AAPL — candidate.roundup

Update

AAPL — candidate.roundup

Reason: EOW close — GOOGL held best this week (-1.51%); NVDA on thin SMA200 margin (+1.1%); MSFT/META death-crossed even after Friday RSI bounce.

Tape-read: The Friday EOW close brought a broad RSI snap across the complex — AAPL bounced from 33.9 to 41.5, MSFT from 28.2 to 40.8, AMZN from 34.4 to 40.0 — but the structural split is unchanged. Washed ≠ bottomed for death-crossed names; MSFT's RSI 28→41 snap is EOM position squaring, not a trend change. The only adds remain the golden-cross names; GOOGL held best all week while NVDA's SMA200 margin thinned to +1.1%.

  • GOOGL — OVERSOLD-QUALITY: RSI 34.0, golden cross, +7.6% vs SMA200, +89.5% 1y; -1.51% 7d — held best this week, still deepest oversold of the intact names on Friday close.
  • NVDA — OVERSOLD-QUALITY: RSI 37.9, golden cross, +1.1% vs SMA200 (thinnest margin in group), -7.28% 7d — chip bellwether on the edge; SMA200 = $190.43 is the line.
  • AMZN — OVERSOLD-QUALITY: RSI 40.0 (bounced), golden cross, 0.0% vs SMA200 — right at the line, needs a close back above to confirm.
  • AAPL — OVERSOLD-QUALITY: RSI 41.5 (biggest RSI recovery +7.6 pts from Thursday), golden cross, +5.5% vs SMA200; -8.68% 7d — most oversold bounce of the intact names, but still -8.68% on the week.
  • TSLA — BROKEN-AVOID: RSI 41.4 (bounced), death cross, -9.2% vs SMA200, -8.46% 7d — bounce in a broken trend.
  • META — BROKEN-AVOID: RSI 38.4 (bounced), death cross, -15.2% vs SMA200, -24.75% 1y — dead-cat bounce, structure unchanged.
  • MSFT — BROKEN-AVOID: RSI 40.8 (bounced from 28.2 Thursday — largest snap in group), death cross, -16.4% vs SMA200, -24.19% 1y; -32.85% from 52wk high — EOM squaring bounce ≠ bottom; year-long de-rate intact.

Lead pick: GOOGL — best trend quality + only -1.51% on the week when peers fell -7% to -8%; wait for a pop back above SMA20 (~$360.75) to confirm before adding. NVDA is the watch — golden cross intact but SMA200 at $190.43 is the floor; a close below ends the thesis.

9 events

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