AI Scan
AI Scan
The board carries a Friday 2026-08-28 settled close: the AI Software repair trade accelerated sharply this cycle — CRM posted the scan's biggest positive RSI move (66.1 to 80.8, now deep overbought and parabolic) and CRWD staged the sharpest reversal in the whole complex (RSI 42.8 to 58.2, +15.4) — while TEM cooled the hardest, falling out of last cycle's parabolic spike (RSI 75.1 to 57.3, -17.8). Applying the desk's long-horizon check, most of this cycle's moves read as normal repositioning inside intact trends — but AI Power/Energy remains the scan's genuinely weak cohort, with 11 of its 12 names still trading below their 200-day. All 67 tickers carry a fresh 2026-08-28 close (ai-scan).
LONG-HORIZON READ: a name whose short-window trend flag reads "down" but sits ABOVE its 200-day with a positive 1-year change is a deep pullback in an intact trend, never a breakdown. Only price below the 200-day paired with a weak or negative year is real structural damage — that distinction is called out explicitly below wherever a trend flag might otherwise mislead.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 A repair rally in AI Software set against continued weakness in AI Power/Energy — most of the rest of the complex is a normal cooldown-from-extension inside intact trends |
| Biggest single event | CRM — the scan's sharpest positive RSI move this cycle (66.1→80.8, +14.7), now deep overbought and in a parabolic regime, though flat on the year (+0.58%) |
| Sharpest reversal | CRWD — RSI 42.8→58.2 (+15.4), 38.3%→55.5% above its 200-day, recovering cleanly from last cycle's crash |
| Sharpest cooldown | TEM — RSI 75.1→57.3 (-17.8), falling out of last cycle's parabolic spike |
| Real breakdown | META — still below its 200-day (-7.2%), down 22.86% on the year, worst hyperscaler alpha — even with RSI firming +10.9 this cycle |
| Oversold band narrowed | From nine names last cycle to six: NEE, RUN, EOSE, FSLR, VST, SEDG — AVGO, META, TAC, ARM, and INTC all recovered above RSI 40 |
| Data caveat | None — every ticker carries a fresh 2026-08-28 close |
What's Going On
The clearest theme this cycle is a repair rally inside AI Software. CRM's RSI move (66.1→80.8) is the single sharpest positive swing anywhere in this scan, pushing it into deep overbought and a parabolic regime on a +22.51% 7-day return — but its 1-year change is essentially flat (+0.58%), so this is a name climbing back to even, not breaking out to new strength. NOW (+10.3 RSI), ADBE (+6.3), and FTNT (+11.4) all posted similarly sharp gains. CRWD staged the sharpest genuine reversal in the complex — RSI 42.8→58.2 (+15.4) after last cycle's crash — and now sits 55.5% above its 200-day with a 97.65% 1-year gain, a clean recovery rather than a repair story. On the other side, TEM cooled the hardest of any name on the board, falling out of last cycle's parabolic spike (RSI 75.1→57.3, -17.8) on a -11.94% 7-day return, though its 30-day change stays a strong +54.13%.
Within semis, AVGO remains the group's one genuine long-trend test — its price sits essentially unchanged at -0.2% below its 200-day for a second straight cycle, with the desk still rating the thesis intact. MRVL posted the sharpest 7-day drop in the semis group (-8.63%) but remains 45.7% above its own 200-day with a 180.49% 1-year gain — a deep pullback, not a breakdown. AMD, ASML, INTC, and ARM all continued cooling on RSI but every one sits well above its 200-day with a double- or triple-digit 1-year gain. SMCI and QCOM stay the group's genuinely weak charts — SMCI is still down 15.67% on the year despite trading above its 200-day, and QCOM remains below its own 200-day in a collapse regime. The memory/storage trio (MU, STX, WDC) all cooled modestly but remain 25-59% above their 200-day with historic 1-year gains — MU's +665.77% is still the scan's single best — a pattern the desk continues to flag "intact-but-priced."
Among the hyperscalers, META remains the one real breakdown — still 7.2% below its 200-day and down 22.86% on the year, the worst hyperscaler alpha in the scan — even though its RSI firmed the most of any hyperscaler this cycle (38.7→49.6, +10.9). MSFT's RSI jumped into deep overbought (62.4→73.1, +10.7) on a strong month, but its 1-year change is essentially flat (+0.76%) despite trading well above its 200-day — worth flagging even though the chart looks clean. TSLA remains below its 200-day and death-crossed (-13.0%) despite a positive 7-day pop. AMZN and GOOGL both hold steady, intact trends.
AI Power/Energy remains this scan's genuinely weak cohort by the long-horizon check: 11 of its 12 names trade below their 200-day, and most (CEG, VST, SMR, OKLO, ENPH, TAC, SEDG, RUN, FSLR, EOSE) are flat-to-deeply-negative on the year. NEE deepened further into its own oversold reading (RSI 31.7→26.4), now the group's most oversold name by a wide margin. BE remains the group's lone clean exception — its 1-year gain moderated to +284.62% from last cycle's +349.36% but it still sits 11.8% above its 200-day with the thesis rated intact. Elsewhere, the AI Security group (CRWD, FTNT, PANW) all posted strong gains this cycle, Quantum/Speculative names (IONQ, RGTI, QBTS) all fell hard and deepened below their 200-day, and Telecom stayed mixed with SKM the clear long-horizon leader.
What Changed Since the 2026-08-22 Scan
- CRM posted the scan's sharpest positive RSI move: 66.1→80.8 (+14.7), 7D +22.51%, now deep overbought in a parabolic regime.
- CRWD staged the sharpest reversal in the complex: 42.8→58.2 (+15.4), 7D +13.80% — recovering cleanly, now 55.5% above its 200-day.
- TEM cooled the hardest of any name: 75.1→57.3 (-17.8), 7D -11.94%, falling out of last cycle's parabolic spike.
- FTNT and NOW both posted double-digit RSI gains: FTNT 45.8→57.2 (+11.4); NOW 62.4→72.7 (+10.3) — both continuing repair rallies.
- META and MSFT both firmed sharply on RSI: META 38.7→49.6 (+10.9); MSFT 62.4→73.1 (+10.7) — MSFT now deep overbought despite a flat year.
- The oversold band narrowed from nine names to six: AVGO, META, TAC, ARM, and INTC all recovered above RSI 40; EOSE and FSLR newly fell below it; NEE deepened further within the band.
- QBTS posted the sharpest negative move in Quantum: RSI 51.9→40.4 (-11.5), 7D -16.58%.
- IONQ and RGTI both fell hard: IONQ 54.7→44.5 (-10.2); RGTI 53.7→43.9 (-9.8).
- MRVL cooled sharply: RSI 55.8→47.2 (-8.6), 7D -8.63%, still 45.7% above its 200-day.
- ASML continued cooling: RSI 50.5→43.4 (-7.1), still 15.9% above its 200-day.
- BCE and SKM both cooled within Telecom: BCE 65.2→58.4 (-6.8); SKM 65.2→60.6 (-4.6).
- NEE deepened further into oversold: RSI 31.7→26.4 (-5.3), still the group's most oversold name.
How To Read The Board
RSI < 25 = capitulation. RSI 25-40 = oversold (check trend/death-cross and the long-horizon numbers before treating as a buy signal — several names here fell into this band on a rough week while remaining well above their 200-day). RSI 40-70 = neutral-to-healthy. RSI > 70 = extended. "vs SMA" = distance from the 20-day average. "1Y%" and "vs SMA200" are the long-horizon check: a red short-window trend flag paired with price above the 200-day and a positive year is a deep pullback, not a breakdown; the reverse (below the 200-day, weak or negative year) is real structural damage.
Price Tables by Group
Semis & Foundry
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMCI | $37.08 | 56.9 | $35.17 | +5.4% | -0.43% | +44.28% | -15.67% | +18.3% | up | 🔴 Above its 200-day but down on the year, worst alpha in the group, still death-crossed |
| NVDA | $217.55 | 52.3 | $218.05 | -0.2% | +1.29% | +14.49% | +20.91% | +11.1% | strong-up | 🟢 Cooled, thesis rated intact, deep pullback |
| TSM | $417.52 | 49.6 | $419.18 | -0.4% | -0.33% | +11.44% | +75.23% | +13.0% | weak-down | 🟢 Roughly flat, intact trend despite short-window flag |
| QCOM | $164.19 | 48.5 | $161.80 | +1.5% | +2.14% | +5.47% | +2.11% | -2.2% | down | 🔴 Below its 200-day, collapse regime — group's weakest chart |
| MRVL | $216.62 | 47.2 | $224.17 | -3.4% | -8.63% | +32.57% | +180.49% | +45.7% | weak-down | 🟡 Sharpest 7-day drop in the group but 45.7% above its 200-day, huge year — deep pullback |
| AMD | $465.57 | 44.8 | $482.04 | -3.4% | -1.61% | +8.38% | +176.17% | +38.7% | weak-down | 🟡 Cooled but 38.7% above its 200-day, +176% year — deep pullback |
| ASML | $1,696.16 | 43.4 | $1,756.30 | -3.4% | -3.90% | +9.38% | +122.17% | +15.9% | weak-down | 🟢 Cooled further but 15.9% above its 200-day, huge year — deep pullback |
| AVGO | $368.79 | 42.7 | $391.06 | -5.7% | +0.07% | -0.41% | +20.36% | -0.2% | down | 🔴 Still testing its 200-day for a second straight cycle, thesis rated intact |
| INTC | $89.47 | 41.5 | $95.87 | -6.7% | -0.66% | +9.27% | +258.88% | +22.9% | weak-down | 🟡 Cooled further but 22.9% above its 200-day, huge year — deep pullback |
| ARM | $239.05 | 40.0 | $261.20 | -8.5% | -1.78% | +6.30% | +67.70% | +19.9% | weak-down | 🟡 Borderline oversold but 19.9% above its 200-day — deep pullback, desk flags intact-but-priced |
Read: AVGO remains the group's one genuine long-trend test, essentially unchanged just below its 200-day for a second straight cycle. SMCI and QCOM stay the genuinely weak charts. Everyone else is a short-window dip inside an intact trend.
Memory / Storage
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MU | $932.86 | 50.7 | $920.87 | +1.3% | -3.52% | +26.23% | +665.77% | +58.5% | weak-down | 🟢 Scan's single best 1-year gain, desk flags intact-but-priced |
| STX | $829.76 | 47.0 | $857.26 | -3.2% | -2.43% | +8.55% | +381.36% | +43.1% | weak-down | 🟢 Cooled but 43.1% above its 200-day, thesis intact |
| WDC | $459.45 | 45.2 | $475.32 | -3.3% | +0.03% | -0.56% | +460.03% | +25.7% | weak-down | 🟢 Roughly flat, 25.7% above its 200-day, thesis intact |
Read: All three continue cooling from historic highs, but the long-horizon check stays unambiguous — deep pullbacks inside historic uptrends, not breakdowns.
Cloud Hyperscalers
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT | $513.52 | 73.1 | $493.35 | +4.1% | +6.28% | +31.49% | +0.76% | +19.1% | up | 🟠 Deep overbought after the group's sharpest RSI gain (+10.7), but flat on the year despite price near highs |
| AMZN | $266.43 | 55.9 | $266.88 | -0.2% | +2.99% | +17.55% | +15.04% | +11.6% | strong-up | 🟢 Steady, thesis intact |
| TSLA | $348.75 | 50.9 | $338.82 | +2.9% | -3.89% | +16.90% | +0.80% | -13.0% | strong-down | 🔴 Still below its 200-day, death-crossed, despite thesis rated intact |
| GOOGL | $346.59 | 49.3 | $350.27 | -1.1% | +0.46% | +2.93% | +63.76% | +3.6% | weak-down | 🟢 Roughly flat, strong year, thesis intact |
| META | $578.02 | 49.6 | $575.77 | +0.4% | +5.11% | -1.30% | -22.86% | -7.2% | strong-down | 🔴 Group's real breakdown, worst alpha of the group, despite RSI firming +10.9 this cycle |
Read: META remains the one hyperscaler where the long trend itself is broken, even with its RSI improving the most of any name in the group this cycle. MSFT's flat year despite a near-overbought price is worth flagging.
AI Security
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRWD | $218.40 | 58.2 | $208.95 | +4.5% | +13.80% | +21.75% | +97.65% | +55.5% | strong-up | 🟢 Group's sharpest reversal — RSI up 15.4 points off last cycle's crash |
| ZS | $184.23 | 60.4 | $175.64 | +4.9% | +1.29% | +19.81% | -34.30% | +4.8% | up | 🟡 Only 4.8% above its 200-day, still down 34.3% on the year — still repairing |
| PANW | $371.59 | 55.8 | $366.86 | +1.3% | +3.88% | +18.28% | +94.53% | +61.9% | strong-up | 🟢 Steady, best alpha in the group |
| FTNT | $166.00 | 57.2 | $160.04 | +3.7% | +8.12% | +8.34% | +109.36% | +53.5% | strong-up | 🟢 Group leader — best year, deeply above its 200-day |
Read: CRWD's snap-back is the sharpest single reversal in this whole scan. ZS remains the one name here still genuinely repairing a damaged year.
Data / Software / SaaS
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRM | $256.00 | 80.8 | $203.58 | +25.8% | +22.51% | +35.90% | +0.58% | +27.8% | up | 🟠 Deep overbought, parabolic regime, sharpest positive RSI move in the group (+14.7) but flat on the year |
| PATH | $18.15 | 76.3 | $15.77 | +15.1% | +10.74% | +44.16% | +61.19% | +41.8% | strong-up | 🟠 Deep overbought, parabolic regime, strong year |
| NOW | $144.71 | 72.7 | $125.48 | +15.3% | +12.59% | +25.01% | -22.08% | +21.3% | up | 🟠 Near overbought after a big month, still negative on the year — repairing |
| ADBE | $291.52 | 68.8 | $268.25 | +8.7% | +5.92% | +10.66% | -17.64% | +8.3% | up | 🟡 Above its 200-day but still down 17.6% on the year — repair in progress |
| WDAY | $204.72 | 66.2 | $188.15 | +8.8% | +2.25% | +21.85% | -10.41% | +27.3% | up | 🟡 Well above its 200-day but still negative on the year — recovering |
| MDB | $446.62 | 63.0 | $418.77 | +6.7% | +3.67% | +39.09% | +40.40% | +30.9% | strong-up | 🟢 Strong across every window, doubled over the year |
| SNOW | $328.00 | 61.3 | $325.19 | +0.9% | -1.40% | +15.94% | +36.10% | +51.0% | strong-up | 🟢 51% above its 200-day, strong year |
| AI | $10.53 | 60.6 | $10.10 | +4.3% | +2.33% | +18.98% | -39.17% | -1.8% | weak-up | 🔴 Still below its 200-day, down 39.2% on the year, badly negative alpha — real breakdown |
| ANET | $195.38 | 54.6 | $194.38 | +0.5% | +3.53% | +23.68% | +43.42% | +29.9% | strong-up | 🟢 Steady, strong year |
| NET | $299.84 | 54.3 | $298.03 | +0.6% | +2.28% | +10.90% | +40.49% | +35.9% | strong-up | 🟢 Steady, thesis intact |
| DDOG | $236.98 | 46.9 | $245.78 | -3.6% | +0.58% | -10.30% | +68.12% | +35.0% | weak-down | 🟡 Rough month but 35% above its 200-day, thesis intact |
| EQIX | $1,044.41 | 45.5 | $1,064.62 | -1.9% | -1.99% | +3.61% | +32.82% | +9.3% | weak-down | 🟢 Steady, beating the market on the year |
| DLR | $185.47 | 42.9 | $193.28 | -4.0% | -2.72% | -1.44% | +10.03% | +4.0% | weak-down | 🟡 Roughly flat, modest year, intact trend |
| CSCO | $109.93 | 41.4 | $115.25 | -4.6% | -1.00% | -2.27% | +58.33% | +17.1% | weak-down | 🟢 Cooled but 17.1% above its 200-day, strong year |
Read: AI remains the group's real breakdown. CRM, NOW, ADBE, and WDAY are all still mid-repair — several posted the biggest RSI gains in the whole scan this cycle, but none has yet turned its 1-year change positive.
AI Power / Energy
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CEG | $276.75 | 54.4 | $274.06 | +1.0% | +1.43% | +7.29% | -13.39% | -7.1% | weak-up | 🔴 Below its 200-day, negative year, badly lagging |
| SMR | $9.29 | 50.1 | $9.39 | -1.1% | -1.28% | +22.40% | -74.53% | -30.5% | weak-up | 🔴 Deeply broken, worst alpha in the group |
| BE | $210.77 | 46.3 | $218.71 | -3.6% | +4.64% | +28.71% | +284.62% | +11.8% | weak-down | 🟡 Group's one clean exception, thesis intact |
| OKLO | $40.14 | 43.8 | $43.29 | -7.3% | -4.82% | +8.96% | -48.47% | -39.5% | strong-down | 🔴 Collapse regime, deeply broken |
| ENPH | $37.25 | 42.6 | $39.44 | -5.6% | -3.47% | +6.22% | -0.88% | -8.2% | down | 🔴 Below its 200-day, collapse regime |
| TAC | $12.19 | 41.8 | $12.46 | -2.2% | -0.25% | -1.93% | -3.33% | -7.5% | strong-down | 🔴 Below its 200-day, flat-to-negative year |
| SEDG | $31.41 | 39.9 | $33.36 | -5.9% | +1.88% | -19.54% | -5.53% | -25.5% | down | 🔴 Deep 30-day drawdown continues, 25.5% below its 200-day |
| VST | $137.09 | 39.7 | $142.34 | -3.7% | +0.64% | -4.01% | -30.31% | -13.6% | strong-down | 🔴 Deeply broken |
| FSLR | $204.46 | 38.7 | $224.39 | -8.9% | -4.56% | +2.62% | +3.78% | -11.9% | strong-down | 🔴 Collapse regime, below its 200-day |
| EOSE | $3.27 | 38.5 | $3.82 | -14.4% | -14.40% | +4.14% | -54.14% | -62.3% | strong-down | 🔴 Deepest damage in the group, collapse regime |
| RUN | $8.78 | 36.4 | $9.69 | -9.4% | -4.04% | -7.29% | -46.37% | -40.5% | strong-down | 🔴 Deeply broken, collapse regime |
| NEE | $81.84 | 26.4 | $85.11 | -3.8% | -2.19% | -7.48% | +13.52% | -6.8% | strong-down | 🔴 Group's most oversold name, deepened further, below its 200-day |
Read: This cohort remains the scan's genuinely weak one on the long-horizon check — 11 of 12 names trade below their 200-day, most flat-to-deeply-negative on the year. BE stays the lone clean exception.
AI Healthcare
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VEEV | $276.69 | 74.9 | $240.93 | +14.8% | +11.52% | +33.08% | +1.60% | +39.1% | strong-up | 🟠 Near overbought after a strong month, still barely positive on the year — repairing |
| TEM | $64.04 | 57.3 | $57.47 | +11.4% | -11.94% | +54.13% | -13.06% | +13.2% | up | 🟡 Cooled sharply out of last cycle's parabolic move (RSI -17.8), still negative on the year |
| ISRGE | $372.60 | 45.7 | $382.55 | -2.6% | -1.67% | +5.52% | -21.37% | -20.5% | strong-down | 🔴 Real breakdown — below its 200-day, negative year, collapse regime, even with thesis rated intact |
Read: TEM's cooldown is the sharpest move in the entire scan this cycle. ISRG remains the one clear breakdown in this group despite the desk's intact thesis rating.
Quantum / Speculative AI
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOUN | $7.11 | 52.3 | $7.11 | 0.0% | -2.60% | +24.74% | -43.26% | -16.2% | weak-up | 🔴 Below its 200-day, down 43.3% on the year, badly lagging |
| BBAI | $3.05 | 46.4 | $3.15 | -3.2% | -4.66% | +17.76% | -40.89% | -30.3% | strong-down | 🔴 Deeply broken |
| IONQ | $39.20 | 44.5 | $42.63 | -8.0% | -12.66% | +22.54% | -9.47% | -11.9% | strong-down | 🔴 Sharp 7-day drop, collapse regime, desk flags intact-but-priced |
| RGTI | $15.59 | 43.9 | $17.25 | -9.6% | -12.79% | +17.93% | -5.97% | -20.4% | strong-down | 🔴 Collapse regime, desk flags intact-but-priced |
| QBTS | $16.99 | 40.4 | $19.80 | -14.2% | -16.58% | +5.01% | +6.72% | -21.8% | strong-down | 🔴 Group's sharpest RSI drop (-11.5), collapse regime, desk flags intact-but-priced |
Read: This cohort is speculative and volatile by construction — IONQ, RGTI, and QBTS all fell hard this cycle, deepening below their 200-day even where the 1-year change is still positive.
Telecom / Connectivity
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T | $26.01 | 68.9 | $24.69 | +5.4% | +2.73% | +8.65% | -10.12% | +3.5% | up | 🟡 Barely above its 200-day, still negative on the year |
| VZ | $50.10 | 65.8 | $48.37 | +3.6% | +1.27% | +6.10% | +14.05% | +10.1% | strong-up | 🟢 Steady, positive year |
| SKM | $39.34 | 60.6 | $37.15 | +5.9% | -2.28% | +32.73% | +77.61% | +28.3% | strong-up | 🟢 Group leader — best year, deeply above its 200-day |
| BCE | $23.46 | 58.4 | $23.14 | +1.4% | -1.10% | +5.06% | -5.48% | -1.9% | weak-up | 🟡 Just below its 200-day, negative year |
| TMUS | $181.37 | 50.8 | $179.86 | +0.8% | -0.91% | -0.08% | -27.61% | -7.2% | weak-up | 🔴 Below its 200-day, group's real laggard |
AI ETFs
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 1Y% | vs SMA200 | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIQ | $64.22 | 57.3 | $63.19 | +1.6% | +1.34% | +14.72% | +41.05% | +15.5% | strong-up | 🟢 Group leader |
| BOTZ | $35.75 | 45.5 | $36.72 | -2.6% | -0.72% | +6.15% | +4.93% | -3.1% | strong-down | 🟡 Just below its 200-day, modest year |
| ROBO | $80.64 | 45.5 | $82.74 | -2.5% | -0.59% | +6.44% | +24.89% | +4.8% | weak-down | 🟢 Above its 200-day, solid year — deep pullback |
| SMH | $553.11 | 45.0 | $569.07 | -2.8% | -1.30% | +9.70% | +85.64% | +17.1% | weak-down | 🟡 Roughly flat, 17.1% above its 200-day, huge year — deep pullback |
Too-Young Regime
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | Regime | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKHY | $161.04 | 51.5 | $154.91 | +4.0% | -1.52% | +27.01% | too-young | ⚠️ No 1-year/200-day history yet — trend classification not available |
Read: Still too young for a full long-horizon read; treat any short-window signal as provisional.
Tier Analysis
Capitulation (RSI < 25)
None on this board.
Oversold (RSI 25-40)
NEE (26.4), RUN (36.4), EOSE (38.5), FSLR (38.7), VST (39.7), SEDG (39.9) — six names, narrowed from nine last cycle. AVGO, META, TAC, ARM, and INTC all recovered above RSI 40 this cycle; EOSE and FSLR newly dropped into the band. All six are the same AI Power/Energy names the long-horizon check already flags as genuinely weak (below their 200-day, flat-to-negative years).
Neutral-Strong (RSI 40+)
The remaining 61 names, led by CRM (80.8, parabolic), PATH (76.3, parabolic), VEEV (74.9), MSFT (73.1), and NOW (72.7).
Parabolic / Extreme Extension (vs VWAP)
FTNT (+63.7%), PANW (+71.6%), CRWD (+66.7%), MU (+64.6%), STX (+61.1%), AMD (+63.6%), SNOW (+52.9%) — seven names above +50%, all existing gains rather than new-money entries.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Entry Zone | Thesis | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA, AMZN, GOOGL, TSM, ASML | Hold/accumulate | Cooled on RSI but pass the long-horizon check cleanly | 🔒 Hold/accumulate |
| AVGO | Watch | Still testing its 200-day for a second straight cycle, thesis rated intact | 🔍 Watch |
| SMCI, QCOM | Avoid | Genuinely weak charts — negative/flat year | ⚠️ Avoid |
| MRVL, AMD, INTC, ARM | Watch | Sharp cooldowns but deep pullbacks inside historic uptrends | 🔍 Watch |
| MU, STX, WDC | Watch for exhaustion | Historic 1-year gains, all deeply above their 200-day | 🔍 Watch |
| MSFT | Watch | Deep overbought after the sharpest RSI gain in the group, but flat on the year | 🔍 Watch |
| TSLA | Watch | Below its 200-day and death-crossed despite a strong single day | 🔍 Watch |
| AMZN, GOOGL | Hold | Intact trends | 🔒 Hold |
| META | Avoid | The one real hyperscaler breakdown | ⚠️ Avoid |
| PANW, FTNT | Hold | Deep pullbacks in intact trends | 🔒 Hold |
| CRWD | Watch | Sharpest reversal in the scan, now well above its 200-day | 🔍 Watch |
| ZS | Watch | Still repairing a damaged year | 🔍 Watch |
| CRM, NOW, ADBE, WDAY | Watch | Sharp repair rallies, still negative on the year | 🔍 Watch |
| MDB, SNOW, PATH, ANET, NET, EQIX | Watch/Hold | Clean leaders or deep pullbacks | 🔍 Watch |
| AI | Avoid | Real breakdown | ⚠️ Avoid |
| BE | Watch | The one clean exception in AI Power/Energy, thesis intact | 🔍 Watch |
| CEG, SMR, OKLO, ENPH, TAC, SEDG, VST, FSLR, EOSE, RUN, NEE | Avoid | Genuinely weak cohort, most below their 200-day with negative years | ⚠️ Avoid |
| VEEV, TEM | Watch | Repairing, still barely-positive or negative on the year | 🔍 Watch |
| ISRGE | Avoid | Real breakdown despite intact thesis | ⚠️ Avoid |
| SOUN, BBAI, IONQ, RGTI, QBTS | Avoid | Deeply broken or falling hard, badly negative alpha | ⚠️ Avoid |
| SKM, VZ | Hold | Telecom leaders | 🔒 Hold |
| T, BCE | Watch | Barely above/below their 200-day | 🔍 Watch |
| TMUS | Avoid | Group's real long-trend problem | ⚠️ Avoid |
| AIQ | Hold | ETF bucket leader | 🔒 Hold |
| BOTZ, ROBO, SMH | Watch | Mixed — mostly deep pullbacks | 🔍 Watch |
| SKHY | Watch | Too-young regime | 🔍 Watch |
Action Matrix
| Stock | Signal | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA, AMZN, GOOGL, TSM, ASML | 🟢 | 📈 Accumulate | Cooled on RSI, clean long-horizon check |
| MRVL, AMD, INTC, ARM | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Rough short window, well above their 200-day |
| AVGO | 🔴 | 🔍 Watch | Still testing its 200-day, thesis intact |
| SMCI, QCOM | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Negative/flat year, badly negative alpha |
| MU, STX, WDC | 🟢 | 🔍 Watch | Historic gains, deeply extended above their 200-day |
| MSFT | 🟠 | 🔍 Watch | Deep overbought, flat on the year |
| TSLA | 🔴 | 🔍 Watch | Below its 200-day, death-crossed |
| AMZN, GOOGL | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | Intact trends |
| META | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Real breakdown |
| PANW, FTNT | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | Deep pullbacks in intact trends |
| CRWD | 🟢 | 🔍 Watch | Sharpest reversal in the scan, now clean |
| ZS | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Still repairing a damaged year |
| MDB, SNOW, PATH, NET, ANET, EQIX | 🟢 | 🔍 Watch | Clean leaders or deep pullbacks |
| CRM, NOW, ADBE, WDAY | 🟠 | 🔍 Watch | Sharp repair rallies, still negative on the year |
| DLR, DDOG, CSCO | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Roughly flat to modest, intact trends |
| AI | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Real breakdown |
| BE | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Group's clean exception |
| CEG, SMR, OKLO, ENPH, TAC, SEDG, VST, FSLR, EOSE, RUN, NEE | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Genuinely weak cohort |
| VEEV | 🟠 | 🔍 Watch | Near overbought, barely positive on the year |
| TEM | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Cooled sharply out of a parabolic move |
| ISRGE | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Real breakdown despite intact thesis |
| SOUN, BBAI, IONQ, RGTI, QBTS | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Deeply broken or falling hard |
| SKM, VZ | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | Telecom leaders |
| T, BCE | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Barely above/below their 200-day |
| TMUS | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Real laggard |
| AIQ | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | ETF bucket leader |
| BOTZ, ROBO, SMH | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Mixed — mostly deep pullbacks |
| SKHY | ⚠️ | ⚠️ Watch | Too-young regime |
What To Watch Next
- Whether CRM's move into deep overbought/parabolic territory (RSI 80.8) is a durable breakout or exhausts sharply, given its year is still flat.
- Whether CRWD's sharp reversal (RSI 42.8→58.2) extends or was a one-cycle snap-back.
- Whether TEM's cooldown out of parabolic (RSI 75.1→57.3) stabilizes or the pullback deepens further.
- Whether AVGO's second straight cycle testing its 200-day resolves up or down.
- Whether AI Power/Energy's broad weakness (11 of 12 names below their 200-day) finds a floor — NEE's deepening oversold read (RSI 26.4) is the group's most acute stress point.
- Whether META's real breakdown (below its 200-day, negative year) stabilizes even as its RSI improved the most of any hyperscaler this cycle.
- Whether the Quantum complex's synchronized drop (IONQ, RGTI, QBTS all down hard) is a group rotation or an early warning for the wider speculative-AI cohort.
Sources
- Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-08-28 close — ai-scan.
- Prior cycle for comparison: 2026-08-22-ai-scan.
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.