AI Infrastructure Scan
Scan
AI Infrastructure Scan
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 32 rows · screens, not recommendations
The AI infrastructure stack is in a historic supercycle: ARM (+211%), MRVL (+207%), ASML (+30%), TSM (+23%) all up strongly in 3M — but NVDA is in a pullback and PLTR has structurally broken down, creating entry opportunities in the most durable names.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟢 Supercycle intact — infrastructure layer leading the market |
| Key insight | ARM and MRVL are the clearest custom silicon beneficiaries (+211%/+207% 3M); ASML the fab equipment monopoly; TSM the manufacturing chokepoint — all in uptrend with RSI room to run |
| Leaders | ARM (RSI 64, +211% 3M), MRVL (RSI 59, +207% 3M), ASML (RSI 59, +30% 3M) |
| Laggards | PLTR (RSI 45, -14% 3M, collapse regime), AMZN (RSI 43, -7% 30D pullback) |
| Watch | NVDA pullback RSI 47; AVGO not in this list but contextually relevant (RSI 41, -10% 30D) |
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | SMA20 | vsSMA | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARM | $396.34 | 63.9 | $343.37 | +15.4% | +23.67% | +84.24% | +211.32% | 🟢 Strong |
| MRVL | $278.67 | 59.3 | $245.75 | +13.4% | +14.53% | +64.96% | +207.11% | 🟢 Strong |
| ASML | $1,803.89 | 59.1 | $1,693.15 | +6.5% | +4.64% | +22.51% | +30.14% | 🟢 Strong |
| TSM | $425.83 | 53.4 | $421.17 | +1.1% | +2.37% | +7.80% | +23.37% | 🟡 Neutral-Strong |
| TAC | $13.51 | 54.1 | $13.44 | +0.5% | +8.39% | +8.43% | +7.65% | 🟡 Neutral |
| P | $73.26 | 47.3 | $77.28 | -5.2% | +3.63% | -4.94% | +15.48% | 🟡 Pullback |
| NVDA | $207.41 | 47.4 | $213.09 | -2.7% | +2.65% | -6.60% | +14.14% | 🟡 Pullback |
| AMZN | $246.00 | 43.1 | $255.40 | -3.7% | -0.49% | -7.12% | +14.31% | 🟠 Pullback |
| PLTR | $133.25 | 45.3 | $138.69 | -3.9% | +0.50% | -1.40% | -14.08% | 🔴 Collapse |
Tier Analysis
Capitulation (RSI < 25)
None in this watchlist today.
Oversold / Broken (RSI 25-42)
- AMZN RSI 43.1 — AWS is the #1 AI cloud provider by revenue; -7% 30D is a pullback in a long-term winner; death cross on SMA but golden cross at SMA50; -12% from 52wk high. Accumulate for long-term AI infra exposure.
- PLTR RSI 45.3 — Palantir in structural downtrend; death cross confirmed; -36% from 52wk high; government AI spend thesis still intact but valuation multiple unwind ongoing. Wait for RSI < 40 or base formation.
Neutral-Strong (RSI 43-67)
- ARM RSI 63.9 — Arm Holdings owns the IP for every mobile and increasingly data center chip; +211% 3M; 15.4% above SMA20 (extended near-term) but uptrend is steep and intact; no death cross. Leader of this cycle.
- MRVL RSI 59.3 — Marvell custom ASIC is the key hyperscaler chip play (AWS/Google/Microsoft custom silicon); +207% 3M; 13.4% above SMA20; SMA200 at $110.63 showing scale of re-rating. Pull back sub-$260 to add.
- ASML RSI 59.1 — Monopoly on EUV lithography; every advanced node goes through ASML machines; +30% 3M, 44% above SMA200. Not at overbought. The longest-duration AI infra bet.
- TSM RSI 53.4 — TSMC manufactures 90%+ of the world's most advanced chips; steady +23% 3M; near SMA20 (+1.1%); no overbought risk. Core infrastructure holding.
- TAC RSI 54.1 — TransAlta (power/energy infrastructure); modest gains; serves AI power demand thesis; +8% 30D.
- NVDA RSI 47.4 — NVDA pulled back -6.6% in 30D and -2.7% below SMA20; -12% from 52wk high; still in uptrend long-term (9.5% above SMA200). Near-term weak-down but thesis is the center of gravity for this entire cycle.
- P (Pandora/iHeart?) RSI 47.3 — in pullback -4.9% 30D; check watchlist intent; if a typo or placeholder, treat as noise. Data: $73.26, RSI 47, -5.2% vs SMA20, +15.5% 3M.
Entry Zones
Pullback Entries in Core AI Infra Uptrends
| Stock | Current | Zone | RSI | 30D Chg | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | $207.41 | <$200 | 47.4 | -6.60% | 📈 Accumulate | AI chip supercycle leader; pullback = add; 12% below ATH |
| AMZN | $246.00 | <$240 | 43.1 | -7.12% | 📈 Accumulate | AWS AI cloud market share leader; -12% from high |
| MRVL | $278.67 | <$260 | 59.3 | +64.96% | 🔍 Watch | Custom ASIC for hyperscalers; extended near-term; wait for pullback |
Avoid / Wait
| Stock | Current | RSI | 30D | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLTR | $133.25 | 45.3 | -1.4% | ⚠️ Caution | Collapse regime; wait for RSI <35 or basing pattern |
| ARM | $396.34 | 63.9 | +84.2% | 🔒 Hold | Don't add after +211% 3M; hold existing; let it breathe |
Action Matrix
| Action | Stocks | Why |
|---|---|---|
| 📈 ACCUMULATE | NVDA | Core AI chip leader; -12% from high; pullback in secular uptrend |
| 📈 ACCUMULATE | AMZN | AWS cloud infra; -7% 30D pullback; long-term compounder |
| 🔒 HOLD | ARM | +211% 3M; thesis strongest in this list; don't add but hold tight |
| 🔒 HOLD | MRVL | +207% 3M custom ASIC leader; extended; hold, don't add here |
| 🔒 HOLD | ASML | EUV monopoly; RSI 59, not overbought; durable compounder |
| 🔒 HOLD | TSM | Foundry chokepoint; RSI 53, neutral; core long-term |
| 🔍 WATCH | PLTR | Govt AI play but in collapse regime; wait for base |
| 🔍 WATCH | P | Data suggests pullback; confirm watchlist intent before acting |
| ⏳ WAIT | TAC | Power/energy infra; neutral price action; watch for AI power catalyst |
What Changed (vs Prior Scan)
No prior 2026-06-16 ai-infrastructure scan on record. Key context:
- ARM not in this scan previously; now the highest 3M mover (+211%)
- MRVL custom silicon thesis now fully confirmed by Wall Street (+207% 3M)
- ASML recovering from 2025 export control fears; +30% 3M
- NVDA pullback creates cleaner risk/reward vs the scan cohort leaders
- PLTR's collapse from peak is a notable divergence: AI platform thesis still real but multiple compression is ongoing
Key Discoveries
| Discovery | Implication |
|---|---|
| ARM RSI 64 after +211% 3M with no overbought signal | Most resilient price structure in AI infra; durable IP moat > cycles |
| MRVL +207% 3M, 13.4% above SMA20 but RSI only 59 | Custom silicon re-rating has room; not technically extended on RSI |
| ASML 44% above SMA200, RSI 59 | The "boring" EUV monopoly is outperforming most AI names on a risk-adjusted basis |
| PLTR collapse regime confirmed | Government AI platform winner can still see massive multiple compression; valuation matters |
Open Questions
- Is "P" in this watchlist a data error or a legitimate AI infra name? Needs watchlist audit.
- NVDA pullback at -12% from ATH: is the Blackwell supply constraint resolving, or is there a demand concern?
- MRVL at +207% 3M: when does hyperscaler custom silicon spend normalize vs NVDA GPU spend? Watch AMD MI300X share data.
Related
10 events DateTypeEvent
Jun 16 UpdateAI Infrastructure Candidates Jun 16 ScanNVDA Ecosystem Scan Jun 20 ScanAI Infrastructure Scan Jun 25 ScanAI Infrastructure Scan Jun 26 ScanAI Infrastructure Scan Jun 16 ScanAI Scan Jun 20 ScanAI Scan May 29 UpdateAI Infrastructure Candidates May 29 ScanAI Infrastructure Scan May 29 ScanNVDA Ecosystem Scan No direct external sources are attached to this read.