AI Infrastructure

Scan

AI Infrastructure

raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 48 rows · screens, not recommendations superseded by2026-05-01-ai-infrastructureported fromresearch/classic/scans/_archive/2026-03-10-ai-infrastructure.mdscan slugai-infrastructuresource typescan-archive

Infrastructure diverging wildly: MRVL exploding +12.9% 30D on earnings momentum, CEG +19.3% 30D on nuclear/power demand, while AVGO +1.6% 30D is flat and SMCI -4.1% is dead money. The AI infrastructure trade is about power and custom silicon now, not servers.


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟡 SELECTIVE STRENGTH — Power plays (CEG, GEV) and custom silicon (MRVL) surging while networking/servers (SMCI, FTNT) lag. Not a broad infrastructure rally — it's rotation within the stack.
Leaders MRVL (+12.9% 30D), CEG (+19.3% 30D), GEV (+12.9% 30D from 2/4 data), AVGO (+1.6%)
Laggards SMCI (-4.1% 30D), FTNT (-2.0% 30D), CSCO (stale but was overbought)

Price Table

Stock Price 7D 30D RSI SMA20 vs SMA Signal
AVGO $345.75 +3.9% +1.6% 🟡 Flat — finding footing after $307 low
MRVL $92.65 +19.9% +12.9% 🟢 Explosive — earnings catalyst
CEG $322.99 -2.6% +19.3% 🟢 Nuclear power thesis in play
GEV $842.52 +12.9% 🟢 Power equipment surge (stale 3/3)
EQIX $956.19 87 $830.53 +15.1% 🔴 Overbought (stale Feb 13)
DLR $180.97 83 $166.73 +8.5% 🔴 Overbought (stale Feb 13)
ANET $141.59 48 $138.33 +2.4% 🟡 Neutral (stale Feb 13)
CSCO $76.85 50 $79.26 -3.0% 🟡 Below SMA (stale Feb 13)
FTNT $83.81 -0.7% -2.0% 🟡 Slight weakness
VRT $191.04 70 $179.04 +6.7% 🟠 Near overbought (stale Feb 3)
SMCI $31.98 -2.0% -4.1% 🔴 Dead money — persistent weakness

Tier Analysis

Overbought (RSI 70+) — Stale but watch for mean reversion:

  • EQIX (RSI 87 — extremely overbought, data center REIT euphoria from Feb 13)
  • DLR (RSI 83 — same data center boom, stale Feb 13)
  • VRT (RSI 70 — cooling infrastructure, stale Feb 3)

Neutral (RSI 40-60):

  • ANET (RSI 48, stale Feb 13)
  • CSCO (RSI 50, stale Feb 13, below SMA)
  • MU-adjacent: MU was RSI 55 on Feb 13

Momentum (No RSI but strong 30D):

  • MRVL (+12.9% 30D — likely RSI 65-75 after massive run)
  • CEG (+19.3% 30D — likely RSI 60-70)
  • GEV (+12.9% from Feb 4 — likely RSI 55-65)

Weak:

  • SMCI (-4.1% 30D — likely RSI 35-40, persistent grind lower)
  • FTNT (-2.0% 30D — neutral to weak)

Entry Zones

Stock Entry Zone Thesis
AVGO $310-325 Custom ASIC leader. Just bounced off $307 low. Below $315 = strong entry for AI chip diversification play.
MRVL $80-85 After the +19.9% 7D explosion, wait for a pullback. $80-85 = healthy retracement zone. Don't chase at $92.
CEG $300-315 Nuclear power for AI data centers. Any pullback from $323 to $300 is a buy. Structural demand story.
SMCI $28-30 Only for deep value/spec. Server maker losing share. Below $28 = capitulation territory.
FTNT $78-82 Cybersecurity is defensive AI infrastructure. Current price $83.81 = near entry zone.
EQIX Wait RSI 87 = extremely overbought. Wait for -10% pullback ($860-880) before entry.
DLR Wait RSI 83 = overbought. Wait for correction to $165-170.

Action Matrix

Stock Signal Action Notes
MRVL 🟢 ⚠️ Caution +19.9% 7D = don't chase. Wait for pullback to $80-85. Earnings-driven, thesis intact.
CEG 🟢 📈 Accumulate +19.3% 30D, nuclear power thesis. DCA on dips to $300-315.
GEV 🟢 🔒 Hold +12.9% 30D. Power equipment for AI data centers. Data stale (3/3).
AVGO 🟡 📈 Accumulate Flat +1.6% 30D after deep selloff. Bounced off $307. Custom ASIC thesis intact.
ANET 🟡 🔍 Watch RSI 48, near SMA. Networking leader but data stale (Feb 13).
FTNT 🟡 🔍 Watch -2.0% 30D. Cybersec is defensive. Current price near entry zone.
VRT 🟠 ⚠️ Caution RSI 70 (stale Feb 3). Cooling infrastructure leader but was overbought. Verify fresh data.
EQIX 🔴 ⚠️ Avoid RSI 87 = extremely overbought. Don't chase data center REIT euphoria. Wait for pullback.
DLR 🔴 ⚠️ Avoid RSI 83 = overbought. Same data center euphoria. Wait.
CSCO 🟡 🔍 Watch RSI 50 but below SMA. Networking bellwether. Data stale (Feb 13).
SMCI 🔴 ❌ Don't Buy -4.1% 30D, persistent weakness. Server commoditization risk. Avoid.

What Changed vs 2026-03-03

Metric Mar 3 Mar 10 Change
AVGO $313.84 $345.75 🟢 +$31.91 (+10.2%) — strong rebound
MRVL $77.51 $92.65 🟢 +$15.14 (+19.5%) — explosive move
CEG $324.44 $322.99 🟡 -$1.45 — consolidating after run
FTNT $81.10 $83.81 🟢 +$2.71 — slight recovery
SMCI $30.68 $31.98 🟡 +$1.30 — slight bounce, still weak

Bottom line: The AI infrastructure trade has shifted decisively toward power generation (CEG, GEV) and custom silicon (MRVL, AVGO) and away from commodity servers (SMCI). MRVL's explosive +19.9% week on earnings is the standout move. AVGO's +10.2% rebound from $313 to $345 shows custom ASIC demand is real. The data center REITs (EQIX, DLR) were extremely overbought in Feb and likely need to correct. The next phase of the AI infrastructure trade is about who powers the data centers and who designs the custom chips — not who assembles the servers.


Data Notes

Ticker Data As Of Staleness
AVGO Mar 9 Fresh
MRVL Mar 9 Fresh
CEG Mar 9 Fresh
FTNT Mar 9 Fresh
SMCI Mar 9 Fresh
GEV Mar 3 1 week stale
EQIX Feb 13 3+ weeks stale
DLR Feb 13 3+ weeks stale
ANET Feb 13 3+ weeks stale
CSCO Feb 13 3+ weeks stale
VRT Feb 3 5+ weeks stale

The Gold

Key Discoveries:

  • MRVL +19.9% in one week — the most explosive move across all AI infrastructure names; custom ASIC demand is accelerating
  • The AI infrastructure trade has rotated from "build the servers" (SMCI down) to "power the data centers" (CEG +19.3%, GEV +12.9%) and "design the custom chips" (MRVL, AVGO)
  • EQIX RSI 87 and DLR RSI 83 = data center REIT euphoria was extreme in mid-Feb; likely correcting now

Mistakes to Avoid:

  • Don't chase MRVL at $92 after +19.9% in a week — wait for the inevitable pullback to $80-85
  • Don't buy EQIX/DLR based on stale Feb 13 data showing RSI 87/83 — they may have already corrected significantly
  • Don't assume SMCI weakness = AI infrastructure weakness — the trade has simply rotated to higher-value parts of the stack

Open Questions:

  • Has EQIX/DLR corrected since their Feb 13 overbought readings, or are they still elevated?
  • Can MRVL sustain above $90, or is this an earnings pop that fades?
  • Is CEG's +19.3% run pricing in the nuclear power thesis, or is there more upside?
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.