AI Scan
Scan
AI Scan
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 86 rows · screens, not recommendations
The AI complex has bifurcated hard into "hardware that still works" vs "software/mega-cap in a real drawdown." Memory + storage is the standout: MU (RSI 62.7, +228% 3M, +177% vs SMA200), STX (62.8), WDC (62.3) all in strong uptrends near highs. Networking/security holds (PANW 65.5, FTNT 66.4, ANET, CRWD, CSCO all strong-up). The damage is in mega-cap and SaaS: MSFT RSI 28.2 (strong-down, -37% from high), PLTR 27 (collapse, -48% from high), ADBE 29.3, CRM 31.8, NOW 37.8 — and most of these are BELOW SMA200 in death-cross, i.e. broken, not dips. The cleanest oversold-quality setups are the mega-caps still above SMA200: GOOGL (RSI 35.3, golden cross, +8.9% vs SMA200) and AMZN (RSI 34.4, golden cross, only -2% vs SMA200). NVDA RSI 39.1 holds golden cross (+2.3% vs SMA200) — pullback not break.
Latest bar Thursday 2026-06-25 (all names fresh). Same-day pre-close = intraday snapshot.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 Sharply bifurcated — memory/storage (MU/STX/WDC) + networking/security (PANW/FTNT/ANET/CRWD) in strong uptrends; mega-cap (MSFT/META/PLTR) and SaaS (ADBE/CRM/NOW/WDAY/ZS) in deep oversold-but-broken drawdowns below SMA200 |
| Key insight | The oversold names split two ways: GOOGL (RSI 35.3) and AMZN (RSI 34.4) are oversold-QUALITY (golden cross, above/near SMA200 — dip-into-strength candidates), while MSFT (28.2), PLTR (27), ADBE (29.3), CRM (31.8) are oversold-BROKEN (death cross, deep below SMA200 — falling knives). RSI alone doesn't separate them; trend structure does |
Price Table — Strong / Confirmed-Up (RSI 49-66)
| Stock | Price | RSI | Trend | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | vs SMA20 | vs SMA200 | 52wkHi% | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTNT | $149.84 | 66.4 | strong-up | +1.26% | +11.85% | +84.92% | +3.7% | +64.2% | -1.21% | CONFIRMED-BREAKOUT |
| PANW | $291.36 | 65.5 | strong-up | +2.38% | +13.48% | +86.34% | +3.9% | +47.1% | -3.83% | CONFIRMED-BREAKOUT |
| STX | $1025.36 | 62.8 | strong-up | -9.70% | +21.32% | +170.89% | +8.0% | +134.1% | -10.45% | CONFIRMED-BREAKOUT |
| MU | $1166.88 | 62.7 | strong-up | -6.01% | +30.25% | +228.41% | +14.1% | +177.5% | -6.97% | CONFIRMED-BREAKOUT |
| VST | $167.77 | 62.3 | weak-up | -0.53% | +2.09% | +10.31% | +8.0% | -0.9% | NEUTRAL | — |
| WDC | $675.39 | 62.3 | strong-up | -17.43% | +28.77% | +147.14% | +12.6% | +143.2% | -15.56% | CONFIRMED-BREAKOUT |
| INTC | $132.19 | 60.2 | strong-up | +2.53% | +7.02% | +199.75% | +11.1% | +129.1% | -6.55% | CONFIRMED-BREAKOUT |
| TEM | $54.87 | 59.5 | weak-up | +3.99% | +17.60% | +20.51% | +9.7% | -13.9% | NEUTRAL | — |
| AMD | $527.16 | 57.6 | strong-up | -2.18% | +4.62% | +158.70% | +3.0% | +96.3% | -6.36% | EXTENDED/TRIM |
| TAC | $13.81 | 57.5 | up | +0.07% | -2.20% | +6.72% | +2.2% | +1.4% | -22.76% | NEUTRAL |
| SMH | $636.88 | 57.1 | strong-up | -5.32% | +5.77% | +67.23% | +3.1% | +52.5% | -5.20% | CONFIRMED-BREAKOUT |
| ASML | $1840.33 | 57.0 | strong-up | -8.88% | +12.76% | +38.73% | +3.7% | +43.1% | -6.06% | CONFIRMED-BREAKOUT |
| MRVL | $281.40 | 56.5 | strong-up | -12.60% | +35.12% | +188.23% | +2.3% | +139.6% | -14.70% | CONFIRMED-BREAKOUT |
| ANET | $167.99 | 55.4 | strong-up | -4.60% | +6.32% | +37.08% | +2.6% | +17.7% | -6.57% | CONFIRMED-BREAKOUT |
| CRWD | $674.81 | 55.3 | strong-up | -0.30% | +0.49% | +71.87% | -2.6% | +36.4% | -14.11% | CONFIRMED-BREAKOUT |
| SNOW | $227.06 | 55.1 | up | -0.35% | +27.85% | +39.88% | -5.6% | +10.4% | NEUTRAL | — |
| BE | $304.66 | 54.8 | strong-up | +5.64% | +0.75% | +128.18% | +6.6% | +91.0% | -13.27% | CONFIRMED-BREAKOUT |
| DLR | $191.88 | 54.6 | strong-up | +1.47% | -0.27% | +10.54% | +2.6% | +11.1% | -7.81% | NEUTRAL |
| TSM | $434.99 | 53.0 | strong-up | -1.98% | +5.74% | +33.70% | +0.4% | +28.8% | -8.77% | CONFIRMED-BREAKOUT |
| CSCO | $118.70 | 53.0 | strong-up | +1.50% | +0.31% | +45.25% | -2.3% | +42.6% | -8.96% | NEUTRAL |
| NEE | $87.74 | 52.6 | weak-down | +0.97% | +0.84% | -3.05% | +2.4% | +3.1% | -11.15% | NEUTRAL |
| EQIX | $1084.18 | 52.6 | strong-up | -1.44% | +0.61% | +13.09% | +0.8% | +21.4% | -3.94% | NEUTRAL |
| ARM | $356.70 | 52.2 | strong-up | -18.71% | +11.05% | +130.43% | -5.0% | +106.7% | -21.20% | NEUTRAL |
| AIQ | $64.32 | 51.5 | strong-up | -4.12% | -1.35% | +38.59% | -1.8% | +21.4% | -8.45% | NEUTRAL |
| RUN | $13.60 | 50.4 | weak-up | +13.46% | -7.17% | +9.68% | -1.2% | -17.7% | NEUTRAL | — |
| DDOG | $220.15 | 50.2 | strong-up | +2.57% | -1.56% | +77.11% | -6.3% | +43.7% | -21.03% | NEUTRAL |
| CEG | $270.64 | 49.5 | strong-down | -2.16% | -10.26% | -8.17% | +2.1% | -14.8% | -34.42% | BROKEN/AVOID |
Price Table — Pullback / Oversold / Broken (RSI 27-48)
| Stock | Price | RSI | Trend | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | vs SMA20 | vs SMA200 | 52wkHi% | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROBO | $83.44 | 48.0 | weak-down | -3.77% | -7.28% | +21.00% | -2.2% | +13.3% | -7.81% | NEUTRAL |
| QCOM | $204.90 | 47.8 | strong-up | -11.26% | -17.35% | +57.54% | -6.9% | +23.2% | -21.17% | NEUTRAL |
| NET | $222.50 | 46.8 | strong-up | +1.15% | +2.28% | +5.89% | -6.6% | +7.1% | -19.62% | NEUTRAL |
| VZ | $46.07 | 46.1 | weak-down | -0.15% | -4.99% | -7.84% | -1.0% | +5.6% | -10.86% | NEUTRAL |
| SMCI | $31.68 | 45.7 | strong-down | +8.63% | -14.61% | +42.64% | -15.3% | -10.5% | -49.20% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| P | $71.60 | 45.4 | strong-down | +0.30% | -18.96% | +15.41% | -4.1% | -5.5% | -28.82% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| FSLR | $248.54 | 45.1 | strong-up | -1.13% | -7.93% | +33.75% | -10.0% | +6.1% | -22.56% | OVERSOLD-QUALITY |
| VEEV | $158.08 | 44.3 | strong-down | +5.76% | -0.29% | -11.33% | -4.9% | -26.7% | -49.09% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| SMR | $10.07 | 44.1 | strong-down | -6.50% | -17.59% | -8.37% | -8.9% | -50.2% | -82.46% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| TMUS | $181.57 | 44.0 | strong-down | -0.76% | -4.48% | -13.72% | -1.0% | -10.9% | -30.58% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| AVGO | $380.49 | 43.9 | weak-down | -6.30% | -9.70% | +23.16% | -6.4% | +5.7% | -23.13% | OVERSOLD-QUALITY |
| ENPH | $47.81 | 43.4 | strong-up | -5.10% | -28.54% | +18.99% | -15.8% | +21.2% | -35.17% | OVERSOLD-QUALITY |
| SEDG | $51.88 | 42.4 | weak-down | -8.68% | -26.67% | +3.20% | -17.1% | +27.2% | -36.15% | NEUTRAL |
| RGTI | $18.41 | 42.0 | strong-down | -2.64% | -26.57% | +27.76% | -16.7% | -22.8% | -68.34% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| IONQ | $51.06 | 41.8 | weak-down | -0.61% | -19.74% | +71.11% | -15.9% | +3.0% | -39.67% | NEUTRAL |
| EOSE | $6.08 | 40.8 | strong-down | -19.01% | -30.36% | +26.14% | -16.1% | -43.1% | -69.39% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| ZS | $123.80 | 40.6 | strong-down | +4.23% | -32.94% | -12.51% | -5.3% | -40.7% | -63.26% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| PATH | $10.06 | 39.9 | strong-down | +1.18% | -9.29% | -8.88% | -8.3% | -22.5% | -49.29% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| BCE | $23.12 | 39.6 | down | -0.39% | -5.56% | -8.07% | -3.3% | -1.9% | -12.80% | NEUTRAL |
| BOTZ | $36.56 | 39.5 | down | -4.44% | -10.61% | +9.82% | -4.6% | -0.7% | -12.36% | NEUTRAL |
| NVDA | $194.70 | 39.1 | weak-down | -4.80% | -9.28% | +13.83% | -6.7% | +2.3% | -17.71% | OVERSOLD-QUALITY |
| SKM | $33.55 | 39.1 | weak-down | -5.96% | -13.17% | +14.90% | -12.3% | +21.1% | -28.89% | NEUTRAL |
| TSLA | $375.12 | 39.0 | strong-down | -2.79% | -13.49% | +0.81% | -7.3% | -10.2% | -24.80% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| MDB | $292.93 | 38.9 | strong-down | -4.88% | -4.69% | +21.41% | -15.2% | -11.8% | -34.13% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| OKLO | $51.54 | 37.9 | strong-down | -8.73% | -24.98% | -0.52% | -14.7% | -39.2% | -73.41% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| NOW | $90.05 | 37.8 | strong-down | -1.18% | -9.88% | -13.11% | -16.1% | -33.3% | -57.42% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| ISRG | $400.52 | 37.6 | strong-down | -1.02% | -8.27% | -14.52% | -2.8% | -18.2% | -33.68% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| T | $22.42 | 37.5 | strong-down | -0.22% | -10.39% | -21.66% | -3.3% | -12.3% | -24.74% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| AI | $8.92 | 35.5 | strong-down | -9.34% | -6.99% | +7.34% | -15.1% | -29.0% | -70.38% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| GOOGL | $340.85 | 35.3 | weak-down | -4.56% | -12.30% | +21.41% | -6.2% | +8.9% | -16.58% | OVERSOLD-QUALITY |
| META | $543.50 | 34.7 | strong-down | -2.12% | -11.16% | -0.65% | -7.4% | -16.4% | -31.74% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| AMZN | $228.15 | 34.4 | down | -2.11% | -14.00% | +9.93% | -7.3% | -2.0% | -18.10% | OVERSOLD-QUALITY |
| SOUN | $6.21 | 33.1 | strong-down | -8.65% | -23.62% | +2.48% | -16.4% | -42.5% | -71.99% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| BBAI | $3.42 | 33.1 | strong-down | -6.58% | -18.18% | +3.01% | -19.6% | -34.1% | -63.58% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| CRM | $149.85 | 31.8 | strong-down | +0.61% | -16.11% | -18.87% | -12.8% | -29.7% | -45.86% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| ADBE | $195.29 | 29.3 | strong-down | +1.24% | -18.79% | -18.93% | -13.8% | -33.2% | -50.26% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| MSFT | $350.10 | 28.2 | strong-down | -3.12% | -15.85% | -4.13% | -13.1% | -21.7% | -36.97% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| PLTR | $106.96 | 27.0 | strong-down | -10.62% | -21.70% | -27.51% | -20.0% | -32.8% | -48.46% | BROKEN/AVOID |
| WDAY | $113.77 | 36.4 | strong-down | -2.23% | -8.26% | -11.10% | -14.4% | -35.8% | -54.46% | BROKEN/AVOID |
Tier Analysis
Memory/Storage — the clean leaders: MU (RSI 62.7, +228% 3M, +177% vs SMA200), STX (62.8, +171% 3M), WDC (62.3, +147% 3M) all strong-up, golden cross, near 52wk highs. WDC -17.4% 7D and STX -9.7% 7D are sharp short-term pullbacks WITHIN a vertical uptrend — flags worth watching, not breaks. INTC (RSI 60.2, +200% 3M) joins the strong-up cohort.
Networking / Security / Infra — confirmed up: PANW (65.5), FTNT (66.4) both near highs, +85% 3M. ANET (55.4), CRWD (55.3), CSCO (53.0) all strong-up above SMA200. These held while SaaS broke — the infra layer is the resilient cut.
Semis cohort split: AMD (RSI 57.6, +159% 3M, +96% vs SMA200) strong but EXTENDED. TSM (53), ASML (57), MRVL (56.5, -12.6% 7D pullback in a 188% 3M run) strong-up. NVDA (RSI 39.1) is the key tell — pulled back to a weak-down but HOLDS golden cross (+2.3% vs SMA200): pullback, not break. AVGO (RSI 43.9) similar — weak-down but golden cross, +5.7% vs SMA200, oversold-quality.
Mega-cap drawdown — separate the quality from the broken:
- Oversold-QUALITY (golden cross, above/near SMA200): GOOGL (RSI 35.3, +8.9% vs SMA200), AMZN (RSI 34.4, -2% vs SMA200, golden cross), NVDA (39.1, +2.3% vs SMA200). These are dip-into-strength candidates — wait for RSI turn + SMA20 reclaim.
- Oversold-BROKEN (death cross, deep below SMA200): MSFT (RSI 28.2, -21.7% vs SMA200, -37% from high), META (34.7, -16.4% vs SMA200), TSLA (39, -10.2% vs SMA200). Washed RSI but no structural floor — falling knives.
SaaS wreckage — broken, not dips: ADBE (RSI 29.3, -33% vs SMA200), CRM (31.8, -30% vs SMA200), NOW (37.8, -33% vs SMA200), WDAY (36.4, -36% vs SMA200), ZS (40.6, -41% vs SMA200, -33% 30D), MDB (38.9), VEEV (44.3). All death-cross, deep below SMA200, -45% to -63% from highs. Oversold but structurally broken — avoid.
Spec/quantum/SMR — broken: PLTR (RSI 27, collapse, -48% from high), OKLO (37.9, -73% from high), SMR (44.1, -82% from high), RGTI/IONQ/SOUN/BBAI/AI all deep below SMA200. Falling knives, not entries.
Power/utility AI-demand names mixed: BE (RSI 54.8, +128% 3M, strong-up, golden cross) and VST (62.3, weak-up) hold up; CEG (49.5, strong-down, death cross, -34% from high) broke.
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | RSI | 30D% | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | $340.85 | 35.3 | -12.30% | Oversold-quality — golden cross, +8.9% vs SMA200; the cleanest mega-cap dip. Watch for RSI turn + SMA20 ($363) reclaim before adding |
| AMZN | $228.15 | 34.4 | -14.00% | Oversold-quality — golden cross, only -2% vs SMA200; deep RSI but trend intact. Watch SMA200 ($233) as the line; reclaim = dip-into-strength |
| NVDA | $194.70 | 39.1 | -9.28% | Pullback not break — holds golden cross (+2.3% vs SMA200), thesis intact. Watch SMA20 ($209) reclaim for confirmation; -17.7% from high |
| AVGO | $380.49 | 43.9 | -9.70% | Oversold-quality — golden cross, +5.7% vs SMA200; weak-down pullback in an uptrend. Watch for RSI <40 + stabilization |
| MU | $1166.88 | 62.7 | +30.25% | Leader pullback — +228% 3M, RSI 62.7 still strong; +14% above SMA20 so extended near-term. Wait for a flag back to SMA20 (~$1023) |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 🔒 HOLD | MU, STX, WDC, INTC, PANW, FTNT, ANET, CRWD, CSCO, TSM, ASML, MRVL, BE | Memory/storage + networking/security + semis leaders in strong uptrends above SMA200 |
| ✅ OVERSOLD-QUALITY | GOOGL, AMZN, NVDA, AVGO | Deep RSI but golden cross / above-near SMA200 — dip-into-strength candidates; wait for RSI turn + SMA20 reclaim |
| ⚠️ EXTENDED/TRIM | AMD | RSI 57.6 but +96% vs SMA200, +159% 3M — don't chase; let it flag |
| 🔍 WATCH | SNOW, DDOG, NET, TEM, QCOM | Above-SMA200 names in pullbacks; mixed structure, need RSI turn confirmation |
| ❌ DON'T BUY | MSFT, META, TSLA, PLTR | Washed RSI but death-cross, deep below SMA200 — oversold ≠ dip; no floor (falling knives) |
| ❌ DON'T BUY | ADBE, CRM, NOW, WDAY, ZS, MDB, VEEV | SaaS wreckage — all below SMA200, death cross, -45% to -63% from highs |
| ❌ DON'T BUY | OKLO, SMR, RGTI, IONQ, SOUN, BBAI, AI, CEG | Spec/SMR/quantum + CEG — collapse/downtrend, no structural support |
What Changed
- Memory/storage is the new AI leadership — MU (+30% 30D), STX (+21%), WDC (+29%) all in strong uptrends; the HBM/storage cycle is where the strength concentrated.
- Mega-cap split into quality vs broken — GOOGL/AMZN/NVDA hold golden cross (oversold-quality); MSFT (RSI 28, death cross, -37% from high), META, TSLA broke below SMA200.
- SaaS capitulated as a group — ADBE/CRM/NOW/WDAY/ZS/MDB all RSI <41, all below SMA200, all death-cross; this is a sector de-rate, not isolated names.
- PLTR collapsed — RSI 27, -48% from high, -27.5% 3M, deep below SMA200; the former leader is now the clearest broken mega-name.
- Networking/security held the line — PANW (65.5), FTNT (66.4), ANET, CRWD all strong-up near highs while software broke; infra layer is resilient.
The Gold
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| GOOGL/AMZN/NVDA oversold (RSI 34-39) but golden cross + above/near SMA200, while MSFT/META/PLTR oversold AND death-cross below SMA200 | RSI alone can't separate the dip from the trap — trend structure (SMA200 + golden/death cross) is the filter; only the structurally-intact mega-caps are buyable dips |
| Memory/storage (MU/STX/WDC) +147% to +228% 3M while SaaS (-45% to -63% from highs) collapsed | The AI capex dollar is flowing to hardware/memory, not application software — the bottleneck re-rated, the picks-and-shovels lagged-down |
| Networking/security (PANW/FTNT/ANET/CRWD) strong-up while compute software broke | Infra/security spend is sticky and held; the de-rate is concentrated in growth-SaaS multiples, not all of "AI software" |
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
| Mistake | Lesson |
|---|---|
| Buying MSFT/PLTR/ADBE on RSI <30 "extreme oversold" | All death-cross, deep below SMA200, -37% to -48% from highs — washed RSI in a broken trend is a falling knife, not a dip |
| Chasing MU/WDC after +25-30% 30D | Leaders but +12-14% above SMA20 — extended near-term; wait for the flag to SMA20 rather than buying the vertical |
| Treating "AI scan oversold" as one bucket | Bifurcated tape — GOOGL/AMZN (buyable dips) and CRM/NOW (broken) can both show RSI ~32-35; must check SMA200 + cross |
Open Questions
- Is the mega-cap drawdown (MSFT/META) a multiple de-rate that eventually drags GOOGL/AMZN/NVDA too, or has the strong-side already decoupled? (NVDA holding golden cross is the tell to watch)
- SaaS capitulation: durable AI-disruption de-rate (agents eating seat-based SaaS), or an overshoot setting up a group mean-reversion? (needs fundamentals, not in this scan)
- Memory super-cycle (MU/STX/WDC +150-228% 3M): how late is it — is +14% above SMA20 a flag or a blow-off top? (cross-check memory watchlist + cycle data)
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.