AI Infrastructure

Update

AI Infrastructure

AI infrastructure plays - semis, networking, power, packaging. CEG RSI 5 EXTREME. BE stop-loss HIT - EXIT.

Quick Snapshot

Signal Reading
Overall 🔴 SELLOFF - Broad weakness across AI infra, power names crushed
Key insight CEG RSI 5 = historically extreme oversold. BE stop-loss hit at $136.60 (-17.2%), EXIT position.
ARM bounce ARM +5.7% today to $110.88 - only green name in the group

Action Matrix

Action Stocks Why
🚨 EXIT BE Stop-loss HIT at $136.60 (-17.2% from $164.96 entry)
📈 WATCH CEG RSI 5 = extreme capitulation, wait for stabilization
🔍 RESEARCH MRVL RSI 35, near $70 entry zone at $74.21
🔒 HOLD ASML, NEE Relative strength, NEE RSI 77 overbought

Data (Validated 2026-02-05)

Stock Price 7D 30D 52wkHi RSI Status Action
NVDA $171.88 -8.8% -8.2% -19.0% 34 🟡 Pullback 🔍 Watch
AMD $192.50 -23.6% -10.2% -27.9% 35 🟡 Weak 🔍 Watch
AVGO $310.51 -6.7% -9.7% -25.1% 30 🟢 Oversold 📈 Watch
MRVL $74.21 -10.5% -15.8% -39.1% 35 🟡 Weak 🔍 Research
ARM $110.88 -3.5% -4.0% -39.5% 57 🟢 Bounce 🔍 Watch
ASML $1350.16 -7.2% +8.7% -9.6% 52 🟢 Holding 🔒 Hold
ANET $128.67 -12.3% -2.9% -22.0% 48 🟡 Pullback 🔍 Watch
CEG $247.06 -14.5% -30.3% -40.1% 5↓ 🟢 EXTREME 📈 Watch
NEE $89.21 +2.4% +10.1% -1.6% 77↑ ⚠️ Overbought 🔍 Wait
EOSE $11.28 -24.9% -20.3% -43.2% 27↓ 🟢 Oversold 🔍 Research
BE $136.60 -10.3% +32.6% -22.6% 49 🚨 STOP HIT 🚨 EXIT
FSLR $234.36 -0.3% -12.8% -18.1% 44 🟡 Sideways 🔍 Watch
ENPH $47.27 -0.5% +35.9% -33.2% 68 🟢 Running 🔍 Overbought

Key Changes vs 2026-02-04

Stock Yesterday Today Move Note
BE $147.35 $136.60 -7.3% 🚨 STOP-LOSS HIT at $140 (-17.2% from $164.96 entry). EXIT.
CEG $250.46 $247.06 -1.4% RSI crashed from 14 to 5. Historically extreme oversold.
NVDA $174.19 $171.88 -1.3% Continued drift lower, RSI 34
AMD $200.19 $192.50 -3.8% Gave back DeepSeek gains, RSI 35
AVGO $308.05 $310.51 +0.8% Slight bounce, RSI 30 oversold
ARM $104.90 $110.88 +5.7% Only green name - ARM bounce on earnings?
EOSE $12.40 $11.28 -9.0% Continued selloff, RSI 27
ENPH $51.67 $47.27 -8.5% Gave back some of yesterday's +38.7% spike

Key Positions

BE - Bloom Energy (EXIT - Stop-Loss Hit)

Thesis: Fuel cells for data center power. AI infrastructure backbone.

Metric Value
Entry $164.96 (02/03)
Exit $136.60 (02/05)
Return -17.2%
Stop-loss $140 (-15%) - BREACHED

Status: 🚨 STOP-LOSS HIT. Position closed.

Analysis:

  • Bought at $164.96 near top of +41.9% run
  • Price crashed through $140 stop-loss
  • Lesson: Don't chase parabolic moves. Wait for pullback entries.

Action: 🚨 EXIT. Do not re-enter until price stabilizes.

CEG - Constellation Energy (Extreme Oversold)

Thesis: Nuclear power for AI data centers.

Metric Value
Current $247.06
30D -30.3%
RSI 5↓ (EXTREME)
52wk High -40.1%

Analysis:

  • RSI 5 = historically rare extreme oversold
  • Nuclear power demand thesis intact
  • But catching falling knife is dangerous
  • Wait for ANY sign of stabilization before entry

Action: 📈 Watch for stabilization. Do NOT catch falling knife.

MRVL - Marvell (Near Entry Zone)

Metric Value
Current $74.21
Entry zone <$70
RSI 35

Analysis: Approaching entry zone. Custom ASIC thesis needs research.

Action: 🔍 Research thesis. Near zone at $74.

Entry Zones Status

Stock Entry Zone Current Status
CEG <$250 $247.06 ✅ IN ZONE (RSI 5 EXTREME)
MRVL <$70 $74.21 🔍 Near zone
NVDA <$150 $171.88 🔍 Not yet

The Gold

Discoveries:

  • BE stop-loss worked as designed - limited loss to -17.2% on a parabolic chase
  • CEG RSI 5 is the most extreme oversold in the entire portfolio - nuclear thesis intact
  • ARM showed relative strength (+5.7%) while everything else sold off

Mistakes:

  • BE entry at $164.96 after +41.9% run = classic momentum trap
  • Lesson reinforced: Never chase parabolic moves

Open Questions:

  • Is CEG selling off on macro/tariff fears or nuclear thesis broken?
  • Will MRVL reach $70 entry zone?
  • ARM earnings bounce sustainable?

Next Actions

  • Close BE position (stop-loss triggered)
  • Watch CEG for stabilization at RSI 5
  • Deep dive MRVL custom ASIC thesis
  • Monitor ARM earnings follow-through

Commands

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10 events
DateTypeEvent
Feb 2 ScanAI Universe (Expanded) Feb 9 ScanAI Infrastructure Scan Feb 5 ScanAI Scan Feb 4 ScanAI Scan Mar 10 ScanAI Scan Mar 11 ScanAI Scan Mar 20 ScanAI Scan Feb 5 ArticleActions & Alerts Log Mar 13 ScanNVDA Ecosystem Mar 11 ScanInsider Activity Scan

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