AI Scan
AI Scan
Data as-of 2026-07-10 close (IONQ lags one day at 07-09). The biggest change is a genuine de-risking in AI security: PANW's regime flag has flipped back from parabolic to uptrend — RSI fell from 80.2 to 58.6 and its extension above VWAP shrank from +83.2% to +65.2%, with FTNT and CRWD cooling alongside it. The other real break is Bloom Energy (BE), which just had an -18.9% week and moved from "hold, very extended" to genuinely damaged (52-week gap widened from -16.0% to -30.4%). On the positive side, META staged the biggest reversal in the scan — +14.0% on the week, crossing back above its VWAP for the first time in this scan's history — and NVDA had a strong week (RSI 42.3→57.2). Memory/storage (MU/STX/WDC) is stabilizing after last scan's sharp weekly declines, while the quantum bucket (IONQ/QBTS/RGTI/SOUN/BBAI) continues to roll over hard across the board.
FROTH READ: pricePctVsVwap is the key signal — names >50% above VWAP are extended/parabolic relative to their average buyer's cost basis.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 Froth easing at the edges — AI security's `parabolic` flag is gone, but memory/storage and semis-capex extension remain historically high |
| De-risked | PANW — regime flag flipped from `parabolic` back to `uptrend`; RSI 80.2→58.6, vwap% 83.2%→65.2%; FTNT and CRWD also cooled meaningfully |
| New damage | BE — a -18.9% week; 52-week gap widened from -16.0% to -30.4%; the "very extended, hold only" call just cracked |
| Best mover | META — +14.0% 7D, crossed back above VWAP (-8.3%→+2.4%), 52-week gap narrowed from -24.6% to -16.0% |
| Rolling over | IONQ, QBTS, RGTI, SOUN, BBAI — the whole quantum/speculative bucket deteriorated broadly this period |
| Caveat | IONQ carries a stale read (07-09 close) |
What's Going On
The AI-complex froth story has genuinely changed shape since the last scan. Two weeks ago, AI security was the hottest pocket on the board with PANW literally flagged parabolic by the system (RSI 80.2, +83.2% above VWAP). That's now unwound: PANW's regime reverted to uptrend, RSI fell to 58.6, and its extension shrank to +65.2% above VWAP — a real, measurable cooldown rather than just a pause. FTNT and CRWD cooled alongside it (both had sharp down weeks, -2.9% and -9.9% respectively), confirming this is a sector-wide unwind, not a single-name story.
The flip side is Bloom Energy (BE), which was flagged as "very extended, hold only" two weeks ago and just had a genuinely bad week — down 18.9% in seven days, with its 52-week gap widening from -16.0% to -30.4% and its extension above VWAP shrinking from +111.8% to +70.7%. This is the clearest example on the board of an extended name actually cracking rather than just digesting.
On the constructive side, META had the single best week in the scan: +14.0% over seven days (including a +6.0% single day on 2.1x relative volume), crossing back above its VWAP for the first time since this scan began tracking it, with its 52-week gap narrowing from -24.6% to -16.0%. NVDA also had a strong week (RSI 42.3→57.2, +7.3% 7D), and the system's own thesis flag marks NVDA "intact." Memory and storage (MU/STX/WDC) — last scan's biggest digestion story after 85-160% three-month runs — appears to be stabilizing: STX and WDC both had positive weeks after the prior scan's 7-12% weekly declines.
The clearest deterioration is in the quantum/speculative bucket. IONQ, QBTS, RGTI, SOUN, and BBAI all had worse weeks than two weeks ago — QBTS and RGTI both down double digits on the week, and BBAI's RSI fell to 33.7, edging toward capitulation. Telecom (T, BCE, VZ, SKM) went the other direction, bouncing broadly off deeply oversold levels from two weeks ago into the high-30s/40s RSI range.
What Changed Since the 2026-07-07 Scan
- AI security de-risked, no longer the froth leader: PANW's regime flipped from
parabolictouptrend(RSI 80.2→58.6, vwap% +83.2%→+65.2%); FTNT (RSI 71.4→60.0) and CRWD (RSI 74.5→57.2) both cooled meaningfully alongside it. - BE broke down: -18.9% in 7 days (was +16.4% 30D two weeks ago, now -1.7%); 52-week gap widened from -16.0% to -30.4%; extension above VWAP shrank from +111.8% to +70.7%. The most extended name from the last scan just cracked.
- META staged the biggest reversal in the scan: +14.0% 7D, crossed back above VWAP (-8.3%→+2.4%), 52-week gap narrowed from -24.6% to -16.0% — still death-crossed on the trend flag, but the clearest positive change on the board.
- Memory/storage stabilized: STX and WDC both had positive weeks (+4.0% and -1.7%, vs -9.9%/-11.9% the prior period), though extension above VWAP is still 100%+ across the cluster.
- INTC cooled hard from extreme parabolic: 3M% eased from +131.0% to +68.5%, vwap% from +115.1% to +89.4% — genuine de-risking, though the week itself was rough (-13.2% 7D).
- Quantum bucket deteriorated across the board: IONQ, QBTS, RGTI, SOUN, BBAI all worse on 7D/30D/vs-VWAP than two weeks ago — QBTS -13.9% 7D, RGTI -10.7% 7D.
- Telecom bounced off deep oversold: T (RSI 28.4→40.8) and BCE (RSI 26.2→34.9) both recovered from "falling knife" territory into the high-30s/40s, alongside VZ and SKM.
- Data-center REITs' oversold call played out: EQIX (RSI 31.5→49.1) and DLR (RSI 34.3→45.1) both bounced meaningfully from the "approaching oversold" flag two weeks ago.
Price Tables by Group
Semis & Foundry
| Stock | Price | RSI | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | vs VWAP | 52wkHi% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | $210.96 | 57.2 | +7.32% | +2.97% | +11.57% | +12.31% | -10.81% | strong-up | 🟢 Strong week, thesis intact |
| AMD | $557.89 | 57.6 | -1.52% | +14.22% | +126.02% | +125.09% | -4.59% | strong-up | ⚠️ Avoid — extreme parabolic |
| AVGO | $399.97 | 53.7 | +5.43% | +3.9% | +5.49% | +13.44% | -19.2% | weak-down | 📈 Accumulate (near VWAP, thesis intact) |
| MRVL | $235.81 | 45.2 | -8.36% | -15.97% | +79.64% | +56.67% | -28.52% | strong-up | ⚠️ Hold only — still extended |
| ARM | $323.39 | 47.9 | -2.33% | -5.51% | +105.22% | +61.7% | -28.56% | strong-up | ⚠️ Hold only — extended, thesis intact-but-priced |
| SMCI | $28.31 | 43.3 | +4.19% | -11.45% | +9.01% | -22.95% | -54.6% | strong-down | ❌ Avoid (broken, small bounce) |
| QCOM | $189.16 | 45.6 | +1.51% | -6.8% | +44.66% | +8.67% | -27.22% | weak-down | 🔍 Watch |
| INTC | $109.84 | 43.4 | -13.16% | -6.09% | +68.52% | +89.44% | -22.84% | weak-down | 🔴 Cooled from extreme, but sharp weekly drop |
| TSM | $434.11 | 49.8 | -5.02% | +3.1% | +17.74% | +31.85% | -9.37% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold (core, cooling from extended) |
| ASML | $1,797.32 | 51.1 | -2.79% | -5.38% | +20.07% | +45.91% | -10.13% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold (extended but cooling) |
Memory / Storage
| Stock | Price | RSI | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | vs VWAP | 52wkHi% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MU | $979.30 | 49.2 | -2.58% | -1.65% | +129.62% | +102.3% | -21.97% | strong-up (pullback) | 🔴 Still extreme, stabilizing |
| STX | $910.34 | 50.8 | +3.98% | +4.94% | +77.49% | +114.93% | -20.49% | strong-up (pullback) | 🟡 Bounced back after last week's drop |
| WDC | $582.59 | 50.0 | -1.72% | +10.07% | +66.42% | +121.97% | -27.17% | strong-up (pullback) | 🟡 Much less bad than last scan |
Read: The memory/storage cluster's weekly declines from two weeks ago (-7% to -12%) have largely reversed — STX and WDC both had flat-to-positive weeks. Still 100%+ above VWAP across the cluster, so this is stabilization, not a new leg up.
Cloud Hyperscalers
| Stock | Price | RSI | 7D% | 30D% | vs VWAP | 52wkHi% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | $245.34 | 51.0 | +0.91% | +1.59% | +6.04% | -11.93% | weak-down (basing) | 📈 Accumulate (near VWAP, thesis intact) |
| MSFT | $385.10 | 47.9 | +0.26% | -1.34% | -12.47% | -30.67% | strong-down | ❌ Avoid (below VWAP, death cross) |
| GOOGL | $357.18 | 47.2 | -1.14% | -0.16% | +21.49% | -12.59% | weak-down (pullback) | 🔍 Watch — cooling from extended |
| META | $669.21 | 66.4 | +13.95% | +17.84% | +2.42% | -15.95% | up (still death cross) | 🔥 Best mover — crossed back above VWAP |
| TSLA | $407.76 | 51.5 | +0.62% | +2.16% | +1.56% | -18.26% | strong-down (pullback) | 🔍 Watch (near VWAP, cooling) |
AI Security
| Stock | Price | RSI | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | vs VWAP | 52wkHi% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PANW | $325.91 | 58.6 | -11.0% | +16.59% | +100.55% | +65.24% | -11.48% | strong-up (regime back to `uptrend`) | 🟡 De-risked from `parabolic` — no longer avoid, still not a buy |
| FTNT | $157.51 | 60.0 | -2.93% | +8.58% | +100.04% | +70.65% | -4.7% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold (cooled, still extended) |
| CRWD | $187.18 | 57.2 | -9.85% | +8.27% | +86.14% | +53.17% | -10.65% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold (cooled sharply from RSI 74.5) |
| ZS | $139.27 | 50.3 | -7.44% | +10.44% | +13.58% | -25.9% | -58.67% | strong-down | ❌ Avoid (not participating, worse below VWAP) |
Read: This is the headline change in the scan. PANW's regime literally flipped back from parabolic to uptrend — a real, system-confirmed de-risking, not just a pause. FTNT and CRWD both had rough weeks (-2.9% and -9.9%) that pulled their RSI down from the low-70s to the high-50s/low-60s. Security has gone from "the new froth leader" to "cooling off" in two weeks.
Data / Software / SaaS
| Stock | Price | RSI | 7D% | 30D% | vs VWAP | 52wkHi% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNOW | $261.45 | 65.5 | +0.41% | +8.76% | +27.41% | -8.26% | strong-up (death cross) | 🔒 Hold (steady, extended) |
| DDOG | $257.54 | 61.2 | -1.48% | +9.95% | +64.92% | -7.59% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold (extended but trending) |
| NET | $268.40 | 64.8 | +8.66% | +18.01% | +29.92% | -4.19% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold — approaching 52-week high |
| ANET | $186.96 | 63.0 | +7.37% | +19.54% | +32.07% | -1.51% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold — near high, accelerating |
| EQIX | $1,051.21 | 49.1 | +4.85% | +0.77% | +18.48% | -6.86% | weak-down (basing) | 🟢 Oversold call played out, bounced |
| DLR | $180.41 | 45.1 | +3.07% | -0.67% | +4.28% | -13.32% | weak-down (basing) | 🟢 Bounced off oversold |
| CSCO | $121.31 | 58.3 | +5.76% | -0.06% | +45.15% | -6.95% | strong-up | 🔍 Watch (extended, near high) |
| MDB | $342.08 | 51.2 | -3.42% | -3.48% | +9.74% | -23.08% | up (death cross) | 🔍 Watch |
| PATH | $11.68 | 59.3 | -0.76% | +9.67% | -7.61% | -41.13% | weak-up (death cross) | ❌ Avoid |
| VEEV | $190.12 | 66.1 | +0.53% | +17.68% | -8.35% | -38.77% | weak-up (death cross) | 🔍 Watch — cooled off its hot week |
| NOW | $107.71 | 55.1 | +0.91% | +4.49% | -12.52% | -48.76% | weak-up (death cross) | ❌ Avoid |
| CRM | $163.32 | 47.5 | -0.32% | -1.88% | -21.2% | -40.39% | strong-down (collapse) | ❌ Avoid (collapse, unchanged) |
| ADBE | $223.64 | 53.7 | +4.63% | +2.21% | -22.16% | -40.55% | strong-down (collapse) | ❌ Avoid — real 30D improvement though |
| WDAY | $138.95 | 58.2 | +6.27% | +6.45% | -18.28% | -44.39% | weak-up (death cross) | ❌ Avoid — minor stabilization, still broken |
| PLTR | $126.79 | 48.4 | -3.08% | -3.27% | -19.84% | -38.9% | strong-down (collapse) | ❌ Avoid — bounce reversed, worse than 2wks ago |
| AI | $8.95 | 41.5 | -0.22% | -20.59% | -37.56% | -70.28% | strong-down | ❌ Avoid (deepening collapse) |
Read: EQIX and DLR both delivered on the "approaching oversold" call from two weeks ago — real bounces, RSI back into the high-40s. PLTR is the disappointment here: its earlier-week bounce reversed (-3.08% 7D, vwap% worsened to -19.84% from -16.18%) even though the system's own thesis flag still reads "intact" — the tape and the flag disagree, worth a fresh look rather than trusting the flag at face value. WDAY's 30-day change flipped positive (-4.0%→+6.5%) for the first real improvement in a while, though it's still death-crossed. AI (C3.ai) continues to deteriorate the fastest in this group (-20.6% 30D).
AI Power / Energy
| Stock | Price | RSI | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | vs VWAP | 52wkHi% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BE | $244.61 | 43.0 | -18.9% | -1.72% | +38.46% | +70.71% | -30.37% | weak-down (pullback) | 🔴 Cracked — 52wk gap doubled |
| SEDG | $55.18 | 48.8 | +1.25% | -5.58% | +27.7% | +40.32% | -32.09% | weak-down (pullback) | ⚠️ Still extended, slightly worse |
| NEE | $87.96 | 52.1 | +0.51% | +3.68% | -4.01% | +5.8% | -10.93% | weak-down | 🔍 Watch |
| VST | $158.86 | 52.8 | +3.03% | +8.67% | +0.56% | -7.99% | -27.73% | weak-up | 🔍 Watch (basing) |
| FSLR | $227.83 | 40.4 | -2.92% | -15.98% | +13.72% | +0.53% | -29.01% | down (pullback) | 🔍 Watch (near fair value) |
| ENPH | $44.83 | 42.9 | +1.04% | -18.39% | +42.91% | +12.51% | -39.21% | weak-down (pullback) | 🔍 Watch |
| RUN | $12.47 | 44.1 | -3.26% | -0.64% | -2.27% | -18.17% | -44.43% | strong-down | ❌ Avoid |
| CEG | $251.38 | 45.1 | +3.26% | +1.89% | -13.7% | -18.77% | -39.09% | strong-down (collapse) | ❌ Avoid — small bounce, still collapsed |
| EOSE | $4.40 | 29.6 ↓ | -18.25% | -29.03% | -28.57% | -55.57% | -77.84% | strong-down (collapse) | ❌ Avoid — near capitulation |
| OKLO | $48.85 | 38.6 | -6.02% | -15.57% | -9.44% | -44.75% | -74.8% | strong-down | ❌ Avoid (deepening) |
| SMR | $9.04 | 39.8 | -8.8% | -5.54% | -5.64% | -56.74% | -84.26% | strong-down | ❌ Avoid — still worst name in the scan |
Read: BE is the biggest single deterioration in this scan — an -18.9% week that turned a "very extended, hold only" call into genuine damage. EOSE is edging into capitulation (RSI 29.6, -18.25% on the week). SMR remains the single most destroyed name in the entire 66-ticker universe at -84.3% off its high.
AI Healthcare
| Stock | Price | RSI | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | vs VWAP | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEM | $58.23 | 56.5 | -2.62% | +17.42% | +26.64% | -11.2% | weak-up (downtrend regime) | 🟡 Breakout momentum faded from last scan |
| ISRG | $406.78 | 45.0 | -4.02% | -1.48% | -11.37% | -15.39% | strong-down (collapse) | 🔍 Watch — deteriorated, system flag says "intact" |
Quantum / Speculative AI
| Stock | Price | RSI | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | vs VWAP | 52wkHi% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IONQ | $44.77 | 36.5 | -13.26% | -20.94% | +55.51% | -11.39% | -47.11% | down | ⚠️ Fading harder (data 07-09) |
| QBTS | $20.09 | 39.8 | -13.85% | -15.66% | +37.13% | -17.37% | -57.03% | strong-down | ⚠️ Rolling over hard |
| RGTI | $16.54 | 37.7 | -10.74% | -19.83% | +9.32% | -37.68% | -71.56% | strong-down | ❌ Avoid, deteriorating |
| BBAI | $3.27 | 33.7 ↓ | -8.64% | -21.01% | -2.39% | -45.53% | -65.18% | strong-down | ❌ Avoid, near capitulation |
| SOUN | $6.64 | 44.0 | -1.48% | -5.14% | -2.92% | -45.28% | -70.05% | strong-down | ❌ Avoid |
Read: The whole speculative bucket rolled over this period — every one of the five names is worse on 7D, 30D, and vs-VWAP than two weeks ago.
Telecom / Connectivity
| Stock | Price | RSI | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | vs VWAP | 52wkHi% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TMUS | $187.61 | 56.0 | +4.34% | +0.96% | -1.98% | -8.92% | -28.27% | weak-up (death cross) | 🔍 Watch, improving |
| TAC | $14.22 | 58.6 | +2.67% | +6.36% | +3.95% | +4.4% | -20.47% | up | 🔍 Watch (basing) |
| SKM | $33.23 | 44.0 | +3.33% | -12.37% | -7.95% | +5.45% | -29.57% | weak-down | 🔍 Watch — improving |
| T | $21.13 | 40.8 | +3.98% | -6.92% | -16.38% | -15.18% | -29.07% | strong-down | 🟡 Bounced off falling-knife territory |
| VZ | $42.12 | 39.6 | +0.05% | -8.73% | -5.69% | -0.83% | -18.5% | down | 🔍 Watch — near fair value |
| BCE | $21.38 | 34.9 | +0.9% | -11.87% | -7.84% | -9.03% | -19.38% | strong-down | 🟡 Bounced off falling-knife territory |
Read: The whole telecom bucket bounced this period — T and BCE specifically moved out of "falling knife" territory (RSI 26-28 two weeks ago) into the high-30s/low-40s, though both remain in confirmed downtrends with death crosses.
AI ETFs
| Stock | Price | RSI | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | vs VWAP | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMH | $611.03 | 51.1 | -0.6% | +0.26% | +37.82% | +46.1% | strong-up | ⚠️ Parabolic at ETF level |
| AIQ | $63.44 | 49.8 | -0.94% | -0.8% | +25.43% | +18.76% | strong-up | 🔍 Watch |
| ROBO | $82.96 | 48.1 | -3.69% | +0.64% | +10.38% | +9.99% | weak-down | 🔍 Watch — cooling |
| BOTZ | $36.91 | 46.2 | -3.05% | -0.89% | +2.67% | +0.94% | down | 🔍 Watch — near fair value now |
Tier Analysis
Parabolic / Extreme Extension
AMD (+125.1% vwap), WDC (+122.0%), MU (+102.3%), STX (+114.9%), INTC (+89.4%), FTNT (+70.7%), BE (+70.7%), PANW (+65.2%), CRWD (+53.2%), ARM (+61.7%), MRVL (+56.7%). All cooled somewhat from two weeks ago but remain historically extended — hold existing gains, do not add new money.
Oversold / Near-Fair-Value Candidates
- NVDA (RSI 57.2, +12.3% vs VWAP) — strong week, thesis flagged intact by the system.
- AVGO (RSI 53.7, +13.4% vs VWAP) — near fair value, thesis intact.
- AMZN (RSI 51.0, +6.0% vs VWAP) — steady, thesis intact.
- EQIX (RSI 49.1) and DLR (RSI 45.1) — both delivered a real bounce off the "approaching oversold" call from two weeks ago.
- T (RSI 40.8) and BCE (RSI 34.9) — recovered from falling-knife territory but still in confirmed downtrends — watch-only, not entries.
Broken / Collapse (avoid even at low RSI)
MSFT, CRM, ADBE, NOW, WDAY (carried), PLTR, ZS, AI, CEG, OKLO, SMR, EOSE, RUN, TMUS — all below or well below VWAP in confirmed downtrend/collapse regimes. SMR (-84.3% off high) is the single worst name in the scan; EOSE (RSI 29.6) is the closest to outright capitulation.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Entry Zone | Thesis | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | $195-215 | AI chip cycle intact; strong week, system-flagged intact | 🔒 Hold/accumulate |
| AVGO | $380-400 | Custom ASIC thesis; near VWAP | ⏳ In zone |
| AMZN | $230-250 | AWS + AI infra; near VWAP, thesis intact | ⏳ In zone |
| NET | $250-270 | Best risk/reward in security/edge, approaching 52wk high | 🔒 Hold |
| EQIX / DLR | Watch $1,020-1,060 / $175-185 | Oversold call played out — real bounce, not yet a re-entry signal | 🔍 Watch |
| META | Wait for pullback toward $600-630 | Just crossed back above VWAP — too fresh to chase | ⏳ Waiting |
Action Matrix
| Stock | Signal | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| PANW | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch (no longer avoid) | Regime flipped `parabolic`→`uptrend`, RSI 80→59 — real de-risking |
| BE | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | -18.9% week, 52wk gap doubled to -30.4% — the extended-name break of this scan |
| META | 🔥 | 🔍 Research | Best mover — crossed back above VWAP, +14.0% 7D |
| MU, STX, WDC | 🔴 | ⚠️ Hold only | Still 100%+ above VWAP but stabilizing after last scan's declines |
| NVDA, AVGO, AMZN | 📈 | 📈 Accumulate | Near VWAP, thesis intact per system flag |
| FTNT, CRWD | 🔒 | 🔒 Hold | Cooled meaningfully but still extended |
| NET, ANET | 🔒 | 🔒 Hold | Best risk/reward, both approaching 52-week highs |
| EQIX, DLR | 🟢 | 🔍 Watch | Oversold call played out |
| PLTR, MSFT, META... | ❌ | ❌ Avoid (ex-META) | Collapse/downtrend, below VWAP |
| IONQ, QBTS, RGTI, SOUN, BBAI | ❌ | ❌ Avoid | Whole quantum bucket rolled over this period |
| CEG, OKLO, SMR, EOSE | ❌ | ❌ Avoid | Deepening collapse, EOSE nearing capitulation |
| T, BCE | 🟡 | ⏳ Watch only | Bounced off falling-knife RSI but structure still broken |
What To Watch Next
- Whether PANW/FTNT/CRWD's cooldown in security is a healthy reset or the start of a real correction now that the parabolic flag is gone.
- Whether BE's -18.9% week is a one-off flush or the start of a real unwind of its 3M +38% run.
- Whether META's VWAP-crossing rally has legs or reverses back below fair value.
- EOSE's RSI 29.6 print — watch for either a capitulation bounce or a break to new lows.
- Whether the quantum bucket's broad deterioration (IONQ/QBTS/RGTI/SOUN/BBAI) stabilizes or keeps compounding.
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.