Tech Insider Buys

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Tech Insider Buys

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 72 rows · screens, not recommendations event statusscheduledprior scanresearch/scans/2026-07-11-tech-insider-buys.md

2026-07-17 Tech Insider-Buys Scan — BE And CRDO's Flagged Rollover Risk Fully Confirms, Cyber Cluster Reaccelerates Instead Of Cooling Further

Last scan's two flagged "new rollover risk" names both broke down hard this cycle: BE's 30-day change deepened from -1.7% to -34.6%, and CRDO's fell from -2.6% to -25.4%. The read that both were genuine trend reversals, not just digestion, has been confirmed. The other side of the story: PANW, OKTA, and CRWD — flagged last scan as "cooling from overbought" — instead reaccelerated, all climbing back into the mid-60s RSI and extending further vs their 200-day, even as the broader semis/index tape cooled hard (see this cycle's ETF-universe scan). SMCI's tentative stabilization did not hold — it deepened instead. HUBS and INTU both continued bouncing in price while their explicit broken-thesis flags persisted — still avoids regardless of the chart. IONQ's feed refreshed to current and confirms real, ongoing weakness (RSI 25.7, 30D -38.5%).

Data as-of 2026-07-17 close. Source: summaries/tech-insider-buys.json — price/technical fields only, no live insider transaction data in this snapshot; cross-reference against the companion insider-scan report (the desk's own tooling) for actual insider dollars where the two universes overlap. Prior scan: 2026-07-11-tech-insider-buys (2026-07-10 close).


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 Two flagged rollover names broke down hard (BE, CRDO); the cyber cluster reaccelerated instead of continuing to cool
Confirmed rollover BE (30D -1.7%→-34.6%) and CRDO (30D -2.6%→-25.4%) — both fully confirm last scan's flagged reversal
Reaccelerated instead of cooling PANW (RSI 58.6→67.4), OKTA (62.2→64.8), CRWD (57.2→62.9) — all extending further, bucking the broad tech pullback
Broken thesis, bounced anyway HUBS (RSI 57.7→63.2, 30D +11.3%→+27.4%) and INTU (RSI 45.2→52.7, 30D -0.3%→+9.51%) — both still `thesis: broken`
Deepest RSI damage IONQ (RSI 25.7, feed now current, 30D -38.5%), SMCI (RSI 34.7, deepened from 43.3)
Key insight The scan's two "new risk" flags from last cycle (BE, CRDO) both fully played out, while the "cooling from overbought" names (PANW/OKTA/CRWD) went the opposite direction and reaccelerated

What's Going On

BE and CRDO are the scan's confirmed story this cycle. BE ($214.96, RSI 39.0) had already shown a rough week last scan (7D -18.9%); this cycle its 30-day change deepened from -1.7% to a genuine -34.6%, with its price down from $244.61 to $214.96 and its vs-SMA20 gap widening to -21.6%. Its thesis stays flagged intact and the golden cross holds, but the near-term trend has clearly broken — this lines up with the companion insider-scan cut, which shows BE's insider-selling figure (-$444.5M) essentially unchanged, meaning the price damage isn't being offset by any fresh buying. CRDO ($202.68, RSI 39.4) shows the same pattern even more sharply: 30-day change fell from -2.6% to -25.4%, 7-day -21.4%, after a huge multi-month run that's now compressed from +91.9% to +16.13% on the 3-month window. Both names confirm last scan's read that these were genuine reversals, not routine digestion.

The cyber/AI-infra cluster went the opposite direction from what was flagged last scan. PANW ($358.68, RSI 67.4, was 58.6) and OKTA ($149.35, RSI 64.8, was 62.2) both reaccelerated rather than continuing to cool, and CRWD ($203.08, RSI 62.9, was 57.2) did the same — all three now sit further above their 200-day than last scan (PANW's cushion widened from +59.2% to +72.1%). This is a notable divergence given that this cycle's ETF-universe scan shows the broad index/semis sleeve (QQQM, SMH, VGT) cooling hard over the same window — the security-software names are bucking that pullback entirely.

SMCI's tentative stabilization from last scan did not hold. RSI fell back from 43.3 to 34.7, and its 30-day change deepened from -11.5% to -21.14% — still death-crossed and in downtrend regime, now clearly weaker rather than basing. HUBS and INTU both continue the "don't be fooled by the chart" pattern: both carry thesis: broken flags that have now survived two consecutive scans of real price improvement — HUBS's 30-day gain accelerated from +11.3% to +27.4%, INTU's from -0.3% to +9.51%. Per desk doctrine, neither bounce clears the flag. IONQ's feed refreshed to current this cycle (was stale at 07-09 last scan) and confirms genuine, ongoing weakness: RSI 25.7, 7D -18.85%, 30D -38.5% — the deepest technical damage in the whole universe now that the data is live. CEG's mixed read from last scan resolved to the downside: its 30-day change flipped back negative (-7.91%, was +1.9%), still collapse regime and death-crossed.


What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-07-11 → 2026-07-17)

Change Read
BE's rollover risk fully confirmed — 30D -1.7%→-34.6%, price $244.61→$214.96 Last scan's flagged reversal played out as a genuine breakdown, corroborated by unchanged insider selling in the companion scan
CRDO's rollover risk fully confirmed — 30D -2.6%→-25.4%, 3M compressed from +91.9% to +16.13% The other flagged name from last scan; momentum break became an outright trend reversal
PANW/OKTA/CRWD all reaccelerated instead of continuing to cool — RSI climbed 5-9 points each, all extending further vs SMA200 The opposite of last scan's "digestion" read — worth tracking whether this divergence from the broad tech pullback holds
SMCI's tentative stabilization reversed — RSI 43.3→34.7, 30D -11.5%→-21.14% The improvement flagged last scan did not become a base
IONQ's feed refreshed to current (was stale 07-09) and confirms real weakness — RSI 25.7, 30D -38.5% The deepest technical damage in the universe is now backed by live data, not a two-week-old print
HUBS/INTU both bounced further while thesis flags stayed `broken` (HUBS 30D +11.3%→+27.4%, INTU -0.3%→+9.51%) Two consecutive scans of price improvement, still no thesis repair
CEG's mixed 30D read resolved negative (+1.9%→-7.91%) The "unresolved" flag from last scan settled to the downside; still collapse regime
ANET cooled sharply — RSI 63.0→49.3 (per bargain-bin cross-reference), 30D +19.5%→-0.62% The cleanest continued-momentum name from last scan is now caught in the broader semis/networking pullback

How To Read The Board

The table labels are technical states, not trade recommendations. "Confirmed rollover" (BE, CRDO) means last scan's flagged 30-day trend reversal has now deepened into a genuine breakdown across a second consecutive cycle — a materially more cautious read than a single-cycle wobble. "Reaccelerating" (PANW, OKTA, CRWD) means RSI and vs-SMA200 extension both climbed further, the opposite of digestion — worth tracking whether this divergence from the broader tech pullback (this cycle's ETF-universe scan) persists or reverts. thesis: broken is a hard override that a price bounce does not clear (HUBS, INTU), regardless of how many consecutive scans the bounce continues. This watchlist references "insider buys," but the JSON summary contains price/technical fields only — cross-reference the companion insider-scan report for live insider dollar flow before treating any RSI print here as a buy signal.


Price Table

Software/Hardware Breakdowns And Damaged Structure (RSI < 45)

Stock Price RSI 7D 30D 3M vs SMA20 vs SMA200 Regime Thesis Note
IONQ $34.78 25.7 -18.9% -38.5% -28.0% -26.5% -27.9% downtrend unrated Feed now current — confirms real, ongoing weakness
SMCI $24.18 34.7 -14.6% -21.1% -16.1% -16.0% -29.0% downtrend unrated Tentative stabilization from last scan reversed
BE $214.96 39.0 -12.1% -34.6% -1.5% -21.6% +24.0% pullback intact Rollover risk fully confirmed; corroborated by unchanged insider selling
CRDO $202.68 39.4 -21.4% -25.4% +16.1% -19.6% +24.5% pullback unrated Rollover risk fully confirmed; 3M compressed from +91.9% to +16.1%
MRVL $188.68 35.7 -20.0% -39.2% +27.7% -25.0% +45.4% pullback unrated Deep discount continuing; cross-ref bargain-bin
ARM $267.19 38.4 -17.4% -39.2% +52.6% -18.6% +44.6% pullback intact-but-priced Cooling further from an extended base
INTC $95.04 36.5 -13.5% -29.1% +44.7% -20.5% +48.1% pullback unrated Continued pullback within a still-extended name
CEG $252.39 46.3 +0.4% -7.9% -12.1% -1.3% -19.1% collapse unrated 30D flipped back negative — the "unresolved" read from last scan settled down
QCOM $171.78 38.5 -9.2% -24.0% +25.4% -9.5% +2.4% pullback unrated Unremarkable, deepened slightly
CRSP $47.78 36.2 -10.4% -11.7% -17.2% -12.5% -13.4% downtrend unrated Deteriorated further; cross-ref insider-scan (buying flagged there, unchanged dollar figure)
INTU $291.09 52.7 +5.9% +9.5% -27.8% +7.1% -39.5% collapse broken Bounced again, thesis flag unchanged — avoid
GOOGL $346.77 42.5 -2.9% -5.8% +2.8% -2.6% +7.9% basing intact Quality pullback, unchanged read
CRM $170.77 53.9 +4.6% +12.5% -5.3% +5.5% -17.7% downtrend intact Modest continued stabilization
MSFT $393.82 51.7 +2.3% +3.8% -5.6% +3.3% -10.1% downtrend intact Still death-crossed, roughly flat
PLTR $132.38 52.9 +4.4% +3.0% -9.3% +5.7% -14.9% downtrend intact Damaged structure improving slightly; cross-ref insider-scan's unchanged -$2.5B selling

Mixed / Stabilizing (RSI 45-60)

Stock Price RSI 7D 30D 3M vs SMA20 vs SMA200 Regime Thesis Note
TSM $398.37 39.4 -8.2% -13.8% +9.0% -8.9% +13.7% pullback unrated Cooled from steady last scan
ZS $149.94 57.1 +7.7% +20.1% +11.2% +7.1% -24.3% downtrend unrated Extended further, still death-crossed
AMZN $247.23 51.0 +0.8% +1.2% -0.4% +2.1% +5.6% basing intact Unremarkable, healthy
ASML $1,747.58 47.9 -2.8% -9.4% +18.6% -3.7% +29.0% pullback unrated Mild pullback within trend
MDB $312.33 40.9 -8.7% -6.1% +18.3% -6.9% -6.4% pullback unrated Still death-crossed
TSLA $380.84 42.5 -6.6% -4.9% -3.0% -4.3% -8.7% pullback intact Insider buying flagged (unchanged +$205.3M) but structure still damaged
ASAN $7.69 58.1 +4.9% +11.1% +22.3% +7.2% -20.5% downtrend unrated Small insider buying (unchanged +$8.4M), still -51% off high
AVGO $370.83 43.8 -7.3% -9.7% -7.1% -2.9% +2.3% pullback intact Cooled with the broader semis complex
ADBE $237.25 61.1 +6.1% +21.6% -4.6% +10.9% -15.9% downtrend unrated Extended further; cross-ref bargain-bin
TEAM $93.29 56.6 +5.0% +12.8% +30.5% +9.5% -16.5% downtrend intact Continued grinding higher
ESTC $61.59 56.8 +2.2% +4.4% +25.8% +3.8% -6.0% downtrend unrated Roughly flat
NOW $103.24 48.3 -4.2% +8.6% +3.5% +0.8% -19.8% downtrend unrated Steady improvement
CRWD $203.08 62.9 +8.5% +18.6% +87.5% +7.7% +56.7% uptrend unrated Reaccelerated from RSI 57.2
NVDA $202.81 48.1 -3.9% -3.7% +0.5% +0.3% +5.5% pullback intact Insider selling flagged (unchanged -$3.3B) but structure intact
AMD $495.76 46.3 -11.1% -7.7% +80.3% -7.0% +67.1% pullback unrated Downgraded from uptrend; cooled with the broader tape
HUBS $224.26 63.2 +8.1% +27.4% -2.4% +14.8% -24.7% downtrend broken Bounced further; thesis flag unchanged — avoid
WDAY $144.78 60.4 +4.2% +23.8% +13.2% +10.3% -14.8% downtrend unrated Continues extending
PANW $358.68 67.4 +10.1% +24.6% +111.5% +9.5% +72.1% uptrend unrated Reaccelerated from RSI 58.6, not cooling

Strength Pockets (RSI 60+ — extended holds)

Stock Price RSI 7D 30D 3M vs SMA200 Regime Thesis Note
FTNT $161.61 59.9 +2.6% +11.7% +95.7% +66.5% uptrend unrated Strong, extended
DDOG $258.69 57.7 +0.5% +16.0% +99.4% +59.4% uptrend intact Strong, extended; insider selling grew slightly to -$698.8M
OKTA $149.35 64.8 +7.7% +26.8% +97.1% +63.0% uptrend unrated Reaccelerated from RSI 62.2
AAPL $333.74 71.6 +5.8% +12.0% +22.3% +21.9% uptrend intact Now extended/overbought, bucking the broad pullback hard
ANET $168.61 49.3 -9.8% -0.6% +1.1% +16.5% uptrend unrated Cooled sharply from RSI 63.0 — caught in the semis pullback
NET $277.66 65.2 +3.5% +23.9% +35.6% +31.8% uptrend intact Strong; insider selling grew slightly to -$771.8M
SNOW $268.90 64.8 +2.9% +15.8% +78.7% +28.9% uptrend unrated Strong, extended
VEEV $195.38 65.3 +2.8% +27.5% +15.7% -6.5% downtrend unrated Continuing its reversal, still death-crossed
META $646.01 56.6 -3.5% +11.9% -3.6% +1.0% pullback unrated Cooled from RSI 66.4, still positive 30D

Tier Analysis

Confirmed rollover (both flagged names broke down)BE and CRDO both went from a single-cycle wobble to a genuine, multi-cycle trend break. BE's is corroborated by unchanged insider selling in the companion insider-scan cut; CRDO's is a pure momentum break after a huge run that's now largely unwound on the 3-month window.

Reaccelerating, not coolingPANW, OKTA, CRWD all climbed further this cycle instead of continuing last scan's digestion pattern, and did so while the broad index/semis tape (this cycle's ETF-universe scan) cooled hard. A real divergence worth tracking.

Broken thesis, bounced againHUBS and INTU. Both improved on price for a second consecutive cycle; both remain thesis: broken. Treat the improvement as noise until the flag lifts.

Stabilization reversedSMCI's tentative improvement from last scan gave way to renewed weakness (RSI 43.3→34.7). IONQ's feed refreshed to current and confirms it's genuinely the weakest name in the universe now, not a stale print.

Extended strengthFTNT, DDOG, OKTA, AAPL, NET, SNOW all sit 22-99% above their 200-day. AAPL's move into RSI 71.6 is notable given how hard the rest of the broad tape cooled this cycle.


Entry Zones

Stock Price Zone RSI 30D Setup
BE $214.96 Avoid until stabilization confirms 39.0 -34.6% Confirmed rollover, don't catch this one falling
CRDO $202.68 Watch for a base 39.4 -25.4% Confirmed rollover after a huge prior run; wait for 30D to turn positive
PANW/OKTA/CRWD $358.68 / $149.35 / $203.08 Wait for a further pullback 67.4 / 64.8 / 62.9 +24.6% / +26.8% / +18.6% Reaccelerated rather than cooled — not a fresh entry at current extension
IONQ $34.78 Contrarian probe only, verify stabilization 25.7 -38.5% Deepest technical damage now backed by live data — no confirmation of a base yet

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔒 HOLD AAPL, FTNT, DDOG, NET, SNOW, GOOGL, CRM, MSFT, TSM, ASML Intact trend, extended or steady — no urgent action
🔍 WATCH PANW, OKTA, CRWD, VEEV, META, NVDA, TSLA, ASAN, WDAY, NOW, ESTC, TEAM, ADBE, MDB, ZS, ARM, PLTR, ANET Cooling, recovering, extending, or damaged-but-intact-thesis names needing one more confirmation
⚠️ CONFIRMED ROLLOVER BE, CRDO Both flagged names fully broke down this cycle — genuine trend reversals, not routine digestion
🔍 STABILIZATION REVERSED SMCI Last scan's tentative improvement gave way to renewed weakness
❌ AVOID — BROKEN THESIS HUBS, INTU Price bounced for a second straight cycle, thesis flag did not — don't mistake the chart for a repair
⚠️ STILL WEAK, NOW CONFIRMED IONQ Feed refreshed to current; deepest technical damage in the universe with live data behind it

What To Watch Next

Watch Why it matters
BE/CRDO's next print Both fully confirmed rollovers this cycle — watch whether either finds a floor or the breakdown continues
PANW/OKTA/CRWD's divergence from the broad tape Reaccelerated while the index/semis sleeve cooled hard — worth tracking whether this holds or the group eventually reverts
SMCI's next print Tentative stabilization reversed this cycle — confirm whether this becomes a genuine bottom or continues down
IONQ's stabilization Now backed by live (not stale) data at RSI 25.7 — watch for any basing signal
HUBS/INTU thesis flags Both have bounced for two consecutive scans with the flag unchanged — confirm whether either gets lifted on the next fundamentals refresh
Insider-flow verification This scan is price/RSI structure only — pull the companion insider-scan report before treating any name here as a conviction call either way

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-07-17 close — *.
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.