AI Infrastructure Scan
AI Infrastructure Scan
Data note first: this report currently reads the original 9-name hyperscaler/chip/foundry basket (ai-infra.json — AMZN, NVDA, ASML, TAC, TSM, PLTR, MRVL, ARM, P), not the 52-name physical-buildout universe (power/nuclear, cooling/electrical, networking/optical, materials, data-center REITs, compute/memory) that the 2026-07-11 edition of this scan used. There is no valid ticker-for-ticker comparison against that 52-name report; the comparisons below instead use the same 8 overlapping names as read in the 2026-07-11 ai-scan report. The clearest move: MRVL and ARM both cratered -39% over 30 days, while AMZN stayed the steadiest name in the basket and PLTR posted the only clean positive week.
FROTH READ: vs VWAP measures distance from the average buyer's cost basis across the instrument's full history.
Quick Snapshot
| Signal | Reading |
|---|---|
| Overall | 🟡 Mixed — AMZN/NVDA/ASML holding up reasonably, PLTR bounced, but MRVL/ARM cratered and TSM/TAC cooled into oversold territory |
| Universe note | This scan currently tracks the original 9-name basket, not the 52-name physical-buildout universe used in the 2026-07-11 edition — no valid direct comparison exists against that report |
| Sharpest deterioration | MRVL (-39.23% 30D) and ARM (-39.2% 30D) — both nearly tripled their prior drawdown from two weeks ago |
| Steadiest | AMZN — RSI essentially unchanged (51.0→51.4), thesis still flagged intact |
| Caveat | P (Everpure / fka Pure Storage) has no prior-period comparison in either the 07-11 `ai-scan` or `ai-infrastructure` reports — this is its first read this cycle |
What's Going On
The two clearest breakdowns in this basket are MRVL and ARM. MRVL fell -19.99% on the week, pushing its 30-day change from -15.97% to -39.23% and its RSI from 45.2 to 35.7 — into the oversold zone. ARM moved almost identically: -17.38% on the week, 30-day change from -5.51% to -39.2%, RSI down to 38.4. TSM also cooled into the oversold zone (RSI 49.8→39.4, 30D flipping from +3.1% to -13.8%), and TAC weakened sharply (RSI 58.6→42.7, 7D flipping from +2.67% to -6.75%).
AMZN and NVDA held up better by comparison. AMZN's RSI is essentially unchanged (51.0→51.4) and its thesis flag still reads "intact," with a 52-week gap that actually narrowed slightly (-11.93%→-11.25%). NVDA cooled (RSI 57.2→48.1, 7D flipping from +7.32% to -3.86%) but remains thesis-flagged intact and only modestly further from its 52-week high. ASML cooled slightly (RSI 51.1→47.9) while its 30-day change worsened from -5.38% to -9.44%.
PLTR was the one name in this basket to post a genuine reversal — RSI ticked up from 48.4 to 52.9, and both its 7-day (-3.08%→+4.41%) and 30-day (-3.27%→+3.04%) changes flipped positive, even though it remains death-crossed and -36.21% off its 52-week high. P (Everpure, formerly Pure Storage) has no comparable prior read in this cycle's data; its current numbers — RSI 42.8, -12.54% on the week, -31.03% off its 52-week high, in a confirmed downtrend — establish the baseline going forward.
What Changed Since the 2026-07-11 Scan
No valid comparison exists against the 2026-07-11 ai-infrastructure report — that report's 52-name universe (power/nuclear, cooling/electrical, networking/optical, materials, data-center REITs, compute/memory) has zero ticker overlap with this cycle's 9-name basket. The deltas below instead compare against the same 8 tickers as read in the 2026-07-11 ai-scan report (P is not in that report either, and has no baseline this cycle).
- MRVL cratered: RSI 45.2→35.7, 30D -15.97%→-39.23%, 52wkHi gap -28.52%→-42.8%.
- ARM cratered in tandem: RSI 47.9→38.4, 30D -5.51%→-39.2%, 52wkHi gap -28.56%→-40.98%.
- TSM cooled into oversold: RSI 49.8→39.4, 30D +3.1%→-13.8%, 52wkHi gap -9.37%→-16.83%.
- TAC weakened sharply: RSI 58.6→42.7, 7D +2.67%→-6.75%, 52wkHi gap -20.47%→-25.84%.
- NVDA cooled from a strong week to a weak one: RSI 57.2→48.1, 7D +7.32%→-3.86%, 30D +2.97%→-3.74%.
- ASML cooled modestly: RSI 51.1→47.9, 30D -5.38%→-9.44%.
- AMZN stayed the steadiest: RSI 51.0→51.4, 30D +1.59%→1.16%, 52wkHi gap narrowed -11.93%→-11.25%.
- PLTR reversed positive: RSI 48.4→52.9, 7D -3.08%→+4.41%, 30D -3.27%→+3.04% — still death-crossed, but the only clean improvement in the basket.
- P has no prior read this cycle — first appearance in this data window.
How To Read The Board
RSI < 30 = capitulation zone (check trend/death-cross before treating as a buy). RSI 30-40 = oversold, often still structurally weak in this group. RSI 40-70 = neutral-to-healthy. RSI > 70 = extended. "vs VWAP" measures distance from the average buyer's cost basis — the further above 0%, the more "paid up" the current price relative to its own trading history.
Price Table
| Stock | Price | RSI | vs SMA20 | 7D% | 30D% | 3M% | vs VWAP | 52wkHi% | Trend | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | $247.23 | 51.4 | +2.1% | +0.77% | +1.16% | -0.42% | +6.67% | -11.25% | weak-down | 🟢 Steadiest of the group, thesis intact |
| NVDA | $202.81 | 48.1 | +0.3% | -3.86% | -3.74% | +0.49% | +7.59% | -14.26% | weak-down | 🟡 Cooled, thesis flagged intact |
| ASML | $1,747.58 | 47.9 | -3.7% | -2.77% | -9.44% | +18.62% | +37.69% | -12.62% | strong-up | 🔒 Hold, cooling |
| PLTR | $132.38 | 52.9 | +5.7% | +4.41% | +3.04% | -9.26% | -16.23% | -36.21% | strong-down | 🔍 Watch — the one reversal in the basket |
| P | $69.38 | 42.8 | -7.1% | -12.54% | -7.01% | +2.03% | -6.81% | -31.03% | down | 🔍 Watch — first read this cycle, no prior baseline |
| TAC | $13.26 | 42.7 | -3.9% | -6.75% | -3.49% | +4.74% | -2.88% | -25.84% | strong-down | 🔍 Watch — weakened sharply |
| TSM | $398.37 | 39.4 | -8.9% | -8.23% | -13.8% | +9.03% | +19.35% | -16.83% | weak-down | 🔍 Watch — cooled into oversold |
| ARM | $267.19 | 38.4 | -18.6% | -17.38% | -39.2% | +52.59% | +32.02% | -40.98% | weak-down | ⚠️ Avoid — cratered |
| MRVL | $188.68 | 35.7 | -25.0% | -19.99% | -39.23% | +27.66% | +23.56% | -42.8% | weak-down | ⚠️ Avoid — cratered |
Tier Analysis
Capitulation (RSI < 25)
None.
Oversold (RSI 25-40)
MRVL (35.7), ARM (38.4), TSM (39.4). All three in confirmed weak-down/pullback regimes with real 30-day damage — not constructive dip-buys on the tape alone.
Neutral-Strong (RSI 40+)
Entry Zones
| Stock | Entry Zone | Thesis | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | $235-250 | Steadiest name in the basket, thesis flagged intact | 🔒 Hold |
| NVDA | $195-215 | Cooled but thesis flagged intact | 🔒 Hold/accumulate |
| ASML | Watch $1,700-1,800 | Cooling but still strong-up trend | 🔍 Watch |
| MRVL, ARM | Avoid for now | Both -39% over 30 days, still weak-down | ⚠️ Avoid |
| TSM | Watch, newly oversold | RSI 39.4, 30D -13.8% | 🔍 Watch |
| P | No baseline yet | First read this cycle | 🔍 Watch |
Action Matrix
| Stock | Signal | Action | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | Steadiest name in the basket, thesis intact |
| NVDA | 🟡 | 🔒 Hold/accumulate | Cooled from a strong week, still thesis intact |
| ASML | 🟢 | 🔒 Hold | Cooling but still strong-up |
| PLTR | 🟡 | 🔍 Watch | Only clean reversal in the basket, still death-crossed |
| TSM, TAC | 🔴 | 🔍 Watch | Both cooled into oversold/weak territory this period |
| MRVL, ARM | 🔴 | ⚠️ Avoid | Sharpest breakdowns — both -39% over 30 days |
| P | 🔍 | 🔍 Watch | No prior baseline; establishing this cycle |
What To Watch Next
- Whether the ai-infrastructure scan slot reverts to the 52-name physical-buildout universe next cycle, or stays on this 9-name basket — worth confirming with the watchlist owner, since the two scans currently answer different questions.
- Whether MRVL/ARM's -39% 30-day drawdowns are a bottoming process or still unfolding (also flagged in the parallel
ai-scanreport). - Whether TSM/TAC's slide into oversold territory finds a floor or keeps deteriorating.
- Whether PLTR's reversal has legs given it remains death-crossed and well below VWAP.
Sources
- Tape data (price/RSI/SMA/returns): full-scan pre-computed summaries as of the 2026-07-17 close — *.
Related
10 eventsNo direct external sources are attached to this read.