NVDA Ecosystem Scan

Scan

NVDA Ecosystem Scan

Scan symbols 8
AMATARMASMLAVGOMRVLMUNVDATSM
Watchlists 1
@nvda-ecosystem
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 26 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-05-01-nvda-ecosystemported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-02-22-nvda-ecosystem.mdscan slugnvda-ecosystemsource typescan-archive

AI chip supply chain broadly higher — ARM nearing overbought (RSI 78), TSM approaching it (RSI 70), MU surging +23.5% in 30 days. NVDA consolidating above SMA. No deep entries available; ARM and TSM require caution.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟠 EXTENDED — Ecosystem ripping higher. ARM and TSM near overbought. No oversold entries.
Leader MU (+23.5% 30D, RSI 55) — Memory rip on HBM/AI demand, still has room
Warning ARM (RSI 78↑, +6.9% above SMA) — Near overbought, do not chase
Stable NVDA RSI 49, AVGO RSI 51 — Consolidating at SMA, healthy base

Price Table (Validated 2026-02-22)

Stock Price 7D 30D RSI vs SMA20 Status Action
NVDA $189.82 +3.8% +3.5% 49 +1.9% 🟡 Neutral 🔒 Hold
ARM $125.58 +0.2% +10.2% 78 ↑ +6.9% 🟠 Near Overbought ⚠️ Avoid/Trim
MU $411.66 +7.3% +23.5% 55 +2.8% 🟡 Neutral 🔒 Hold
AVGO $332.65 +2.3% +1.2% 51 +0.9% 🟡 Neutral 🔒 Hold
MRVL $79.48 +1.1% -3.7% 51 -0.1% 🟡 Neutral 🔍 Watch
TSM $370.54 +1.1% +13.6% 70 +6.1% 🟠 Near Overbought ⚠️ Caution
ASML $1469.59 +4.5% +8.2% 57 +3.5% 🟡 Neutral 🔒 Hold
AMAT N/A — — — — — 🔍 No Data

Tier Analysis

Tier 1 — Near Overbought (RSI 70+): Caution Zone

ARM (RSI 78, +6.9% above SMA20) RSI has surged from 63 (2/16) to 78 in one week. Price barely moved (+0.2% 7D) while RSI climbed — momentum divergence is a warning. ARM's AI/edge licensing thesis is intact but valuation is stretched. Trim into strength above RSI 75; re-entry zone is $110-115 on a pullback to SMA.

TSM (RSI 70, +6.1% above SMA20) Foundry demand from NVDA, Apple, and AMD driving TSM. +13.6% in 30D. RSI now at 70, the overbought threshold. Still below extreme (no action yet), but watch for reversal at RSI 75+. Do not add here.

Tier 2 — Neutral/Consolidating (RSI 49-57): Hold Zone

NVDA (RSI 49, +1.9% above SMA20) NVDA is healthily consolidating after the ecosystem-wide move. SMA20 at $186.22 acts as support. RSI 49 is the sweet spot — neither overbought nor oversold. Core position to hold. Entry zone on a dip to $183-186 (SMA retest).

MU (RSI 55, +23.5% 30D) The biggest mover in the group. HBM memory for AI training stacks is driving volume. RSI 55 is surprisingly modest given the +23.5% 30D gain — the move happened gradually. Watch for extended RSI if another weekly push occurs. No new entry here; existing holders hold.

AVGO (RSI 51, +0.9% above SMA20) Broadcom is the quietest in the group — flat 30D, neutral RSI. Custom silicon (Google TPUs, Meta) provides steady revenue but no near-term catalyst. Good consolidation base. Entry zone on a dip to $315-320.

ASML (RSI 57, +3.5% above SMA20) EUV equipment demand tied to fab capacity expansion. +8.2% 30D, RSI 57 — healthy momentum without being extended. ASML is a slow-and-steady compounder. Hold. No new entry at current levels.

Tier 3 — Slight Laggard (RSI 51, -3.7% 30D): Watch

MRVL (RSI 51, -0.1% vs SMA20, -3.7% 30D) Only stock in the group with a negative 30D return. Custom ASIC/networking chips for AI datacenters remain the thesis. Underperforming the group — either accumulation or distribution. Entry zone develops below $75 (RSI < 40). Worth watching as a relative laggard that could catch up.

Entry Zones

Stock Zone RSI Trigger Conviction Notes
🟡 NVDA $183-186 RSI < 45 HIGH SMA retest, core AI position
🟡 AVGO $315-320 RSI < 45 MEDIUM Custom silicon dip buy
🟡 MRVL $72-76 RSI < 40 MEDIUM Laggard catchup, needs RSI confirmation
🟡 ASML $1380-1420 RSI < 50 MEDIUM SMA retest on EUV slow-burn thesis
🟠 ARM $110-115 RSI < 55 HIGH Wait for full reset from RSI 78
🟠 TSM $345-355 RSI < 60 HIGH SMA retest after +13.6% run

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
⚠️ AVOID/TRIM ARM, TSM RSI 70-78, extended above SMA, do not chase
🔒 HOLD NVDA, MU, AVGO, ASML Neutral RSI, above SMA, thesis intact
🔍 WATCH MRVL Only 30D loser, potential catch-up if RSI dips to 40
⏳ WAITING ARM entry $110-115 Wait for RSI reset from 78
⏳ WAITING TSM entry $345-355 Wait for SMA retest

Key Discoveries

Discovery Implication
ARM RSI jumped from 63 → 78 in 6 days with only +0.2% price move Momentum divergence — RSI moved on internal buying pressure, not price. Signals exhaustion.
MU +23.5% 30D with RSI only 55 Gradual accumulation, not a spike — HBM demand story has legs but entry window is closing
MRVL is only 30D loser (-3.7%) in otherwise green ecosystem Relative weakness in custom AI networking — watch for rotation in or thesis crack

Open Questions

  • Is ARM RSI 78 a local top or early stage of a bigger move?
  • AMAT data missing — need to fetch separately for complete ecosystem view
  • Does MRVL underperformance signal custom ASIC share going to AVGO instead?
10 events
DateTypeEvent
Feb 26 ScanNVDA Ecosystem Scan Mar 3 ScanNVDA Ecosystem Scan Mar 10 ScanNVDA Ecosystem Scan Feb 26 ScanAI Scan Mar 12 ScanNVDA Ecosystem Scan Feb 16 ScanNVDA Ecosystem Scan Mar 3 ScanAI Infrastructure Scan Feb 11 ScanNVDA Ecosystem Scan Feb 9 ScanAI Infrastructure Scan Mar 10 ScanAI Scan

No direct external sources are attached to this read.