AI Infrastructure Scan
AI Infrastructure Scan
Infrastructure bifurcation: Data centers (EQIX RSI 87, DLR RSI 83) remain dangerously overbought while semiconductors roll over (AVGO RSI 29, ASML -9.1% 7D, TSM -8.4% 7D). CEG surged to RSI 79 on nuclear AI power theme (+29.7% 30D). The easy gains in AI infra are behind us — selectivity critical.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟠 BIFURCATED AND EXTENDED — Data centers (EQIX RSI 87, DLR RSI 83) still at extreme overbought despite stale data. Semis (AVGO RSI 29, ARM RSI 43, ASML RSI 43, TSM RSI 45) pulling back. CEG nuclear AI theme +29.7% 30D. No single clear direction — must be name-by-name. |
| Leaders | EQIX (+22.5% 30D), CEG (+29.7% 30D), GEV (+34% 30D), MU (+66.8% 30D — stale), DLR (+15.3% 30D) |
| Laggards | AVGO (RSI 29, -4.2% 7D), ASML (-9.1% 7D, -2.4% 30D stale), TSM (-8.4% 7D), MRVL (-21% 30D) |
| Key insight | AVGO at RSI 29 is the standout oversold signal — Broadcom is the AI ASIC backbone and is approaching capitulation. EQIX/DLR remain extreme (RSI 83-87) but with Feb 13 data — may have corrected since. MU at +66.8% 30D is a standout but also stale (Feb 13). |
Price Table (Validated 2026-03-03)
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vs SMA | 7D% | 30D% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVGO | $313.75 | 29 | $327.50 | -4.2% | -3.6% | -17.5% | 🟢 Oversold — approaching entry |
| MRVL | $77.51 | 38 | $79.00 | -1.9% | -1.1% | -21.0% | 🟢 Approaching oversold |
| CEG | $324.96 | 79 | $291.67 | +11.4% | +3.9% | +29.7% | 🔴 Overbought — nuclear AI theme extended |
| GEV | $842.52 | 63 | $822.04 | +2.5% | -4.2% | +34.0% | 🟠 Extended, pulling back |
| EQIX | $956.19 | 87 | $830.53 | +15.1% | +12.7% | +22.5% | 🔴 Extreme overbought (data: Feb 13) |
| DLR | $180.97 | 83 | $166.73 | +8.5% | +5.4% | +15.3% | 🔴 Overbought (data: Feb 13) |
| ANET | $141.59 | 48 | $138.33 | +2.4% | +3.0% | +7.8% | 🟢 Above SMA, neutral (data: Feb 13) |
| CSCO | $76.85 | 50 | $79.25 | -3.0% | -9.4% | -0.9% | 🟡 At neutral, below SMA (data: Feb 13) |
| FTNT | $81.07 | 41 | $81.10 | -0.0% | +7.8% | -2.0% | 🟡 At SMA, neutral |
| ARM | $121.72 | 43 | $123.02 | -1.1% | -5.0% | -13.4% | 🟡 Below SMA, weakening |
| MU | $411.66 | 55 | $400.32 | +2.8% | +4.3% | +66.8% | 🟢 Above SMA (data: Feb 13 — stale) |
| TSM | $353.40 | 45 | $362.09 | -2.4% | -8.4% | +21.0% | 🟡 Below SMA — selling off |
| ASML | $1,360.77 | 43 | $1,430.36 | -4.9% | -9.1% | -2.4% | 🟡 Below SMA — selling off |
| AMAT | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | ⚠️ No data file |
Tier Analysis
Capitulation / Near-Capitulation (RSI < 30) — Highest Conviction Entry Zone
Oversold (RSI 30–40) — Strong Entry Zone
Neutral (RSI 40–60) — Monitor
- ARM RSI 43 — chip IP licensor, -13.4% 30D. Weakening.
- ASML RSI 43 — EUV monopoly, -9.1% 7D. Selling off on macro.
- CSCO RSI 50 — datacenter networking, stale data.
- ANET RSI 48 — data center networking leader, stale data but above SMA.
- TSM RSI 45 — TSMC selling off -8.4% 7D, below SMA. Key bellwether.
- MU RSI 55 — memory with stale data showing +66.8% 30D.
Strong (RSI 60+) — Extended / Overbought Risk
- GEV RSI 63 — GE Vernova (energy/grid), +34% 30D, pulling back from highs
- CEG RSI 79 — Constellation Energy nuclear, +29.7% 30D — approaching extreme overbought
- DLR RSI 83 — Digital Realty data center, extreme overbought (stale data)
- EQIX RSI 87 — Equinix data center, most extreme reading in scan (stale data)
Entry Zones
| Stock | Entry Zone | Thesis |
|---|---|---|
| AVGO | $305–320 | RSI 29, -4.2% below SMA, -17.5% 30D. Broadcom is the #1 custom AI chip partner for Google and Meta. This is a golden entry zone. |
| MRVL | $72–80 | RSI 38, -1.9% below SMA, -21% 30D. Custom ASIC for Amazon/other hyperscalers. Thesis intact, price not. |
| ARM | $115–125 | RSI 43, -1.1% below SMA, -13.4% 30D. Every AI chip uses ARM IP. Not yet oversold but approaching entry zone. |
| TSM | $340–360 | RSI 45, -2.4% below SMA, -8.4% 7D. TSMC is the foundry for NVDA/AMD/AAPL — any weakness is a long-term entry. |
| ASML | $1,320–1,380 | RSI 43, -4.9% below SMA. EUV monopoly — only company that makes leading-edge lithography machines. |
| CEG | $290–305 | Wait for RSI to cool to 60-65. Nuclear AI power thesis is the strongest long-term energy play. RSI 79 = not yet. |
| EQIX | $880–920 | Wait for RSI to cool below 70. Data center demand thesis intact but RSI 87 is extreme. |
| DLR | $165–170 | Wait for RSI to cool below 70. Data center REIT with AI infrastructure tailwind. RSI 83 = wait. |
Action Matrix
| Stock | Signal | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| AVGO | 🟢 | ✅ Strong Buy | RSI 29, -4.2% below SMA, -17.5% 30D. Rare oversold signal for a $1.3T company. Custom AI ASIC monopoly. |
| MRVL | 🟢 | 📈 Accumulate | RSI 38, -21% 30D. Custom ASIC for hyperscalers. Oversold with solid thesis. |
| TSM | 🟡 | 📈 Accumulate | RSI 45, -8.4% 7D. TSMC selloff looks macro-driven, not fundamental. Key long-term position. |
| ASML | 🟡 | 📈 Accumulate | RSI 43, -9.1% 7D. EUV monopoly doesn't change on macro fear. Good entry building here. |
| ARM | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | RSI 43, -13.4% 30D. Not yet oversold. Set alert at RSI <35 for entry. |
| ANET | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | RSI 48, +7.8% 30D, above SMA. Datacenter networking leader — hold existing positions. Stale data. |
| FTNT | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | RSI 41, at SMA. Cybersecurity/networking play. Not a pure AI name — monitor. |
| CSCO | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | RSI 50, stale data. Datacenter networking with AI catalyst (Silicon One). Needs fresh data. |
| MU | 🟡 | 🔒 Hold | RSI 55, +66.8% 30D — but data is 2.5 weeks stale. Hold if owned; don't chase without fresh data. |
| GEV | 🟠 | ⚠️ Caution | RSI 63, -4.2% 7D. +34% 30D run is fading. Don't add at current levels; wait for RSI <55. |
| CEG | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | RSI 79, +29.7% 30D, +11.4% above SMA. Nuclear AI power thesis is real but this is overbought. Wait for RSI <65. |
| DLR | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | RSI 83, stale data. Extreme overbought — even if data is 2.5 weeks old, this run is extended. |
| EQIX | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | RSI 87, stale data. Most overbought name in the scan. Don't chase data center REITs here. |
| AMAT | ⚠️ | ⏳ Waiting | No data file. AMAT is a key semiconductor equipment play — need to add to data pipeline. |
What Changed vs 2026-02-26
| Stock | Feb 26 RSI | Mar 3 RSI | Change | Feb 26 Price | Mar 3 Price | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CEG | 82 | 79 | 🟢 -3 pts | $319.71 | $324.96 | +$5.25 |
| EQIX | 87 | 87 | 🟡 Flat | $956 | $956.19 | ~flat (stale) |
| DLR | 83 | 83 | 🟡 Flat | $181 | $180.97 | ~flat (stale) |
| AVGO | ~35 | 29 | 🟢 Entering buy zone | ~$325 | $313.75 | -3.5% |
| MRVL | 35 | 38 | 🟡 ~Flat | ~$74 | $77.51 | +4.7% |
| GEV | 77 | 63 | 🟢 Cooling | ~$880 | $842.52 | -4.3% |
| TSM | 71 | 45 | 🟢 -26 pts | ~$385 | $353.40 | -8.2% |
| ARM | 71 | 43 | 🟢 -28 pts | ~$130 | $121.72 | -6.4% |
| ASML | ~70 | 43 | 🟢 Cooled significantly | ~$1,500 | $1,360.77 | -9.3% |
Key shift: The "overbought" semiconductor names from 2/26 (ARM RSI 71, TSM RSI 71, ASML RSI ~70) have corrected sharply — ARM -28 RSI pts, TSM -26 RSI pts, ASML cooled significantly. These are now approaching entry zones. AVGO, not overbought before, has now been sold down to RSI 29 — a compelling new entry signal. Data center REITs (EQIX, DLR) are unchanged/stale, still extreme.
The Gold
Key Discoveries:
- AVGO at RSI 29 is the most actionable signal in this scan — Broadcom's AI ASIC business (serving Google, Meta) makes it a tier-1 AI infrastructure company, and it's now at oversold territory rarely seen for a mega-cap
- ARM and TSM losing 26-28 RSI points since 2/26 (when they were RSI 71) shows the semiconductor correction is real and rapid — these moves create legitimate entry zones
- EQIX/DLR remain stationary (stale data) — the "extreme overbought" warning from 2/26 hasn't resolved in the data; could mean they held up OR data simply hasn't refreshed
Mistakes to Avoid:
Open Questions:
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.