AI Scan
AI Scan
The board carries a Friday 2026-08-21 settled close: a broad RSI cooldown swept the entire AI complex this week — CRWD posted the sharpest single-name reversal anywhere in the scan (RSI 61.6 [08-14 close] fell to 42.8), the oversold band widened from one name to nine, and TEM posted the scan's largest positive move (RSI +21.5, 7D +39.47%) on its way into a parabolic regime. Applying the desk's long-horizon check, most of this cooldown reads as deep pullback inside intact trends — but AI Power/Energy stands out as a genuinely weak cohort where the damage is real: 10 of its 12 names trade below their 200-day. All 67 tickers carry a fresh 2026-08-21 close (ai-scan).
LONG-HORIZON READ: a name whose short-window trend flag reads "down" but sits ABOVE its 200-day with a positive 1-year change is a deep pullback in an intact trend, never a breakdown. Only price below the 200-day paired with a weak or negative year is real structural damage — that distinction is called out explicitly below wherever a trend flag might otherwise mislead.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 Broad cooldown across the whole complex — most names are deep pullbacks inside intact trends, but AI Power/Energy is genuinely weak (10 of 12 names below their 200-day) |
| Biggest single event | CRWD — the sharpest reversal in the entire scan this cycle (RSI 61.4→42.8, -18.6), though 38.3% above its 200-day with a strong year — a deep pullback, not a breakdown |
| Sharpest positive move | TEM — RSI 53.6→75.1 (+21.5), 7D +39.47%, now trading in a parabolic regime |
| Real breakdown | META — below its 200-day by 11.9%, down 25.42% on the year, alpha -47.24; the one hyperscaler where the long trend itself, not just the week, is broken |
| Oversold band widened | From one name (SEDG) last cycle to nine this cycle: AVGO, ARM, INTC, META, TAC, SEDG, RUN, VST, NEE |
| Data caveat | None — every ticker carries a fresh 2026-08-21 close |
What's Going On
A broad RSI cooldown swept nearly every name in this scan this week, in most cases without breaking the underlying trend. NVDA fell from RSI 62.8 to 51.0, and the oversold band (RSI < 40) widened from a single name last cycle to nine this cycle — AVGO, ARM, INTC, META, TAC, SEDG, RUN, VST, and NEE all now sit below 40. CRWD's reversal is the sharpest single-name move anywhere in the scan (RSI 61.4→42.8, 7D -11.51%), but it remains 38.3% above its 200-day with an 85.42% 1-year gain — a deep pullback, not a breakdown, and the same pattern repeats across most of the complex.
Within semis, AVGO is the one name where the pullback is starting to test the long trend rather than just sit inside it — it slipped 0.2% below its 200-day for the first time this stretch, though the desk still rates its thesis intact and it's up 28.16% on the year. AMD, ARM, INTC, TSM, and ASML all cooled hard on RSI this week (ARM's 7-day change hit -12.89%) but every one of them remains well above its 200-day with a double- or triple-digit 1-year gain — deep pullbacks. SMCI and QCOM are the group's real weak charts: SMCI sits above its 200-day but is down 11.98% on the year (alpha -33.8, still death-crossed), and QCOM trades below its 200-day in a collapse regime. The memory/storage trio (STX, MU, WDC) all pulled back hard on the week — STX's 7-day change hit -12.70% — but all three sit 28-69% above their 200-day with historic 1-year gains (MU's own +736.17% is the scan's single best), a pattern the desk flags "intact-but-priced" rather than broken.
Among the hyperscalers, META is the one real breakdown — 11.9% below its 200-day, down 25.42% on the year, the worst alpha of any large-cap name in this scan. TSLA also trades below its 200-day (-10%) and remains death-crossed despite popping 5.14% in a single session. MSFT and AMZN both sit comfortably above their 200-day, but MSFT is quietly negative on the year (-4.16%, alpha -25.98) even after a 23.8% 30-day run — worth flagging even though the price chart looks fine. TEM posted the scan's single sharpest move by far — RSI 53.6→75.1, a 7-day change of +39.47% — and now trades in a parabolic regime, deep overbought.
AI Power/Energy is this scan's one genuinely weak cohort by the long-horizon check, not a horizon-mismatch trap: 10 of its 12 names trade below their 200-day, and most (SMR, VST, OKLO, EOSE, RUN, FSLR, TAC, CEG, NEE, SEDG) are flat-to-deeply-negative on the year. BE is the group's lone clean exception — its worst week in the group (-12.44% 7D) but still 8% above its 200-day with a +349.36% 1-year gain, thesis rated intact. Elsewhere, the Data/Software group split between clean leaders (MDB, SNOW, PATH, PLTR — all well above their 200-day with strong years) and repair stories still working through negative years despite recent bounces (CRM, NOW, ADBE, WDAY). Telecom improved broadly again, with SKM the clear leader on every window.
What Changed Since the 2026-08-14 Scan
- CRWD posted the sharpest reversal in the entire scan: RSI 61.4→42.8 (-18.6), 7D -11.51% — but remains 38.3% above its 200-day, a deep pullback not a breakdown.
- The oversold band widened from one name to nine: SEDG carries over; AVGO, ARM, INTC, META, TAC, RUN, VST, and NEE all newly dropped below RSI 40.
- TEM posted the scan's single largest positive move: RSI 53.6→75.1 (+21.5), 7D +39.47%, now in a parabolic regime.
- DLR dropped sharply: RSI 63.2→49.2 (-14.0).
- NEE fell into oversold, now the group's most oversold name: RSI 44.6→31.7 (-12.9), below its 200-day.
- STX cooled the hardest of the memory/storage trio: RSI 62.0→48.2 (-13.8), still 50.2% above its 200-day.
- PANW cooled sharply after last cycle's extension: RSI 65.4→51.6 (-13.8), still the AI Security group's leader.
- CSCO stabilized after last cycle's 20-point crash: RSI 41.5→42.4 (+0.9), 19.5% above its 200-day.
- TSLA improved the most on the week: RSI 48.7→58.0 (+9.3), though still death-crossed and below its 200-day.
- AVGO slipped below its 200-day for the first time this stretch: -0.2%, thesis still rated intact.
- MDB cooled out of its parabolic read from last cycle: RSI 75.1→61.5 (-13.6).
- BOTZ and ROBO both dropped sharply within the AI ETF bucket: BOTZ 60.4→45.8 (-14.6); ROBO 58.8→46.2 (-12.6).
How To Read The Board
RSI < 25 = capitulation. RSI 25-40 = oversold (check trend/death-cross and the long-horizon numbers before treating as a buy signal — many names here fell into this band on a rough week while remaining well above their 200-day). RSI 40-70 = neutral-to-healthy. RSI > 70 = extended. "vs SMA" = distance from the 20-day average. "1Y%" and "vs SMA200" are the long-horizon check: a red short-window trend flag paired with price above the 200-day and a positive year is a deep pullback, not a breakdown; the reverse (below the 200-day, weak or negative year) is real structural damage.
Price Tables by Group
Semis & Foundry
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | $214.72 | 51.0 | $213.18 | +0.7% | -4.62% | +1.25% | +22.87% | +10.0% | strong-up | 🟢 Cooled, thesis rated intact, deep pullback |
| MRVL | $237.04 | 55.8 | $210.42 | +12.7% | +6.82% | +12.35% | +232.87% | +63.4% | strong-up | 🟢 Best 1-year gain in the group |
| SMCI | $37.24 | 61.7 | $32.85 | +13.4% | -6.53% | +21.86% | -11.98% | +18.4% | up | 🔴 Above its 200-day but down on the year, worst alpha in the group, still death-crossed |
| ASML | $1,763.76 | 50.5 | $1,726.71 | +2.1% | -4.34% | -2.11% | +139.84% | +21.9% | weak-down | 🟢 Cooled but 21.9% above its 200-day, huge year — deep pullback |
| TSM | $418.95 | 50.4 | $413.35 | +1.4% | -1.73% | -0.54% | +84.29% | +14.4% | weak-down | 🟢 Roughly flat, intact trend despite short-window flag |
| AMD | $473.25 | 45.8 | $481.12 | -1.6% | -7.97% | -14.32% | +189.08% | +43.5% | weak-down | 🟡 Rough month but 43.5% above its 200-day, +189% year — deep pullback |
| QCOM | $160.75 | 43.6 | $160.60 | +0.1% | -3.06% | -8.47% | +4.30% | -4.4% | down | 🔴 Below its 200-day, collapse regime — group's weakest chart |
| INTC | $90.07 | 39.6 | $95.70 | -5.9% | -12.14% | -12.23% | +283.28% | +26.0% | weak-down | 🟡 Sharp pullback but 26% above its 200-day, huge year — deep pullback |
| ARM | $243.32 | 39.2 | $260.78 | -6.7% | -12.89% | -14.14% | +82.56% | +23.4% | weak-down | 🟡 Roughest week in the group but 23.4% above its 200-day — deep pullback, desk flags intact-but-priced |
| AVGO | $368.45 | 38.7 | $396.06 | -7.0% | -6.27% | -7.15% | +28.16% | -0.2% | down | 🔴 Slipped just below its 200-day for the first time — the long trend is being tested, thesis rated intact |
Read: AVGO is the group's one real long-trend test. SMCI and QCOM are the genuinely weak charts (negative/flat year, badly negative alpha). Everyone else is a short-window dip inside an intact trend.
Memory / Storage
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MU | $966.78 | 54.3 | $896.24 | +7.9% | -0.57% | +0.76% | +736.17% | +69.3% | strong-up | 🟢 Scan's single best 1-year gain; desk flags intact-but-priced (valuation stretched) |
| STX | $850.00 | 48.2 | $852.11 | -0.2% | -12.70% | -6.40% | +449.81% | +50.2% | weak-down | 🟡 Roughest week among large names but 50.2% above its 200-day |
| WDC | $459.44 | 43.8 | $486.57 | -5.6% | -9.89% | -17.47% | +515.38% | +28.2% | weak-down | 🟡 Sharp monthly pullback but 28.2% above its 200-day, thesis intact |
Read: All three pulled back hard this week, but the long-horizon check is unambiguous — deep pullbacks inside historic uptrends, not breakdowns.
Cloud Hyperscalers
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT | $483.24 | 62.4 | $473.09 | +2.1% | -2.39% | +23.80% | -4.16% | +12.0% | up | 🟡 Above its 200-day and thesis rated intact, but quietly negative on the year (alpha -25.98) |
| TSLA | $362.86 | 58.0 | $328.14 | +10.6% | +6.02% | -2.98% | +13.35% | -10.0% | strong-down | 🔴 Below its 200-day, death-crossed — a real long-trend test despite Friday's 5.14% pop |
| AMZN | $258.63 | 49.7 | $261.38 | -1.1% | -1.52% | +5.63% | +16.53% | +8.5% | strong-up | 🟢 Steady, intact trend, thesis intact |
| GOOGL | $344.82 | 47.2 | $348.40 | -1.0% | -0.29% | +0.80% | +72.63% | +3.5% | weak-down | 🟢 Roughly flat, strong year, thesis intact |
| META | $549.90 | 38.7 | $576.48 | -4.6% | -6.76% | -12.32% | -25.42% | -11.9% | strong-down | 🔴 The group's real breakdown — below its 200-day, negative year, worst alpha of the group |
Read: META is the one hyperscaler where the long trend itself is broken. TSLA is a real long-trend test despite the desk's intact rating. MSFT's quietly negative year is worth flagging even though price sits above its 200-day.
AI Security
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PANW | $357.87 | 51.6 | $358.03 | 0.0% | -6.89% | +6.74% | +95.22% | +58.3% | strong-up | 🟢 Group leader — best year, deeply above its 200-day |
| ZS | $181.75 | 63.3 | $168.93 | +7.6% | -0.96% | +27.76% | -32.77% | +1.3% | up | 🟡 Barely above its 200-day despite a strong month; still down 32.77% on the year — still repairing |
| CRWD | $191.95 | 42.8 | $204.24 | -6.0% | -11.51% | +1.87% | +85.42% | +38.3% | weak-down | 🟡 Sharpest reversal in the entire scan this cycle but 38.3% above its 200-day — deep pullback |
| FTNT | $153.51 | 45.8 | $158.53 | -3.2% | -4.04% | -0.99% | +97.44% | +44.6% | weak-down | 🟢 Cooled this cycle but 44.6% above its 200-day — deep pullback, not breakdown |
Read: CRWD's reversal is the sharpest single move in this whole scan, but the long-horizon check says deep pullback. ZS is the one name here still genuinely repairing a damaged year.
Data / Software / SaaS
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDB | $430.83 | 61.5 | $393.96 | +9.4% | -6.35% | +41.27% | +103.26% | +26.8% | strong-up | 🟢 Strong across every window, doubled over the year |
| SNOW | $332.78 | 69.1 | $315.46 | +5.5% | +1.10% | +24.26% | +70.94% | +54.2% | strong-up | 🟢 Near overbought, 54.2% above its 200-day |
| PLTR | $179.94 | 69.4 | $157.27 | +14.4% | +3.40% | +44.45% | +15.21% | +18.8% | up | 🟠 Near overbought after a huge month, thesis intact, watch for exhaustion |
| PATH | $16.39 | 69.6 | $14.52 | +12.9% | +2.31% | +53.18% | +50.51% | +28.8% | up | 🟢 Explosive month, strong year despite an older death cross |
| WDAY | $200.01 | 66.9 | $178.70 | +11.9% | +0.66% | +51.04% | -12.11% | +23.7% | up | 🟡 Huge month and above its 200-day, but still negative on the year — recovering |
| CRM | $209.17 | 66.1 | $192.57 | +8.6% | +6.61% | +28.33% | -14.91% | +4.2% | up | 🟡 Strong bounce puts it back above its 200-day but still down on the year — repair in progress |
| NOW | $128.48 | 62.4 | $119.94 | +7.1% | +3.60% | +34.59% | -26.75% | +6.8% | up | 🟡 Same story as CRM — recovering, still negative on the year |
| ADBE | $275.30 | 62.5 | $260.47 | +5.7% | +4.26% | +26.08% | -22.11% | +1.8% | up | 🟡 Barely above its 200-day, still down 22.11% on the year |
| NET | $293.14 | 52.2 | $293.61 | -0.2% | -7.17% | +8.98% | +52.07% | +33.7% | strong-up | 🟢 Rough week but 33.7% above its 200-day, thesis intact |
| ANET | $188.65 | 51.7 | $187.98 | +0.4% | -5.10% | +7.88% | +42.88% | +26.6% | strong-up | 🟢 Steady, strong year |
| EQIX | $1,065.39 | 51.7 | $1,055.99 | +0.9% | -3.33% | +3.56% | +37.97% | +12.2% | strong-up | 🟢 Steady, beating the market on the year |
| DLR | $190.62 | 49.2 | $193.63 | -1.6% | -4.71% | +6.84% | +16.39% | +7.3% | strong-up | 🟡 Roughly flat, modest year, intact trend |
| DDOG | $235.62 | 43.9 | $253.14 | -6.9% | -7.76% | -4.13% | +82.44% | +35.2% | weak-down | 🟡 Rough month but 35.2% above its 200-day, thesis intact |
| CSCO | $111.04 | 42.4 | $116.07 | -4.3% | -0.57% | -1.04% | +65.68% | +19.5% | weak-down | 🟢 Stabilized after last cycle's crash, 19.5% above its 200-day |
| AI | $10.30 | 59.5 | $9.82 | +4.9% | +3.73% | +25.76% | -38.91% | -5.2% | weak-up | 🔴 Below its 200-day, down 38.91% on the year, badly negative alpha — real breakdown |
Read: AI is the group's real breakdown. CRM, NOW, ADBE, and WDAY are all mid-repair — recovering back above their 200-day after negative years, not yet fully healed. Everyone else is either a clean leader or a deep pullback inside an intact trend.
AI Power / Energy
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CEG | $272.88 | 53.0 | $270.24 | +1.0% | -3.42% | -0.73% | -12.68% | -9.0% | weak-up | 🔴 Below its 200-day, negative year, badly lagging |
| SMR | $9.40 | 51.8 | $9.10 | +3.3% | +0.32% | +8.29% | -71.93% | -32.7% | weak-up | 🔴 Deeply broken, worst alpha in the group |
| BE | $201.45 | 42.6 | $211.88 | -4.9% | -12.44% | -7.68% | +349.36% | +8.0% | weak-down | 🟡 Group's roughest week but 8% above its 200-day with a +349.36% year — the one clean exception, thesis intact |
| FSLR | $214.28 | 42.9 | $223.85 | -4.3% | -5.02% | +2.60% | +11.60% | -8.3% | strong-down | 🔴 Below its 200-day, weak year |
| OKLO | $42.09 | 45.3 | $42.78 | -1.6% | -5.03% | -5.42% | -37.36% | -38.3% | strong-down | 🔴 Collapse regime, deeply broken |
| ENPH | $38.61 | 44.6 | $39.19 | -1.5% | -4.71% | -2.45% | +11.65% | -4.4% | down | 🔴 Below its 200-day, collapse regime |
| TAC | $12.21 | 39.5 | $12.58 | -2.9% | -4.61% | -13.03% | -0.81% | -8.0% | down | 🔴 Below its 200-day, flat-to-negative year |
| EOSE | $3.81 | 45.0 | $3.82 | -0.3% | -4.98% | -4.27% | -36.71% | -57.6% | strong-down | 🔴 Deeply broken, collapse regime |
| VST | $136.21 | 37.2 | $145.03 | -6.1% | -8.04% | -18.31% | -28.42% | -14.8% | strong-down | 🔴 Deeply broken |
| RUN | $9.16 | 38.3 | $9.86 | -7.1% | -10.29% | -16.35% | -37.86% | -39.0% | strong-down | 🔴 Deeply broken, collapse regime |
| NEE | $83.65 | 31.7 | $86.29 | -3.1% | -2.95% | -6.44% | +9.95% | -4.8% | strong-down | 🔴 Group's most oversold name, below its 200-day |
| SEDG | $30.83 | 35.9 | $35.72 | -13.7% | -4.70% | -35.61% | +2.05% | -27.2% | down | 🔴 Second-most oversold, 30-day drawdown deepening to -35.61%, 27.2% below its 200-day |
Read: This cohort is the scan's genuinely weak one on the long-horizon check — 10 of 12 names trade below their 200-day, most with negative years. BE is the lone clean exception.
AI Healthcare
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEM | $72.69 | 75.1 | $51.34 | +41.6% | +39.47% | +54.79% | -5.24% | +28.0% | up | 🟠 Scan's single sharpest move, deep overbought, parabolic regime |
| VEEV | $247.90 | 69.7 | $226.42 | +9.5% | +1.71% | +34.33% | -12.18% | +24.1% | up | 🟡 Above its 200-day and a strong month, but still down 12.18% on the year — repairing |
| ISRGE | $378.81 | 47.6 | $378.68 | 0.0% | -3.98% | +11.19% | -19.38% | -19.9% | strong-down | 🔴 Real breakdown — below its 200-day, negative year, collapse regime, even with thesis rated intact |
Read: TEM's move is the largest anywhere in this scan. ISRG is the one clear breakdown in this group despite the desk's intact thesis rating.
Quantum / Speculative AI
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOUN | $7.32 | 56.1 | $6.87 | +6.5% | -1.75% | +13.31% | -40.15% | -15.6% | weak-up | 🔴 Below its 200-day, down 40.15% on the year, badly lagging |
| IONQ | $44.86 | 54.7 | $41.09 | +9.2% | -3.15% | +29.35% | +20.69% | 0.0% | weak-up | 🟡 Sitting right at its 200-day, speculative and priced-in per the desk's flag |
| BBAI | $3.22 | 52.0 | $3.07 | +5.0% | -1.53% | +11.81% | -41.24% | -27.5% | strong-down | 🔴 Deeply broken — down 41.24% on the year |
| QBTS | $20.39 | 51.9 | $19.74 | +3.3% | -3.68% | +17.52% | +37.68% | -7.4% | strong-down | 🟡 Below its 200-day despite a +37.68% year — speculative, priced-in |
| RGTI | $17.91 | 53.7 | $16.84 | +6.3% | -4.89% | +17.60% | +25.51% | -10.7% | weak-up | 🟡 Below its 200-day despite a positive year — desk flags intact-but-priced |
Read: This cohort is speculative and volatile by construction — even the names with positive years (RGTI, IONQ, QBTS) sit at or below their 200-day, which the desk flags "intact-but-priced" rather than a clean trend.
Telecom / Connectivity
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T | $25.29 | 67.6 | $24.22 | +4.4% | +1.73% | +9.77% | -14.10% | +0.7% | up | 🟡 Barely above its 200-day, still negative on the year |
| VZ | $49.45 | 67.1 | $47.65 | +3.8% | +2.02% | +11.65% | +9.82% | +9.3% | strong-up | 🟢 Steady, positive year |
| SKM | $40.29 | 65.2 | $35.19 | +14.5% | +4.65% | +18.71% | +82.80% | +33.5% | strong-up | 🟢 Group leader — best year, deeply above its 200-day |
| BCE | $23.71 | 65.2 | $22.69 | +4.5% | +1.02% | +10.38% | -7.81% | -0.7% | weak-up | 🟡 Just below its 200-day, negative year |
| TMUS | $183.04 | 52.7 | $179.07 | +2.2% | +0.22% | -4.14% | -29.10% | -6.6% | weak-up | 🔴 Below its 200-day, group's real laggard |
Read: SKM is the clean leader; TMUS is the group's real long-trend problem despite this cycle's modest RSI improvement.
AI ETFs
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIQ | $63.43 | 55.1 | $61.79 | +2.7% | -1.23% | +5.47% | +44.55% | +14.7% | strong-up | 🟢 Group leader |
| ROBO | $81.17 | 46.2 | $81.98 | -1.0% | -4.31% | +2.23% | +30.21% | +5.9% | weak-down | 🟢 Above its 200-day, solid year — deep pullback, not breakdown |
| BOTZ | $36.04 | 45.8 | $36.39 | -1.0% | -4.53% | +3.30% | +9.64% | -2.3% | strong-down | 🟡 Just below its 200-day, modest year but lagging |
| SMH | $560.42 | 45.7 | $562.94 | -0.4% | -4.66% | -4.51% | +95.56% | +20.0% | weak-down | 🟡 Rough week but 20% above its 200-day, huge year — deep pullback |
Too-Young Regime
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | Regime | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKHY | $163.41 | 52.1 | $149.76 | +9.1% | -1.74% | -1.13% | too-young | ⚠️ No 1-year/200-day history yet — trend classification not available |
Read: Still too young for a full long-horizon read; treat any short-window signal as provisional.
Tier Analysis
Capitulation (RSI < 25)
None on this board.
Oversold (RSI 25-40)
NEE (31.7), SEDG (35.9), VST (37.2), RUN (38.3), AVGO (38.7), META (38.7), TAC (39.5), ARM (39.2), INTC (39.6) — nine names, up from one last cycle (SEDG). Six of the nine (NEE, SEDG, VST, RUN, TAC, and META) also trade below their 200-day with weak-to-negative years — real structural weakness, not just a rough week. AVGO, ARM, and INTC all remain above their 200-day with strong years — deep pullbacks despite the oversold reading.
Neutral-Strong (RSI 40+)
The remaining 58 names, led by TEM (75.1, parabolic), SNOW (69.1), PATH (69.6), PLTR (69.4), and VEEV (69.7).
Parabolic / Extreme Extension (vs VWAP)
MU (+73.12%), STX (+67.57%), PANW (+67.86%), AMD (+68.8%), FTNT (+53.86%), SNOW (+56.19%), WDC (+51.6%) — seven names above +50%, all existing gains rather than new-money entries.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Entry Zone | Thesis | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA, AMZN, GOOGL, MRVL, TSM, ASML | Hold/accumulate | Cooled on RSI but pass the long-horizon check cleanly | 🔒 Hold/accumulate |
| AVGO | Watch | Slipped just below its 200-day for the first time, thesis still rated intact | 🔍 Watch |
| SMCI, QCOM | Avoid | Genuinely weak charts — negative/flat year despite an above-200-day price for SMCI | ⚠️ Avoid |
| MU, STX, WDC | Watch for exhaustion | Historic 1-year gains, all deeply above their 200-day | 🔍 Watch |
| META | Avoid | The one real hyperscaler breakdown — below its 200-day, negative year | ⚠️ Avoid |
| TSLA | Watch | Below its 200-day and death-crossed despite a strong single day | 🔍 Watch |
| CRWD | Watch | Sharpest reversal in the scan but passes the long-horizon check | 🔍 Watch |
| ZS | Watch | Still repairing a damaged year despite a strong month | 🔍 Watch |
| CRM, NOW, ADBE, WDAY | Watch | Recovering back above their 200-day, still negative on the year | 🔍 Watch |
| AI | Avoid | Real breakdown — below its 200-day, down 38.91% on the year | ⚠️ Avoid |
| BE | Watch | The one clean exception in AI Power/Energy, thesis intact | 🔍 Watch |
| CEG, SMR, FSLR, OKLO, ENPH, TAC, EOSE, VST, RUN, NEE, SEDG | Avoid | Genuinely weak cohort, most below their 200-day with negative years | ⚠️ Avoid |
| TEM | Watch for exhaustion | Scan's sharpest move, deep overbought, parabolic regime | 🔍 Watch |
| ISRGE | Avoid | Real breakdown despite intact thesis rating | ⚠️ Avoid |
| RGTI, IONQ, QBTS | Watch | Speculative, priced-in per the desk's own flags | 🔍 Watch |
| SOUN, BBAI | Avoid | Deeply broken, badly negative years | ⚠️ Avoid |
| SKM | Hold | Telecom's clean leader | 🔒 Hold |
| TMUS | Avoid | Group's real long-trend laggard | ⚠️ Avoid |
| SKHY | Watch | Too-young regime, no long-horizon read available | 🔍 Watch |
Action Matrix
| Stock | Signal | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA, AMZN, GOOGL, MRVL, TSM, ASML | 🟢 | 📈 Accumulate | Cooled on RSI, clean long-horizon check |
| AMD, INTC, ARM | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Rough short window, well above their 200-day |
| AVGO | 🔴 | 🔍 Watch | First close below its 200-day, thesis still intact |
| SMCI, QCOM | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Negative/flat year, badly negative alpha |
| MU, STX, WDC | 🟢 | 🔍 Watch | Historic gains, deeply extended above their 200-day |
| MSFT | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Above its 200-day but negative on the year |
| TSLA | 🔴 | 🔍 Watch | Below its 200-day, death-crossed |
| AMZN, GOOGL | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | Intact trends |
| META | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Real breakdown |
| PANW, FTNT | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | Deep pullbacks in intact trends |
| CRWD | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Sharpest reversal in the scan, still intact |
| ZS | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Still repairing a damaged year |
| MDB, SNOW, PATH, PLTR, NET, ANET, EQIX | 🟢 | 🔍 Watch | Clean leaders or deep pullbacks |
| CRM, NOW, ADBE, WDAY | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Recovering, still negative on the year |
| DLR, DDOG, CSCO | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Roughly flat to modest, intact trends |
| AI | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Real breakdown |
| BE | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Group's clean exception |
| CEG, SMR, FSLR, OKLO, ENPH, TAC, EOSE, VST, RUN, NEE, SEDG | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Genuinely weak cohort |
| TEM | 🟠 | 🔍 Watch | Parabolic, watch for exhaustion |
| VEEV | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Repairing |
| ISRGE | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Real breakdown despite intact thesis |
| RGTI, IONQ, QBTS | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Speculative, priced-in |
| SOUN, BBAI | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Deeply broken |
| SKM, VZ | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | Telecom leaders |
| T, BCE | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Barely above/below their 200-day |
| TMUS | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Real laggard |
| AIQ | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | ETF bucket leader |
| BOTZ, ROBO, SMH | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Mixed — mostly deep pullbacks |
| SKHY | ⚠️ | ⚠️ Watch | Too-young regime |
What To Watch Next
- Whether CRWD's steep reversal (RSI 61.4→42.8) is a durable break or a one-cycle wobble, given it still sits 38.3% above its 200-day.
- Whether TEM's parabolic move (RSI 75.1, 7D +39.47%) exhausts sharply or extends into the next cycle.
- Whether AVGO's first close below its 200-day is the start of a real long-trend test or a one-cycle dip.
- Whether AI Power/Energy's broad weakness (10 of 12 names below their 200-day) finds a floor or deepens further — SEDG's 30-day drawdown is already at -35.61%.
- Whether META's real breakdown (below its 200-day, negative year, worst alpha of the hyperscalers) stabilizes or extends.
- Whether the repair stories in Data/Software (CRM, NOW, ADBE, WDAY) push back into positive 1-year territory or stall below it.
Sources
- Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-08-21 close — ai-scan.
- Prior cycle for comparison: 2026-08-14-ai-scan.
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.