AI Scan

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AI Scan

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 137 rows · screens, not recommendations event statusconfirmed

Five names on this board now trade above RSI 70 for the first time this stretch — Arm (+36.31% on the week with no dated catalyst on file), AMD and Intel (both riding a CPU-stock rally CNBC dated to September 21, the same day AMD crossed a $1 trillion intraday market cap), Zscaler and Meta — while the semiconductor and cybersecurity trades that led last week's advance kept extending instead of cooling. NextEra Energy dropped into capitulation at RSI 22.1, the board's only sub-25 print, and telecom fell for a second straight week with still no sourced cause behind any of the four names. Constellation Energy's two-week collapse finally stabilized — its RSI firmed rather than fell for the first time in three cycles. The board also grew by three names this cycle: Lumentum, Coherent and Nebius joined coverage, the last of them a member of the neocloud stack the desk tracks as a standing focus. All 70 names carry a settled Wednesday 2026-09-23 close.

LONG-HORIZON READ: a name whose short-window trend flag reads "down" but sits ABOVE its 200-day with a positive 1-year change is a deep pullback in an intact trend, never a breakdown. Only price below the 200-day paired with a weak or negative year is real structural damage — that distinction is called out explicitly below wherever a trend flag might otherwise mislead.


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟢 A genuine extension week for semis and cybersecurity, with five names now trading above RSI 70 for the first time this stretch — set against a fresh capitulation print in AI power and a second straight week of unexplained telecom weakness
Biggest single move ARM — +36.31% on the week and +39.27% over 30 days, RSI 57.7→71.1, 200-day cushion +33.0%→+58.2%, year +88.08%→+135.87%. No dated catalyst was found: its own news receipt carries only generic stock-quote pages and no earnings print falls in this window (checked `research/stock-events/`)
Cohort shift A CPU-stock rally lifted the semis complex: CNBC (September 21) reported Intel surging 12%, the same day MarketWatch reported AMD crossing a $1 trillion intraday market cap — both names now trade above RSI 70
Sharpest declines Telecom fell again for a second straight week: VZ (RSI -7.4 to 34.6), BCE (-4.8 to 27.7), with no fresh, substantive news pulled on either name — the same unexplained pattern flagged last cycle
Improving, not breaking CEG — after two straight weeks of decline, RSI firmed +7.4 to 43.8 and its 200-day gap narrowed from -13.0% to -9.4%, though its year (-21.62%) is still deteriorating slightly and nothing beyond the standing September equity raise is on file
Data caveat Every ticker carries a fresh 2026-09-23 close. TAC's news pull remains FAILED since April; SMCI (Aug 28), WDAY (Sep 2), STX (Jul 31), EQIX (Jun 21) and SKM (Jul 29) carry news receipts too old to speak to this week's moves — those names are marked "news not pulled for this move," not "no news"

What's Going On

The week's real trade was a broad CPU-stock rally with an actual dated catalyst behind it. CNBC reported Intel surging 12% on September 21 in a rally it attributed to CPU stocks generally, and MarketWatch reported the same day that AMD crossed a $1 trillion intraday market cap, the 14th U.S. company to reach that mark. Both names now trade above RSI 70 — Intel at 70.3 with a year that improved from +255.25% to +317.86%, and AMD at 71.0 with its year now at +281.98% and its 200-day cushion widened to +70.4%. Qualcomm rode the same wave, +10.98% on the week to RSI 66.4. Arm's move dwarfs all of them in percentage terms — +36.31% on the week, its cushion jumping from +33.0% to +58.2% above its 200-day and its year nearly doubling from +88.08% to +135.87% — but no dated item in its own news receipt or in research/stock-events/ explains it; the receipt carries only generic stock-quote aggregator pages, and no earnings print for Arm falls inside this window. That is the largest unexplained single-week move on this board and the one most worth a second week's confirmation before treating the extension as durable.

Meta also crossed into overbought territory, RSI 65.8→77.0, the board's highest reading, with its year improving sharply from -14.67% to -1.5% — the longest-running repair on this board is close to turning its trailing year positive for the first time. No dated catalyst was found for the week's specific move; its receipt carries only generic quote pages. Datadog and MongoDB both posted large RSI gains (DDOG +11.1 to 60.0, MDB +10.9 to 59.4) without a dated cause on file either. Broadcom is the one semis name still cooling: RSI 45.5→44.4, still the group's only sub-200-day name, though a Yahoo Finance item (September 21) carries its chief executive pushing back on "AI slowdown" concerns and reiterating unchanged targets — a defensive framing rather than a catalyst for a move, and Broadcom's tape didn't move much on it either way.

Cybersecurity kept extending the re-rate flagged last cycle. Zscaler rose again, RSI 63.3→70.5, crossing above RSI 70 for the first time and widening its 200-day cushion to +27.8%, though its year is still -25.87% — a repair still in progress, not a completed one. CrowdStrike (RSI 68.9, cushion now +76.4%) and Palo Alto Networks (RSI 62.7, cushion +61.6%) both extended without a fresh dated item explaining the specific week. The board grew by three names this cycle: Lumentum and Coherent, both optical/photonics names, and Nebius, a neocloud infrastructure provider the desk tracks as part of its standing AI-provider focus lane. Coherent's inclusion lines up with a dated catalyst — the company reported fourth-quarter and full-year fiscal 2026 results on September 22 — while Nebius's addition follows a Yahoo Finance item (September 20) describing a price increase for its cloud services, framed as a signal against a well-known short position in the name. Lumentum's own news receipt was last pulled September 16, before this week's window, so nothing on file speaks to its specific move this week.

The damaged corners are AI power and telecom. NextEra Energy fell into capitulation at RSI 22.1, the board's only sub-25 print, though it remains the group's one name with a positive trailing year (+6.5%). Eleven of the group's twelve names still sit below their 200-day. Constellation Energy is the exception worth flagging: after two straight weeks of decline that took it to 13.0% below its 200-day, its RSI firmed this week (36.4→43.8) and its 200-day gap narrowed to -9.4% — a stabilization, not a repair, since its year is still slightly deteriorating (-21.07%→-21.62%) and nothing beyond the standing September equity raise is on file. Telecom fell again across the board with no sourced cause: Verizon's RSI dropped 7.4 points and BCE's 4.8, and neither name's news receipt carries a substantive item dated inside this week — the same unexplained pattern the desk flagged last cycle, now running two weeks. Quantum names mostly bounced (IONQ +15.47% on the week, RGTI +8.25%) while staying deeply below their 200-day with double-digit negative years — a bounce, not a turn, consistent with the standing read on this cohort.


What Changed Since the 2026-09-18 Scan

  1. Five names crossed above RSI 70 for the first time this stretch: ARM (57.7→71.1), AMD (65.4→71.0), INTC (61.7→70.3), ZS (63.3→70.5), META (65.8→77.0). Last cycle's highest reading was TEM at 67.8.
  2. ARM posted the board's largest move by far: +36.31% on the week, +20.66% in price terms from $275.61 to $332.56, 200-day cushion +33.0%→+58.2%, year +88.08%→+135.87% — no dated catalyst found in its news receipt or in research/stock-events/.
  3. A CPU-stock rally is on the record: CNBC (Sept 21) reported Intel surging 12%; MarketWatch (Sept 21) reported AMD crossing a $1 trillion intraday market cap the same day. Both now trade above RSI 70.
  4. NextEra Energy fell into capitulation: RSI 32.7→22.1 (-10.6), the board's only sub-25 print, though it remains the AI-power group's one name with a positive year.
  5. CEG stabilized after two straight weeks of decline: RSI +7.4 (36.4→43.8), 200-day gap narrowed -13.0%→-9.4%, though its year is still fractionally negative-deepening (-21.07%→-21.62%).
  6. The board grew by three names: Lumentum (LITE) and Coherent (COHR), both optical/photonics, and Nebius (NBIS), a neocloud provider — Coherent's addition lines up with fourth-quarter/full-year fiscal 2026 results reported September 22; Nebius's follows a September 20 report of a cloud-services price increase.
  7. Telecom fell for a second straight week with no sourced cause: VZ -7.4 RSI (42.0→34.6), BCE -4.8 (32.5→27.7); neither name's receipt carries a substantive item dated inside the window.
  8. GOOGL cooled sharply: RSI -9.9 (55.0→45.1), price -3.35%, 200-day cushion cut to exactly 0% — now sitting right on the line.
  9. BOTZ's year flipped negative: +0.23%→-1.04%, while ROBO's cushion widened slightly to +2.9% — the two robotics funds continue to diverge from the AI-weighted funds (AIQ +34.04% year, SMH +86.95%).
  10. The oversold band widened from 7 names to 9: CEG climbed out (43.8, now neutral); ADBE, FSLR and VZ fell in; NEE deepened into capitulation.
  11. The quantum/speculative cohort mostly bounced but stayed broken: IONQ +15.47% on the week (RSI 48.7→57.2), RGTI +8.25% (49.1→50.3), while BBAI and SOUN stayed the deepest in the cohort, both still 25-33% below their 200-day.
  12. MU's earnings print (flagged last cycle for September 30) has not yet arrived — still the largest scheduled event ahead on this board.

How To Read The Board

RSI below 25 is capitulation. RSI 25-40 is oversold — check the trend and the long-horizon numbers before treating it as a buy signal, because several names here fell into this band while remaining well above their 200-day. RSI 40-70 is neutral-to-healthy, above 70 is extended. "vs SMA" is distance from the 20-day average, short-term positioning only. "1Y%" and "vs SMA200" are the long-horizon check: a red short-window trend flag paired with price above the 200-day and a positive year is a deep pullback, not a breakdown; the reverse is real structural damage. Where a cause is named below it comes from a dated item in that name's news receipt or a dated capture; where the receipt is stale or failed, the scan says "news not pulled for this move" rather than implying nothing happened.


Price Tables by Group

Semis & Foundry

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y% vs SMA200 Trend Signal
ARM $332.56 71.1 $262.52 +26.7% +36.31% +39.27% +135.87% +58.2% strong-up 🔴 Overbought, largest move on the board, cause unknown
AMD $614.61 71.0 $512.99 +19.8% +19.92% +34.56% +281.98% +70.4% strong-up 🟠 Overbought, $1T market-cap milestone Sept 21
INTC $122.60 70.3 $101.04 +21.3% +21.33% +40.50% +317.86% +56.5% strong-up 🟠 Overbought, CPU-stock rally sourced Sept 21
QCOM $197.24 66.4 $177.77 +11.0% +6.71% +24.42% +16.35% +16.8% strong-up 🟢 Rode the CPU rally, cushion widened
MRVL $260.90 63.1 $231.17 +12.9% +13.58% +13.79% +249.64% +62.2% strong-up 🟢 Firmed hard, huge year intact, no dated cause
TSM $446.57 60.6 $427.35 +4.5% +6.91% +8.89% +57.96% +17.0% strong-up 🟢 Firmed, intact trend
SMCI $41.44 60.0 $38.55 +7.5% +12.46% +17.83% -11.81% +30.6% strong-up 🟡 Above its 200-day, year still repairing
NVDA $225.51 55.7 $221.15 +2.0% +5.43% +8.17% +26.39% +13.3% strong-up 🟢 Firmed, cushion widened
ASML $1,744.61 55.0 $1,687.19 +3.4% +8.89% +0.26% +81.07% +14.9% strong-up 🟢 Firmed, comfortably above its 200-day
AVGO $354.99 44.4 $359.23 -1.2% +4.56% -1.05% +4.74% -3.7% down 🔴 Group's only sub-200-day name, CEO pushed back on AI-slowdown talk

Read: Three names — Arm, AMD, Intel — now trade above RSI 70, a first for this board this stretch. AMD and Intel's extension has a dated catalyst on record; Arm's does not, and its move is by far the largest, which makes it the name on this table most in need of a second week's confirmation before its extension is trusted. Broadcom remains the group's one name below its 200-day.

Memory / Storage

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y% vs SMA200 Trend Signal
MU $1,071.88 62.2 $979.69 +9.4% +15.69% +17.73% +544.12% +64.2% strong-up 🟢 Deepest cushion on the board, earnings still ahead
STX $923.86 60.1 $842.55 +9.7% +17.96% +16.26% +304.97% +46.9% strong-up 🟢 Firmed hard, historic year intact
WDC $473.69 54.0 $451.23 +5.0% +13.60% +8.80% +329.65% +21.3% weak-down 🟢 Firmed, historic year intact

Read: All three continue to hold extraordinary trailing years with large cushions, and all three firmed this week. Micron's scheduled print has not yet landed — still the largest scheduled event ahead on this board.

Cloud Hyperscalers

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y% vs SMA200 Trend Signal
META $744.10 77.0 $641.76 +15.9% +10.51% +33.11% -1.50% +19.0% up 🔴 Overbought, board's highest RSI, year nearly turned positive
TSLA $380.12 60.6 $363.21 +4.7% +6.16% +8.93% -10.74% -4.1% weak-up 🟡 Improving but still below its 200-day
MSFT $500.59 56.2 $499.41 +0.2% +2.10% +2.73% -1.70% +15.9% strong-up 🟡 Firmed, year still slightly negative
GOOGL $337.83 45.1 $341.99 -1.2% -1.47% -2.94% +34.24% 0.0% down 🟡 Cooled sharply, cushion now exactly at the line
AMZN $249.27 44.1 $255.18 -2.3% +1.35% -4.88% +12.94% +3.6% weak-down 🟢 Cooled, intact trend

Read: Meta's overbought print is the group's headline, its year nearly turning positive for the first time in this stretch, though no dated catalyst was found for this week's specific move. Alphabet is the group's one concerning name this week: its 200-day cushion fell from +3.6% to exactly 0%, meaning next week's tape decides whether it joins the group's confirmed-damage names or holds its intact trend.

AI Security

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y% vs SMA200 Trend Signal
ZS $214.45 70.5 $184.44 +16.3% +11.94% +21.81% -25.87% +27.8% strong-up 🟠 Overbought, repair still in progress, year still negative
CRWD $262.49 68.9 $225.55 +16.4% +8.75% +37.66% +116.88% +76.4% strong-up 🟢 Deepest cushion in the group, extended without a fresh dated cause
FTNT $178.74 64.6 $165.54 +8.0% +4.06% +17.60% +109.62% +55.1% strong-up 🟢 Extending, doubled year intact
PANW $393.30 62.7 $358.79 +9.6% +4.70% +12.08% +93.51% +61.6% strong-up 🟢 Extending, cushion widened further

Read: All four names extended last cycle's re-rate; Zscaler crossed above RSI 70 for the first time even though its trailing year is still deeply negative at -25.87% — this is a repair still in progress, not a completed one, and the 27.8% cushion above its 200-day is now the level that matters if the extension gives back.

Data / Software / SaaS

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y% vs SMA200 Trend Signal
PLTR $191.79 66.9 $177.46 +8.1% +10.01% +9.04% +5.06% +26.2% strong-up 🟡 Strong week, year still barely positive
NET $352.33 65.4 $311.64 +13.1% +8.53% +25.68% +57.81% +53.1% strong-up 🟢 Strong week, cushion widened again
DDOG $251.49 60.0 $229.24 +9.7% +8.97% +11.39% +82.92% +39.2% strong-up 🟢 Big RSI gain, no dated cause found
MDB $428.36 59.4 $396.83 +7.9% +13.82% +6.37% +34.30% +24.3% strong-up 🟢 Big RSI gain, no dated cause found
ANET $203.47 57.9 $196.13 +3.7% +3.00% +8.14% +41.21% +30.2% strong-up 🟢 Firmed, strong year
NOW $140.78 57.8 $138.29 +1.8% +0.69% +9.94% -24.12% +20.4% strong-up 🟡 Repair continuing, year still deeply negative
AI $10.86 56.6 $10.59 +2.5% +2.84% +7.42% -40.07% +4.2% up 🔴 Off its 200-day line, year still deeply negative
SNOW $334.81 54.4 $330.84 +1.2% +1.14% +3.73% +49.78% +49.5% strong-up 🟢 Steady, deep cushion
CRM $237.58 52.9 $247.38 -4.0% -5.17% +13.64% -2.85% +17.9% strong-up 🟡 Cooled on the week, year near flat
WDAY $192.38 52.6 $193.49 -0.6% +2.46% -3.40% -19.95% +21.5% strong-up 🟡 Good week, year still negative
EQIX $1,037.66 49.2 $1,037.00 +0.1% +2.12% -1.66% +29.18% +6.1% weak-down 🟡 Steady, cushion thin
DLR $181.45 43.3 $185.58 -2.2% +0.21% -3.77% +4.21% +0.6% weak-down 🟡 Cushion nearly gone — the data-center REIT to watch
CSCO $106.43 40.8 $109.60 -2.9% -1.22% -3.45% +57.58% +10.1% weak-down 🟢 Cooled, strong year
ADBE $240.69 39.2 $264.11 -8.9% -3.92% -12.88% -33.47% -8.7% strong-down 🔴 Below its 200-day, year deepened again
PATH $13.04 37.5 $15.31 -14.8% -4.33% -21.30% +4.07% +1.3% weak-down 🟡 Fifth straight week falling, cushion down to 1.3%

Read: Cloudflare and MongoDB were the group's strong movers without a sourced catalyst behind either. Digital Realty's cushion is now down to 0.6%, the thinnest in the group, and UiPath extended its multi-week decline to a cushion of just 1.3% — both are the names to watch for a 200-day crossing next. Adobe stays the group's confirmed breakdown.

AI Power / Energy

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y% vs SMA200 Trend Signal
BE $275.19 60.0 $250.53 +9.8% +1.91% +34.88% +255.63% +36.7% strong-up 🟢 Group's one clean leader
OKLO $38.82 46.6 $39.54 -1.8% +8.98% -2.19% -72.79% -37.0% strong-down 🔴 Bounced, deeply broken
SMR $8.68 46.0 $9.28 -6.4% +4.58% -4.09% -79.15% -29.9% strong-down 🔴 Worst year on the board
TAC $11.95 45.1 $12.09 -1.1% 0.00% -1.24% -12.26% -8.0% strong-down 🔴 Flat week, news pull FAILED since April
SEDG $33.35 44.4 $34.44 -3.2% -3.84% +10.83% -7.18% -20.8% strong-down 🔴 Bad week, still well below its 200-day
EOSE $3.58 43.8 $3.76 -4.7% -9.14% +3.47% -64.76% -54.1% strong-down 🔴 Deepest damage in the group
CEG $263.88 43.8 $276.12 -4.4% +1.68% -3.49% -21.62% -9.4% strong-down 🟡 Stabilizing after two straight weeks of decline
VST $137.97 41.4 $142.68 -3.3% -1.72% +1.70% -32.45% -11.5% strong-down 🔴 Below its 200-day, year still deteriorating
RUN $8.34 40.1 $8.70 -4.2% +0.85% -6.50% -49.30% -40.0% strong-down 🔴 Deeply broken
FSLR $191.97 39.6 $202.96 -5.4% +0.47% -7.84% -11.01% -15.5% strong-down 🔴 Fell into oversold, still deteriorating
ENPH $33.07 34.1 $36.28 -8.9% -7.00% -11.05% -11.48% -19.8% strong-down 🔴 Fell into oversold, deteriorating
NEE $77.02 22.1 $81.87 -5.9% -4.17% -8.42% +6.50% -12.1% strong-down 🔴 Board's only capitulation print

Read: Eleven of twelve names sit below their 200-day and ten carry a negative year — still the board's most damaged corner. NextEra's drop into capitulation is the group's headline this week; Constellation Energy is the one name showing real improvement, its RSI firming for the first time in three cycles even though its year is still fractionally deteriorating. Bloom Energy remains the group's sole clean leader.

AI Healthcare

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y% vs SMA200 Trend Signal
TEM $76.59 65.3 $67.71 +13.1% +9.46% +15.75% -8.96% +36.3% strong-up 🟢 Cooled slightly off last cycle's spike, cushion still deep
ISRGE $398.30 62.0 $375.70 +6.0% +4.19% +6.62% -11.04% -12.0% weak-up 🟡 Still below its 200-day, repair continuing
VEEV $270.75 61.3 $268.60 +0.8% +2.21% +8.97% -2.90% +35.7% strong-up 🟢 Firmed, deep cushion, year nearly flat

Read: Tempus AI cooled slightly after last cycle's violent re-rate but holds its gains, its cushion still at +36.3%. Intuitive Surgical's repair keeps going but 12.0% below its 200-day is still 12.0% below.

Quantum / Speculative AI

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y% vs SMA200 Trend Signal
IONQ $42.54 57.2 $39.09 +8.8% +15.47% +3.60% -43.39% -2.7% weak-up 🟡 Best bounce in the cohort, nearly back to its 200-day
RGTI $16.01 50.3 $15.57 +2.9% +8.25% -2.20% -49.11% -14.4% weak-up 🟡 Bounced, still deeply below its 200-day
QBTS $16.81 44.6 $17.03 -1.3% +3.32% -10.01% -38.92% -20.6% strong-down 🔴 Bounced on the week, month still deeply negative
BBAI $2.84 44.0 $2.92 -2.7% +4.03% -7.49% -64.46% -30.8% strong-down 🔴 Deeply broken
SOUN $6.01 38.3 $6.50 -7.5% +1.35% -14.14% -66.70% -24.9% strong-down 🔴 Deepest in the cohort

Read: Every name in this cohort bounced this week and every one remains between 2.7% and 30.8% below its 200-day with a double-digit negative year — IonQ is the closest to reclaiming its 200-day, but this remains a bounce, not a turn, for the cohort as a whole.

Telecom / Connectivity

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y% vs SMA200 Trend Signal
T $25.30 49.3 $25.76 -1.8% -2.17% -1.52% -12.12% +0.6% up 🟡 Cushion nearly gone, year negative
SKM $35.85 45.4 $37.25 -3.8% +1.41% -10.37% +64.00% +11.7% strong-up 🟢 Bad month, group's only clean long-horizon profile
VZ $46.52 34.6 $49.56 -6.1% -6.51% -7.24% +7.31% +0.7% weak-down 🟡 Second straight week down, still no sourced cause
TMUS $165.66 36.8 $177.21 -6.5% -6.01% -9.29% -30.83% -13.9% strong-down 🔴 Confirmed damage, deepened
BCE $21.61 27.7 $23.02 -6.1% -3.96% -9.39% -7.01% -9.5% strong-down 🔴 Fell into oversold, second-sharpest drop

Read: The whole group fell again for a second straight week, and the desk still has no receipt that speaks to why. Verizon's year is still positive (+7.31%) with its cushion right at the line (+0.7%), so its drop reads as a deep pullback rather than confirmed damage for now; T-Mobile and BCE do not pass that check and both deepened further.

AI ETFs

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y% vs SMA200 Trend Signal
SMH $601.41 61.4 $564.92 +6.5% +10.24% +9.99% +86.95% +22.5% strong-up 🟢 Rode the CPU rally, huge trailing year
AIQ $65.99 60.8 $64.17 +2.8% +4.73% +5.92% +34.04% +16.1% strong-up 🟢 Steady, group leader
ROBO $80.21 51.1 $79.47 +0.9% +3.42% +0.30% +19.68% +2.9% weak-down 🟡 Cushion still thin, only 2.9% above its 200-day
BOTZ $35.29 47.2 $35.39 -0.3% +1.64% +0.11% -1.04% -4.4% strong-down 🔴 Year flipped negative this week

Read: The two AI-weighted funds continue to lead; the two robotics funds keep decoupling from them. BOTZ's year turned negative this week for the first time in this stretch, widening the split from AIQ's +34.04%.

Optical / Photonics & Neocloud (new this cycle)

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% 1Y% vs SMA200 Trend Signal
LITE $937.00 54.1 $912.92 +2.6% +1.91% +12.87% +471.38% +29.6% strong-up 🟢 Historic year, news last pulled Sept 16 — not fresh for this week
NBIS $226.61 52.3 $219.57 +3.2% +8.23% +7.44% +110.21% +39.3% strong-up 🟢 Neocloud price-hike report Sept 20, cushion deep
COHR $300.60 50.8 $290.55 +3.5% +3.68% +9.11% +175.05% +5.5% strong-up 🟡 Fourth-quarter/full-year FY26 results reported Sept 22

Read: All three new additions carry strong trailing years and sit above their 200-day. Nebius is a member of the neocloud/AI-provider stack the desk tracks as a standing focus lane, and its September 20 price-increase report is the one dated catalyst among the three; Coherent's addition lines up with a fourth-quarter earnings report the same week, and Lumentum's own receipt is a week stale, so nothing on file speaks to its specific move.

Too-Young Regime

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% Regime Signal
SKHY $189.28 58.4 $177.18 +6.8% +8.24% +21.83% too-young ⚠️ No 1-year or 200-day history yet — trend classification unavailable

Read: SK hynix's US listing is still too young for a long-horizon read; its month remains strong but unclassifiable against a trend.


Tier Analysis

Capitulation (RSI < 25)

One name: NEE at 22.1 — the board's only sub-25 print, though it remains the AI-power group's one name with a positive trailing year (+6.5%).

Oversold (RSI 25-40)

Eight names: BCE (27.7), ENPH (34.1), VZ (34.6), TMUS (36.8), PATH (37.5), SOUN (38.3), ADBE (39.2), FSLR (39.6). The band widened from 7 to 9 total (including capitulation) since last cycle — CEG climbed out into neutral; ADBE, FSLR and VZ fell in. Only PATH still carries a positive year among this group.

Neutral-Strong (RSI 40+)

The remaining 61 names, five of them above RSI 70 for the first time this stretch: META (77.0), ARM (71.1), AMD (71.0), ZS (70.5), INTC (70.3). QCOM (66.4), PLTR (66.9) and NET (65.4) round out the top tier below that.


Entry Zones

Stock Entry Zone Thesis Status
ARM Watch for the retest Board's largest move, no dated catalyst, now overbought 🔍 Watch
AMD, INTC Watch for the retest Overbought on a sourced CPU-stock rally, historic years 🔍 Watch
QCOM, MRVL, TSM, SMCI, NVDA, ASML Hold Firm, intact long-horizon checks 🔒 Hold
AVGO Watch Group's only sub-200-day name, CEO defending targets 🔍 Watch
MU, STX, WDC Watch for exhaustion Extraordinary years, deep cushions, Micron's print still ahead 🔍 Watch
META Watch for the retest Overbought, year nearly turned positive, no dated cause 🔍 Watch
TSLA, MSFT Hold Firming, intact trends 🔒 Hold
GOOGL Watch Cushion cut to exactly 0% this week 🔍 Watch
AMZN Hold Cooled slightly, intact trend 🔒 Hold
ZS Watch for the retest Overbought, repair still in progress, year still -25.87% 🔍 Watch
CRWD, FTNT, PANW Hold Extending, deep cushions 🔒 Hold
NET, DDOG, MDB, ANET, SNOW, CSCO Hold Clean leaders, intact trends 🔒 Hold
PLTR, NOW, AI, CRM, WDAY Watch Good weeks against flat or negative years 🔍 Watch
EQIX, DLR Watch Data-center REIT cushions thin, Digital Realty at 0.6% 🔍 Watch
PATH Watch Fifth straight week down, cushion at 1.3% 🔍 Watch
ADBE Avoid Below its 200-day, year deepened again ⚠️ Avoid
BE Hold Group's clean leader 🔒 Hold
CEG Watch Stabilizing but not yet repaired 🔍 Watch
OKLO, SMR, TAC, SEDG, EOSE, VST, RUN, FSLR, ENPH Avoid Below their 200-day with negative years, most deteriorating ⚠️ Avoid
NEE Watch Capitulation print, year still positive 🔍 Watch
TEM, VEEV Hold Deep cushions, strong quarters 🔒 Hold
ISRGE Watch Repairing, still below its 200-day 🔍 Watch
IONQ, RGTI Watch Bounced, still below their 200-day 🔍 Watch
QBTS, BBAI, SOUN Avoid Bounces inside unrepaired breakdowns ⚠️ Avoid
SKM Hold Group's only clean long-horizon profile 🔒 Hold
VZ, T Watch Sharp drops, no sourced cause, Verizon's year still positive 🔍 Watch
TMUS, BCE Avoid Confirmed damage, deepened this week ⚠️ Avoid
SMH, AIQ Hold Fund leadership intact 🔒 Hold
BOTZ, ROBO Watch Robotics decoupling from AI; BOTZ's year turned negative 🔍 Watch
LITE, NBIS, COHR Watch (new coverage) Newly added this cycle, strong trailing years 🔍 Watch
SKHY Watch (research) Too-young regime, no long-horizon read available 🔍 Watch

Action Matrix

Stock Signal Action Notes
ARM 🔴 🔍 Watch Board's biggest move, overbought, cause unknown
AMD, INTC 🟠 🔍 Watch Overbought on a sourced CPU rally
QCOM, MRVL, TSM, SMCI, NVDA, ASML 🟢 🔒 Hold Intact long-horizon checks
AVGO 🔴 🔍 Watch Only sub-200-day semis name
MU, STX, WDC 🟢 🔍 Watch Historic years, Micron's print still ahead
META 🔴 🔍 Watch Overbought, year nearly turned positive
TSLA, MSFT, AMZN 🟡 🔒 Hold Firming, intact trends
GOOGL 🟡 🔍 Watch Cushion cut to exactly 0%
ZS 🟠 🔍 Watch Overbought, year still deeply negative
CRWD, FTNT, PANW 🟢 🔒 Hold Extending, deep cushions
NET, DDOG, MDB, ANET, SNOW, CSCO 🟢 🔒 Hold Clean leaders
PLTR, NOW, AI, CRM, WDAY 🟡 🔍 Watch Good weeks, weak years
EQIX, DLR 🟡 🔍 Watch Data-center REIT cushions thinning
PATH 🔴 🔍 Watch Fifth straight week down
ADBE 🔴 ⚠️ Avoid Confirmed breakdown
BE 🟢 🔒 Hold Group's clean leader
CEG 🟡 🔍 Watch Stabilizing after two collapse weeks
OKLO, SMR, TAC, SEDG, EOSE, VST, RUN, FSLR, ENPH 🔴 ⚠️ Avoid Deeply broken
NEE 🔴 🔍 Watch Capitulation print, year still positive
TEM, VEEV 🟢 🔒 Hold Deep cushions
ISRGE 🟡 🔍 Watch Repairing, still below its 200-day
IONQ, RGTI 🟡 🔍 Watch Bounced, not turned
QBTS, BBAI, SOUN 🔴 ⚠️ Avoid Bounces, not turns
SKM 🟢 🔒 Hold Telecom's only clean profile
VZ, T 🟡 🔍 Watch Sharp drops without receipts
TMUS, BCE 🔴 ⚠️ Avoid Confirmed damage
SMH, AIQ 🟢 🔒 Hold Fund leadership intact
BOTZ, ROBO 🔴 🔍 Watch Robotics decoupling, BOTZ's year flipped negative
LITE, NBIS, COHR 🟢 🔍 Watch New coverage this cycle
SKHY ⚠️ 🔍 Watch Too-young regime

What To Watch Next

  • Whether Arm's 36.31% week survives a retest. The move is the largest on this board and carries no dated catalyst; a give-back of even a third of it would pull the stock back through RSI 70 and cut deeply into the new +58.2% cushion.
  • Whether the CPU-stock rally (Intel +12% on September 21, AMD's $1 trillion milestone the same day) holds a second week or fades as a one-day-driven pop — both names are now overbought.
  • Whether telecom's unexplained second straight losing week gets a sourced cause, or resolves as part of the same rate-driven repricing hitting utilities and real estate on the broader market dashboard this week.
  • Whether Constellation Energy's stabilization (RSI +7.4, cushion narrowing) becomes a genuine repair or was one calmer week inside a still-deteriorating year.
  • Whether GOOGL's 200-day cushion — now at exactly 0% — resolves up into the intact column or down into confirmed damage next week.
  • Whether Meta's trailing year, now at -1.5%, crosses into positive territory for the first time in this stretch, and whether its RSI 77 print gives back before it gets there.
  • Whether Digital Realty (cushion 0.6%) or UiPath (cushion 1.3%) cross below their 200-day next — both are now the thinnest positive readings on this board outside of GOOGL.
  • Micron's scheduled print, still the largest scheduled event ahead on this board.

Sources

  • Tape data (price, RSI, moving averages, returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-09-23 close — ai-scan.
  • News receipts checked for cause attribution: stocks{ARM,AMD,MRVL,INTC,META,NVDA,NBIS,LITE,COHR,CEG,VZ,T,TMUS,BCE,TAC,P}/news/latest.json`.
  • Scheduled-event check: research/stock-events/ (Arm, AMD, Marvell, Intel, Meta, Coherent, Lumentum, Constellation Energy — no earnings prints fall inside this window).
  • CPU-stock rally and AMD milestone: 2026-09-21-cnbc-intel-surges-12-as-cpu-stocks-rally-here-s-what-s-driving-th-108365666, 2026-09-21-marketwatch-amd-hits-a-major-milestone-as-ai-stocks-blaze-higher--mktw-0005244006.
  • Broadcom management commentary: 2026-09-21-yahoofinance-our-targets-haven-t-changed-broadcom-s-ceo-pushes-back-on-th-m-112507800-html.
  • Nebius price increase: 2026-09-20-yahoofinance-nebius-s-price-hike-suggests-michael-burry-made-a-mistake-an-l-142209026-html.
  • Prior cycle for comparison: 2026-09-18-ai-scan.
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.