NVDA Ecosystem Scan
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NVDA Ecosystem Scan
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 20 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-05-01-nvda-ecosystemported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-03-24-nvda-ecosystem.mdscan slugnvda-ecosystemsource typescan-archive
NVDA ecosystem split: ASML monster (+35% vs SMA200), MRVL strong-up (+15% vs SMA200), while SMCI collapses (-33% 7D, -48% vs SMA200). NVDA itself treading water (RSI 42). Memory (MU) pulled back -11% 7D. VRT leading infrastructure at +54% vs SMA200.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 BIFURCATED — Equipment/custom silicon strong, NVDA flat, SMCI in freefall |
| Leaders | ASML ($1395.58, +35.4% vs SMA200), MRVL ($92.42, +14.8% vs SMA200), VRT ($258.48, +54.4% vs SMA200) |
| Laggards | SMCI ($21.09, RSI 25↓, -33.2% 7D), AMAT (no data) |
Price Table (Supply Chain)
| Stock | Price | RSI | vs SMA200 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | $1395.58 | 53 | +35.4% | -1.2% | -6.8% | +31.2% | strong-up ✨ | 🔒 Hold |
| VRT | $258.48 | 56 | +54.4% | +2.0% | +6.1% | +55.5% | strong-up ✨ | 🔒 Hold |
| MRVL | $92.42 | 61 | +14.8% | -1.6% | +17.9% | +6.9% | strong-up ✨ | 🔒 Hold |
| ARM | $134.81 | 64 | -2.4% | +8.3% | +5.2% | +20.9% | weak-up | 🔍 Watch |
| TSM | $343.42 | 49 | +20.7% | -1.1% | -10.7% | +15.3% | weak-down | 🟡 Watch |
| MU | $393.90 | 45 | +67.9% | -10.9% | -5.8% | +37.4% | weak-down | 🟡 Pullback |
| AVGO | $319.86 | 46 | -1.4% | -0.3% | -1.5% | -8.5% | down | 🟡 Watch |
| NVDA | $175.80 | 42 | -1.7% | -4.1% | -8.8% | -6.8% | down | 🟡 Watch |
| SMCI | $21.09 | 25 ↓ | -48.3% | -33.2% | -35.0% | -32.1% | strong-down 💀 | ❌ Falling Knife |
AMAT — no data available
Analysis
- ASML is new monster: +35% vs SMA200, golden cross, strong-up. Litho monopoly.
- MRVL custom silicon thesis working: +18% 30D, strong-up. Benefiting from ASIC demand.
- ARM recovering: +8.3% 7D, RSI 64. But still in death cross — needs to confirm reversal.
- MU sharp pullback: -10.9% 7D after being +68% above SMA200. Healthy correction or trend change?
- NVDA treading water: RSI 42, -9% 30D. Not oversold but not leading either. Waiting for catalyst.
- SMCI in crisis: RSI 25, -33% in one week. Do NOT catch this knife.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Entry Zone | RSI | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MU | $380-400 | 45 | Memory supercycle pullback entry, still +68% vs SMA200 |
| NVDA | $165-180 | 42 | AI leader at reasonable RSI, near SMA200 |
Action Matrix
| Stock | Signal | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | ✨ Monster | 🔒 Hold | New monster, litho monopoly |
| VRT | ✨ Monster | 🔒 Hold | Cooling infrastructure |
| MRVL | ✨ Strong-Up | 🔒 Hold | Custom ASIC leader |
| MU | 🟡 Pullback | 🔍 Watch | -11% 7D from monster position |
| NVDA | 🟡 Neutral | 🔍 Watch | Near SMA200, needs catalyst |
| SMCI | 🔴 Collapse | ❌ Don't Buy | -48% vs SMA200, broken |
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.