Tech Insider Buys

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Tech Insider Buys

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2026-07-31 Tech Insider-Buys Scan — IONQ Extends Its Turn For A Second Confirming Cycle, The Software Rally Cools From Its Highs, AMD/CRDO Recover From Last Cycle's Single-Day Hits (ARM Stays Flat)

IONQ's RSI climbed further to 41.3 from 32.7, and the 30-day print improved to -29.11% from -37.12% — the "first real change" flagged last cycle now has a second confirming print, the strongest evidence yet of a genuine technical turn rather than a one-cycle wobble. HUBS, TEAM, and WDAY — whose rallies had roughly doubled last cycle — all cooled from those extended highs this cycle (HUBS 30D +26.44%, was +29.05%; TEAM +21.45%, was +26.14%; WDAY +23.08%, was +29.22%), still positive but no longer accelerating. AMD and CRDO both recovered from last cycle's fresh single-day hits (AMD RSI 45.3, was 39.4; CRDO RSI 45.3, was 38.6), while ARM stayed essentially flat (RSI 37.5, was 35.9; 30D -28.97%, roughly unchanged) — a genuine divergence inside what had looked like one cohesive semis-adjacent selloff. TSLA's RSI moved to 31.9 this cycle (was 27.4) — on the summary data this scan relies on, that's above the strict oversold threshold for the first time in this tracked window; the full read is in this cycle's companion insider-scan.

Data as-of the 2026-07-31 close. Source: summaries/tech-insider-buys.json — price/technical fields only; insider dollar figures (TSLA +$219.9M, CRSP +$28.1M, ASAN +$8.7M) are cross-referenced from the pre-captured companion insider-scan:full report where the two universes overlap. Prior scan: 2026-07-28-tech-insider-buys (2026-07-28 close).


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟢 IONQ extended its turn for a second confirming cycle; the semis-adjacent selloff broadly recovered (except ARM); the software rally cooled from its highs
IONQ's move RSI 32.7→41.3 — a second confirming cycle after last cycle's first real shift off a two-scan floor
Rally cooling HUBS (30D +29.05%→+26.44%), TEAM (+26.14%→+21.45%), WDAY (+29.22%→+23.08%) — all still positive but pulled back from extended highs
Recovering from last cycle's hits AMD (RSI 39.4→45.3), CRDO (RSI 38.6→45.3) both bounced; ARM (RSI 35.9→37.5) stayed essentially flat — a genuine split inside the same complex
Cyber cluster extends PANW (RSI 54.9, was 48.6), OKTA (56.8, was 50.9), CRWD (54.7, was 46.7) — all improved further after last cycle's flat range
Golden-signal criterion (summary basis) TSLA no longer clears it — RSI moved to 31.9 (was 27.4); full read in the companion insider-scan
Key insight IONQ's second confirming cycle is the strongest technical change tracked here — two straight cycles of RSI improvement on a name still down nearly 30% over 30 days is a genuine, if early, turn

What's Going On

IONQ's turn now has a second confirming print. After breaking a two-scan floor last cycle (RSI 26.2→32.7), it climbed further this cycle to 41.3 (price $33.88→$36.44, 1D +1.87%, 7D +10.96%) — the 30-day print improved meaningfully to -29.11% from -37.12%, and the regime stays collapse, thesis flagged intact-but-priced. Two straight cycles of RSI improvement, with the 30-day discount narrowing each time, is the strongest evidence yet that this is a genuine technical turn rather than a one-cycle wobble off the floor — though the name remains deeply negative on a rolling basis and still death-crossed.

HUBS, TEAM, and WDAY all cooled from last cycle's extended rally highs. HUBS ($237.36, RSI 58.6, was 61.9; 30D +26.44%, was +29.05%) and TEAM ($101.01, RSI 58.4, was 60.1; 30D +21.45%, was +26.14%) both pulled back modestly after roughly doubling their gains over the prior cycle. WDAY ($160.34, RSI 61.9, was 65.5; 30D +23.08%, was +29.22%) shows the same pattern. VEEV ($203.78, RSI 62.1, was 63.1; 30D +10.62%, was +14.18%) and MDB ($337.48, RSI 55.5, was 43.6; 30D -6.09%, was -8.15% — a genuine improvement, not a cooldown) round out this cluster. None of these are oversold reads — this remains a strength story broadly cooling from its extremes, not a reversal.

AMD and CRDO both recovered from last cycle's fresh single-day hits, while ARM stayed essentially flat — a genuine split inside what had looked like one cohesive semis-adjacent selloff. AMD ($476.15, RSI 45.3, was 39.4; 30D -11.97%, was -15.73%) improved meaningfully after last cycle's -8.15% single-day drop. CRDO ($206.99, RSI 45.3, was 38.6; 30D -20.11%, was -21.74%; 1D +2.94%, was -7.62%) also bounced back. ARM ($239.69, RSI 37.5, was 35.9; 30D -28.97%, roughly unchanged from -28.77%) is the exception — essentially flat this cycle, neither improving nor deteriorating further. INTC ($90.20, RSI 40.0, was 33.9; 30D -28.99%, was -34.48%) and MRVL ($187.56, RSI 41.6, was 34.3; 30D -31.04%, was -37.17%) both recovered as well, still no insider-buying confirmation on any of them.

The cyber cluster (PANW/OKTA/CRWD) extended its improvement this cycle after holding roughly flat last scan: PANW (RSI 54.9, was 48.6), OKTA (56.8, was 50.9), CRWD (54.7, was 46.7) — all moved further into positive territory, suggesting the range they settled into last cycle is now trending up rather than staying flat. SMCI's modest improvement continued — RSI 49.1 (was 48.3), 30D +2.71% (was +1.07%) — a small but real underlying gain for a second straight cycle.

TSLA's RSI moved above the strict golden-signal threshold this cycle. On the summary data this scan relies on, RSI climbed to 31.9 from 27.4 — the full structural read, including the fact that its insider buying figure moved for the first time in three frozen cycles (+$205.3M→+$219.9M), is in this cycle's companion insider-scan. CRSP (RSI 41.7, was 39.3; +$28.1M unchanged buying) improved slightly; ASAN (RSI 59.9, was 61.8; +$8.7M roughly flat buying) cooled slightly from its rally but remains well clear of any oversold read.


What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-07-28 → 2026-07-31)

Change Read
IONQ extended its turn for a second confirming cycle — RSI 32.7→41.3, 30D -37.12%→-29.11% The strongest evidence yet of a genuine technical reversal rather than a one-cycle wobble
HUBS/TEAM/WDAY all cooled from extended rally highs — HUBS 30D +29.05%→+26.44%, TEAM +26.14%→+21.45% Still positive but no longer accelerating after roughly doubling last cycle
AMD/CRDO both recovered from last cycle's fresh single-day hits — AMD RSI 39.4→45.3, CRDO 38.6→45.3 A genuine bounce, not a continuation of the selloff
ARM stayed essentially flat — RSI 35.9→37.5, 30D roughly unchanged Diverges from AMD/CRDO's recovery — worth tracking as the laggard in this complex
PANW/OKTA/CRWD all extended their improvement after holding flat last cycle The cyber cluster's earlier settling range is now trending up
TSLA's RSI moved above 30 on the summary basis — 27.4→31.9 See companion insider-scan for the full read; ends the golden-signal criterion on tape truth
MDB genuinely improved — RSI 43.6→55.5, 30D -8.15%→-6.09% A real technical gain, not just noise
QCOM deepened further — RSI 36.5→29.3, 30D -13.7%→-18.86% Continues to diverge from the rest of the recovering semis complex — see companion bargain-bin scan

How To Read The Board

The table labels are technical states, not trade recommendations. This cycle's clearest read is IONQ's second confirming cycle of improvement — two straight cycles of RSI gains on a name still down nearly 30% over 30 days is a genuine, if early, turn worth tracking rather than a coincidence. The AMD/CRDO recovery paired with ARM's flat print is a useful reminder that "semis-adjacent selloff" was never one uniform move — some names bounce faster than others even inside the same complex. thesis: broken (INTU, tracked in the companion bargain-bin scan) remains a hard override a price bounce does not clear. This watchlist references "insider buys," but the JSON summary contains price/technical fields only — cross-reference the companion insider-scan report for live insider dollar flow before treating any RSI print here as a buy signal.


Price Table

Software/Hardware Breakdowns And Damaged Structure (RSI < 45)

Stock Price RSI 1D 7D 30D vs SMA200 Regime Thesis Note
QCOM $147.61 29.3 -2.6% -11.6% -18.9% -12.1% collapse unrated Deepened further; see companion bargain-bin scan
TSLA $311.21 31.9 +0.8% -0.6% -26.8% -24.4% collapse intact RSI moved above 30 — see companion insider-scan
IONQ $36.44 41.3 +1.9% +11.0% -29.1% -21.3% collapse intact-but-priced Second confirming cycle of improvement off the two-scan floor
ARM $239.69 37.5 -0.8% -7.8% -29.0% +26.2% pullback intact-but-priced Essentially flat this cycle, diverging from AMD/CRDO's recovery
CRSP $47.99 41.7 -0.9% +3.1% -13.7% -11.2% downtrend unrated Buying present (+$28.1M unchanged), improved slightly
MDB $337.48 55.5 +3.6% +13.2% -6.1% +1.2% pullback unrated Genuine improvement from -8.15% last cycle
AMD $476.15 45.3 -1.9% -8.8% -12.0% +52.7% pullback unrated Recovered from last cycle's -8.15% single-day hit
INTC $90.20 40.0 -1.0% -2.3% -29.0% +34.6% pullback unrated Recovered from -34.48% last cycle
MRVL $187.56 41.6 +2.3% -3.4% -31.0% +38.9% pullback unrated Recovered from -37.17% last cycle
TSM $404.25 46.2 +0.2% +0.2% -9.0% +13.6% pullback unrated Improved from -13.8%
CRDO $206.99 45.3 +2.9% -2.9% -20.1% +24.7% pullback unrated Recovered from last cycle's -7.62% single-day hit
GOOGL $356.13 54.1 +6.7% +11.4% -1.4% +9.3% pullback intact Improved, cross-ref bargain-bin
CEG $262.75 50.6 -0.3% -4.2% +11.1% -14.5% collapse unrated Improved this cycle, not oversold

Mixed / Stabilizing (RSI 45-60)

Stock Price RSI 1D 7D 30D vs SMA200 Regime Thesis Note
PANW $331.83 54.9 +1.9% +2.5% -5.7% +54.8% uptrend unrated Extended its improvement after holding flat last cycle
OKTA $141.93 56.8 +1.1% +2.5% +1.1% +51.0% uptrend unrated Same pattern
CRWD $190.86 54.7 +3.1% +4.1% -1.2% +43.9% uptrend unrated Same pattern
SMCI $28.40 49.1 +2.4% -5.7% +2.7% -13.4% downtrend unrated Second straight cycle of modest, real improvement
TEAM $101.01 58.4 +3.0% +16.3% +21.5% -7.3% downtrend intact Cooled from its 26.1% peak, still death-crossed
HUBS $237.36 58.6 +1.8% +15.9% +26.4% -17.1% downtrend intact-but-priced Cooled from its 29.1% peak
NOW $111.23 56.6 +1.1% +12.6% +5.1% -11.0% downtrend unrated Cooled meaningfully from +10.65%
ASAN $8.32 59.9 +4.7% +20.9% +13.8% -11.1% downtrend unrated Small insider buying (+$8.7M, roughly flat), cooled from its rally
WDAY $160.34 61.9 +1.4% +18.5% +23.1% -19.2% downtrend unrated Cooled from its 29.2% peak
ANET $180.35 56.4 +5.5% +3.7% +8.2% +19.7% uptrend unrated Improved
ASML $1,629.00 42.8 -1.4% -7.2% -11.5% +17.4% pullback unrated Recovered from -15.94% last cycle
AVGO $389.28 51.3 +0.4% +1.9% +5.4% +6.7% pullback intact Steady
ZS $151.20 56.4 +1.9% +6.2% +3.2% -20.4% downtrend unrated Still death-crossed
ESTC $65.79 64.6 +2.4% +12.1% +12.6% +2.2% pullback unrated Extended its improvement
FTNT $161.95 60.6 +5.0% +6.3% +1.9% +61.1% uptrend unrated Steady, extended vs 200-day
NVDA $200.75 48.6 +2.9% -2.9% +1.6% +4.1% pullback intact Steady
MSFT $464.72 74.6 +3.0% +21.8% +20.9% +7.5% pullback intact Extended, still death-crossed
VEEV $203.78 62.1 +1.1% +9.4% +10.6% -2.2% downtrend unrated Cooled slightly, still death-crossed
META $556.71 37.9 +3.3% -6.5% -9.2% -12.1% downtrend unrated Real discount forming, cross-ref bargain-bin
PLTR $123.06 44.2 +0.7% +0.1% -2.1% -19.5% collapse intact See companion insider-scan for full read
DDOG $267.97 61.8 -0.2% +8.6% +1.3% +60.2% uptrend intact Steady, extended
INTU $316.07 59.2 +0.2% +6.7% +18.9% -33.2% downtrend broken Fifth straight bounce, thesis flag unchanged — avoid

Strength Pockets (RSI 60+ — extended holds)

Stock Price RSI 30D vs SMA200 Regime Thesis Note
AAPL $308.91 43.3 +4.9% +11.3% uptrend intact Extended, still climbing
SNOW $293.28 69.8 +12.3% +39.3% uptrend unrated Strong, extended
NET $278.98 61.3 +13.3% +30.8% uptrend intact Strong, extended
CRM $184.02 59.7 +12.7% -9.9% downtrend intact Cooled slightly, still death-crossed
ADBE $250.41 59.8 +18.7% -32.5% downtrend unrated Cooled slightly

Tier Analysis

Second confirming cycleIONQ's RSI shift from 32.7 to 41.3 is the strongest technical change tracked here this cycle — two straight cycles of improvement on a name still down nearly 30% over 30 days.

Rally cooling, still positiveHUBS, TEAM, WDAY all pulled back from last cycle's extended highs after roughly doubling their gains — not a reversal, but no longer accelerating.

Split recovery inside one complexAMD and CRDO both bounced back from last cycle's fresh single-day hits; ARM stayed essentially flat, a genuine divergence worth tracking separately.

Extending after holding flatPANW, OKTA, CRWD all improved further this cycle, suggesting the range they settled into last cycle is now trending up.

Broken thesis, bounced againINTU, fifth straight cycle of price improvement with the flag unchanged.

RSI moved above the golden-signal thresholdTSLA (see companion insider-scan for the full structural read).

Single-name deterioration inside a recovering complexQCOM deepened further while MRVL, ASML, LRCX, AMD all recovered (see companion bargain-bin scan).


Entry Zones

Stock Price Zone RSI 30D Setup
IONQ $36.44 Watch for a third confirming print 41.3 -29.1% Second straight cycle of RSI improvement, strongest turn signal tracked here
ARM $239.69 Watch for a floor 37.5 -29.0% Stayed flat while AMD/CRDO both recovered — the laggard in this complex
AMD / CRDO $476.15 / $206.99 Confirm the bounce holds 45.3 / 45.3 -12.0% / -20.1% Both recovered from last cycle's fresh single-day hits
HUBS / TEAM $237.36 / $101.01 Extended, don't chase 58.6 / 58.4 +26.4% / +21.5% Cooled from extended highs but still up meaningfully on the month

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔒 HOLD AAPL, NET, SNOW, GOOGL, CRM, MSFT, TSM, ASML, AVGO, NVDA Intact or steady trend, no urgent action
🔍 WATCH PANW, OKTA, CRWD, VEEV, META, NOW, ESTC, ADBE, MDB, ZS, PLTR, ANET, ASAN, DDOG, CEG, FTNT Steady, extending, or damaged-but-intact-thesis names needing confirmation
🔍 RECOVERING, SPLIT COHORT AMD, CRDO, INTC, MRVL Bounced back from last cycle's hits; ARM is the exception
⚠️ FLAT, LAGGARD ARM Diverged from AMD/CRDO's recovery this cycle
⚠️ DEEPENING QCOM Diverging from the rest of the recovering semis complex — see companion bargain-bin scan
⚠️ EXTENDED, COOLING — DON'T CHASE HUBS, TEAM, WDAY Pulled back from last cycle's extended rally highs
🔍 SECOND CONFIRMING CYCLE IONQ Strongest technical turn signal tracked here this cycle
❌ AVOID — BROKEN THESIS INTU Bounced again, flag unchanged
🔍 RSI MOVED ABOVE THRESHOLD TSLA See companion insider-scan for the full structural read

What To Watch Next

Watch Why it matters
IONQ's next print Two straight cycles of improvement — a third would make this a genuinely confirmed turn
ARM's next print Stayed flat while AMD/CRDO both recovered — confirm whether it's the next to bounce or a genuine laggard
Whether HUBS/TEAM/WDAY's cooldown continues All pulled back from extended highs this cycle — watch whether this settles into a steadier uptrend or reverses
QCOM's next print Continues to diverge from the rest of the recovering semis complex — see companion bargain-bin scan
PANW/OKTA/CRWD's continued extension Improved further after holding flat last cycle — worth confirming this is a genuine uptrend
TSLA's RSI Moved above 30 this cycle on the summary basis — see companion insider-scan for the full read

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-07-31 close — tech-insider-buys.
  • Insider Form-4 net dollar flows (TSLA, CRSP, ASAN): pre-captured insider-scan:full report (run this session), cross-referenced against the summary for price — no discrepancies found.
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.