AI Infrastructure Scan

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AI Infrastructure Scan

Watchlists 1
raw scan snapshot — prices as of scan date, not live 28 rows · screens, not recommendations

This report tracks the 9-name hyperscaler/chip/foundry basket (ai-infra.jsonAMZN, NVDA, ASML, TAC, TSM, PLTR, MRVL, ARM, P), unchanged from the 2026-07-17 edition, not the separate 52-name physical-buildout universe (ai-infrastructure.json). Because the prior edition already used this same 9-name basket, the comparisons below are a valid direct read against 2026-07-17. The clearest move: AMZN reversed from the steadiest name in the basket to a genuine decliner (RSI 51.4→37.2), while MRVL and ARM — the two clearest breakdowns two weeks ago — both stabilized meaningfully off their craters.

FROTH READ: vs VWAP measures distance from the average buyer's cost basis across the instrument's full history.


Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🟢 Broad improvement — six of nine names improved on RSI and 30-day drawdown, but AMZN reversed from steadiest to a genuine decliner and PLTR weakened on the most recent week
Universe note Still the 9-name hyperscaler/chip/foundry basket, unchanged from 07-17 — not the 52-name physical-buildout universe
Sharpest deterioration AMZN — RSI fell from 51.4 to 37.2, 7-day change flipped from +0.77% to -6.12%
Steadiest positive NVDA, TSM, ASML, TAC, and P all improved on RSI and shrank their 30-day drawdowns
Caveat None — every ticker in this basket carries a fresh Friday 2026-07-24 close read

What's Going On

AMZN is the reversal story of this basket. Two weeks ago it was the steadiest name in the group; now its RSI has fallen from 51.4 to 37.2, its 7-day change flipped from +0.77% to -6.12%, its 30-day change flipped from +1.16% to -0.92%, and its gap to its 52-week high widened from -11.25% to -16.12%.

MRVL and ARM, the two clearest breakdowns two weeks ago, both stabilized meaningfully off their craters. MRVL's 30-day drawdown eased from -39.23% to -29.79% (RSI 35.7→39.0) and ARM's from -39.2% to -27.59% (RSI 38.4→38.0) — still deeply damaged names, but no longer accelerating lower.

TSM cooled into a shallower drawdown (RSI 39.4→42.3, 30D -13.8%→-8.49%), TAC's slide reversed outright (RSI 42.7→49.7, trend flipped strong-down→up), and ASML and NVDA both ticked higher on RSI while shrinking their 52-week gaps. P (Everpure, formerly Pure Storage), which had no comparable prior read last cycle, improved on both RSI and week (42.8→50.3, 7D -12.54%→+7.47%).

PLTR is the one mixed case in the basket. Its RSI fell from 52.9 to 41.9 and the most recent week reversed hard (7D +4.41%→-7.15%), even though the trailing 30-day figure stayed net positive (+3.04%→+8.3%, reflecting gains earlier in the window that haven't yet rolled off) — it remains death-crossed and well below VWAP either way.


What Changed Since the 2026-07-17 Scan

This is a valid direct ticker-for-ticker comparison — the 07-17 edition of this scan already used the same 9-name basket.

  1. AMZN reversed from steadiest to weakest: RSI 51.4→37.2, 7D +0.77%→-6.12%, 30D +1.16%→-0.92%, 52wkHi gap -11.25%→-16.12%.
  2. MRVL stabilized off its crater: RSI 35.7→39.0, 30D -39.23%→-29.79%, 52wkHi gap -42.8%→-36.55%.
  3. ARM stabilized in tandem: RSI 38.4→38.0, 30D -39.2%→-27.59%, 52wkHi gap -40.98%→-37.48%.
  4. TSM cooled into a shallower drawdown: RSI 39.4→42.3, 30D -13.8%→-8.49%, 52wkHi gap -16.83%→-13.24%.
  5. TAC's slide reversed: RSI 42.7→49.7, 7D -6.75%→+3.47%, trend flipped strong-down→up.
  6. NVDA improved: RSI 48.1→51.0, 7D -3.86%→+1.99%, 30D -3.74%→+3.94%.
  7. ASML ticked higher: RSI 47.9→48.3, 30D -9.44%→-0.32%.
  8. PLTR weakened on the week despite a still-positive trailing month: RSI 52.9→41.9, 7D +4.41%→-7.15%, 30D +3.04%→+8.3%.
  9. P improved on both measures: RSI 42.8→50.3, 7D -12.54%→+7.47%, 30D -7.01%→+2.42%.

How To Read The Board

RSI < 30 = capitulation zone (check trend/death-cross before treating as a buy). RSI 30-40 = oversold, often still structurally weak in this group. RSI 40-70 = neutral-to-healthy. RSI > 70 = extended. "vs VWAP" measures distance from the average buyer's cost basis — the further above 0%, the more "paid up" the current price relative to its own trading history.


Price Table

Stock Price RSI vs SMA20 7D% 30D% 3M% vs VWAP 52wkHi% Trend Signal
NVDA $206.84 51.0 +1.7% +1.99% +3.94% -0.57% +9.43% -11.74% weak-down 🟢 Improved, thesis intact
P $74.56 50.3 -0.2% +7.47% +2.42% +4.38% -0.05% -25.25% down 🟢 Improved on both RSI and week
TAC $13.72 49.7 -0.9% +3.47% +0.22% +9.85% +0.36% -21.09% up 🟢 Slide reversed
ASML $1,757.09 48.3 -2.3% +0.54% -0.32% +20.8% +35.92% -9.85% strong-up 🔒 Hold, cooling in an orderly trend
TSM $403.41 42.3 -5.9% +1.27% -8.49% +0.47% +19.78% -13.24% weak-down 🟢 Cooled into a shallower drawdown
PLTR $122.92 41.9 -3.9% -7.15% +8.3% -14.1% -22.1% -40.55% strong-down 🔍 Weakened on the week, still death-crossed
MRVL $194.23 39.0 -15.4% +2.94% -29.79% +18.24% +25.96% -36.55% weak-down ⚠️ Stabilizing but still -29.79% 30D
ARM $260.01 38.0 -13.8% -2.69% -27.59% +10.73% +27.63% -37.48% weak-down ⚠️ Stabilizing but still -27.59% 30D
AMZN $232.11 37.2 -4.8% -6.12% -0.92% -12.08% +0.06% -16.12% down 🔍 Reversed from steadiest — watch

Tier Analysis

Capitulation (RSI < 25)

None.

Oversold (RSI 25-40)

AMZN (37.2), ARM (38.0), MRVL (39.0). All three still carry real structural damage — AMZN newly so, MRVL/ARM easing off their craters but not resolved.

Neutral-Strong (RSI 40+)

PLTR (41.9), TSM (42.3), ASML (48.3), P (50.3), NVDA (51.0), TAC (49.7).


Entry Zones

Stock Entry Zone Thesis Status
NVDA $195-215 Improving, thesis flagged intact 🔒 Hold/accumulate
ASML Watch $1,700-1,800 Cooling in an orderly strong-up trend 🔍 Watch
TSM, TAC Watch Both reversed out of prior weakness 🔍 Watch
MRVL, ARM Avoid for now Stabilizing but still down ~30%/28% over 30 days ⚠️ Avoid
AMZN Watch Reversed from steadiest — re-evaluate before treating as an automatic hold 🔍 Watch
PLTR Watch Weakened on the week despite a still-positive trailing month 🔍 Watch
P Watch First full-cycle comparison — improving 🔍 Watch

Action Matrix

Stock Signal Action Notes
NVDA 🟢 🔒 Hold/accumulate Improved on RSI and week, thesis intact
ASML 🟢 🔒 Hold Cooling in an orderly strong-up trend
TAC, TSM 🟢 🔍 Watch Both reversed out of prior weakness
P 🟢 🔍 Watch Improved on both RSI and week
AMZN 🔍 🔍 Watch Reversed from steadiest to weakest this cycle
PLTR 🟡 🔍 Watch Weakened on the week, still death-crossed
MRVL, ARM 🔴 ⚠️ Avoid Sharpest deterioration two weeks ago, now stabilizing but still deeply damaged

What To Watch Next

  • Whether AMZN's reversal from steadiest to weakest is a one-week wobble or a genuine change in the name's relative strength within this basket.
  • Whether MRVL/ARM's stabilization (30-day drawdowns easing from roughly -39% to roughly -28-30%) continues toward a real bottom.
  • Whether PLTR's weak week is the start of unwinding its month-long gain or just noise.
  • Whether the ai-infrastructure scan slot stays on this 9-name basket going forward (unchanged for two cycles now) or reverts to the 52-name physical-buildout universe.

Sources

  • Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the Friday 2026-07-24 close — ai-infra.
10 events

No direct external sources are attached to this read.