AI Scan

Scan

AI Scan

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 43 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-05-01-ai-scanported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-03-03-ai-scan.mdscan slugai-scansource typescan-archive

Broad AI selloff: NVDA down -6.6% in 7 days (RSI 41), GOOGL at RSI 36 approaching oversold, AMD at RSI 33 in buy zone — while quantum plays (IONQ, RGTI, SOUN, BBAI) are in full capitulation with RSIs of 14-22 and 30D losses of 30-56%. PLTR is the lone bright spot at RSI 59, +14% in 7 days.


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🔴 RISK-OFF ACROSS AI — Large-cap AI down broadly: NVDA -6.6% 7D, GOOGL -2.4% 7D, AMD -10.7% 7D. Small speculative AI (IONQ -29.6% 7D, RGTI -24.5% 7D) in free fall. Market is rotating out of AI risk across the board.
Leaders PLTR (+14.3% 7D, RSI 59), META (+2.5% 7D, RSI 42), MSFT (+3.8% 7D, RSI 44)
Laggards IONQ (-29.6% 7D, RSI 22), RGTI (-24.5% 7D, RSI 20), SOUN (-19.1% 7D, RSI 15), BBAI (-26.1% 7D, RSI 22)
Key insight Two distinct worlds: megacap AI (NVDA/GOOGL/AMZN) selling off but thesis intact, quantum/voice AI (IONQ/RGTI/SOUN) in capitulation with data that may be stale (Feb 5). PLTR is defying gravity — insider selling at $4.7B was flagged 2/26; stock has since surged +14%.

Price Table (Validated 2026-03-03)

Stock Price RSI SMA20 vs SMA 7D% 30D% Signal
NVDA $180.05 41 $185.27 -2.8% -6.6% -1.8% 🟡 Below SMA, approaching oversold
AMD $191.02 33 $206.06 -7.3% -10.7% -12.2% 🟢 Oversold — buy zone
MSFT $403.94 44 $400.38 +0.9% +3.8% -15.8% 🟡 Above SMA, recovering
GOOGL $303.53 36 $314.15 -3.4% -2.4% -4.4% 🟢 Approaching oversold
META $655.08 42 $656.28 -0.2% +2.5% -0.9% 🟡 At SMA, neutral
AMZN $208.73 52 $210.16 -0.7% +0.1% -8.9% 🟡 Near SMA, stabilizing
AAPL $263.61 42 $268.58 -1.9% -3.1% -7.1% 🟡 Below SMA
PLTR $147.22 59 $136.98 +7.5% +14.3% -17.3% 🟡 Above SMA, recovering strong
AI $11.69 44 $12.36 -5.4% +7.1% -27.3% 🟡 Below SMA (data: Feb 9)
BBAI $4.08 22 $5.67 -28.1% -26.1% -27.9% 🔴 Capitulation (data: Feb 5)
SOUN $7.35 15 $10.01 -26.5% -19.1% -34.6% 🔴 Extreme capitulation (data: Feb 5)
IONQ $30.43 22 $45.26 -32.8% -29.6% -47.0% 🔴 Capitulation (data: Feb 5)
RGTI $14.98 20 $22.26 -32.7% -24.5% -56.4% 🔴 Capitulation (data: Feb 5)

Note: BBAI, SOUN, IONQ, RGTI data is from Feb 5 — ~4 weeks stale. Current prices may be materially different.


Tier Analysis

Capitulation (RSI < 25) — Falling Knife Territory

  • SOUN RSI 15 — extreme distress; -34.6% 30D; voice AI de-rated
  • RGTI RSI 20 — quantum computing washout; -56.4% 30D
  • IONQ RSI 22 — quantum in free fall; -47% 30D
  • BBAI RSI 22 — AI defense/analytics crushed; -27.9% 30D

All four are speculative plays with stale data (Feb 5). Caution: prices may have continued falling.

Oversold (RSI 25–40) — Potential Entry Zone

  • AMD RSI 33, -7.3% below SMA — PC/data center chips, solid thesis
  • GOOGL RSI 36, -3.4% below SMA — Alphabet still oversold, approaching 2/26 levels

Neutral (RSI 40–60) — Watch Closely

  • NVDA RSI 41 — approaching oversold from neutral; was a leader
  • AAPL RSI 42 — consumer device exposure, below SMA
  • META RSI 42 — at SMA, stabilizing after prior bounce
  • MSFT RSI 44 — above SMA despite -15.8% 30D; showing strength
  • AMZN RSI 52 — most stable megacap; AWS thesis intact
  • AI (C3.ai) RSI 44 — stale data caveat
  • PLTR RSI 59 — relative strength standout; well above SMA

Strong (RSI 60+)

  • None in this scan today — no AI name is overbought

Entry Zones

Stock Entry Zone Thesis
AMD $185–195 RSI 33, -7.3% below SMA, -12.2% 30D. PC + data center GPU play. AMD gaining market share. Entry zone now.
GOOGL $295–308 RSI 36 and falling toward 2/26 levels of RSI 29. Alphabet AI/search moat intact. Cloud acceleration thesis.
NVDA $170–180 RSI 41, approaching oversold. Blackwell ramp intact. Any further weakness below $175 is a strong DCA zone.
MSFT $395–405 RSI 44, above SMA despite -15.8% 30D. Azure AI copilot narrative intact. Strong relative performance.
PLTR N/A RSI 59, +7.5% above SMA — do NOT chase. Thesis intact but extended relative to peers. Wait for RSI <45.
IONQ/RGTI/SOUN Avoid RSI 15-22, stale data, no clear floor. These are falling knives — thesis unclear at current prices.

Action Matrix

Stock Signal Action Notes
AMD 🟢 ✅ Strong Buy RSI 33, -7.3% below SMA. Semiconductor thesis intact. This is the entry zone.
GOOGL 🟢 📈 Accumulate RSI 36, approaching the 2/26 RSI 29 oversold low. Alphabet AI moat unchanged.
NVDA 🟡 📈 Accumulate RSI 41, -2.8% below SMA. Core AI position — DCA on weakness.
MSFT 🟡 🔒 Hold RSI 44 but above SMA — showing relative strength vs peers at -15.8% 30D.
AMZN 🟡 🔒 Hold RSI 52, most stable megacap in the group. AWS flywheel intact.
META 🟡 🔍 Watch RSI 42, at SMA. Recovered from prior RSI 26 lows. Watch for SMA reclaim.
AAPL 🟡 🔍 Watch RSI 42, below SMA, -7.1% 30D. Not oversold yet. Wait for RSI <35.
PLTR 🟡 ⚠️ Avoid RSI 59, +14.3% 7D — don't chase. Wait for pullback to RSI <45.
AI (C3.ai) 🟡 ⏳ Waiting RSI 44, stale data. Need fresh data before acting.
BBAI 🔴 ❌ Don't Buy RSI 22, -28% below SMA, stale data. Falling knife.
SOUN 🔴 ❌ Don't Buy RSI 15, -26.5% below SMA. Extreme distress. No clear floor.
IONQ 🔴 ❌ Don't Buy RSI 22, -47% 30D. Quantum de-rating continues. Wait for stabilization.
RGTI 🔴 ❌ Don't Buy RSI 20, -56.4% 30D. Capitulation territory, stale data.

What Changed vs 2026-02-26

Stock Feb 26 RSI Mar 3 RSI Change Feb 26 Price Mar 3 Price 7D Chg
NVDA 63 41 🔴 -22 pts $185.57 $180.05 -3.0%
GOOGL 29 36 🟢 +7 pts $306.33 $303.53 -0.9%
AMZN 34 52 🟢 +18 pts $206.73 $208.73 +1.0%
META 44 42 🟡 -2 pts $656.98 $655.08 -0.3%
MSFT 56 44 🔴 -12 pts $401.58 $403.94 +0.6%
PLTR ~35 59 🟢 +24 pts ~$128 $147.22 +14.9%
AMD 33 33 🟡 Flat ~$190 $191.02 +0.5%

Key shift: NVDA lost 22 RSI points since 2/26 — the prior AI leader is now approaching oversold. PLTR is the massive reversal: from deep selloff territory to RSI 59 in 5 days. AMZN recovered strongly (RSI 34 → 52). MSFT lost 12 RSI points but held its SMA. GOOGL bounced slightly from prior RSI 29 lows.


The Gold

Key Discoveries:

  • PLTR defied the AI selloff completely: +14.3% in 7 days to RSI 59 while NVDA dropped 22 RSI points simultaneously — suggests PLTR is trading on defense/gov AI narrative separately from consumer AI
  • NVDA's RSI drop from 63 → 41 in 5 days is the sharpest decline among megacap AI — Blackwell supply constraints or macro fears may be accelerating the rotation
  • SOUN at RSI 15 with -34.6% 30D is the loudest distress signal in the scan, but the thesis (voice AI) is unclear and data is stale

Mistakes to Avoid:

  • Don't chase PLTR after a +14% week — the thesis may be real but RSI 59 is no longer an entry
  • Don't buy IONQ/RGTI/SOUN without fresh data — the Feb 5 prices may be significantly higher than today's actual prices

Open Questions:

  • Is NVDA's RSI drop (63 → 41) a buying opportunity or the start of a broader AI unwind?
  • Will GOOGL's RSI stabilize above 30, or continue toward capitulation seen in SOUN/RGTI?
  • Can PLTR sustain RSI 59 if the broader market selloff continues?
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.