Mag7 Candidates
Mag7 Candidates
Mag7 Candidates — June 16, 2026
Overview
The May 29 Mag7 recovery narrative has fully reversed for most names. MSFT is the biggest loser: $393.83 (RSI 40.1, strong-down, -6.81% 30D, -5.6% vs SMA20) — from $450.24 at RSI 70.3, the "surprise recovery" completely unwound and the death cross is now confirmed by trend. META also reversed: $600.21, RSI 48.8, strong-down, -1.71% 30D — from $632.51 at RSI 55.2 weak-up. AAPL cooled meaningfully from its near-ATH RSI 79 to RSI 52.2 at $299.24, still strong-up but -1.5% vs SMA20. AMZN flipped from strong-up GC to weak-down: $246, RSI 43.1, -7.12% 30D, -3.7% vs SMA20. NVDA softened further: $207.41, RSI 47.4, weak-down, -6.6% 30D. GOOGL is now the strongest Mag7 name: $373.25, RSI 52.4, strong-up, +20.12% 3M. TSLA flat-ish: $404.66, RSI 48.1, weak-up, -1.3% 30D.
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🔴 Mag7 broadly weakened — MSFT/META reversed sharply; AAPL cooled from RSI 79; only GOOGL/AAPL in strong-up; NVDA/AMZN slipping |
| Key insight | MSFT's RSI 70→40 reversal in three weeks is the most important Mag7 development — the "Azure AI repricing" narrative failed to sustain. GOOGL is the new Mag7 standout at RSI 52 strong-up |
Candidates
| Ticker | Price | RSI | Trend | 7D | 30D | 52wkHi | Signal | Take |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | $373.25 | 52.4 | strong-up | +0.41% | -5.91% | -8.65% | GC | Strongest Mag7. -0.1% vs SMA20. RSI stable. Strong-up GC intact despite -5.9% 30D. Best structure. |
| AAPL | $299.24 | 52.2 | strong-up | +1.33% | +0.47% | -5.72% | GC | Cooled from RSI 79. -1.5% vs SMA20. Strong-up GC. Healthy reset — best setup if market stabilizes. |
| TSLA | $404.66 | 48.1 | weak-up | +0.93% | -1.3% | -18.88% | DC | Stalled. -2.5% vs SMA20. Weak-up. Death cross. No catalyst visible. Holding range. |
| NVDA | $207.41 | 47.4 | weak-down | +2.65% | -6.6% | -12.32% | GC | Slipping. -2.7% vs SMA20. Weak-down. RSI 49→47. GC technically intact but trend deteriorating. |
| META | $600.21 | 48.8 | strong-down | -0.18% | -1.71% | -24.62% | DC | Recovery fully reversed. -0.3% vs SMA20. Strong-down DC. -24.6% from ATH. Watch for bottom. |
| AMZN | $246.00 | 43.1 | weak-down | -0.49% | -7.12% | -11.69% | — | Flipped weak-down. -3.7% vs SMA20. RSI 60→43. AWS thesis at risk short-term. |
| MSFT | $393.83 | 40.1 | strong-down | -2.32% | -6.81% | -29.1% | DC | REVERSAL. RSI 70→40. $450→$393. Strong-down confirmed. Death cross entrenched. -5.6% vs SMA20. |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔒 HOLD | GOOGL | Best Mag7 structure — strong-up GC at RSI 52, -0.1% vs SMA20. Stable amid sector weakness |
| 🔒 HOLD | AAPL | RSI cooled from 79 to 52. Strong-up GC. -5.7% from ATH. Healthy reset — hold with SMA20 support |
| 🔍 WATCH | NVDA | RSI 47 weak-down with GC technically intact. -12.3% from ATH. Watch RSI 45 for entry or RSI 40 breakdown |
| 🔍 WATCH | AMZN | Flipped weak-down, RSI 43, -7.1% 30D. Watch RSI 40 for capitulation buy or SMA20 reclaim for re-entry |
| 🔍 WATCH | TSLA | Weak-up stall at RSI 48. Death cross. Watch for death cross flip or further RSI deterioration |
| ⚠️ AVOID | META | Strong-down DC, RSI 49, -24.6% from ATH. Recovery fully reversed. No re-entry until trend flips |
| ❌ DON'T BUY | MSFT | RSI 70→40 reversal in 3 weeks. Strong-down DC. -29.1% from ATH. $450→$393. Avoid until RSI floor |
What Changed vs 05/29
MSFT dramatically reversed — from RSI 70.3 "surprise recovery" to RSI 40.1 strong-down (price $450.24→$393.83). The Azure AI repricing thesis that appeared to be gaining traction in May 29 has fully collapsed. META also reversed from weak-up RSI 55.2 to strong-down RSI 48.8 ($632.51→$600.21) — the Mag7 recovery narrative failed. AAPL cooled significantly from RSI 79 near ATH to RSI 52.2 at $299.24 — healthy RSI reset but still -5.7% from ATH. AMZN flipped from strong-up GC (RSI 60) to weak-down (RSI 43). NVDA softened further from RSI 49.4 to 47.4 and flipped weak-down. TSLA gave back part of its recovery. GOOGL is the lone survivor — stable RSI 52-53 strong-up through both periods.
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| MSFT RSI 70→40 in 3 weeks, strong-up→strong-down | The "Azure AI repricing" from May was a false signal — death cross overhead killed the recovery before SMA200 reclaim |
| GOOGL is now the only Mag7 name that improved vs May | Search AI monetization may be outpacing cloud/infra AI in near-term sentiment — GOOGL is the new Mag7 quality anchor |
| META/AMZN both flipped to strong-down while GOOGL held | The May recovery was narrow — only GOOGL/AAPL with genuine structural GC are surviving the June tape |
Open Questions
- MSFT at RSI 40 strong-down: is there a floor at $393 or does strong-down pressure continue toward SMA200?
- NVDA RSI 47 with GC technically intact: is the weak-down trend reversible or does it follow MSFT/AMZN lower?
- GOOGL at RSI 52 strong-up with -5.91% 30D: how is strong-up sustained with negative 30D returns — SMA20 at -0.1% keeping the trend alive?
Related
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