |
$0 |
0.0% |
|
| ORCL |
50 |
$152.95 |
$152.95 |
$0 |
0.0% |
NEW |
| HIMS |
200 |
$16.30 |
$15.63 |
-$134 |
-4.1% |
WATCH |
bench-signals Top Movers (of 42 signals)
Stop-Loss Proximity (within 5%)
- INTU (claude-momentum): 7.8% above $353.10 stop -- closest active watch
- CRM (claude-momentum): 8.3% above $170.97 stop -- monitoring
- IGV (claude-momentum): 8.5% above $74.49 stop -- monitoring
- HIMS (yolo): 19.9% above $13.04 stop -- approaching zone
Key Numbers
| Metric |
Value |
Context |
| Most Oversold |
HIMS RSI 4 |
Consumer health, insiders fleeing |
| 2nd Most Oversold |
ISRG RSI 9 |
Surgical robotics, unchanged |
| 3rd Most Oversold |
PYPL RSI 13 |
NEW -- payments turnaround |
| Most Overbought |
JNJ RSI 89 |
Defensive rotation extreme |
| Gold |
$468.62 |
Breaking out, +5.6% 30D |
| Entry Zones Active |
14 |
Narrowed from 20 (some bounced out) |
| Exit Alerts Active |
6 |
Real portfolio alerts |
| Deep Dives Current |
10 |
Refreshed this cycle |
| Ideas Tracked |
3 |
ARK, pullback buys, cattle disease |
| Paper Signals |
42 |
+5 new today |
| Strategies Positive |
3 of 4 |
Momentum flipped positive |
What Changed (02/22 vs 02/16)
- Market regime shift: capitulation to tentative recovery. VOO RSI 40 to 48 (near SMA), QQQ RSI 37 to 42. Indices bounced off Feb lows. But VIXY RSI 62 unchanged = fear hasn't resolved.
- Momentum strategy flipped positive (+1.25%) for first time, up from -0.47%. SNOW +10.1% carrying, AMZN +5.7% confirming. 3 of 4 strategies now positive.
- ASAN golden signal acted on across all 3 active strategies. ORCL (RSI 15, NEW extreme) deployed in all 3 strategies. INTU DCA'd deeper.
- TMO bounced from RSI 5 to RSI 19 -- life sciences recovering from extreme. SHOP bounced from -14.6% to -4.4% in bench-signals, validating oversold thesis.
- HIMS deepened to RSI 4 (was RSI 10) with -$186.5M insider selling. Most extreme oversold in universe but red flag prevents buying.
- 5 new bench-signals added (PYPL RSI 13, ORCL RSI 15, SAP RSI 24, PINS RSI 21, META RSI 26). Total signals: 42.
- Gold breaking out at $468.62 (+5.6% 30D). Safe-haven demand + equity bounce = fragile risk appetite. No all-clear until VIXY < RSI 50.
Generated after full scan Phase 1-6. See: scans/ for detail, actions/ for trades, deep-dives/ for research.
Sources
- Tape data (price/RSI/trend figures): desk pre-computed watchlist summaries as of the artifact date — *.