ARM — candidate.roundup

Update

ARM — candidate.roundup

Reason: ARM round-tripped: Wednesday's file had it at RSI 71.1, extended after a five-session run; Thursday it fell 7.88% on 1.94x volume with no cause on file, cooling its RSI to 61.2 and its status back to a pullback rather than extended — still +120.63% on the year at +46.5% against its 200-day (the tape now reads it intact-but-priced). MRVL keeps building the group's real structure: +212.54% on the year, +61.2% against its 200-day, +7.24% on the week. PLTR added another 6.77%, still the year's laggard at +5.89% (alpha -11.33). NVDA (+1.26%) and TSM (+3.67%) were quiet. AMZN is now the clear laggard, extending its slide to -1.59% on the week and -4.08% on the month, alpha -2.77. Roster unchanged.

Price/RSI Table

Stock Price 7D 30D 52wkHi 1Y vs 200-day RSI Status Action
ARM $310.32 +12.59% +23.6% -31.45% +120.63% +46.5% 61.2 🟢 Pullback in trend 🔍 Watch
MRVL $261.94 +7.24% +6.87% -20.6% +212.54% +61.2% 63.1 🟢 Pullback in trend 🔒 Hold
PLTR $189.67 +6.77% +6.86% -8.6% +5.89% +24.8% 63.7 🟢 Pullback in trend 🔍 Watch
TSM $450.61 +3.67% +7.88% -5.93% +62.88% +17.6% 62.2 🟢 Pullback in trend 📈 Accumulate
NVDA $225.07 +1.26% +7.35% -4.85% +26.66% +12.8% 55.2 🟢 Pullback in trend 📈 Accumulate
AMZN $249.67 -1.59% -4.08% -13.07% +14.45% +3.7% 44.5 🟢 Pullback in trend 🔍 Watch

Status reads the 200-day trend first and RSI second; Action is a trend-hold lens — an extended name is never an entry, and a name below its 200-day with a negative year is not a dip.

What Changed Since 2026-09-23

  • ARM: RSI moved from 71.1 (Extended, +36.31% for the prior week) to 61.2 after Thursday, September 24, when it fell 7.88% on 1.94x volume with no cause on file per the desk's own Thursday brief. Net for this window it is +12.59%, +46.5% against its 200-day, +120.63% on the year — a pullback inside a still-intact trend, not the extended read Wednesday flagged.
  • MRVL: +7.24% week, +212.54% on the year, +61.2% against its 200-day — no new dated cause; its pull (refreshed September 22) still returns quote pages only, pointing back to the August 31 earnings call as the last real event.
  • PLTR: +6.77% week, +6.86% month, still the group's flattest year at +5.89% (alpha -11.33); its pull (refreshed September 25) carries only aggregator debate pieces dated September 21, no new catalyst.
  • TSM (+3.67%) and NVDA (+1.26%) both extended quietly. TSM's pull remains stale since July 21; NVDA's (refreshed September 25) returns only the already-known September 21 item (SB Energy financing, Trump-Xi summit optimism).
  • AMZN is now the group's clear laggard: -1.59% week, -4.08% month, alpha -2.77 — its pull (refreshed September 25) returns aggregator quote pages only, no new dated cause.
  • Roster unchanged since September 23: no entrants, no dropouts.

Sources

  • Tape data (price, RSI, returns, one-year change and alpha, distance to the 200-day): pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-09-25 close — ai-infra (Schwab).
  • Prior edition (format and roster only): 2026-09-23-ai-infra.
  • ARM's Thursday reversal and cause-unknown finding: 2026-09-24-market-brief.
  • News checks: latest, .../PLTR/news/latest.json, .../NVDA/news/latest.json, .../AMZN/news/latest.json (all pulled 2026-09-25), .../MRVL/news/latest.json (pulled 2026-09-22), .../TSM/news/latest.json (pulled 2026-07-21, stale).
8 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.