NVDA Ecosystem Scan

Scan

NVDA Ecosystem Scan

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 38 rows · screens, not recommendations prior scanresearch/scans/2026-07-28-nvda-ecosystem.md

Data as-of 2026-07-31 close, except TXN which carries a 2026-07-29 bar — read that row as two sessions stale.

**The group's synchronized slide reversed hard. Fifteen of 20 names sat in the 25-40 oversold band last scan; now only six do. AMKR — last scan's worst single-day mover — recovered from RSI 27.4 to 35.5, and NVDA climbed back to 48.6 from 43.0. The one name that kept falling instead of bouncing is QCOM (RSI 36.5 → 29.3), now the cut's only sub-30 print.

SWKS (RSI 52.7 → 47.6), the lone riser last scan, gave that back — the group's biggest reversal-of-a-reversal.**

Source: semis.json + ai-infra.json + energy.json, deduped to the core NVDA-adjacent chip/AI-infra/power-demand names. Latest bar 2026-07-31 for every name in this cut except TXN (2026-07-29). Note: AMZN/PLTR/TAC/P (ai-infra.json) and EOSE/NEE/FSLR/ENPH/TAC (energy.json) excluded as off-thesis for this ecosystem cut, same methodology as last scan. Prior scan: 2026-07-28-nvda-ecosystem.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 Broad recovery — only 6 of 20 names remain oversold, down from 15 last scan; the group's slide reversed hard but the regime classifier still reads "pullback" for most, not a confirmed uptrend
Leaders AVGO (RSI 51.3, cooled least of the group, thesis marked intact); CEG (50.6, recovered out of "collapse"); NVDA (48.6, thesis still marked intact after climbing back from 43.0)
Laggards QCOM (RSI 29.3↓, the only name that kept falling, now "collapse" regime); AMKR (35.5, still recovering from the cut's steepest prior break); ARM (37.5, recovery lagging peers)
Key insight Fifteen of 20 names moved out of the oversold band together this scan — a group-wide bounce, not 20 independent recoveries — but SWKS (the one name that had bucked the decline) gave its gain back, and QCOM diverged the other way

What's Going On

The whole cut reversed together. Where 15 of 20 names sat in the 25-40 RSI band three sessions ago, only six do now — AMKR led the recovery, climbing from RSI 27.4 to 35.5 even as its 7-day return stayed negative (-23.23%, change7d per semis.json), a sign the RSI gain came from a sharp bounce off a deeper low rather than a clean turn. INTC (33.9 → 40.0), MRVL (34.3 → 41.6), ASML (37.1 → 42.8), BE (33.3 → 44.6), and AMD (39.4 → 45.3) all posted comparably large RSI recoveries this scan.

QCOM is the one name that moved the wrong way through the bounce. RSI fell from 36.5 to 29.3 — now the cut's only sub-30 print — on a -11.59% single week and -18.86% over 30 days, with the regime classifier downgraded to "collapse." That's a clear divergence from a group that otherwise recovered in unison.

SWKS gave back last scan's status as the lone riser. RSI fell from 52.7 to 47.6, +3.44% over the week even as the RSI itself eased — the group's only reversal-of-a-reversal this scan, and its trend classifier remains a plain down GC rather than confirming a turn.

NVDA and AVGO both climbed back from mid-cut reads without breaking into a confirmed uptrend regime. NVDA's RSI moved from 43.0 to 48.6, and AVGO's from 47.5 to 51.3 — both still carry a "pullback" regime classification, and both retain a thesis flag of "intact" on file. TXN's bar is two sessions stale (2026-07-29), so its RSI of 38.1 likely understates whatever bounce the rest of the group posted through Thursday and Friday.

What Changed Since Prior Scan (2026-07-28)

  • The oversold band shrank from 15 names to 6. Six names remain in oversold territory — QCOM (RSI 29.3), AMKR (35.5), plus ARM, TXN (stale), ON, and TLN — down from 15 of 20 last scan.
  • AMKR recovered from the cut's steepest prior break. RSI 27.4 → 35.5, though change7d is still -23.23% — a bounce off a deeper low, not a clean reversal.
  • QCOM is the one name that kept falling. RSI 36.5 → 29.3, the only sub-30 print in the cut; regime downgraded to "collapse."
  • NVDA climbed back above 40. RSI 43.0 → 48.6, thesis still marked "intact."
  • SWKS gave back its lone-riser status. RSI 52.7 → 47.6 — the only name in the cut whose RSI fell this scan while the rest of the group rose.
  • ASML, INTC, MRVL, BE, and AMD all posted comparably large recoveries, each moving up 5-11 RSI points from last scan's reads.
  • TXN's bar is two sessions stale (2026-07-29) — its RSI of 38.1 may not reflect the rest of the group's Thursday-Friday bounce.
  • Universe unchanged. Same 20 tickers as the July 28 cut (16 from semis.json plus BE/CEG/GEV/TLN from energy.json) — no entrants or dropouts, same exclusion list.

How To Read The Board

RSI measures how stretched a stock is over the past 14 sessions; under 30 signals oversold, over 70 signals overbought/extended. vs SMA20 is the gap to the 20-day average — a large negative number means a fast recent decline. vs VWAP is the premium over the average price paid by current holders; a high number means most of the move is unrealized profit that can get sold into any weakness. Trend pairs direction/strength with a cross signal — GC (golden cross) is structurally healthier than DC (death cross), though a name can carry a golden-cross flag while its regime classifier still reads "collapse," as QCOM does here. A group-wide RSI recovery like this scan's is a sector-wide re-rating, not 20 independent stories — and most of these names still carry a "pullback" regime rather than a confirmed uptrend, so treat the bounce as unresolved rather than a green light.

Price Table

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% 52wkHi% Trend vs VWAP
QCOM $147.61 29.3 -14.8% -11.6% -18.9% -16.3% -43.2% down GC -15.4%
AMKR $49.87 35.5 -20.1% -23.2% -37.7% -29.8% -48.4% down GC -6.2%
ARM $239.69 37.5 -13.8% -7.8% -29.0% +13.5% -47.1% weak-down GC +16.4%
TXN* $271.30 38.1 -7.3% -7.8% -9.0% -3.0% -18.8% weak-down GC +23.0%
ON $81.61 38.9 -8.8% -6.0% -13.8% -20.8% -39.5% weak-down GC +10.9%
TLN $334.10 39.4 -8.7% -7.2% -7.4% -10.2% -26.0% down GC -10.6%
INTC $90.20 40.0 -10.2% -2.3% -29.0% -9.5% -36.6% weak-down GC +45.7%
MRVL $187.56 41.6 -9.2% -3.4% -31.0% +13.7% -43.1% weak-down GC +20.1%
MXL $66.82 42.3 -16.3% -6.7% -40.6% -13.4% -47.9% weak-down GC +19.5%
ASML $1,629.00 42.8 -6.2% -7.2% -11.5% +14.3% -18.6% weak-down GC +23.5%
BE $205.81 44.6 -7.2% +11.3% -28.9% -29.2% -41.4% weak-down GC +33.6%
LSCC $124.27 44.7 -4.2% -3.2% -15.1% +2.7% -20.9% weak-down GC +33.9%
AMD $476.15 45.3 -7.6% -8.8% -12.0% +32.1% -18.6% weak-down GC +79.8%
AMAT $507.67 45.4 -7.1% -5.3% -22.0% +30.6% -31.4% weak-down GC +46.3%
TSM $404.25 46.2 -2.6% +0.2% -9.0% +1.9% -15.6% weak-down GC +18.9%
GEV $990.29 46.3 -4.4% -2.4% -12.7% -6.8% -17.2% weak-down GC +26.3%
SWKS $62.28 47.6 +2.9% +3.4% -5.5% -9.5% -31.5% down GC -4.8%
NVDA $200.75 48.6 -1.3% -2.9% +1.6% +1.3% -15.1% weak-down GC +6.0%
CEG $262.75 50.6 +1.8% -4.2% +11.1% -14.5% -36.3% strong-down DC -14.2%
AVGO $389.28 51.3 +1.2% +1.9% +5.4% -7.5% -21.4% weak-down GC +9.2%

*TXN carries a 2026-07-29 bar — two sessions stale; read this row with that caveat.

Tier Analysis

Extreme Oversold (RSI < 25)

None.

Oversold band (RSI 25-40)

Stock RSI Note
QCOM 29.3 The only name that dropped further rather than recovering
AMKR 35.5 Recovering off the cut's steepest prior break
ARM 37.5 Recovery lagging peers
TXN 38.1 Bar two sessions stale
ON 38.9
TLN 39.4

Six names — down from 15 last scan.

Neutral and above (everyone else)

  • Cooling band: INTC, MRVL, MXL, ASML, BE, LSCC, AMD, AMAT, TSM, GEV. All ten cooled or recovered into the low-to-mid 40s without breaking into a confirmed uptrend regime.
  • Momentum band: SWKS, NVDA, CEG, AVGO. Nothing in this cut is extended this scan.

Entry Zones

Stock Price Zone RSI 7D% Setup
NVDA $200.75 <$186.48 (support shelf) 48.6 -2.9% Climbed back from 43.0, thesis still marked intact, regime still "pullback"
ASML $1,629.00 <$1,475.53 (support shelf) 42.8 -7.2% Recovering with the group, support shelf sits below current price
QCOM $147.61 <$135.85 (support shelf) 29.3 -11.6% Only name that kept falling through the group's bounce; regime now "collapse"
AMKR $49.87 <$48.06 (support shelf) 35.5 -23.2% Recovering off the cut's steepest prior break, still down on the week
SWKS $62.28 <$61.38 (support shelf) 47.6 +3.4% Gave back last scan's lone-riser status; no longer the group's outlier

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🔒 HOLD NVDA, AVGO Thesis marked intact, climbed back from mid-cut reads, regime still "pullback" not confirmed uptrend
🔍 WATCH AMD, TSM, ARM, MRVL, ASML, AMAT, ON, LSCC, TXN, MXL, GEV, BE, INTC Broad pullback-regime recovery, unrated thesis, no confirmed floor either way
❌ AVOID / FALLING KNIFE QCOM, AMKR, CEG, SWKS, TLN "Collapse" or "downtrend" regime — the most structurally damaged names in the cut despite this scan's bounce

What To Watch Next

  • The synchronized 15-of-20 oversold slide reversed hard this scan — does the bounce hold, or does the group roll back over now that the squeeze has passed?
  • QCOM is the one name that kept falling through the reversal (RSI 36.5 → 29.3) — does it find a floor, or does it keep diverging from the rest of the group?
  • SWKS gave back last scan's lone-riser status (52.7 → 47.6) — was that reversal a one-off, or does it keep fading?
  • TXN's bar is two sessions stale (2026-07-29) — does the next refresh show it caught up with the rest of the group's bounce, or lagged behind?

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-07-31 close — semis, ai-infra, energy.
8 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.