AI Infrastructure Scan
Scan
AI Infrastructure Scan
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 22 rows · screens, not recommendations
Foundry/IP layer (ASML +32% 30D, ARM +97% 30D, MRVL +63% 30D) is ripping while the hyperscaler-app layer (AMZN, NVDA, PLTR) digests a pullback. Latest bar Thursday 2026-06-18 (Friday 06-19 was Juneteenth, markets closed).
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 Two-speed — equipment/IP leaders extended, app/cloud layer in pullback |
| Key insight | ASML +32.2% 30D / RSI 66, ARM +96.9% 30D / RSI 69, MRVL +62.9% 30D — the picks-and-shovels layer leads; AMZN/NVDA/PLTR consolidate |
| Leaders | ARM (RSI 69↑), ASML (RSI 66), TSM, MRVL |
| Laggards | PLTR (RSI 43, regime collapse, -38% from high), P (RSI 47), AMZN (RSI 44) |
| Freshness | TAC, P stale (06-16, 2d stale) — yfinance throttle this run |
Price Table
| Stock | Price | 7D | 30D | 3M | 52wkHi | RSI | Status | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARM | $439.46 | +12.95% | +96.93% | +238.51% | -2.92% | 69 ↑ | 🟠 Extended | 🔒 Hold |
| ASML | $1,929.68 | +2.84% | +32.22% | +41.53% | -0.68% | 66 | 🟡 Strong | 🔒 Hold |
| TSM | $462.12 | +2.37% | +17.98% | +23.37% | -0.67% | 53 | 🟡 Strong | 🔒 Hold |
| MRVL | $310.58 | +6.39% | +62.87% | +246.90% | -10.69% | 65 | 🟡 Strong | 🔒 Hold |
| NVDA | $210.69 | +0.15% | -5.72% | +16.79% | -10.93% | 50 | 🟡 Pullback | 📈 Accumulate |
| AMZN | $244.39 | -0.72% | -5.76% | +17.07% | -12.27% | 44 | 🟠 Pullback | 📈 Accumulate |
| TAC | $13.51 (06-16, 2d stale) | +8.39% | +8.43% | +7.65% | -24.44% | 54 | 🟡 Neutral | 🔍 Watch |
| P | $73.26 (06-16, 2d stale) | +3.63% | -4.94% | +15.48% | -27.17% | 47 | 🟡 Pullback | 🔍 Watch |
| PLTR | $128.47 | +0.82% | -5.02% | -14.49% | -38.09% | 43 | 🔴 Collapse | 🔍 Watch |
Tier Analysis
Equipment / IP Leaders (extended but in uptrend)
- ARM RSI 69, +96.9% 30D, only -2.9% from 52wk high — chip-IP royalty monopoly; approaching overbought but not there; don't chase, hold existing
- ASML RSI 66, +32.2% 30D, -0.7% from high — EUV litho monopoly; strong-up; the durable bottleneck name
- MRVL RSI 65, +62.9% 30D — custom-ASIC for hyperscalers; -10.7% from high leaves some room
- TSM RSI 53, +18.0% 30D, basically at highs — foundry anchor, calmest of the leaders
App / Cloud Layer (pullback, not broken)
- NVDA RSI 50, flat 7D, -5.7% 30D, -10.9% from high — thesis intact (regime pullback); accumulate zone
- AMZN RSI 44, -5.8% 30D, -12.3% from high — AWS AI infra leader in weak-down; long-horizon accumulate
- PLTR RSI 43, -38.1% from high, regime collapse — thesis flagged intact but structure broken; watch, don't add
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| ✅ STRONG BUY | — | No RSI <30 + intact-thesis combos today |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE | NVDA, AMZN | Pullbacks in confirmed AI-infra leaders; -11 to -12% from highs, thesis intact |
| 🔒 HOLD | ARM, ASML, TSM, MRVL | Equipment/IP leaders; hold, don't chase after big 30D runs |
| 🔍 WATCH | PLTR, P, TAC | PLTR structure broken (-38% from high); P/TAC stale + mid-pullback |
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| ARM +96.9% 30D yet RSI only 69 | Royalty model re-rating durably; not yet technically overbought |
| Equipment/IP (ASML/ARM/MRVL) leads, app layer (AMZN/NVDA/PLTR) lags | Capex flows to the bottleneck/foundry layer first |
| PLTR regime = collapse, -38% from high | Government-AI thesis intact but valuation unwind not done |
Mistakes (Don't Repeat)
| Mistake | Lesson |
|---|---|
| Copying prices from the 06-16 scan | TAC/P are 2d stale this run; flag freshness, never fabricate the gap |
Open Questions
Related
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Jun 16 UpdateAI Infrastructure Candidates Jun 16 ScanAI Infrastructure Scan Jun 16 ScanNVDA Ecosystem Scan Jun 25 ScanAI Infrastructure Scan Jun 26 ScanAI Infrastructure Scan Jun 20 ScanAI Scan Jun 16 ScanAI Scan Jul 7 ScanAI Infrastructure Scan Jun 26 ScanAI Scan May 29 UpdateAI Infrastructure Candidates No direct external sources are attached to this read.