AI Scan
AI Scan
The board carries a Friday 2026-09-11 settled close, and this cycle's story is a full oversold-band rotation layered under broad cooling: Constellation Energy (CEG) posted the sharpest RSI drop on the board (-13.0) and crossed back below its 200-day on the heels of a fresh $3.09B equity raise, while the oversold band completely turned over — AVGO, DDOG, and QBTS all recovered above RSI 40, and five new names (PATH, OKLO, RUN, SOUN, NEE) fell in from four different corners of the complex. QCOM was the clear positive standout, RSI +13.2 to 66.3 with its 1-year gain more than doubling. All 67 tickers carry a fresh 2026-09-11 close (ai-scan).
LONG-HORIZON READ: a name whose short-window trend flag reads "down" but sits ABOVE its 200-day with a positive 1-year change is a deep pullback in an intact trend, never a breakdown. Only price below the 200-day paired with a weak or negative year is real structural damage — that distinction is called out explicitly below wherever a trend flag might otherwise mislead.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 A full oversold-band turnover (3 names out, 5 new names in), CEG's fresh cross below its 200-day, and broad cooling across AI Power/Energy and Quantum/Speculative — semis and memory mostly held up or improved |
| Biggest single move | CEG — RSI collapsed 66.7→53.7 (-13.0), crossed from +0.9% above its 200-day to -3.6% below it, 1-year change deepened to -10.46%; news pulled 2026-09-11 flags a fresh $3.09B equity raise that "materially changed its investment case" — a plausible dilution-driven repricing, though the summary on file doesn't confirm the market's reaction directly |
| Sharpest positive move | QCOM — RSI 53.1→66.3 (+13.2), 1-year change more than doubled (5.65%→12.67%), crossed further above its 200-day (0.5%→8.2%) |
| Cohort shift | The oversold band fully turned over: AVGO, DDOG, and QBTS all recovered above RSI 40; PATH, OKLO, RUN, SOUN, and NEE fell newly into the band (25-40) |
| Real breakdown | SMR — RSI fell to 43.0 (-10.9) on a -15.67% single-day drop with no fresh substantive news on file to explain it (news last meaningfully updated 2026-09-09, describing an earlier bounce, not this reversal); still -75.53% on the year |
| Data caveat | None — every ticker carries a fresh 2026-09-11 close |
What's Going On
CEG posted the board's sharpest move by a wide margin. Its RSI fell 13.0 points (66.7→53.7) and it crossed back below its 200-day (+0.9%→-3.6%), reversing the early-August earnings re-rate the desk has tracked as repaired for two straight cycles; its 1-year change deepened further negative (-3.27%→-10.46%). News pulled 2026-09-11 surfaces a fresh item (Yahoo Finance, dated 2026-09-10) describing a $3.09 billion equity raise tied to AI-power agreements that "materially changed its investment case" — a real, dated corporate action that plausibly explains dilution-driven weakness, though the news summary on file doesn't state the market's reaction directly, so this is reported as a likely driver rather than a confirmed one. CRM cooled the second-hardest (RSI -11.7, 76.6→64.9) out of deep overbought, with its 1-year change nearly erased (+6.24%→+0.58%) even as its 30-day return stays enormous (+28.14%). SMR fell the third-hardest (RSI -10.9, 53.9→43.0) on a -15.67% single-day drop; the news on file (last meaningfully updated 2026-09-09) describes an earlier 15%+ intraday pop on reactor-safety and nuclear-sector news, not this reversal, so this week's drop has no sourced cause — cause unknown, and the stock remains -75.53% on the year regardless.
The oversold band fully turned over this cycle. Three names that anchored it last cycle — AVGO, DDOG, and QBTS — all recovered above RSI 40 (AVGO to 42.2, DDOG to 44.3, QBTS to 42.5). In their place, five new names fell into the 25-40 band from four different corners of the complex: PATH (38.9, continuing its post-earnings slide), OKLO (38.7), RUN (38.7), SOUN (36.7), and NEE (36.4). PATH's slide is sourced — the news on file (pulled 2026-09-09) shows continued analyst-desk pressure (a BofA call) following the Sept 3 earnings beat that already triggered a sharp sell-off two cycles ago; its RSI has now fallen in three straight cycles (76.3→45.3→38.9) and its trend flag flipped to weak-down this cycle even though its 1-year change (+17.62%) and 200-day cushion (+6.6%) both stay positive — still a deep pullback, not yet a breakdown. OKLO's continued deterioration (RSI -8.7, 7D -12.24%, 30D -19.74%) has no fresh cause on file — its news was last meaningfully updated 2026-08-25 (an earnings-beat transcript), well before this week's slide.
Semis and memory mostly held up or improved against the broader cooldown. QCOM was the clear standout (RSI +13.2 to 66.3, 1-year change more than doubling to +12.67%), and NET, AMD, INTC, and CSCO all posted meaningful RSI gains (+8.8, +8.3, +5.8, +9.9 respectively) with trend flags flipping positive for NET and AMD specifically — AMD's 1-year change accelerated further to +231.55% and NET's 200-day cushion widened from +25.4% to +36.5%. NVDA cooled the hardest in the group (RSI -10.6 to 49.8) with its 1-year change decelerating (34.20%→23.21%) though its cushion above the 200-day (+10.5%) stays solid. MU's headline 1-year figure dropped sharply (718.44%→547.71%) — a base-effect deceleration rather than new weakness, since its 30-day return stayed positive (+7.02%) and its 200-day cushion remains enormous (+56.8%). ADBE's Q3 earnings beat (EPS $6.13 vs. $6.09 consensus, reported 2026-09-10 per the stock-event on file) barely moved the stock (change1d +1.37%) because billings came in slightly light and operating margin declined year over year per the same news pull — the stock stayed in a weak, strong-down trend (RSI 42.5, -5.4% below its 200-day). IONQ raised its full-year revenue guidance to $450-460M on 2026-09-08 (tied to the SkyWater acquisition, news pulled fresh 2026-09-11) but the stock kept deteriorating regardless — RSI -5.3 to 41.1, 1-year change worsening to -21.89% — a real divergence between a positive corporate update and continued cohort-wide weakness across Quantum/Speculative (SOUN, RGTI, BBAI all also declined this cycle).
AI Power/Energy broadly cooled after last cycle's full relief rally — CEG (discussed above), VST (-3.0 RSI), NEE (-4.7, newly oversold), and SMR (discussed above) all gave back ground, while BE was the one clean holdout, extending further (RSI +1.9 to 65.0, vs 20-day now +21%, still digesting its Sept 4 Brookfield/Oracle AI-infrastructure and S&P 500-inclusion news rather than reacting to anything new this week). AI Healthcare cooled broadly too — VEEV's 1-year change flipped negative for the first time (+1.86%→-6.11%) even as it stays 32.2% above its 200-day, and TEM's cushion above its 200-day thinned sharply (14.6%→4.9%). ISRG remains the group's clear, unchanged breakdown. Telecom and the AI ETF bucket were comparatively quiet — AIQ and SMH both cooled modestly while holding their long-horizon leadership, and META posted the group's most notable positive surprise, crossing back above its 200-day for the first time this stretch (-0.9%→+4.0%) even as its 1-year change stays deeply negative (-13.7%, improved from -17.62%) — a breakdown that's healing but not yet repaired.
What Changed Since the 2026-09-04 Scan
- CEG posted the board's sharpest move and crossed back below its 200-day: RSI 66.7→53.7 (-13.0), vs SMA200 +0.9%→-3.6%; news pulled 2026-09-11 flags a fresh $3.09B equity raise as a plausible driver.
- The oversold band fully turned over: AVGO, DDOG, and QBTS all recovered above RSI 40; PATH, OKLO, RUN, SOUN, and NEE fell newly into the 25-40 band.
- CRM cooled hard out of deep overbought: RSI 76.6→64.9 (-11.7), 1-year change nearly erased (+6.24%→+0.58%).
- SMR dropped sharply with no sourced cause: RSI -10.9 (53.9→43.0) on a -15.67% single day; news on file predates this move.
- QCOM posted the board's sharpest positive move: RSI 53.1→66.3 (+13.2), 1-year change more than doubled to +12.67%.
- AMD and NET both flipped trend flags to strong-up: AMD RSI +8.3 (1-year now +231.55%); NET RSI +8.8 (200-day cushion 25.4%→36.5%).
- META crossed back above its 200-day: vs SMA200 -0.9%→+4.0%, 1-year change improved to -13.7% (from -17.62%) — healing, not yet repaired.
- PATH's trend flag flipped to weak-down for the first time: RSI fell a third straight cycle (45.3→38.9), still a positive year and 200-day cushion.
- ADBE's earnings beat barely moved the stock: EPS beat ($6.13 vs $6.09 est., reported 2026-09-10) but billings light, RSI continued falling (48.9→42.5), stayed below its 200-day.
- IONQ raised guidance but kept deteriorating: full-year revenue guidance raised to $450-460M (2026-09-08) against RSI -5.3 (46.4→41.1), 1-year change worsening to -21.89%.
- VEEV's 1-year change flipped negative for the first time: +1.86%→-6.11%, still 32.2% above its 200-day.
- NVDA cooled the hardest in Semis: RSI -10.6 (60.4→49.8), 1-year deceleration to +23.21% (from +34.20%), cushion above the 200-day still solid at +10.5%.
How To Read The Board
RSI < 25 = capitulation. RSI 25-40 = oversold (check trend/death-cross and the long-horizon numbers before treating as a buy signal — several names here fell into this band on a rough week while remaining well above their 200-day). RSI 40-70 = neutral-to-healthy. RSI > 70 = extended. "vs SMA" = distance from the 20-day average. "1Y%" and "vs SMA200" are the long-horizon check: a red short-window trend flag paired with price above the 200-day and a positive year is a deep pullback, not a breakdown; the reverse (below the 200-day, weak or negative year) is real structural damage.
Price Tables by Group
Semis & Foundry
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QCOM | $181.97 | 66.3 | $166.85 | +9.1% | +7.84% | +11.59% | +12.67% | +8.2% | strong-up | 🟢 Board's sharpest positive move, 1-year gain more than doubled |
| SMCI | $40.10 | 60.5 | $37.88 | +5.9% | +1.29% | +6.62% | -8.76% | +27.3% | strong-up | 🟢 Steady, still repairing its year |
| INTC | $102.94 | 57.5 | $94.61 | +8.8% | +7.45% | +1.97% | +318.29% | +36.3% | strong-up | 🟢 Continued recovery, already-historic year extending |
| AMD | $516.13 | 58.0 | $482.04 | +7.1% | +8.07% | +6.87% | +231.55% | +48.8% | strong-up | 🟢 Trend flipped strong-up, year accelerating further |
| TSM | $433.24 | 56.9 | $421.71 | +2.7% | +1.01% | +0.95% | +67.33% | +15.2% | strong-up | 🟢 Steady, intact trend |
| MRVL | $236.10 | 55.5 | $227.75 | +3.7% | +5.61% | +8.76% | +254.56% | +52.5% | strong-up | 🟢 Firmed, massive year extending |
| ARM | $264.79 | 53.4 | $251.21 | +5.4% | +5.04% | -2.60% | +71.16% | +29.6% | weak-down | 🟢 Firmed off last cycle, deep pullback |
| NVDA | $218.29 | 49.8 | $220.16 | -0.9% | -5.24% | -2.59% | +23.21% | +10.5% | strong-up | 🟡 Cooled hardest in the group, year decelerating |
| ASML | $1,698.95 | 46.8 | $1,737.12 | -2.2% | -0.93% | -6.14% | +111.27% | +13.6% | weak-down | 🟢 Cooled slightly, comfortably above its 200-day |
| AVGO | $361.99 | 42.2 | $367.49 | -1.5% | +1.14% | -12.99% | +0.66% | -2.2% | down | 🔴 Recovered out of oversold but still below its 200-day |
Read: QCOM is the group's clear standout this cycle. NVDA cooled the hardest but its long-horizon numbers stay solidly intact. AVGO climbed out of oversold but remains the group's one name below its 200-day.
Memory / Storage
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MU | $975.26 | 53.0 | $962.81 | +1.3% | -4.07% | +7.02% | +547.71% | +56.8% | strong-up | 🟢 Headline 1-year figure decelerated on a base effect, still a huge cushion |
| STX | $830.17 | 47.3 | $856.43 | -3.1% | -2.25% | -5.47% | +321.81% | +37.0% | weak-down | 🟢 Cooled, historic year intact |
| WDC | $447.18 | 43.9 | $466.73 | -4.2% | -4.34% | -1.52% | +365.09% | +17.9% | weak-down | 🟢 Cooled, historic year intact |
Read: All three continue extending or holding historic 1-year gains — deep pullbacks inside intact uptrends.
Cloud Hyperscalers
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| META | $648.03 | 67.2 | $586.47 | +10.5% | +5.07% | +11.95% | -13.70% | +4.0% | up | 🟡 Crossed back above its 200-day, year improving but still negative |
| MSFT | $495.63 | 56.7 | $494.43 | +0.2% | -0.81% | +0.65% | -1.07% | +14.9% | strong-up | 🟡 Roughly steady, year still slightly negative |
| TSLA | $365.44 | 54.5 | $355.13 | +2.9% | +3.21% | +11.58% | -0.91% | -8.4% | weak-up | 🔴 Improved but still below its 200-day, year barely negative |
| AMZN | $256.78 | 48.9 | $258.96 | -0.8% | -0.67% | -3.93% | +11.67% | +7.1% | strong-up | 🟢 Cooled slightly, intact trend |
| GOOGL | $338.50 | 46.8 | $341.06 | -0.7% | +0.01% | -1.47% | +40.82% | +0.5% | weak-down | 🟡 Roughly flat, thin cushion above its 200-day |
Read: META's cross back above its 200-day is the group's clearest positive development this cycle, though its year stays negative. TSLA improved but the long-horizon check still calls it a breakdown healing rather than repaired.
AI Security
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRWD | $206.74 | 50.0 | $207.51 | -0.4% | -2.98% | -6.78% | +90.81% | +43.4% | strong-up | 🟢 Cooled slightly, still a doubled year |
| FTNT | $156.07 | 47.5 | $158.13 | -1.3% | -0.14% | -2.97% | +92.94% | +39.8% | weak-down | 🟢 Roughly steady, doubled year intact |
| ZS | $164.54 | 45.8 | $176.23 | -6.6% | -3.10% | -7.21% | -42.60% | -3.2% | weak-up | 🔴 Remains the group's genuine repair case, still below its 200-day |
| PANW | $330.65 | 43.0 | $353.25 | -6.4% | -0.78% | -14.56% | +66.72% | +40.1% | weak-down | 🟢 Cooled further from its extended run, comfortably above its 200-day |
Read: ZS remains the group's real breakdown. CRWD, PANW, and FTNT are all cooldowns inside intact, doubled trends.
Data / Software / SaaS
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRM | $247.72 | 64.9 | $230.63 | +7.4% | -4.44% | +28.14% | +0.58% | +23.2% | up | 🟠 Cooled from deep overbought, year nearly erased |
| AI | $10.54 | 55.8 | $10.29 | +2.4% | +0.76% | +4.56% | -35.73% | -0.3% | weak-up | 🔴 Still the group's real breakdown |
| ANET | $199.59 | 57.1 | $193.16 | +3.3% | +3.00% | -5.18% | +30.42% | +30.1% | strong-up | 🟢 Steady, strong year |
| NET | $306.53 | 55.5 | $294.10 | +4.2% | +9.90% | -1.58% | +36.45% | +36.5% | strong-up | 🟢 Trend flipped strong-up, cushion widened sharply |
| SNOW | $328.99 | 53.7 | $327.61 | +0.4% | -2.43% | -0.98% | +46.52% | +49.1% | strong-up | 🟢 Steady, deeply above its 200-day |
| NOW | $132.53 | 52.8 | $132.70 | -0.1% | -6.18% | +6.07% | -29.38% | +12.3% | strong-up | 🟡 Repair rally stalling, year stays deeply negative |
| PLTR | $167.23 | 49.2 | $175.56 | -4.7% | -4.07% | -2.23% | +1.75% | +10.4% | strong-up | 🟡 Cooled, year nearly flattened |
| DLR | $188.58 | 49.3 | $190.19 | -0.8% | +0.10% | -4.30% | +7.96% | +5.1% | strong-up | 🟢 Roughly steady, modest year intact |
| WDAY | $185.70 | 49.4 | $195.07 | -4.8% | -5.15% | +5.94% | -18.07% | +16.5% | strong-up | 🟡 Cooled, year still negative |
| EQIX | $1,037.72 | 46.7 | $1,057.76 | -1.9% | +0.17% | -2.94% | +30.12% | +7.4% | weak-down | 🟢 Steady, solid year |
| MDB | $362.21 | 42.4 | $409.65 | -11.6% | -1.77% | -17.27% | +9.07% | +5.6% | weak-down | 🟡 Still digesting its earnings drop, passes the long-horizon check |
| ADBE | $252.23 | 42.5 | $271.48 | -7.1% | -5.36% | -2.52% | -28.05% | -5.4% | strong-down | 🔴 Earnings beat barely moved the stock, still below its 200-day |
| DDOG | $221.21 | 44.3 | $229.15 | -3.5% | +3.89% | -8.18% | +58.97% | +24.7% | weak-down | 🟡 Recovered out of oversold, big year intact |
| CSCO | $112.13 | 50.9 | $110.44 | +1.5% | +2.68% | -9.48% | +65.65% | +17.5% | weak-down | 🟢 Firmed, strong year |
| PATH | $13.75 | 38.9 | $16.28 | -15.5% | -9.48% | -9.90% | +17.62% | +6.6% | weak-down | 🔴 Third straight cycle falling, trend flipped weak-down |
Read: CEG's fresh cross below its 200-day is in the Power/Energy group below, but PATH's continued slide (now oversold and trend-flipped) is this group's clearest concern. ADBE's earnings beat did little for the stock given light billings.
AI Power / Energy
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BE | $275.75 | 65.0 | $227.82 | +21.0% | +9.05% | +16.27% | +309.79% | +41.6% | strong-up | 🟢 Group's one clean leader, extending further |
| CEG | $284.75 | 53.7 | $281.54 | +1.1% | -4.75% | +2.18% | -10.46% | -3.6% | weak-up | 🔴 Board's sharpest drop, crossed back below its 200-day on a fresh equity raise |
| VST | $148.38 | 54.5 | $142.75 | +3.9% | -0.62% | +1.16% | -27.28% | -5.7% | strong-down | 🔴 Cooled, still below its 200-day |
| EOSE | $3.95 | 51.9 | $3.66 | +7.8% | +1.80% | -6.84% | -45.29% | -51.8% | weak-up | 🔴 Modest gain, still deeply broken |
| SEDG | $34.68 | 48.1 | $32.75 | +5.9% | +1.40% | +8.31% | +17.60% | -17.6% | strong-down | 🟡 Roughly steady below its 200-day |
| FSLR | $209.03 | 47.1 | $209.92 | -0.4% | +2.24% | -7.82% | +2.81% | -9.0% | strong-down | 🟡 Roughly stable, still collapse regime |
| TAC | $12.08 | 44.0 | $12.27 | -1.5% | +1.00% | -2.58% | -4.51% | -7.6% | strong-down | 🔴 Continues deteriorating |
| ENPH | $36.35 | 43.4 | $37.57 | -3.2% | -0.05% | -10.84% | -2.60% | -11.2% | strong-down | 🔴 Continues drifting lower |
| SMR | $8.61 | 43.0 | $9.52 | -9.6% | -11.24% | -10.22% | -75.53% | -32.8% | strong-down | 🔴 Sharp single-day drop, no sourced cause, deeply broken |
| RUN | $8.56 | 38.7 | $9.08 | -5.7% | -3.71% | -13.01% | -46.53% | -40.2% | strong-down | 🔴 Fell into oversold, deeply broken |
| OKLO | $36.22 | 38.7 | $41.31 | -12.3% | -12.24% | -19.74% | -54.71% | -43.2% | strong-down | 🔴 Fell into oversold, no fresh cause on file |
| NEE | $82.31 | 36.4 | $83.91 | -1.9% | -1.34% | -4.05% | +15.41% | -6.2% | strong-down | 🟡 Fell into oversold, still a positive year below its 200-day |
Read: Last cycle's broad relief rally reversed almost entirely — only BE holds its gains cleanly. CEG's fresh cross below its 200-day on a dilutive equity raise is the group's headline event; SMR and OKLO both deteriorated further with no sourced catalyst on file.
AI Healthcare
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VEEV | $262.40 | 56.9 | $261.37 | +0.4% | -4.61% | +8.65% | -6.11% | +32.2% | strong-up | 🟡 Year flipped negative for the first time, still deeply above its 200-day |
| TEM | $59.01 | 48.3 | $62.58 | -5.7% | -8.68% | +8.06% | -33.53% | +4.9% | up | 🟡 Cushion above its 200-day thinning fast |
| ISRGE | $369.15 | 48.1 | $373.50 | -1.2% | +0.67% | -8.00% | -19.02% | -19.7% | strong-down | 🔴 Remains the group's clear, unchanged breakdown |
Read: VEEV's flip to a negative year is new this cycle. ISRG stays the clear breakdown despite the desk's intact thesis rating.
Quantum / Speculative AI
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RGTI | $15.27 | 44.2 | $16.24 | -6.0% | +0.46% | -17.10% | -8.51% | -20.1% | strong-down | 🔴 Deteriorating, collapse regime |
| QBTS | $16.80 | 42.5 | $18.12 | -7.3% | +1.33% | -19.00% | +1.69% | -21.6% | strong-down | 🔴 Recovered out of oversold, still collapse regime |
| BBAI | $2.87 | 41.8 | $3.04 | -5.7% | -1.71% | -11.96% | -41.07% | -32.3% | strong-down | 🔴 Deeply broken, deteriorating further |
| IONQ | $36.75 | 41.1 | $40.86 | -10.1% | -7.01% | -18.69% | -21.89% | -16.6% | strong-down | 🔴 Raised guidance on Sept 8 but kept deteriorating regardless |
| SOUN | $6.26 | 36.7 | $6.91 | -9.4% | -7.12% | -15.41% | -57.06% | -19.2% | strong-down | 🔴 Fell into oversold, deeply broken |
Read: This cohort trades well below its 200-day regardless of RSI direction. IONQ's positive guidance update against continued price deterioration is the notable divergence this cycle.
Telecom / Connectivity
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VZ | $50.61 | 63.3 | $49.76 | +1.7% | +0.94% | +7.73% | +14.66% | +10.3% | strong-up | 🟢 Steady, positive year |
| T | $26.06 | 61.9 | $25.54 | +2.0% | +1.48% | +7.46% | -11.63% | +3.6% | up | 🟡 Firmed, still negative on the year |
| BCE | $23.39 | 53.0 | $23.53 | -0.6% | -1.18% | +1.12% | -3.74% | -2.3% | weak-up | 🟡 Drifted further below its 200-day |
| SKM | $37.87 | 52.7 | $38.62 | -1.9% | -2.14% | +8.05% | +73.56% | +20.4% | strong-up | 🟢 Cooled slightly, remains the group's leader |
| TMUS | $182.33 | 51.5 | $181.65 | +0.4% | +0.45% | +2.94% | -24.47% | -6.0% | weak-up | 🔴 Still the group's real long-trend problem |
AI ETFs
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIQ | $63.98 | 54.1 | $63.60 | +0.6% | -0.53% | +0.33% | +35.55% | +13.8% | strong-up | 🟢 Steady, group leader |
| SMH | $568.53 | 51.3 | $563.45 | +0.9% | +0.27% | -2.79% | +87.06% | +17.9% | weak-down | 🟢 Steady, huge trailing year |
| BOTZ | $35.28 | 44.8 | $35.89 | -1.7% | -1.86% | -6.69% | +3.13% | -4.4% | strong-down | 🟡 Still below its 200-day |
| ROBO | $79.11 | 44.0 | $80.72 | -2.0% | -1.81% | -6.67% | +21.04% | +2.0% | weak-down | 🟢 Steady, solid year |
Too-Young Regime
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | Regime | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKHY | $190.07 | 62.1 | $168.26 | +13.0% | +7.38% | +23.09% | too-young | ⚠️ No 1-year/200-day history yet — trend classification not available |
Read: Still too young for a full long-horizon read; treat any short-window signal as provisional.
Tier Analysis
Capitulation (RSI < 25)
None on this board.
Oversold (RSI 25-40)
NEE (36.4), SOUN (36.7), RUN (38.7), OKLO (38.7), PATH (38.9) — five names, a full rotation from last cycle's three (AVGO, DDOG, QBTS, all now above 40). No overlap between last cycle's band and this one.
Neutral-Strong (RSI 40+)
Entry Zones
| Stock | Entry Zone | Thesis | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| QCOM, AMD, NET, INTC, CSCO | Hold/accumulate | Sharpest positive movers, clean long-horizon check | 🔒 Hold/accumulate |
| NVDA, TSM, MRVL, ARM, SMCI, ASML | Hold | Cooled or steady, all pass the long-horizon check | 🔒 Hold |
| AVGO | Watch | Recovered out of oversold, still below its 200-day | 🔍 Watch |
| MU, STX, WDC | Watch for exhaustion | Historic gains, deeply extended | 🔍 Watch |
| META | Watch | Crossed back above its 200-day, year still negative | 🔍 Watch |
| MSFT, TSLA, AMZN, GOOGL | Watch | Mixed, mostly clean long-horizon checks | 🔍 Watch |
| CRWD, PANW, FTNT | Hold | Cooldowns inside intact, doubled trends | 🔒 Hold |
| ZS | Avoid | Group's genuine repair case, still below its 200-day | ⚠️ Avoid |
| CRM | Watch for exhaustion | Cooled from deep overbought, year nearly erased | 🔍 Watch |
| ANET, NET, SNOW, DLR, EQIX, CSCO | Hold | Clean leaders or steady intact trends | 🔒 Hold |
| NOW, WDAY, PLTR | Watch | Repair rallies stalling or year flattening | 🔍 Watch |
| MDB, DDOG | Watch | Still digesting earlier drops, long-horizon checks intact | 🔍 Watch |
| ADBE | Avoid | Earnings beat didn't move the stock, below its 200-day | ⚠️ Avoid |
| PATH | Avoid | Third straight cycle falling, trend flipped weak-down | ⚠️ Avoid |
| AI | Avoid | Real breakdown, unchanged | ⚠️ Avoid |
| BE | Hold | Group's one clean leader, extending further | 🔒 Hold |
| CEG | Avoid | Fresh cross below its 200-day on a dilutive equity raise | ⚠️ Avoid |
| VST, EOSE, SEDG, FSLR, TAC, ENPH, SMR, RUN, OKLO | Avoid | Deeply broken, mostly deteriorating further | ⚠️ Avoid |
| NEE | Watch | Newly oversold, still a positive year | 🔍 Watch |
| VEEV, TEM | Watch | Cushion thinning, VEEV's year turned negative | 🔍 Watch |
| ISRGE | Avoid | Real breakdown despite intact thesis | ⚠️ Avoid |
| RGTI, QBTS, BBAI, SOUN | Avoid | Deeply broken, speculative | ⚠️ Avoid |
| IONQ | Watch | Positive guidance news, continued price deterioration | 🔍 Watch |
| VZ, SKM | Hold | Telecom leaders | 🔒 Hold |
| T, BCE | Watch | Mixed, still below or barely above the 200-day | 🔍 Watch |
| TMUS | Avoid | Real long-trend problem | ⚠️ Avoid |
| AIQ, SMH, ROBO | Hold | ETF bucket leaders or deep pullbacks | 🔒 Hold |
| BOTZ | Watch | Still below its 200-day | 🔍 Watch |
| SKHY | Watch | Too-young regime | 🔍 Watch |
Action Matrix
| Stock | Signal | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| QCOM, AMD, NET, INTC, CSCO | 🟢 | 📈 Accumulate | Sharpest positive movers this cycle |
| NVDA, TSM, MRVL, ARM, SMCI, ASML | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | Clean long-horizon check |
| AVGO | 🔴 | 🔍 Watch | Recovered out of oversold, still below its 200-day |
| MU, STX, WDC | 🟢 | 🔍 Watch | Historic gains, deeply extended |
| META | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Crossed back above its 200-day |
| MSFT, TSLA, AMZN, GOOGL | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Mixed, mostly clean |
| CRWD, PANW, FTNT | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | Cooldowns inside intact trends |
| ZS | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Genuine repair case, unresolved |
| CRM | 🟠 | 🔍 Watch | Cooled from deep overbought |
| ANET, NET, SNOW, DLR, EQIX, CSCO | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | Clean leaders |
| NOW, WDAY, PLTR | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Repair rallies stalling |
| MDB, DDOG | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Digesting earlier drops |
| ADBE | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Beat didn't move the stock |
| PATH | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Third straight cycle falling |
| AI | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Real breakdown |
| BE | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | Group's clean leader |
| CEG | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Fresh cross below its 200-day |
| VST, EOSE, SEDG, FSLR, TAC, ENPH, SMR, RUN, OKLO | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Deeply broken |
| NEE | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Newly oversold |
| VEEV, TEM | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Cushion thinning |
| ISRGE | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Real breakdown |
| RGTI, QBTS, BBAI, SOUN | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Deeply broken |
| IONQ | 🔴 | 🔍 Watch | Positive guidance, price still deteriorating |
| VZ, SKM | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | Telecom leaders |
| T, BCE | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Mixed |
| TMUS | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Real laggard |
| AIQ, SMH, ROBO | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | ETF leaders |
| BOTZ | 🔴 | 🔍 Watch | Below its 200-day |
| SKHY | ⚠️ | ⚠️ Watch | Too-young regime |
What To Watch Next
- Whether CEG's cross back below its 200-day is a one-cycle reaction to the $3.09B equity raise or the start of a real trend break, given the raise itself was framed as supporting AI-power growth rather than distress.
- Whether the oversold band's full turnover (PATH, OKLO, RUN, SOUN, NEE in; AVGO, DDOG, QBTS out) marks a genuine rotation of weakness or a one-cycle noise event.
- Whether SMR's unexplained -15.67% single-day drop finds a sourced cause next cycle or stays an open question.
- Whether QCOM's sharp positive move (RSI +13.2, 1-year gain doubled) extends or was a one-cycle pop.
- Whether IONQ's raised guidance eventually shows up in the price action, or the Quantum/Speculative cohort's broader weakness keeps overriding company-level news.
- Whether META's cross back above its 200-day holds and starts repairing its still-deeply-negative year, or reverses like CEG's did this cycle.
Sources
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.