Tech Insider Buys

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Tech Insider Buys

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2026-07-31 Tech Insider-Buys Scan — IONQ Extends Its Turn For A Second Confirming Cycle, The Software Rally Cools From Its Highs, AMD/CRDO Recover From Last Cycle's Single-Day Hits (ARM Stays Flat)

IONQ's RSI climbed further to 41.3 from 32.7, and the 30-day print improved to -29.11% from -37.12% — the "first real change" flagged last cycle now has a second confirming print, the strongest evidence yet of a genuine technical turn rather than a one-cycle wobble. HUBS, TEAM, and WDAY — whose rallies had roughly doubled last cycle — all cooled from those extended highs this cycle (HUBS 30D +26.44%, was +29.05%; TEAM +21.45%, was +26.14%; WDAY +23.08%, was +29.22%), still positive but no longer accelerating. AMD and CRDO both recovered from last cycle's fresh single-day hits (AMD RSI 45.3, was 39.4; CRDO RSI 45.3, was 38.6), while ARM stayed essentially flat (RSI 37.5, was 35.9; 30D -28.97%, roughly unchanged) — a genuine divergence inside what had looked like one cohesive semis-adjacent selloff. TSLA's RSI moved to 31.9 this cycle (was 27.4) — on the summary data this scan relies on, that's above the strict oversold threshold for the first time in this tracked window; the full read is in this cycle's companion insider-scan.

Data as-of the 2026-07-31 close. Source: summaries/tech-insider-buys.json — price/technical fields only; insider dollar figures (TSLA +$219.9M, CRSP +$28.1M, ASAN +$8.7M) are cross-referenced from the pre-captured companion insider-scan:full report where the two universes overlap. Prior scan: 2026-07-28-tech-insider-buys (2026-07-28 close).


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟢 IONQ extended its turn for a second confirming cycle; the semis-adjacent selloff broadly recovered (except ARM); the software rally cooled from its highs
IONQ's move RSI 32.7→41.3 — a second confirming cycle after last cycle's first real shift off a two-scan floor
Rally cooling HUBS (30D +29.05%→+26.44%), TEAM (+26.14%→+21.45%), WDAY (+29.22%→+23.08%) — all still positive but pulled back from extended highs
Recovering from last cycle's hits AMD (RSI 39.4→45.3), CRDO (RSI 38.6→45.3) both bounced; ARM (RSI 35.9→37.5) stayed essentially flat — a genuine split inside the same complex
Cyber cluster extends PANW (RSI 54.9, was 48.6), OKTA (56.8, was 50.9), CRWD (54.7, was 46.7) — all improved further after last cycle's flat range
Golden-signal criterion (summary basis) TSLA no longer clears it — RSI moved to 31.9 (was 27.4); full read in the companion insider-scan
Key insight IONQ's second confirming cycle is the strongest technical change tracked here — two straight cycles of RSI improvement on a name still down nearly 30% over 30 days is a genuine, if early, turn

What's Going On

IONQ's turn now has a second confirming print. After breaking a two-scan floor last cycle (RSI 26.2→32.7), it climbed further this cycle to 41.3 (price $33.88→$36.44, 1D +1.87%, 7D +10.96%) — the 30-day print improved meaningfully to -29.11% from -37.12%, and the regime stays collapse, thesis flagged intact-but-priced. Two straight cycles of RSI improvement, with the 30-day discount narrowing each time, is the strongest evidence yet that this is a genuine technical turn rather than a one-cycle wobble off the floor — though the name remains deeply negative on a rolling basis and still death-crossed.

HUBS, TEAM, and WDAY all cooled from last cycle's extended rally highs. HUBS ($237.36, RSI 58.6, was 61.9; 30D +26.44%, was +29.05%) and TEAM ($101.01, RSI 58.4, was 60.1; 30D +21.45%, was +26.14%) both pulled back modestly after roughly doubling their gains over the prior cycle. WDAY ($160.34, RSI 61.9, was 65.5; 30D +23.08%, was +29.22%) shows the same pattern. VEEV ($203.78, RSI 62.1, was 63.1; 30D +10.62%, was +14.18%) and MDB ($337.48, RSI 55.5, was 43.6; 30D -6.09%, was -8.15% — a genuine improvement, not a cooldown) round out this cluster. None of these are oversold reads — this remains a strength story broadly cooling from its extremes, not a reversal.

AMD and CRDO both recovered from last cycle's fresh single-day hits, while ARM stayed essentially flat — a genuine split inside what had looked like one cohesive semis-adjacent selloff. AMD ($476.15, RSI 45.3, was 39.4; 30D -11.97%, was -15.73%) improved meaningfully after last cycle's -8.15% single-day drop. CRDO ($206.99, RSI 45.3, was 38.6; 30D -20.11%, was -21.74%; 1D +2.94%, was -7.62%) also bounced back. ARM ($239.69, RSI 37.5, was 35.9; 30D -28.97%, roughly unchanged from -28.77%) is the exception — essentially flat this cycle, neither improving nor deteriorating further. INTC ($90.20, RSI 40.0, was 33.9; 30D -28.99%, was -34.48%) and MRVL ($187.56, RSI 41.6, was 34.3; 30D -31.04%, was -37.17%) both recovered as well, still no insider-buying confirmation on any of them.

The cyber cluster (PANW/OKTA/CRWD) extended its improvement this cycle after holding roughly flat last scan: PANW (RSI 54.9, was 48.6), OKTA (56.8, was 50.9), CRWD (54.7, was 46.7) — all moved further into positive territory, suggesting the range they settled into last cycle is now trending up rather than staying flat. SMCI's modest improvement continued — RSI 49.1 (was 48.3), 30D +2.71% (was +1.07%) — a small but real underlying gain for a second straight cycle.

TSLA's RSI moved above the strict golden-signal threshold this cycle. On the summary data this scan relies on, RSI climbed to 31.9 from 27.4 — the full structural read, including the fact that its insider buying figure moved for the first time in three frozen cycles (+$205.3M→+$219.9M), is in this cycle's companion insider-scan. CRSP (RSI 41.7, was 39.3; +$28.1M unchanged buying) improved slightly; ASAN (RSI 59.9, was 61.8; +$8.7M roughly flat buying) cooled slightly from its rally but remains well clear of any oversold read.


What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-07-28 → 2026-07-31)

Change Read
IONQ extended its turn for a second confirming cycle — RSI 32.7→41.3, 30D -37.12%→-29.11% The strongest evidence yet of a genuine technical reversal rather than a one-cycle wobble
HUBS/TEAM/WDAY all cooled from extended rally highs — HUBS 30D +29.05%→+26.44%, TEAM +26.14%→+21.45% Still positive but no longer accelerating after roughly doubling last cycle
AMD/CRDO both recovered from last cycle's fresh single-day hits — AMD RSI 39.4→45.3, CRDO 38.6→45.3 A genuine bounce, not a continuation of the selloff
ARM stayed essentially flat — RSI 35.9→37.5, 30D roughly unchanged Diverges from AMD/CRDO's recovery — worth tracking as the laggard in this complex
PANW/OKTA/CRWD all extended their improvement after holding flat last cycle The cyber cluster's earlier settling range is now trending up
TSLA's RSI moved above 30 on the summary basis — 27.4→31.9 See companion insider-scan for the full read; ends the golden-signal criterion on tape truth
MDB genuinely improved — RSI 43.6→55.5, 30D -8.15%→-6.09% A real technical gain, not just noise
QCOM deepened further — RSI 36.5→29.3, 30D -13.7%→-18.86% Continues to diverge from the rest of the recovering semis complex — see companion bargain-bin scan

How To Read The Board

The table labels are technical states, not trade recommendations. This cycle's clearest read is IONQ's second confirming cycle of improvement — two straight cycles of RSI gains on a name still down nearly 30% over 30 days is a genuine, if early, turn worth tracking rather than a coincidence. The AMD/CRDO recovery paired with ARM's flat print is a useful reminder that "semis-adjacent selloff" was never one uniform move — some names bounce faster than others even inside the same complex. thesis: broken (INTU, tracked in the companion bargain-bin scan) remains a hard override a price bounce does not clear. This watchlist references "insider buys," but the JSON summary contains price/technical fields only — cross-reference the companion insider-scan report for live insider dollar flow before treating any RSI print here as a buy signal.


Price Table

Software/Hardware Breakdowns And Damaged Structure (RSI < 45)

Stock Price RSI 1D 7D 30D vs SMA200 Regime Thesis Note
QCOM $147.61 29.3 -2.6% -11.6% -18.9% -12.1% collapse unrated Deepened further; see companion bargain-bin scan
TSLA $311.21 31.9 +0.8% -0.6% -26.8% -24.4% collapse intact RSI moved above 30 — see companion insider-scan
IONQ $36.44 41.3 +1.9% +11.0% -29.1% -21.3% collapse intact-but-priced Second confirming cycle of improvement off the two-scan floor
ARM $239.69 37.5 -0.8% -7.8% -29.0% +26.2% pullback intact-but-priced Essentially flat this cycle, diverging from AMD/CRDO's recovery
CRSP $47.99 41.7 -0.9% +3.1% -13.7% -11.2% downtrend unrated Buying present (+$28.1M unchanged), improved slightly
MDB $337.48 55.5 +3.6% +13.2% -6.1% +1.2% pullback unrated Genuine improvement from -8.15% last cycle
AMD $476.15 45.3 -1.9% -8.8% -12.0% +52.7% pullback unrated Recovered from last cycle's -8.15% single-day hit
INTC $90.20 40.0 -1.0% -2.3% -29.0% +34.6% pullback unrated Recovered from -34.48% last cycle
MRVL $187.56 41.6 +2.3% -3.4% -31.0% +38.9% pullback unrated Recovered from -37.17% last cycle
TSM $404.25 46.2 +0.2% +0.2% -9.0% +13.6% pullback unrated Improved from -13.8%
CRDO $206.99 45.3 +2.9% -2.9% -20.1% +24.7% pullback unrated Recovered from last cycle's -7.62% single-day hit
GOOGL $356.13 54.1 +6.7% +11.4% -1.4% +9.3% pullback intact Improved, cross-ref bargain-bin
CEG $262.75 50.6 -0.3% -4.2% +11.1% -14.5% collapse unrated Improved this cycle, not oversold

Mixed / Stabilizing (RSI 45-60)

Stock Price RSI 1D 7D 30D vs SMA200 Regime Thesis Note
PANW $331.83 54.9 +1.9% +2.5% -5.7% +54.8% uptrend unrated Extended its improvement after holding flat last cycle
OKTA $141.93 56.8 +1.1% +2.5% +1.1% +51.0% uptrend unrated Same pattern
CRWD $190.86 54.7 +3.1% +4.1% -1.2% +43.9% uptrend unrated Same pattern
SMCI $28.40 49.1 +2.4% -5.7% +2.7% -13.4% downtrend unrated Second straight cycle of modest, real improvement
TEAM $101.01 58.4 +3.0% +16.3% +21.5% -7.3% downtrend intact Cooled from its 26.1% peak, still death-crossed
HUBS $237.36 58.6 +1.8% +15.9% +26.4% -17.1% downtrend intact-but-priced Cooled from its 29.1% peak
NOW $111.23 56.6 +1.1% +12.6% +5.1% -11.0% downtrend unrated Cooled meaningfully from +10.65%
ASAN $8.32 59.9 +4.7% +20.9% +13.8% -11.1% downtrend unrated Small insider buying (+$8.7M, roughly flat), cooled from its rally
WDAY $160.34 61.9 +1.4% +18.5% +23.1% -19.2% downtrend unrated Cooled from its 29.2% peak
ANET $180.35 56.4 +5.5% +3.7% +8.2% +19.7% uptrend unrated Improved
ASML $1,629.00 42.8 -1.4% -7.2% -11.5% +17.4% pullback unrated Recovered from -15.94% last cycle
AVGO $389.28 51.3 +0.4% +1.9% +5.4% +6.7% pullback intact Steady
ZS $151.20 56.4 +1.9% +6.2% +3.2% -20.4% downtrend unrated Still death-crossed
ESTC $65.79 64.6 +2.4% +12.1% +12.6% +2.2% pullback unrated Extended its improvement
FTNT $161.95 60.6 +5.0% +6.3% +1.9% +61.1% uptrend unrated Steady, extended vs 200-day
NVDA $200.75 48.6 +2.9% -2.9% +1.6% +4.1% pullback intact Steady
MSFT $464.72 74.6 +3.0% +21.8% +20.9% +7.5% pullback intact Extended, still death-crossed
VEEV $203.78 62.1 +1.1% +9.4% +10.6% -2.2% downtrend unrated Cooled slightly, still death-crossed
META $556.71 37.9 +3.3% -6.5% -9.2% -12.1% downtrend unrated Real discount forming, cross-ref bargain-bin
PLTR $123.06 44.2 +0.7% +0.1% -2.1% -19.5% collapse intact See companion insider-scan for full read
DDOG $267.97 61.8 -0.2% +8.6% +1.3% +60.2% uptrend intact Steady, extended
INTU $316.07 59.2 +0.2% +6.7% +18.9% -33.2% downtrend broken Fifth straight bounce, thesis flag unchanged — avoid

Strength Pockets (RSI 60+ — extended holds)

Stock Price RSI 30D vs SMA200 Regime Thesis Note
AAPL $308.91 43.3 +4.9% +11.3% uptrend intact Extended, still climbing
SNOW $293.28 69.8 +12.3% +39.3% uptrend unrated Strong, extended
NET $278.98 61.3 +13.3% +30.8% uptrend intact Strong, extended
CRM $184.02 59.7 +12.7% -9.9% downtrend intact Cooled slightly, still death-crossed
ADBE $250.41 59.8 +18.7% -32.5% downtrend unrated Cooled slightly

Tier Analysis

Second confirming cycle — IONQ's RSI shift from 32.7 to 41.3 is the strongest technical change tracked here this cycle — two straight cycles of improvement on a name still down nearly 30% over 30 days.

Rally cooling, still positive — HUBS, TEAM, WDAY all pulled back from last cycle's extended highs after roughly doubling their gains — not a reversal, but no longer accelerating.

Split recovery inside one complex — AMD and CRDO both bounced back from last cycle's fresh single-day hits; ARM stayed essentially flat, a genuine divergence worth tracking separately.

Extending after holding flat — PANW, OKTA, CRWD all improved further this cycle, suggesting the range they settled into last cycle is now trending up.

Broken thesis, bounced again — INTU, fifth straight cycle of price improvement with the flag unchanged.

RSI moved above the golden-signal threshold — TSLA (see companion insider-scan for the full structural read).

Single-name deterioration inside a recovering complex — QCOM deepened further while MRVL, ASML, LRCX, AMD all recovered (see companion bargain-bin scan).


Entry Zones

Stock Price Zone RSI 30D Setup
IONQ $36.44 Watch for a third confirming print 41.3 -29.1% Second straight cycle of RSI improvement, strongest turn signal tracked here
ARM $239.69 Watch for a floor 37.5 -29.0% Stayed flat while AMD/CRDO both recovered — the laggard in this complex
AMD / CRDO $476.15 / $206.99 Confirm the bounce holds 45.3 / 45.3 -12.0% / -20.1% Both recovered from last cycle's fresh single-day hits
HUBS / TEAM $237.36 / $101.01 Extended, don't chase 58.6 / 58.4 +26.4% / +21.5% Cooled from extended highs but still up meaningfully on the month

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔒 HOLD AAPL, NET, SNOW, GOOGL, CRM, MSFT, TSM, ASML, AVGO, NVDA Intact or steady trend, no urgent action
🔍 WATCH PANW, OKTA, CRWD, VEEV, META, NOW, ESTC, ADBE, MDB, ZS, PLTR, ANET, ASAN, DDOG, CEG, FTNT Steady, extending, or damaged-but-intact-thesis names needing confirmation
🔍 RECOVERING, SPLIT COHORT AMD, CRDO, INTC, MRVL Bounced back from last cycle's hits; ARM is the exception
⚠️ FLAT, LAGGARD ARM Diverged from AMD/CRDO's recovery this cycle
⚠️ DEEPENING QCOM Diverging from the rest of the recovering semis complex — see companion bargain-bin scan
⚠️ EXTENDED, COOLING — DON'T CHASE HUBS, TEAM, WDAY Pulled back from last cycle's extended rally highs
🔍 SECOND CONFIRMING CYCLE IONQ Strongest technical turn signal tracked here this cycle
❌ AVOID — BROKEN THESIS INTU Bounced again, flag unchanged
🔍 RSI MOVED ABOVE THRESHOLD TSLA See companion insider-scan for the full structural read

What To Watch Next

Watch Why it matters
IONQ's next print Two straight cycles of improvement — a third would make this a genuinely confirmed turn
ARM's next print Stayed flat while AMD/CRDO both recovered — confirm whether it's the next to bounce or a genuine laggard
Whether HUBS/TEAM/WDAY's cooldown continues All pulled back from extended highs this cycle — watch whether this settles into a steadier uptrend or reverses
QCOM's next print Continues to diverge from the rest of the recovering semis complex — see companion bargain-bin scan
PANW/OKTA/CRWD's continued extension Improved further after holding flat last cycle — worth confirming this is a genuine uptrend
TSLA's RSI Moved above 30 this cycle on the summary basis — see companion insider-scan for the full read

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-07-31 close — tech-insider-buys.
  • Insider Form-4 net dollar flows (TSLA, CRSP, ASAN): pre-captured insider-scan:full report (run this session), cross-referenced against the summary for price — no discrepancies found.
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.