NVDA Ecosystem Scan
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NVDA Ecosystem Scan
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 41 rows · screens, not recommendations ported fromresearch/classic/scans/2026-05-29-nvda-ecosystem.md
EOW tape: AI semiconductor supercycle firing on all cylinders — ARM +184% 3M / RSI 77.5, AMD +160% 3M / RSI 76, MRVL +154% 3M, QCOM +79% 3M; energy enablers ENPH/FSLR ripping on solar tariff relief; NVDA itself consolidating at RSI 49.
Sources: semis.json + ai-infra.json + energy.json (unique tickers merged)
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟠 Aggressively bullish but extended — AI semi supercycle in full melt-up; 5 of 20 tickers are RSI >70 (ARM, FSLR, ENPH, AMD, QCOM); NVDA is the lone laggard at RSI 49 |
| Leaders | ARM (+184% 3M, RSI 77.5), AMD (+160% 3M, RSI 76), MRVL (+154% 3M), INTC (+152% 3M), FSLR (+52% 3M, RSI 83.4), ENPH (+107% 30D) |
| Laggards | CEG (RSI 48.3, -12% 3M, deathcross), GEV (RSI 40.1, -11% 30D), NEE (RSI 35.5, -11% 30D), P/-Everpure (-15% 7D) |
| Key insight | NVDA at RSI 49 while its ecosystem trades RSI 60-78 — central AI GPU franchise is the least overbought name in its own supply chain; potential catch-up trade |
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | 52wkHi% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEE | $87.01 | 35.5 ↓ | -5.4% | -1.56% | -11.11% | -6.15% | -11.89% | weak-down | 🔍 Watch |
| GEV | $968.32 | 40.1 | -7.7% | -4.59% | -10.63% | +9.96% | -18.07% | weak-down | 🔍 Watch |
| CEG | $287.75 | 48.3 | -1.5% | -1.73% | -7.92% | -11.79% | -30.28% | strong-down | 🔍 Watch |
| NVDA | $211.14 | 49.4 | -2.0% | -0.94% | +5.80% | +15.71% | -10.74% | strong-up | 📈 Accumulate |
| P | $79.51 | 52.6 | -0.1% | -14.66% | +11.28% | +21.33% | -20.96% | up | 🔍 Research |
| AMKR | $69.56 | 51.2 | -2.7% | +5.36% | -0.27% | +45.77% | -12.20% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| AMZN | $270.64 | 59.9 | +0.7% | +2.04% | +2.11% | +29.87% | -2.84% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| PLTR | $156.54 | 67.6 | +13.6% | +6.53% | +12.53% | +7.83% | -24.57% | weak-up | 🔍 Watch |
| BE | $285.00 | 56.1 | 0.0% | -8.26% | +0.58% | +71.69% | -11.72% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| EOSE | $8.43 | 58.1 | +9.9% | +9.65% | +25.82% | +42.88% | -57.55% | weak-up | ⚠️ Speculative |
| TLN | $386.80 | 58.2 | +4.9% | +4.68% | +3.86% | +9.50% | -14.29% | up | 🔍 Watch |
| INTC | $114.68 | 59.2 | -0.4% | -0.73% | +21.38% | +152.04% | -13.61% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| TSM | $418.45 | 59.2 | +2.8% | +4.70% | +5.65% | +13.69% | -2.81% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| ASML | $1612.76 | 59.3 | +4.7% | -1.56% | +12.08% | +13.54% | -2.51% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| TAC | $14.22 | 66.3 | +8.8% | +4.16% | +13.94% | +2.97% | -20.47% | up | 🔍 Watch |
| ON | $120.62 | 64.7 | +8.5% | +8.28% | +19.65% | +81.44% | -6.59% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| AMAT | $450.06 | 61.7 | +5.2% | +3.32% | +14.23% | +21.08% | -2.67% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| AVGO | $446.77 | 66.0 | +5.6% | +3.66% | +7.03% | +40.43% | -0.47% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| MRVL | $205.00 | 69.5 | +13.6% | +5.19% | +24.13% | +153.65% | -6.08% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold |
| LSCC | $147.08 | 70.1 | +12.0% | +3.69% | +20.28% | +46.03% | -3.28% | strong-up | ⚠️ Approaching Overbought |
| QCOM | $251.02 | 70.0 | +18.4% | +2.55% | +39.78% | +79.13% | -3.42% | strong-up | ⚠️ Approaching Overbought |
| PLTR | $156.54 | 67.6 | +13.6% | +6.53% | +12.53% | +7.83% | -24.57% | weak-up | 🔍 Watch |
| AMD | $516.10 | 76.0 ↑ | +17.3% | +10.72% | +45.59% | +159.84% | -2.11% | strong-up | ⚠️ Overbought |
| ENPH | $68.36 | 77.4 ↑ | +39.6% | +10.44% | +107.40% | +52.90% | -7.30% | strong-up | ⚠️ Overbought |
| ARM | $353.29 | 77.5 ↑ | +41.9% | +9.62% | +67.98% | +184.06% | -0.89% | strong-up | ⚠️ Overbought |
| FSLR | $306.79 | 83.4 ↑ | +27.6% | +20.42% | +51.96% | +53.50% | -2.22% | up | 🚨 Extreme Overbought |
Tier Analysis
Oversold / Lagging (RSI < 50)
- NEE ($87.01, RSI 35.5) — NextEra: AI power demand thesis softening, -11% 30D. Not yet in capitulation but approaching. Wait.
- GEV ($968.32, RSI 40.1) — GE Vernova: AI data center power infrastructure, -11% 30D. Pullback from strong run. Deathcross? No — golden cross. Watch closely.
- CEG ($287.75, RSI 48.3) — Constellation Energy: nuclear baseload for AI, -12% 3M. Deathcross active, -30% from ATH. Nuclear thesis intact but re-rating.
- NVDA ($211.14, RSI 49.4) — the central chip, -11% from ATH, +16% 3M. The only laggard in its own ecosystem. Golden cross intact.
Neutral / Building (RSI 50–65)
- AMZN, TSM, ASML, INTC, AMKR, ON, AMAT — all strong-up trends. AI hyperscaler + fab + tools all confirming the thesis. INTC +152% 3M is the comeback story.
- BE ($285, RSI 56.1) — Bloom Energy: +72% 3M, solid-oxide fuel cell as AI data center power. Consolidating.
- TLN ($386.80, RSI 58.2) — Talen Energy: power gen, +10% 3M, Microsoft nuclear deal.
- AVGO ($446.77, RSI 66) — custom ASIC for hyperscalers, near ATH (-0.5%), +40% 3M.
Overbought / Extended (RSI 65–80)
- MRVL (RSI 69.5, +154% 3M) — custom AI chips for Amazon/Google; near-overbought but thesis explosive
- QCOM (RSI 70, +79% 3M) — AI at edge + licensing bounce; at overbought threshold
- LSCC (RSI 70.1, +46% 3M) — Lattice Semi: edge AI FPGAs ripping
- AMD (RSI 76, +160% 3M) — MI300X AI GPU gaining against NVDA; extremely extended
- ARM (RSI 77.5, +184% 3M) — IP architecture underlying every AI chip; +42% above SMA20
- ENPH (RSI 77.4, +107% 30D) — solar inverters, massive single-month move on tariff relief
Extreme Overbought (RSI > 80)
- FSLR ($306.79, RSI 83.4, +52% 30D) — First Solar ripping on tariff relief; extreme reading; near-term pullback risk high
Entry Zones
| Stock | Price | Zone | RSI | 30D% | Setup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | $211.14 | <$215 | 49.4 | +5.80% | Central AI franchise lagging ecosystem; golden cross; RSI neutral = best risk/reward entry in the scan |
| GEV | $968.32 | <$1000 | 40.1 | -10.63% | Power infrastructure pullback; +10% 3M still positive; golden cross intact |
| CEG | $287.75 | <$295 | 48.3 | -7.92% | Nuclear baseload; -30% from ATH; deathcross is a flag but thesis long-term valid |
| NEE | $87.01 | <$88 | 35.5 | -11.11% | Power demand play approaching oversold; golden cross still active |
| TSM | $418.45 | <$425 | 59.2 | +5.65% | Only global leading-edge fab; +31% above SMA200; near ATH; core hold |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 📈 ACCUMULATE | NVDA | RSI 49, lagging its own ecosystem, golden cross, -11% from ATH — best entry in scan |
| 🔒 HOLD | TSM, ASML, AVGO, MRVL, AMZN, INTC, ON, AMAT, AMKR, BE | Trends intact, golden crosses, thesis working |
| 🔍 WATCH | CEG, GEV, NEE, TLN, TAC, PLTR, P | Pullbacks in power/infrastructure; real thesis but near-term weakness |
| ⚠️ AVOID / OVERBOUGHT | ARM, AMD, ENPH, QCOM, LSCC | RSI 70-84; extended; wait for pullback before adding |
| 🚨 EXTREME — DO NOT CHASE | FSLR | RSI 83.4, +52% 30D; high mean-reversion risk; set alert for RSI <60 pullback |
| ⚠️ SPECULATIVE | EOSE | -58% from ATH, deathcross, pre-scale battery storage; high-risk only |
What Changed (directional)
- AMD monster breakout — was in mid-range; now +160% 3M at RSI 76. MI300X AI GPU gaining against NVDA in hyperscaler deals. Second-biggest AI chip story after NVDA.
- ARM parabolic — +184% 3M. IP architecture embedded in every AI chip. Near ATH at $353. RSI 77.5 is the most extended non-solar name in the scan.
- MRVL exploding — +154% 3M. Custom ASIC thesis validating as Amazon/Google move away from merchant silicon. RSI approaching overbought.
- INTC comeback — +152% 3M. New management, Intel Foundry Services gaining traction, AI PC cycle. From the dead to RSI 59.
- ENPH +107% 30D — single-month solar inverter explosion. IRA/tariff reversal trade. Extremely extended.
- FSLR RSI 83.4 — highest reading in the scan. Tariff relief removing Chinese competition. Short-term pullback risk elevated.
- NVDA consolidating while ecosystem rips — rare setup where the central asset is cheapest on RSI. -11% from ATH while peers touch ATHs.
- CEG/GEV/NEE all pulling back — nuclear/utility power names correcting as risk-on dominates; entry window opening for power infrastructure thesis.
- P (Everpure/fka PSTG) -15% 7D — biggest single-week drop in the scan. Pure Storage data center flash storage; investigate catalyst.
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.