AI Infrastructure Scan
AI Infrastructure Scan
This report tracks the hyperscaler/chip/foundry basket in ai-infra.json (AMZN, NVDA, ASML, TAC, TSM, PLTR, MRVL, ARM, P, AIQ, SMH — 11 names), not the separate 52-name physical-buildout universe (ai-infrastructure.json). The clearest move: P's RSI vaulted from 69.0 to 83.9 on a 30-day return that exploded to +67.01%, deep into overbought and now trading in a parabolic regime — while TAC cleared RSI 40 for the first time, leaving this basket with zero oversold names this cycle.
FROTH READ: vs VWAP measures distance from the average buyer's cost basis across the instrument's full history.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 Mixed — P's continued surge is the standout, TAC cleared its oversold read for the first time, but AMZN and PLTR both cooled |
| Universe note | 11 names (AMZN, NVDA, ASML, TAC, TSM, PLTR, MRVL, ARM, P, AIQ, SMH) — not the 52-name physical-buildout universe |
| Sharpest move | P — RSI 69.0→83.9 on a 30-day return of +67.01%, now trading in a parabolic regime |
| Laggard | AMZN — RSI 53.4, the basket's biggest RSI drop this cycle, 7D flipping negative |
| Caveat | None — every ticker in this basket carries a fresh 2026-08-14 close |
What's Going On
P is the standout in this basket by a wide margin, again. Its RSI climbed from 69.0 to 83.9 — deep into overbought — and its 30-day change exploded from +15.85% to +67.01%, the sharpest move anywhere in this dashboard; the stock now trades in a parabolic regime and sits just 1.23% off its 52-week high. TAC cleared RSI 40 for the first time in this basket's tracked history (38.7→47.3), meaning the basket carries zero names below the RSI-40 line this cycle — though TAC remains death-crossed and its 30-day change is still negative (-6.09%).
AMZN cooled the most on the downside — RSI fell from 64.0 to 53.4 as its 7-day change flipped from +1.07% to -4.31%. PLTR also eased (73.0→68.3) after being the basket's standout mover last cycle, though it's still up +30.11% over the past 30 days and remains death-crossed. NVDA ticked down slightly (64.5→62.8) but stays system-flagged intact. ASML posted the basket's second-sharpest positive move (51.9→59.8, +7.9). MRVL, ARM, TSM, SMH, and AIQ all held roughly steady to modestly improved.
What Changed Since the 2026-08-08 Scan
- P posted the sharpest move in the whole basket, again: RSI 69.0→83.9, 30D +15.85%→+67.01%, now trading in a parabolic regime.
- TAC cleared RSI 40 for the first time, leaving the basket with zero oversold names: RSI 38.7→47.3.
- AMZN cooled the most: RSI 64.0→53.4, 7D +1.07%→-4.31%.
- PLTR eased after last cycle's sharp move: RSI 73.0→68.3, still death-crossed.
- ASML posted the basket's second-sharpest positive move: RSI 51.9→59.8.
- NVDA ticked down slightly, thesis still system-flagged intact: RSI 64.5→62.8.
- AIQ improved: RSI 57.1→59.1.
- MRVL held roughly flat, still the basket's deepest distance from its 52-week high: RSI 52.3→54.0, -32.65% off high.
- ARM held roughly flat, still -38.45% off its 52-week high: RSI 50.3→50.9.
- SMH ticked up slightly, trend flag still weak-down: RSI 52.7→54.2.
How To Read The Board
RSI < 30 = capitulation zone (check trend/death-cross before treating as a buy). RSI 30-40 = oversold, often still structurally weak in this group. RSI 40-70 = neutral-to-healthy. RSI > 70 = extended. "vs VWAP" measures distance from the average buyer's cost basis — the further above 0%, the more "paid up" the current price relative to its own trading history.
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | vs VWAP | 52wkHi% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P | $118.16 | 83.9 | $85.83 | +37.7% | +31.22% | +67.01% | +45.55% | +55.1% | -1.23% | strong-up | 🟠 Sharpest move in the basket, deep overbought, now parabolic |
| PLTR | $174.04 | 68.3 | $145.53 | +19.6% | +1.18% | +30.11% | +29.89% | +11.24% | -13.74% | up | 🟡 Eased from last cycle's sharp move, still death-crossed |
| NVDA | $225.16 | 62.8 | $210.40 | +7.0% | +0.54% | +5.96% | +0.04% | +18.16% | -4.75% | strong-up | 🟢 Ticked down slightly, thesis system-flagged intact |
| ASML | $1,844.08 | 59.8 | $1,723.55 | +7.0% | +5.92% | +1.72% | +22.95% | +36.48% | -7.6% | strong-up | 🟢 Second-sharpest positive move in the basket |
| AIQ | $64.20 | 59.1 | $60.64 | +5.9% | +1.34% | +5.04% | +5.18% | +17.92% | -8.03% | strong-up | 🟢 Improved |
| TSM | $426.35 | 54.4 | $412.14 | +3.4% | +1.5% | +1.64% | +5.69% | +23.29% | -10.13% | strong-up | 🟡 Roughly flat |
| SMH | $587.82 | 54.2 | $564.11 | +4.2% | +0.88% | -0.5% | +5.66% | +31.77% | -12.31% | weak-down | 🟡 Roughly flat, trend flag still weak-down |
| MRVL | $222.02 | 54.0 | $202.51 | +9.6% | +1.51% | +7.64% | +25.54% | +38.98% | -32.65% | weak-down | 🟡 Roughly flat, still the basket's deepest 52wk drawdown alongside ARM |
| AMZN | $262.65 | 53.4 | $256.52 | +2.4% | -4.31% | +3.02% | -0.56% | +12.01% | -7.68% | strong-up | 🔴 Cooled the most this cycle, weekly change turned negative |
| ARM | $279.44 | 50.9 | $266.66 | +4.8% | -1.11% | +0.88% | +33.6% | +33.48% | -38.45% | weak-down | 🟡 Roughly flat |
| TAC | $12.79 | 47.3 | $12.94 | -1.2% | +2.9% | -6.09% | +0.08% | -6.51% | -29.47% | strong-down | 🟢 Cleared RSI 40, basket now has zero oversold names |
Tier Analysis
Capitulation (RSI < 25)
None.
Oversold (RSI < 40)
None — down from one last cycle (TAC), which has since cleared RSI 40. This is the first cycle this basket has carried zero oversold names.
Neutral-Strong (RSI 40+)
All eleven names: P (83.9), PLTR (68.3), NVDA (62.8), ASML (59.8), AIQ (59.1), TSM (54.4), SMH (54.2), MRVL (54.0), AMZN (53.4), ARM (50.9), TAC (47.3).
Entry Zones
| Stock | Entry Zone | Thesis | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P | Watch for exhaustion | Deep overbought, now trading in a parabolic regime, sharpest move in the basket | 🔍 Watch |
| PLTR | Watch | Eased from last cycle's sharp move, still death-crossed | 🔍 Watch |
| NVDA | $195-215 | Ticked down slightly, thesis system-flagged intact | 🔒 Hold/accumulate |
| ASML | Watch | Second-sharpest positive move in the basket | 🔍 Watch |
| AMZN | Watch | Cooled the most this cycle, weekly change turned negative | 🔍 Watch |
| MRVL, ARM | Watch | Roughly flat, still the basket's deepest 52-week drawdowns | 🔍 Watch |
| TAC | Watch | Cleared RSI 40, basket now has zero oversold names, still death-crossed | 🔍 Watch |
| AIQ, TSM, SMH | Watch | Roughly steady, tracking the broader basket | 🔍 Watch |
Action Matrix
| Stock | Signal | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| P | 🟠 | 🔍 Watch | Sharpest move in the basket, deep overbought, verify durability |
| PLTR | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Eased from last cycle's sharp move |
| NVDA | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold/accumulate | Ticked down slightly, thesis flagged intact |
| ASML, AIQ | 🟢 | 🔍 Watch | Both improved this cycle |
| TSM, SMH, MRVL, ARM | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Roughly flat |
| AMZN | 🔴 | 🔍 Watch | Cooled the most, weekly change turned negative |
| TAC | 🟢 | 🔍 Watch | Cleared RSI 40, basket now has zero oversold names, still death-crossed |
What To Watch Next
- Whether P's parabolic move (RSI 69.0→83.9, 30D +67.01%) holds or reverses sharply given how extended it now is.
- Whether TAC's clearing of RSI 40 — the basket's first zero-oversold read — survives given it remains death-crossed.
- Whether AMZN's cooldown, the basket's largest downside move this cycle, extends into a real pullback or stalls.
- Whether PLTR's ease-off after last cycle's sharp move is the start of a real cooldown or just a pause.
Sources
- Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-08-14 close — ai-infra.
Related
8 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.